Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Revenues ($mm) Dec’08 Mar’09 Jun’09 Sep’09 Dec’09 Mar’10 Jun’10 Sep’10 Dec’10
Infosys 1171 1121 1122 1154 1232 1296 1358 1496 1585
TCS 1483 1433 1481 1538 1635 1686 1794 2004 2140
Wipro 1100 1046 1033 1065 1127 1166 1204 1273 1344
Infosys-Wipro Gap 71 75 89 89 105 130 154 223 241
TCS-Wipro Gap 383 387 448 473 508 520 590 731 796
Source: Capitaline
Total 1,00,976
1,200,000
Short term debt (33,254)
Liquidity Analysis
800,000
Credit availability:
95% • The term loans and external borrowings of Wipro
600,000 require it to maintain certain ratios as covenants. The
company has not breached them as of 31/12/2010.
• With funds available of more than 67,722 mm, the
400,000
company should be in a position for acquisitions to
the tune of Rs. 25,000 mm without hurting its balance
200,000 sheet covenants.
2%
3%
0
Total = Rs.11,74,104 mm
Rs.160
Hexaware Mindtree Mastek Polaris Rolta BSE_SENSEX
140
120 131
100 113
80 106
60 85
40 80
20
10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 43
/ 20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20
1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1
/0 / 0 /0 /0 /0 /0 /0 /0 /0 / 0 /0 /0 /0 /0 /0 /0 /0 / 0 /0 /0 /0 /0 /0 /0 /0 / 1 /1 /1 /1 /1 /1 /1 /1 /1 /0 / 0
25 04 15 24 08 17 29 08 20 29 10 19 28 08 17 28 07 16 27 05 16 25 03 15 24 05 14 25 03 12 24 03 14 24 04 13
Source: Mindtree company reports, Capitaline
29-01-2011 Wipro - Mindtree 6
Mindtree Valuation - DCF
F re e C a s h F lo w 2 0 11E 2 0 12 E 2 0 13 E 2 0 14 E 2 0 15 E
EBIT 2 ,3 72 3 ,76 8 5,0 9 2 6 ,0 4 1 7,19 3
Tax o n EBIT (3 0 5) (517) (711) (8 4 1) (1,0 0 0 )
P ro f i t A f t e r Ta x 2 ,0 6 7 3 ,2 51 4 ,3 8 1 5,2 0 0 6 , 19 4
Dep reciat io n 6 53 72 7 835 9 73 1,13 3
(Inc) Dec in Cap it al WIP 13 (51) (57) (55) (56 )
Inc (Dec) in Defrred Tax 12 (6 ) 3 (1) 1
(Inc) Dec in Op erat ing Wo rking Cap it al (13 1) (711) (78 8 ) (757) (76 8 )
Cap it al Exp end iture (9 4 9 ) (1,157) (1,3 8 9 ) (1,6 11) (1,8 3 7)
F re e C a s h F lo w 1, 6 6 5 2 ,0 52 2 ,9 8 4 3 ,74 9 4 ,6 6 6
W e ig ht e d A v e ra g e C o s t o f C a p i t a l ( W A C C )
Ind ian Go vernment 10 Yr b o nd yield 8 .2 % Effect
Cred itive tax rate
Rating (Lo ng 16 .0 % Share Price 54 2 .9 0
Term
Cred it Sp read Cap ital
2 .5% Cred Struct
it Sp readure) A+ Shares Outs t and ing (Dilut ed ) 41
Ris k Free Rate 5.7% Over Ris k Free 0 .2 % Market Cap italizatio n 2 2 ,0 9 5
M arket Ris k Premium 7.3 % Deb t Co s t Pre Tax 8 .4 % To t al Deb t ETC 45
Levered Beta 1.10 Deb t Co s t Po s t Tax 7.0 % To t al Cap ital 2 2 ,14 0
Eq uity Co s t 16 .2 % Cap ital St ructure (% Eq uit y) 9 9 .8 %
Cap ital St ructure (% Deb t) 0 .2 %
WACC 16.1%
Term inal Grow th rate 2.25%
D i s c o unt ing M o d e l
Year Co unt 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
PV o f FCF 1,434 1,522 1,905 2,061 2,209
Terminal Value 34,360.2
NPV 25,393.8
Int rins ic value p er s hare 624.0
• Slower recovery in Europe and US: Due to high exposure to R&D/PES space, a slow recovery or another dip is
likely to negatively impact the growth prospect of the company
• Backlash against offshore outsourcing: There could be regulatory or visa restrictions and customers might defer
decisions, leading to lengthening sales cycles. The possibility of such a backlash in the medium term looks low
• Rupee appreciation: A sudden appreciation in rupee could erode the operational growth delivered by the company
• Volatility in Margins: The margins of the company have decreased over the last year. The valuations might be
dented if they do not improve. Considering that the company has absorbed its restructuring costs due to acquisitions,
the margins should improve