Professional Documents
Culture Documents
(https://www.climaterealityproject.org/blog/how-climate-change-affecting-philippines)
• Huge weather event 2013 was Super-
Typhoon Haiyan (called “Yolanda” in the
Philippines, where it struck hardest).
Although the North Atlantic had its quietest
hurricane season since 1994, Haiyan more
than made up for it in the western North
Pacific.
• Haiyan had the highest wind speed ever
assigned to a tropical cyclone, and an
unusually high storm surge. Said a recent
weather and climate science publication:
“Although Haiyan’s meteorological life cycle
is measured in weeks, its impact on
humanity within and beyond the region will
be measured in generations.”
• (https://planetsave.com/2014/08/28/weather-and-climate/ )
Likely Effects of Global Warming in the Philippines
• Health
- Disease vectors (i.e. mosquitoes) will expand
range
- Displacement due to disasters will be a worsening
health issue
• Water Resources
- Rainfall is decreasing over Luzon and parts of
Mindanao where dams are found
Downstream Effects of the Philippine Changing Climate
- Rainfall is increasing in the Visayas where there are
no major dams
- Sea level rise may cause salinity intrusion, Laguna
Lake at risk
• Marine Resources
- Warmer temperatures can kill coral (as in 1998)
- Higher CO in atmosphere can disrupt carbonate
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chemistry, make shell and bone formation difficult
WEATHER AND CLIMATE
• Difference between weather and climate is a measure of time.
• Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short
period of time.
• Climate is how the atmosphere “behaves” over relatively long
periods of time.
• In popular usage, climate represents the synthesis of weather,
more formally, it is the weather of a locality averaged over some
period (usually 30 years) plus statistics of weather extremes.
Source: (Article of NASA entitled “What’s the Difference between Weather and
Climate.”)
Weather and Climate
• Climate is defined as
statistical weather
information that describes
the variation of weather at a
given place for a specified
interval.
• Weather is the day-to-day
state of the atmosphere,
and its short-term (minutes
to weeks) variation.
Comparison of Climate and Weather
CLIMATE WEATHER
Definition Describes the average conditions Describes the atmospheric
expected at a specific place at a conditions at a specific place at a
given time. A region’s climate specific point in time. Weather
is generated by the climate system, generally refers to day-to-day
which has five components: temperature and
atmosphere, hydrosphere, precipitation activity.
cryosphere, land surface, and
biosphere
Source:www.diffen.com/difference/Climate_vs_Weather
Climate Change Impacts in the Philippines
Climate change impacts in the Philippines may include the
following:
sea level rise and flooding
frequency of occurrence of rainfall-induced landslides
potential decline of agriculture and fisheries production
water shortage
reduced income and increasing hunger and poverty
incidence
human health threats (Espaldon, et al. (n.d.) .
Climate impacts on agriculture
weather-based insurance
research agenda on resilient marine sector may form part
of long-term planning for this subsector (Espaldon et al.
(n.d.).
Adaptation Techniques in Agriculture
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Adaptation strategies for the Philippines
Potential climate adaptive strategies that may help farmers improve
their resilience to climate change:
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Climate Field School (CFS) at Dumangas, Iloilo
• Dumangas is the 1st in the Philippines and 2nd in Asia to
adopt Climate Field School Program.
• CFS Program started in 2007 as local government’s initial
step to respond to concerns of farmers and fisher folk and
to help them adjust to adverse impacts of climate change.
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What are Bioindicators
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POTENTIAL BENEFITS OF BIOINDICATORS
• According to Zommers (2014), bioindicators for climate-
related hazards have several potential benefits for early
warning systems:
First, they are socially relevant.
- They can be used to encourage stakeholder
participation in early warning system
development and maintenance.
Second, hazard bioindicators are potentially
practical and methodologically relevant.
- They are far less expensive than infrastructure or
technology used in current warning systems.
- They can be easy to monitor and an inexpensive
way to collect data, especially if local
communities are involved.
List of Documented Climate Bioindicators, Observation &
Forecast
Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
(37) Flapping of the ear by - Flapping of the - Sign that
goats is a sign that rain ear by goats rain may
may likely to fall since likely to fall
increasing humidity
causes uneasiness and
sweating of goats,
hence, trigger the
flapping of their ears
(38) Big earthworms - Big earthworms - Indicate
(“adudulis”) coming out (“adudulis”) rain
of soil indicate rains coming out of
soil
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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Climate Bioindicator Observation Forecast
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All of these occur due to the air pressure:
• Just before a rain, ants will build their nests up very high on the sides.
