Professional Documents
Culture Documents
June 2005
Brussels
1
Part 1
2
CAI-Asia Goals
Review of Status of
AQM in Asia
Know more
5
Drivers: Urbanization
1400.0
1200.0
Population millions
East Asia
1000.0
Southeast
Asia
800.0
South Asia
600.0
400.0
200.0
0.0
1980 1990 2000 2002
600
500
400
300
100
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Vehicle growth
scenario China 8
Source: Dongquan He, Energy Foundation 2004 Source: ADB 2002. Policy Guidelines to Reduce Vehicle Emissions
Drivers: Increase in 2 & 3 wheelers in Asia
10,000,000 40,000,000
Korea, Republic of
20,000,000
Malaysia
15,000,000
Pakistan 2&3 wheelers
6,000,000 Sri Lanka 2&3 wheelers 10,000,000
Motorcycles 7.9%
and Mopeds
0
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Asia
9
84.4%
Source: CAI-Asia, 2004
Source: Honda Facts & Figures
Drivers: Energy consumption
2003 World Energy Consumption Share
(10.5 billion toe)
Know more
China
100,000
India growth
80,000 1990-2001 = 3.0%/a
Exchange Rates)
350
300
250
concentration in µg/m3
200
150
100
50
0
k g n bo ka oi h ng ta du at
a ila ba
i hi ou
l
ha
i
or
e a a o
ko ijin sa ha an in r
an an el ay in ky
g
Be
u om M Ko ka lk m D S e
an
g ap b h
To
n B l D H i g Ja m o M u
ng ra i,C
Ba C
o C
h
on th K M ew Sh Si Su ipe
H
o H Ka N
Ta
SPM Guidelines = 60-90 µg/m3 (WHO, 1979) SPM SO2 Guideline = 50 µg/m3 (WHO, 1999) SO2
PM10 NO2
PM10 Limit = 50 µg/m3 (USEPA, 1997) NO2 Guideline = 40 µg/m3 (WHO, 1999) 12
Source: CAI-Asia, 2004
State: 2000–2003 compared with 1990–
1999 Air Quality Data
SO2 NO2 SPM PM10 • Most of the cities have
been able to reduce
Bangkok ≥ > < < levels of SO2 to ‘safe’
Beijing < ? ? < levels with the
exception of Beijing and
Busan < > ? ≥ Hanoi
Colombo > < ? ≤
• NO2 levels gradually
Hong Kong > < < < increasing levels and
Kolkata < > < < just above the WHO
guidelines
Manila ? ? < ?
• Almost all cities have
Mumbai < < < < been able to reduce
New Delhi < < < < levels of SPM and PM10
compared to the ’90s
Seoul < > < <
level, however levels
Shanghai < < < ? continue to remain
Taipei,China < < ? > above the guidelines
except those of the
Tokyo < ≤ ? < more developed cities
Notes: ≥ - about 5% increase Source: CAI-Asia Research, 2004
≤ - about 5%decrease
? – data not available 13
State: Trend of Aggregated Annual Averages of SO2
for selected Asian Cities (1993 – 2003)
Trends of Aggregated Annual Averages of SO for selected Asian Cities (1993 - 2003) 2
140
Busan Busan Busan Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok
Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Beijing Beijing Beijing Beijing Beijing Beijing Beijing Beijing
Kolkata Kolkata Kolkata Busan Busan Busan Busan Busan Busan Busan Colombo
Mumbai Mumbai Mumbai Hong Kong Colombo Colombo Colombo Colombo Colombo Colombo Dhaka
120 New Delhi New Delhi New Delhi Kolkata Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Ho Chi Minh Hanoi Dhaka Ho Chi Minh
Seoul Seoul Seoul Mumbai Kolkata Kolkata Kolkata Hong Kong Ho Chi Minh Hanoi Hong Kong
Shanghai Shanghai Shanghai New Delhi Mumbai Mumbai Mumbai Kolkata Hong Kong Ho Chi Minh Kolkata
Singapore Singapore Singapore Seoul New Delhi New Delhi New Delhi Mumbai Kolkata Hong Kong Seoul
Taipei,China Taipei,China Taipei,China Shanghai Seoul Seoul Seoul New Delhi Mumbai Kolkata Shanghai
Tokyo Tokyo Tokyo Singapore Shanghai Shanghai Shanghai Seoul New Delhi Mumbai Singapore
100 Taipei,China Singapore Singapore Singapore Shanghai Seoul New Delhi Surabaya
Tokyo Taipei,China Taipei,China Taipei,China Singapore Shanghai Seoul Taipei,China
