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Chapter 22

Charles P. Jones and Gerald R. Jensen,


Investments: Analysis and Management,
13th Edition, John Wiley & Sons

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Measuring Portfolio Performance
 “Bottom line” issue in investing
 Important for investors who manage their
own money or have others manage it
 Performance must be evaluated before
intelligent decisions can be made about
portfolios
 Ratings reflect only past performance, not
future performance

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 Three key questions
1. Was the return, after expenses,
satisfactory?

2. How much risk did investor/manager take?


 Evaluate performance on a risk-adjusted basis

3. What should have been earned? That is the


proper benchmark.
 Relative comparisons necessary

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 Change in investor’s total wealth over an
evaluation period
(VE - VB) / VB
VE =ending portfolio value
VB =beginning portfolio value
 Assumes no funds added or withdrawn
during evaluation period
◦ Timing of cash flows is important

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 Money-weighted returns
◦ Equivalent to internal rate of return (IRR)
◦ Measures actual return considering
contributions and withdrawals
◦ Equates initial value with PV of cash flows and
ending value
◦ Cash flow effects make comparisons to
indexes or other portfolios inappropriate

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 Time-weighted returns
◦ Unaffected by portfolio additions/withdrawals
◦ Measures actual rate of return earned by
manager
 Money-weighted vs. Time-weighted returns
◦ Can produce different results
◦ MWR captures rate of return to owner
◦ TWR captures rate of return earned by
portfolio manager

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 Risk differences cause portfolios to respond
differently to market changes
 Total risk measured by the standard
deviation of portfolio returns
 Nondiversifiable risk measured by a
security’s beta
 Coefficient of determination (R2) denotes
degree of diversification

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Performance Benchmarks & Universes
 Good universes/benchmarks are:
◦ Unambiguous
◦ Specified in advance
◦ Appropriate
◦ Investable
◦ Measurable
 It can be difficult to find benchmarks that
meet these criteria

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Performance Benchmarks & Universes
 Universes
◦ Constructed by aggregating market valuations and
income accruals for a large number of portfolios
◦ Generally not investable or specified in advance
◦ Subject to survivorship bias
 Benchmarks
◦ Unmanaged portfolios that reflect investment style
◦ Unambiguous, measurable, investable
◦ May not truly capture manager’s style

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Performance Evaluation

 Straightforward method
◦ Compare each asset class to relevant
benchmark
◦ Calculate weighted average return
◦ Compare return to your portfolio
◦ Money-weighted return will measure
portfolio’s return to owner

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 Sharpe (reward-to-variability) ratio

◦ Based on the ex post capital market line


◦ Equals excess return divided by risk
◦ Higher the ratio → better the performance
◦ Provides a ranking measure for portfolios
 The Treynor ratio
◦ Replaces standard deviation with beta

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 The estimated a coefficient in
Rpt - RFt =ap +bp [RMt - RFt] +ept
is a means to identify superior or inferior portfolio
performance
◦ CAPM implies a is zero
◦ Measures contribution of portfolio manager

 If a >0 (<0,=0), risk-adjusted performance


superior (inferior, equal) to market
◦ Statistical significance rarely achieved

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M2
 Allows returns between portfolios to be
compared
 Measured in percentage terms, easy to
understand
 Equates the volatility of portfolio to market
◦ The resulting measure, M2, is directly
comparable to market return

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Performance Measures Compared

 If portfolio is completely diversified, Sharpe,


Treynor, M2, Jensen agree on ranking
 Sharpe ratio evaluates performance on basis
of both return and diversification
 M2 produces percentage return
 Jensen’s measure must be adjusted to rank
portfolios

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 Information Ratio (IR): relates performance
to a designated benchmark

 Where,
◦ Mean active return often referenced as “alpha”
◦ Standard deviation of active return often
referenced as “tracking risk”
 Sortino ratio (SR) focuses on “excess”
return relative to downside risk

 RMAR = minimum acceptable return


 DDMAR = downside deviation

 Useful measure when return distributions


are not symmetric
Style Analysis
 Seeks to identify portfolio’s investing style
in terms of types of securities targeted
 Two approaches to identify portfolio style
1. Holdings-based: uses the characteristics of
the portfolio’s current holdings
2. Returns-based: compares portfolio’s
returns to returns of market indexes
 Many mutual funds inconsistent in style

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Components: Measurement, Attribution, and
Appraisal
 Measurement – measure the performance
(risk and return) of the portfolio
 Attribution – attribute performance to
manager’s selection or allocation abilities
 Appraisal – assess the manager’s
performance
Performance Attribution

 Decomposes total performance into specific


components
 Typically top-down approach
 Identify benchmark (bogey) to compare to
portfolio
◦ Bogey designed to measure passive results
◦ Difference between portfolio’s results and
bogey must be result of managers’ decisions

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Performance Presentation
 Minimum standards developed to reduce
performance misrepresentations
◦ Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS)
require:
 Uniformity in calculations and disclosures
 Inclusion of all fee-paying discretionary portfolios
in composites with similar objectives
 Compliance history for at least five years
 Effective evaluation requires long-term results,
fair measures

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Copyright 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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use of the information herein.

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