Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Astrid Fernandez
Annie Hsieh
Daniel Pedisich
Akshat Sarvaria
Sue Veksler
Agenda
Background on India
Current Business Environment
The Case and Solution
Risks and Benefits
No pun intended!
Feasibility Analysis/ Valuation
Future Prospects
Conclusion/ Q&A
India: Social Background
Population (July 2002 estimate) 1,045,845,226
Age Structure
0-14 years old 32.7%
15-64 years old 62.6%
65 years and over 4.7%
Population Growth Rate (2002 1.51%
estimate)
Life Expectancy at Birth (total 63.23 years
population)
Literacy (age 15+ can read and
write)
Total population 52%
Male 65.5%
Female (1995 estimate) 37.7%
India: Political Background
A parliamentary federal democracy.
The Republic of India is made up of 29 states, and
six union territories.
As the largest democracy in the world, India has held
regular and largely free elections since 1947.
Economic liberalization through opening up to foreign
participation.
The Kashmir conflict with Pakistan.
India: Economic Background
5th largest economy in the World and the 3rd largest GDP in
Asia.
Growth potential
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
$ 77,854 84,750 92,257 100,42 109,32 119,00 129,55
71,519,57 ,643.6 ,856.6 ,922.9 9,950. 5,840. 9,710. 1,359.
Revenue from waste management 65,700,000.00 8.34 3 9 1 46 34 86 81
$ $ $
$ $ $ $ $ $
5,371,450. 5,532, 5,698, 5,869, 6,045, 6,226, 6,413, 6,606,
Electricity Sales 5,000,000.00 00 593.50 571.31 528.44 614.30 982.73 792.21 205.97
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
$ (9,022, (9,818, (10,68 (11,62 (12,65 (13,76 (14,97
(8,291,793 813.96 282.39 3,880. 5,792. 0,743. 6,057. 9,699.
Cost of operating plant (7,620,000.00) .68) ) ) 82) 05) 96) 59) 38)
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
$ (23,35 (23,05 (22,73 (22,39 (22,02 (21,63 (21,21
Sanitary Disposal of Remaining Waste (23,629,78 3,022. 4,853. 4,455. 0,985. 3,571. 1,315. 3,286.
Cost (approx $25/ton,inc. 3% annually) (22,452,123.70) 0.01) 52) 15) 19) 12) 74) 36) 87)
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
$ (43,06 (43,63 (44,21 (44,80 (45,39 (46,00 (46,61
Waste Transportation and Collection (42,495,12 0,313. 3,015. 3,334. 1,371. 7,230. 1,013. 2,826.
Costs (approx $18/ton,inc. 3% annually) (39,420,000.00) 8.10) 31) 47) 58) 93) 18) 34) 82)
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
$ $ 13,943 20,495 27,657 35,481 44,025 53,351
2,474,326. 7,951, ,276.9 ,780.7 ,415.6 ,277.1 ,116.7 ,752.7
Profit/Loss (146,250,000.00) 1,207,876.30 55 087.34 8 6 6 9 8 2
The Valuation
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
$ $ 181,9 198,0 215,5 234,6 255,4 278,0 302,7 329,5
167,117,0 19,92 34,04 75,51 70,77 57,45 85,38 17,64 31,78
Revenue from waste management 141,026,767.54 153,518,644.60 27.85 9.47 3.35 4.13 4.30 5.53 0.58 3.28 3.94
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
$
$ $ 7,112, 7,164, 7,217, 7,269, 7,321, 7,373, 7,425, 7,477,
7,060,673 823.9 973.9 123.9 273.9 423.9 573.9 723.9 873.9
Electricity Sales 6,804,392.15 7,008,523.92 .92 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
$ $ (21,00 (22,85 (24,86 (27,06 (29,44 (32,04 (34,86 (37,94
(19,301,1 2,798. 4,444. 9,336. 1,864. 7,689. 3,853. 8,900. 3,009.
Cost of operating plant (16,300,338.14) (17,737,406.92) 70.41) 27) 87) 15) 08) 44) 69) 71) 25)
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
Sanitary Disposal of Remaining $ $ (19,26 (18,70 (18,10 (17,48 (16,81 (16,12 (15,38 (14,61
Waste Cost (approx $25/ton,inc. 2% (19,794,8 3,788. 1,868. 7,930. 0,813. 9,316. 2,202. 8,192. 5,967.
annually) (20,768,526.85) (20,296,044.63) 17.28) 67) 38) 69) 46) 99) 87) 81) 35)
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
Waste Transportation and Collection $ $ (49,14 (49,79 (50,45 (51,12 (51,80 (52,49 (53,19 (53,90
Costs (approx $18/ton,inc. 2% (48,497,5 2,541. 6,137. 8,425. 9,522. 9,545. 8,612. 6,844. 4,362.
annually) (47,232,777.41) (47,860,973.35) 24.30) 37) 17) 80) 86) 51) 47) 01) 04)
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
$ $ 99,62 113,8 129,3 146,2 164,7 184,7 206,6 230,5
86,584,18 3,625. 46,56 56,94 67,84 02,32 94,28 89,42 46,31
Profit/Loss 63,529,517.29 74,632,743.61 9.77 08 6.84 5.40 7.82 7.51 5.47 9.66 9.22
Revenue & Cost of Capital
Cost of Capital Calculation -
Goldman Integrated
Model
India
$
US Risk-Free Rate A 5.00%
Plant Start-up Cost (137,500,000)
US Market Risk Premium B 4.51%
•The positive net present value of $46,646,893.33 is based on a discount rate of 17.77%, the approximate cost of equity, over
the twenty-year projected life of this illiquid investment, taking a 4.3% inflation rate into account, increasing all revenues and
expenses by at least this amount. We also include a thirty percent subsidy by the Indian government for the initial
construction costs of the power plant, which is being provided to companies involved in renewable energy projects.
Potential Problems?
There is a strong chance that that our valuation
accurately reflects the worth of this project.