Tokyo Tokyo Tokyo Taipei,China Singapore Shanghai Tokyo
3
Taipei,China Surabaya
80 Tokyo Taipei,China
Tokyo
60
40
20
0
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
3
SO2 Guideline = 50 µg/m (WHO, 1999)
600 Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok
Busan Busan Busan Busan Busan Busan Busan Busan Hanoi Hanoi Hong Kong
Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Hanoi Hong Kong Hong Kong Kolkata
550 Kolkata Kolkata Kolkata Kolkata Kolkata Kolkata Kolkata Hong Kong Jakarta Kolkata Manila
Manila Manila Manila Manila Manila Manila Manila Jakarta Kolkata Manila Mumbai
Mumbai Mumbai Mumbai Mumbai Mumbai Mumbai Mumbai Kolkata Manila Mumbai New Delhi
500 New Delhi New Delhi New Delhi New Delhi New Delhi New Delhi New Delhi Manila Mumbai New Delhi Shanghai
Seoul Seoul Seoul Seoul Seoul Seoul Seoul Mumbai New Delhi Shanghai
Shanghai Shanghai Shanghai Shanghai Shanghai Shanghai Shanghai New Delhi Seoul
450 Seoul Shanghai
Shanghai
400
concentrations in µg/m 3
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
100
50
0
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
PM10 Limit = 50 µg/m3 (USEPA, 1997)
Notes: Source: CAI-Asia, 2004
• The graph shows the aggregated average of the annual averages of major criteria pollutants; The range of data is shown by the vertical
lines for each year, the maximum and minimum values are marked by horizontal lines on the top and bottom most part of the line.
• The quality for each data point varies corresponding to the number of cities where data is present
16
State: Trend of Aggregated Annual Averages of NO2
for selected Asian
Trends ofCities
Aggregated(1993 – 2003)
Annual Averages of NO for selected Asian Cities (1993 - 2003) 2
80
Busan Busan Busan Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok
Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Busan Busan Busan Busan Busan Busan Busan Colombo
Seoul Seoul Seoul Hong Kong Hong Kong Colombo Colombo Colombo Colombo Colombo Dhaka
Singapore Singapore Singapore Seoul Seoul Hong Kong Hong Kong Hanoi Hanoi Dhaka Hong Kong
70
Taipei,China Taipei,China Taipei,China Singapore Shanghai Seoul Seoul Hong Kong Hong Kong Hanoi Jakarta
Tokyo Tokyo Tokyo Taipei,China Singapore Shanghai Shanghai Jakarta Jakarta Hong Kong Shanghai
Tokyo Taipei,China Singapore Singapore Seoul Seoul Jakarta Singapore
Tokyo Taipei,China Taipei,China Shanghai Shanghai Seoul Surabaya
Tokyo Tokyo Singapore Singapore Shanghai Taipei,China
60 Taipei,China Surabaya Singapore Tokyo
Tokyo Taipei,China Surabaya
Tokyo Taipei,China
Tokyo
50
concentration in µg/m
3
40
30
20
10
0
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
3
NO2 Guideline = 40 µg/m (WHO, 1999)
400
concentrations in µg/m
300
200
100
0
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Note: SPM ambient annual standards = 100 µg/m3
18
PM10 ambient annual standards = 50 µg/m3
State: Ambient versus Roadside
Hong Kong Air Quality (PM10) Trends (1993 – 2003)
100
90
80
70
concentrations in µg/m3
60
50
40
30
20
Ambient PM10
10 Roadside PM10
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Note: PM10 ambient annual standards = 55 µg/m3
19
State: Ambient versus Roadside
Ho Chi Minh City Air Quality (PM10) Trends (2000 – 2003)
140
120
100
concentrations in µg/m3
80
60
40
Roadside PM10
20
Ambient PM10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003
250 250
3
concentrations in µg/m
200 200
150 150
100 100
50 50
0 0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
SPM PM10 NO2 CO O3 SPM PM10 SO2 CO NO2 O3
