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DEPARTMENT OF TECHNICAL EDUCATION

ANDHRA PRADESH
Name : B. VIJAYA KUMAR
Designation : Lecturer
Branch : Commercial & Computer Practice (CCP)
Institute : GPW/Guntur
Year/Sem : II Yr Sem 4 (C-05)
Subject : QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES-II
Sub-Code : CCP-403
Topic : CORRELATION ANALYSIS
Duration : 50 minutes
Sub Topic : PROBABLE ERROR Problems II
Teaching Aids : PPT ANIMATION
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Objectives:

On Completion of this period, you would


be able to:
 Calculate Probable Error

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Recap

 In the last class, YOU learnt how to calculate


PROBABLE ERROR.
 Before we solve another problem on PE, Let us
RECAP what YOU learnt in the earlier classes

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Recap
Probable error

 Helps in interpreting COC value


 Determines reliability of COC
1 r 2
Formula : PE  0.6745
N

Where r = Coefficient of Correlation


N = No of pairs of observations

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Example 1

Find Karl Pearson’s Co-efficient of Correlation for the


following data and calculate the Probable Error:

X 100 102 104 107 105 112 103 99

Y 15 12 13 11 12 12 19 26

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Solution to Ex. 1:

Calculation of Karl Pearson’s Correlation and PE

X = 104 Y = 15
X d=X-X ∑d2 Y d=Y-Y ∑d2 ∑XY
100 -4 16 15 0 0 0
102 -2 4 12 -3 9 + 6
104 0 0 13 -2 4 0
107 +3 9 11 -4 16 - 12
105 +1 1 12 -3 9 - 3
112 +8 64 12 -3 9 - 24
103 -1 1 19 4 16 - 4
99 -5 25 26 11 121 - 55

∑x=832 ∑d2=120 ∑y=120 ∑d2=184 ∑xy = -92

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Solution contd

X
 X
N

832
  104
8

x 
 d2

120
  15  3.875
8

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Solution contd:

Y
 Y
N
120
  15
8

Y 
 d2


184
 23  4.795
N 8

r
 XY 
92

92
N X  Y 8x3.872x4.795 148.53

r  0.619 CCP403.11 8
Solution contd

1 r 2
PE  0.6745
N
1  ( 0.619)2
 0.6745
8
1  (0.3831)
 0.6745
8
0.6169
 0.6745
8
= 0.6745 X 0.218

Therefore, PE = 0.14713
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Example 2
If r = 0.917 and P.Er = 0.034, find out N

Sol: 1 r 2
PE  0.6745
N
Given: PE = 0.034

r = 0.917

Substituting values in the formula:

1  (0.917)2
0.034  0.6745
N
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Solution contd

0.159
0.034  0.6745X
N
When cross-multiplied,
0.034 N  0.1072
0.1072
N
0.034
= 3.153

Therefore, N = (3.153)2 = 9.94 (or) 10

Thus, there are 10 pairs of observations

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Summary

In this class, YOU learnt to calculate the

Value of ‘N’ when the values of Correlation

Coefficient (r) and the PE are given in the

problem.

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Quiz

1) The correlation limits in a population are?

a) Correlation Coefficient / SD

b) Correlation x Means of X and Y

c) r + PE

d) None of the above

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Frequently Asked Questions:
1. Calculate coefficient of correlation and find its
probable error from the following data:

X 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

Y 18 16 14 12 10 6 8

Ans: r = + 0.9643; P.E= 0.0179

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Assignment
1. Calculate coefficient of correlation and find its
probable error from the following data:

X 30 32 35 40 48 50 52 55 57 61

Y 1 0 2 5 2 4 6 5 7 8

Ans: r = + 0.8742; P.E= 0.0277

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Assignment
2. Calculate coefficient of correlation and find its
probable error from the following data:

X 28 41 40 38 35 33 40 32 36 33

Y 23 34 33 34 30 26 28 31 36 38

Ans: r = + 0.44; P.E= 0.1719

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Assignment
3. Calculate coefficient of correlation and find its
probable error from the following data:

X 23 27 28 28 29 30 31 33 35 36

Y 18 20 22 27 21 29 27 29 28 29

Ans: r = + 0.655; P.E= 0.1217

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Assignment

4) For more problems on Probable Error, please refer to:


a) “Statistics – Problems and Solutions” by V.K.Kapoor
b) “Fundementals of Statistics” by S.C.Gupta
c) “Statistical Methods” by S.P.Gupta
d) “Quantitative Techniques” by S.L.Agarwal & Bharadwaj
e) Any other text book suggested by your teacher
f) Previous years’ exam question papers of SBTET

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