• Ants tend to scatter when weather is fair and they travel in straight lines
when it is going to rain.
• Ants building nests on top of fence posts or tree stumps means rain.
• Ants close their holes before rain and open them in dry weather.
• Swarms of flying ants are seen before rain.
• Ants also stay near the opening of their anthill if a rain storm is coming.
• Sometimes ants will even cover up the hole on their mound. They will
also build the sides of their ant hills very steep right before the rain.
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Ants climbing the wall
https://www.google.com/search?q=ants+climbing+walls&client=firefox-b&tbm=isch&source=iu&ictx=1&fir=QOwyW762xa0IrM
%253A%252Cuqw1mN5Ut6nnyM
%252C_&usg=AI4_kSbYIPM3Z9ndtxR8aA15IAZVaDF0w&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjgz4aS0tLdAhVZPHAKHdhbADYQ9QEwFXoEC
AEQCA#imgrc=QOwyW762xa0IrM:
Ants building nests on top of fence posts or tree stumps means rain.
Climate Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
(2) Big earthworms Mueller (n.d.) Earthworms lose moisture through their
(“adudulis”) skin, the soil in which they live must
coming out of soil be moist, but not overly so. Worms move
indicates hot to the surface after heavy rains that
weather saturate the soil to keep from suffocating.
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Climate Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
(3) Wind blowing Gupta (1993) as cited by South wind blows in advance of
from the south Ravi Shankar et al. (2008). a cold front and also blows over
(“habagat”) the east quadrant of an
indicates rains approaching low pressure cell.
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Climate Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
(4) Frogs croaking in Haake and Frogs may sing louder and longer when
a water body in the English (2013) rain is coming. This might be because,
afternoon until since they need water to stay alive, they
sunset indicate that are highly sensitive to humidity. Before
rain will be coming a rainstorm, frogs sense the higher humidity
soon and become more active and begin to sing
more.
Frogs croaking Article Affirmed that frogs often “sing” when rain
in a water body “Weather draws near or humidity rises. “The louder
in the afternoon Lore” the frogs croak, the more rain.” Moisture and
until sunset humidity in the air can cause a large number
indicates that rain of frogs to croak, as the moisture in the air
will be coming soon allows them to stay out of the water for longer.
Frogs croaking Article “If the Frog Frogs croak more when rain is on the
in a water body Croaks” by Jim way.
in the afternoon Anderson,
until sunset Superintendent of Before barometers, Germanic
indicates that rain Lost Spur Country country folk kept green tree frogs in
will be coming soon Club jars and aquariums as living
barometers. If the frog kept mostly
out of the water, that indicated fair
weather. If it retreated into the water
and croaked, rain was due.
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Climate Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
Frogs croaking in a Article “Why Real reason for this very common croaking
water body in the Do Frogs activity lies in the ritual of mating calls by the
afternoon until Croak” male frogs and it is also a method to mark
sunset indicates that their territory and repel other male frogs who
rain will be coming "mistakenly try to mate with them."
soon
Distinctive loud croaking sounds is done
solely by male frogs who are singing tunes
calling for the attention of ready-to-mate lady
frogs, and some excited lady frogs may emit
reciprocal not-as-loud croaks as well.
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Frogs also let us know when rain is on the
horizon because their calls become
louder, and more frogs are singing their
hearts out. This is due to the frantic need
for the males to attract a female so they
can mate and lay their eggs in the nearest
body of water. The life cycle of all frogs
and amphibians is inherently tied to a
source of freshwater. Thus, more rain
increases the amount of vernal pools and
temporary ponds for their tadpoles to
develop (Respect the Frog Blog Series: How Frogs
Predict the Weather by Nikki Grandnetti, n.d.).
https://adventureaquarium.wordpress.com/2014/02/01/respect-the-frog-blog-
series-can-frogs-predict-the-weather/.
Climate
Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
(5) Hens Article “Do In a flock of all females, there will be one rises to the
crowing female top of hierarchy, normally called the alpha female.
(instead of chickens crow” Hen adopts position a rooster would normally hold
roosters) and most of behaviors, watches others, keeps them
indicates rain in check and it crows, has a name, appropriately
called "hen crowing." It does not sound like a cock-
a-doodle-doo crow normally associated with a cock,
but it is both loud and annoying.