Source: PCD, 2004 Source: Hong Kong EPB, 2004
350
350
Shanghai (1992 – 2003) New Delhi (1992 – 2003)
300
300
250
c o n c e n tra tio n s in µ g /m
250
3
200
200
150
150
100
100
50
50
0
0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
SPM PM10 SO2 NO 2
SPM RSPM SO2 NOx
Source: Shanghai EMC, 2004
Source: ESMAP, 2004
21
Note: Levels of SPM are all above 350 µg/m3
Impacts: Health Effects
Percent Increase
0.5
0.4 0.46 0.62 0.5
Unsafe 1,730,000 730,000 0.3
Water 0.2
0.1
Urban 799,000 487,000
0
Outdoor Air
US (90 Cities)* Eur (21 Asia (6
Indoor Air 1,619,000 1,025,000 Studies)* Studies)
Exposed to Exposed to
diesel exhaust clean air
Source: NIES, www.nies.go.jp
22
Impacts: Epidemiological studies and
Health Costs
Health Costs per year
• Manila (2001)1 : Chronic bronchitis
(8,439) and excess deaths
associated with PM10 (1,915) costs
US$392M
• Shanghai (2000)2: Chronic bronchitis
(15,188) and premature deaths
(7,261) associated with PM10 costs
US$880M
• Bangkok (2000)3: Chronic bronchitis
(1,092) and excess deaths (4,550)
associated with PM10 costs US$424M
• India (2002)4: estimated annual
health damage of pre-Euro emissions
for the 25 Indian cities were from a
low of US $14 million (Rs.679 crore)
to a high of US $ 191.6 million
• Jakarta (1998)5: estimated health
effects from PM10 only is US$ 100
million
Source:
1 Worldbank (2002) Philippines Environment Monitor 2002
2 Chen et.al. (2002) Integrated Risk Assessment on Human Health &
Ambient Air Pollution – Shanghai
Percent Change in Mean Number of Daily 3 Worldbank (2002) Thailand Environment Monitor 2002
Deaths from all causes per 10 µg/m3 increase in 4 Mashelkar Committee (2002) India Auto Fuel Policy Report
23
5 Worldbank (2003) Indonesia Environment Monitor
24-hr mean level of PM10 Source: HEI, 2004
Response: Benchmarking AQM Capacity
25 scores each
1992 MARC/UNEP/WHO
AQM Indices applied to 84 cities
25
Overall index
Ba
100
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
ng
ko
Be k
ijin
Bu g
Measurement
Co sa n
lo
Ne mb
w o
De
l
Dh hi
ak
a
Ho Ha
C no
h i
Ho i M
ng inh
Ko
Ja ng
Ka ka
th rta
um
ba
Se i
Emission estimates Sh ou
an l
Si g h
ng ai
a
Su p or
ra e
Ta ba
ip y a
ei
Ci
t
To y
Management tools
ky
o
26
Response: AQ Monitoring Capacity in Asia
Source: Benchmarking Study Urban Air Quality Management and Practice in Major and
Mega Cities of Asia – Stage 2 (draft)
27
Response: AQ data analysis in Asia
City
Emissions Inventory • Many cities have initiated
domestic comm'l power indust'l mobile Summary
development of Emission
Bangkok yes
Inventories
Beijing yes
Busan yes BUT
Colombo no • Level of detail/
Delhi limited
disaggregation varies
Dhaka 1998 only
Hanoi limited
greatly
Ho Chi Minh limited • Reliability of activity data
Hong Kong yes on which inventories are
Jakarta yes based and Emission factors
Kathmandu yes used is questionable for
Kolkata limited many of the cities
Manila yes • Inventories in many of the
Mumbai yes
cases were conducted by
Osaka yes
Seoul yes
outside groups: academe
Shanghai yes or consulting firms
Singapore
Surabaya
limited, NDA
yes
CAUTION
Taipei yes
in formulating AQM
Tokyo yes policies based on
Yogyakarta yes, NDA current Emission
Inventories
28
Response: Ambient Air Quality Standards
Country Pollutants Remarks
• Most countries have
Bangladesh TSP, CO, NOx, 1997 standards established for a few pollutants depending on land
and SO2 use category; new standards are pending approval
more lenient
China TSP, PM10, CO, Standards require cities to comply with Class I, II, or III standards.
