Balance of Payments • The current account represents a summary of the flow of funds between one specified country and • The balance of payments is all other countries due to purchases a summary of transactions of goods or services, or the provision between domestic and of income on financial assets. foreign residents for a specific country over a • The capital account represents a specified period of time, summary of the flow of funds usually a quarter or a year. resulting from the sale of assets A balance-of-payments is between one specified country and broken down into current all other countries over a specified account and the capital period of time account. Current Account • Factor Income Payments • It represents income (interest and • Current account main components dividend payments) received by • (1) Merchandise (Goods) And Services, investors on foreign investments in • (2) Factor Income, And financial assets (securities). • (3) Transfers. • Transfer Payments • Payments for Merchandise and Services • A third component of the current • IT represent exports and imports account is transfer payments, which tangible products, services for customers based in other countries. represent aid, grants, and gifts from The difference between total exports and imports is referred to as the one country to another. balance of trade may be in deficit or in surplus. Capital and Financial • Direct Foreign Investment. Accounts • Direct foreign investment represents the investment in fixed assets in foreign countries. Examples a firm’s acquisition, • The capital account includes construction of a new manufacturing the value of financial assets plant etc transferred across country. It also includes the value of • Portfolio Investment. nonproduced nonfinancial • Portfolio investment represents assets that are transferred across country borders, such transactions involving long-term financial as patents and trademarks. assets (such as stocks and bonds) between countries • The key components of the financial account are • Other Capital Investment. (1) direct foreign investment, • It represents transactions involving short (2) portfolio investment, and (3) other capital investment. term financial assets (such as money market securities) between countries. • International Trade Issues • Events That Increased International Trade 1. Removal of the Berlin Wall. In 1989, Between East Germany & West Germany. 2. Single European Act. In 1980s, Europe agreed to make uniform regulations and to remove many taxes on goods traded between these countries. Example, Best Foods (now part of Unilever) 3. NAFTA. North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) 1993, trade barriers between the United States and Mexico were eliminated. 4. GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) accord. It called for the reduction or elimination of trade restrictions on specified imported goods over a 10-year period across 117 countries. Events That Increased International Trade 5. Inception of the Euro. In 1999, several European countries adopted the euro as their currency for business transactions between these countries. 6. Expansion of the European Union. In 2004, 10 countries were admitted to the EU, followed by Bulgaria and Romania in 2007. Nevertheless, their admission into the EU is relevant because restrictions on their trade with Western Europe are reduced. • Factors Affecting International Trade Trade Friction • Inflation • National income • Trade Friction It means trade restrictions on particular • Government policies products in order to protect their • Exchange rates local firms. Each country’s government wants to increase its exports because more exports 1. Inflation: If a country’s inflation rate result in a higher level of increases relative to the countries with production and income and may create jobs. Following situations which it trades, its current account will be that commonly occur in trade expected to decrease. Consumers and friction: corporations in that country will most likely 1. Environmental restrictions (U.S) purchase more goods overseas (due to high 2. Child & labor laws (India, Pakistan) local inflation), while the country’s exports 3. Bribes (Nigeria) to other countries will decline. 4. Government Subisidies 5. Tax breaks Factors Affecting International Trade 4. Exchange Rates: 2. National income: Exchange rates used for currency valuation to facilitate international trade. As the currency If a country’s income level strengthens, goods exported by that country (national income) increases, will become more expensive to the importing its current account is countries. As a consequence, the demand for expected to decrease. such goods will decrease. 3. Government policies: Example: A tennis racket that sells in the United Policies having major States for $100 will require a payment of C$125 effect on balance of trade by the Canadian importer if the Canadian dollar • Subsidizing exporters, is valued at C$1 $.80. If C$1 $.70, it would • Restrictions on imports, require a payment of C$143, which might through tariff & quota. discourage the Canadian demand for U.S. tennis • Lack of enforcement on rackets. A strong local currency is expected to piracy (CDs of windows etc) reduce the current account balance International Capital Factors Affecting DFI Flows • Changes in Restrictions. Penetration of U.S.-based Common type of international capital flow is MNCs, Colgate-Palmolive, General Electric, etc in India, direct foreign investment which helps MNCs China due to removal of government barriers. to reach additional consumers or can rely on • Privatization. Several national governments have low-cost labor. In 2006, the total FDI all over recently engaged in privatization, or the selling of some the world was about $1.2 trillion. of their operations to corporations and other investors. • Potential Economic Growth. Countries that have greater potential for economic growth are more likely to attract DFI. • Tax Rates. Countries that impose relatively low tax rates on corporate earnings are more likely to attract DFI. • Exchange Rates. Firms typically prefer to pursue DFI in countries where the local currency is expected to strengthen against their own currently relatively cheap (weak). Then, earnings from the new operations can periodically be converted back to the firm’s currency at a more favorable exchange rate. Factors Affecting Agencies That Facilitate International Flows International • International Monetary Fund International Monetary Portfolio Investment Fund (IMF) was formed in July 1944. The major objectives of the IMF are to promote cooperation Portfolio investment to a specific country is among countries on international monetary issues, influenced by the following factors. promote stability in exchange rates, provide temporary Tax Rates on Interest or Dividends. funds to 185 member countries when needed to Investors normally prefer to invest in a correct imbalances of international payments, promote country where the taxes on interest or free trade. dividend income from investments are relatively low. Interest Rates. Money tends to flow to • World Bank The International Bank for Reconstruction countries with high interest rates, as long and Development (IBRD), also referred to as the World as the local currencies are not expected to Bank, was established in 1944. Its primary objective is weaken. to make loans to countries to enhance economic Exchange Rates. When investors invest in a development. Its main source of funds is the sale of security in a foreign country, their return is bonds and other debt instruments to private investors affected by (1) the change in the value of and governments. Its loans are not subsidized but are the security and (2) the change in the value extended at market rates to governments (and their of the currency in which the security is agencies) that are likely to repay them. denominated. Agencies That Facilitate • International Development Association The International Development Association (IDA) was International Flows created in 1960. Its loan policy is for less prosperous nations. The IDA extends loans at low interest rates to poor nations that cannot qualify for loans from the • World Trade Organization The World Bank. World Trade Organization (WTO) was created in 1993. This organization was established to • Bank for International Settlements The Bank for provide a forum for multilateral International Settlements (BIS) or central bank (“lender trade negotiations and to settle of last resort”) attempts to facilitate cooperation trade disputes related to the GATT among countries with regard to international accord between 81 member transactions or assist to countries in financial crisis countries, and more countries have specially in Latin American and Eastern European joined since then. Member countries. countries are given voting rights that are used to make judgments about trade disputes and other • Regional Development Agencies Several other agencies issues. have more regional objectives relating to economic development. These include, for example, the Inter- American Development Bank, the Asian Development Bank, South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) etc. How International Trade Affects an MNC’s Value
• Higher inflation Rate
• Higher National Income
• Country trade agreements
• Tariffs or other trade barriers Thank You • Strong or Weak Home Currency