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Can a hen turn into a rooster?
If your hen has had some damage to her reproductive system (such
as an infection in her ovaries), she might begin to look like a rooster
on the outside---and act like one---due to a hormone imbalance! Such
a hen wouldn't lay eggs, and may even begin to crow. At her molt,
she may grow in the same plumage roosters have in her breed. If her
infection or condition then cleared up, she might begin laying anew,
stop crowing... and at her next molt she would grow in henny feathers
again.
There was a famous case in 1474 when this apparent "sex switching"
occurred with a chicken. It was the case of the Rooster of Basel and
she was solemnly burned at the stake for "the heinous and unnatural
crime of laying an egg." What caused this "rooster" to lay eggs was not
a sex change, though. It's likely that the poor hen simply had a hormone
imbalance or an infection which in her ovaries which cleared up, so
she began laying again, while she was still feathered as a rooster. For
this heretical outrage, the poor girl was taken to court by the clergy,
found guilty and burned as a witch. Afterwards, the executioner is said
to have cut her open and removed three more eggs from her body.
(https://www.mypetchicken.com/backyard-chickens/chicken-help/Can-a-hen-
can-turn-into-a-rooster-H234.aspx, Accessed Sept. 24, 2018.) Don't hate me because I'm
beautiful!
Climate Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
(6) Birds flying Rautela and Flocks of birds flying high in the sky is
below their Karki (2015) considered to indicate fair weather. If
normal flight birds fly below their normal flight
height indicates height this is considered to indicate rain
rain or bad or bad weather. Fall in air pressure due
weather to bad weather condition causes
discomfort in birds’ ears and in order to
alleviate it they fly at lower elevations.
Increase in humidity at times of bad or
wet weather, draws insects to the
surface and this is another reason for
insect-seeking birds to fly low.
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Climate Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
Birds flying below Acharya (2011) When birds move at heights above
their normal flight 0.5 kilometers they sense upper air
height indicates winds and chirp. Usually, rain bearing
rain or bad weather clouds occur at heights between 0.5
and 2.5 kilometers. Because of
sensible response of these birds to
winds, farmers predict rain.
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Watch for low-flying or roosting birds.
If the birds are flying high in the sky, then there will
likely be fair weather. If you’re near the sea, look
for seagulls perched on the beach, which could
indicate that a storm is coming. Watch for large
groups of roosting birds. Birds also become quiet
before a storm. Singing and chirping birds could
indicate good weather.
Source: How to Predict a Weather Without a Forecast.
https://www.wikihow.com/Predict-the-Weather-Without-a-Forecast
Climate Source Rationale/Explanation
Bioindicator
(7) Large number According to Sudden appearance of termites during humid
of winged the article weather should not be misinterpreted as home
termites “ALATES invasion. They have arrived because lights
(“raga-raga”) (Reproductive attracted them, and no amount of spraying will
attracted to Winged prevent recurrence when conditions are right.
lights indicates Termites)” Should you come across alates, it is an indication
rain that there may be a termite colony within the vicinity
of your home.
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Climate
Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
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Climate Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
(8) Sound of crickets Article Many people use crickets to tell the
calling or chirping “Weather temperature. Crickets are known as
throughout the Lore” “poor man's thermometer.” They can tell
night indicates the temperature. The frequency of chirping
change in weather of crickets varies according to temperature.
“Crickets chirp faster when it is warm
and slower when it is cold.”
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Climate Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
Sound of crickets Weather lore The cricket’s chirp is related to
calling or chirping “Crickets sing temperature.
throughout the louder than usual
night indicates just before rain” As the temperature
change in weather rises, it becomes easier to reach
Article a certain activation energy,
“Sonorous thereby allowing chemical
Science: Have a reactions, such as the ones that
Cricket Tell You allow a cricket to chirp, to occur
the more rapidly.
Temperature!”
Conversely, as the temperature falls,
the reaction rates slow, causing the
chirping to diminish along with it.
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Climate Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
(9) Big volume of Eric Sonstroem Formation of dew is linked to the amount of
morning dew in (2008) posted an cloudiness in the sky at night. On a clear
the grasses is article “Is Dew in night the ground cools, radiating its heat
considered to the Morning a away into space. When the ground gets
indicate hot Good Way to cool enough, dew forms, like beads of
Predict the
weather condensation on a can of cold soda.