standards than those
SO2, NO2, Pb Class I standards more stringent than the WHO and USEPA limits prescribed by WHO
Hong Kong TSP, PM10, CO, Standards less stringent than WHO and USEPA limits and USEPA
SO2, NO2, Pb, O3
India TSP, PM10, CO, Established based on different land-use categories i.e. industrial, • Standards for PM10
SO2, NO2, Pb residential and sensitive areas. have been largely
Indonesia TSP, PM10, CO, National and local (Jakarta) standards less stringent that WHO; PM based on USEPA
SO2, NO2, O3, Pb limits less stringent than USEPA
limits
Japan CO, NO2, O3, Comparable and to some extent more stringent than WHO
SO2, TSP guidelines with the exception of CO limits for an 8-hour exposure. • There is a need to
Nepal TSP, PM10, CO, Established only in 2003; standards less stringent than WHO; PM review current PM
SO2, NO2, Pb, limits less stringent than USEPA
C6H6 standards,
Pakistan No legislated ambient air quality standards considering Europe’s
Philippines TSP, PM10, CO, based and comparable to WHO and USEPA (for PM10). Standards
move to 50µg/m3
SO2, NO2, O3, Pb more lenient, selecting the higher/max allowable limits limit for 24-hour
Singapore PM10, CO, SO2, Despite adopting only both WHO guidelines and USEPA limits, averages of PM10
NO2, O3 Singapore PSI reporting is very efficient
Sri-Lanka TSP, CO, SO2, TSP standards twice more lenient than USEPA, No annual standard
• Standards for other
NO2, O3, Pb for SO2, 24-hour limit for SO2, a slightly lenient O3 and NO2 air toxics e.g
compared with USEPA and WHO, respectively benzene should be
Thailand TSP, PM10, CO,
SO2, NO2, O3, Pb
TSP twice more lenient than USEPA; SO2 and CO almost same as legislated
USEPA limit, stringent NO2 compared to WHO
Vietnam TSP, CO, SO2, Hourly limits for NO2 and CO are more lenient than WHO, no PM10
NO2, O3, Pb standards, the rest of the standards are almost same as WHO
29
Response: Institutionalizing Vehicle
Emissions Standards (new light duty vehicles)
Country 95 96 97 98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
European
Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5
Union
Bangladesh Euro 2 (under discussion)
Hong Kong,
Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4
China
a
India Euro 1 Euro 2 E3
b
India E1 Euro 2 Euro 3
Indonesia Euro 2
Malaysia Euro 1 Euro 2 E4
Nepal Euro 1
Philippines Euro 1
a
PRC Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3
c
PRC Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3
e
Singapore Euro 1 Euro 2
g
Singapore Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 4
Sri Lanka Euro 1
Taipei,China US Tier 1 US Tier 2 for dieseld
Thailand Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro4
e
Viet Nam Euro 1 Euro 2 E3
f
Viet Nam Euro 1 Euro 2 E3
a Entire country
b Delhi and other cities; Euro 2 introduced in Mumbai, Kolkata and Chennai in 2001; Euro 2 in Bangalore, Hyderabad, Khampur, Pune and Ahmedabad in 2003, Euro 3 to be introduced in Delhi,
Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, Bangalore, Hyderabad and Ahmedabad in 2005
c Beijing and Shanghai
d Gasoline vehicles under consideration
e for gasoline vehicles
f for diesel vehicles
g for all types of diesel vehicles
* italicized – to be confirmed
Source: CAI-Asia, 2005 30
Response: Institutionalizing Fuel Quality
Standards
Country Current Status Future Directions
Bangladesh Euro 1 under discussion No dialogue or plans to move beyond Euro 1
Cambodia No formal standards, still No roadmap in place
leaded
China Euro 3 - Beijing and Shanghai 11th Five Year Plan laying out road map for Euro 3 and
Euro 2 - Rest of the country Euro 4 for entire country
Hong Kong SAR Euro 4 in place ULSD and Euro 5 (diesel) under consideration for 2007
India Euro 3 for Metro’s and Euro 2 Euro 4 for Metros and Euro 3 for the rest of country
for the rest of the country under discussion
Indonesia Euro 2 (?) Euro 3 gasoline by 2006 & Euro 3 diesel after 2010
Japan Euro 4 Equivalent (S 50ppm) Ultra-low sulfur gasoline and diesel 2007
Korea Ultra-low sulfur gasoline and diesel by 2007?
Malaysia Euro 2 by 2005 Euro 4 by 2009-2010
Nepal Euro 1; still partly leaded No structured discussion on how to move ahead
Philippines Euro 1; 500 ppm sulfur diesel Euro 2 mid 2005. Initial discussions on Euro 4 by 2010.
Singapore Euro 2 in place Euro 4 diesel in 2006, no plans for gasoline
Sri-Lanka Euro 1 in place No roadmap in place
Thailand Euro 3 gasoline and Euro 2 for Euro 4 for 2009 with discussion ongoing on ULSD in
Diesel some locations
Vietnam Euro 3 in 2009 announced and Euro 2 in 2007 and Euro 4 in 2010 under discussion and
31
under discussion tentatively scheduled for July 2005
Part 4
CAI-Asia Programs
32
Phase 2 CAI-Asia: 2005 - 2007
Goals
Results
Website:
http://cleanairnet.org/caiasia
35
Summary of Results – Phase 1
Regional Cooperation
37
Summary of Results – Phase 1
Workshops
38
BAQ 2006
BAQ 2006
Yogyakarta, Indonesia
September 2006 39