Weather?”
If the sky is cloudy at night, the Earth’s
surface does not cool as much. Some of
the heat radiates into space, but much of it
bounces off the cloud layer and goes back
into the ground. If there are lots of clouds,
the ground will not get cool enough to form
dew.
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Climate Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
Big volume of Sandi Duncan (2010) If dew has time to form on the ground
morning dew in in the article, overnight, it means the night was
the grasses is “5 Ways to Predict the clear without any clouds.
considered to Weather,” states this
indicate hot way: Clear skies allow the earth to cool,
“When the dew is on
weather and water to condense in the form of
the grass
Rain will never come dew (or frost at cooler times of the
to pass year).
When grass is dry at
morning light, If the night is cloudy, the clouds act
Look for rain before as a heat barrier keeping the heat
the night.” in and not allowing dew to form.
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Climate Source Rationale/Explanation
Bioindicator
Big volume of Meteorologist Jeff Haby Once the temperature drops to the dew
morning dew (n.d.) point, any further cooling will produce
in the dew. This situation is most likely to occur
grasses is Jeff Haby’s article on a clear night.
considered to entitled “When Dew is
on the Grass”
indicate hot On a clear night the earth is able to emit
Weather Lore:
weather “When dew is on the radiation into space and, thus, cool
grass, rain will never much more effectively as compared
come to pass.” to a cloudy night.
(10) Red sky in Article A red sunrise can mean that a high pressure
the morning “Everyday system (good weather) has already passed,
indicates rains Mysteries” thus, indicating that a storm system (low
pressure) may be moving to the east. A
morning sky that is as deep, fiery red can
indicate that there is high water content in
the atmosphere. So, rain could be on its way.
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Climate
Bioindicator Source Rationale/Explanation
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What People Say About
Bioindicators
as Early Warning Signals
FGD Results
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FGD Results
Observed changes in communities and impacts
brought about by use of climate bioindicators as
early warning signs:
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KEY INFORMANTS' INTERVIEWS (KII)
1. How accurate are the climate bioindicators
as early warning signs?
Responses of key informants:
· One key informant said that based on his interviews with farmers
during CFS class, it is more or less 85% to 90% accurate. No
specific day when to happen but anytime within the week, it will
happen.
· Crop diversification;
· Change of cropping calendar;
· Income diversification ( they look for alternative source
of livelihood); and,
· Mangrove reforestation as bio-shield.
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KEY INFORMANTS' INTERVIEW (KII)
4. What are the various community-based techniques
used in weather forecasting?
Responses:
· Key informant said that farmers use improvised rain gauges made
of empty plastic bottle (one gallon capacity), 6-liter mineral water
bottle and 50 ml mineral water bottle as measuring tube.
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·
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Key informant’s interview with the President of the fisher folk organization in Dacutan,
Dumangas.
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KEY INFORMANTS' INTERVIEW (KII)
·
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·
KEY INFORMANTS' INTERVIEW (KII)
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T
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• According to Zommers (2014), bioindicators for climate-
related hazards have several potential benefits for early
warning systems: (1) they are socially relevant; and,
(2) hazard bioindicators are potentially practical and
methodologically relevant.
• Indigenous knowledge on rainfall forecasting can form an
important part of the scientific forecasts. Understanding
of local communities’ perception to predict rainfall
variability can add value to the scientific weather forecasts.
(Roncoli and others (2001) as cited by Rautela and Karki
(2015)
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Recommendations
1. Use of all available modes of communication for
widespread dissemination of this CTK on climate
bioindicators.
2. Employment of quadmedia to increase knowledge level
of farmers and fisher folk.
3. Replication of the study in upland areas.
4. Use of collegial message framing in communicating
these climate bioindicators among farming and
fishing communities.
Recommendations
5. Use of all available channels of communication.
6. More research studies on climate bioindicators.
7. Integration of bioindicators with modern techniques
of weather forecasting.
8. Climate Field School for adoption of other municipalities.
My sincerest thanks
to the Zarraga National High School for giving me this
wonderful opportunity to share my study with the
students and other participants. I hope you will
also share this collective tacit knowledge on
climate bioindicators with your respective
communities for widespread
dissemination.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
My profound thanks to the following:
ANY QUESTIONS?
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