Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Panama
September 2016
V. Contact Info 38
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I. Transaction Overview
Panamá
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TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Continua (“Continua” or “the Company”) is an highly experienced developer of renewable energy projects from
early stages with a focus on solar PV worldwide. The management team consists of seasoned industry veterans,
many from multinational engineering firm ABB, with hundreds of solar projects completed.
The Company has prepare a preliminary detailed study for 130 Mw solar projects in the best irradiation location in
Panama. There is 2 lots of projects :
• Lot 1 are :
o CSF CHARCO AZUL ( 20 Mwn, 24 Mwp )
o CSF LLANO SANCHEZ ( 30 Mwn, 36 Mwp )
• Lot 2 are :
o CSF MATA DE NANCE ( 30 Mwn, 36 Mwp )
o CSF SANTIAGO ( 50 Mwn, 60 Mwp )
This is a preliminary study to illustrate the profitability of Solar projects in Panama. In our study we include the
solar resource, the performance of the solar plant and the economical business model.
PV Projects Experience
Italy Marketing, Engineering and Construction Fixed, 1 axis, 2 axis 2010-2011 158.0 24
France Marketing, Engineering and Construction Rooftop and Fixed 2010-2011 2.6 2
Mr. Pablo Martínez Industrial Engineer (Universidad Pontificia of Comillas in Madrid ICAI)
Lafuente
Master in Photovoltaic Solar Energy and Solar Power (UNED)
Director of Engineering Professional with over 10 years of experience in the design and optimization of solar and wind power plants
high efficiency
Mr. Alejandro Vega Degree in Physics, specialty in Industrial Electronics (University of Granada)
Betoret Master in Management and Business Administration (University of Deusto)
Marketing & Sales Director of Global Solar Centre of Competence of ABB (Until 12/30/2014)
Director
Mr. Ricardo López Bachelor of Business and Economics (University of Santiago de Compostela)
Palencia Graduated in RRLL (University of La Coruña). Master in Property Law Services (ISDE)
COO Investment General Manager of Group JPC Viso (Incoga Norte)
Former Deputy GM of Milpo mining Company and SNMPE Manager of Mining Industry
Mr. Rodolfo Zamalloa Mechanical Engineer Rasisky Universitiet Drushva Narodov ( Moscu )
Lopez Oil and combustion engines engineer ( French Petroleum Institute, Paris )
Generation Manager Master management and development ( Academy Stefan Ghergiu of Bucarest )
General energy and electricity manager of Cerro Verde Mine ( till October 2015 )
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MARKET OVERVIEW
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Solar will be the largest sector for energy investment 2015 – 2040, with $3.7 trillion, to reach
14% of the solar electricity generation, even assuming no direct subsidy from 2017.
Some 3.4 Tw of solar will be installed between 2015 and 2040, of which 1.8 Tw will be utility
scale PV and 1.7 Gw mounted on residential and commercial rooftops.
Most countries have or will shortly hit their long-term goals for the technology, as cheap solar
Solar energy outlook exceed expectations. PV is close or even less cost of generation than fossil fuel sources is
attractive to resource planners in countries like China, seeking to diversify their power mix.
Solar market will grow in Caribbean area at least to reach 20% of total generation in 2040.
From the climate change perspective, we expect CO2 emissions to fall only 13% between 2015
and 2040. The challenge will be for developing as well as industrialized nations to balance their
rising renewables deployment with flexible capacity in addition to cheap domestic coal.
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
SOLAR ENERGY
The Sun's energy is vital to life on Earth. Determine the surface temperature of the Earth and provides virtually all the
energy that powers the world's natural systems and cycles.
All renewable energies are derived in one way or another by the sun. The Sun itself has enormous potential to become
the most dominant direct source of all renewable energies. Provides, within three days, as much energy as all known
reserves of fossil fuels underground.
It has been a source of renewable energy for millions of years and is now taking on society, a leadership role in providing
current and future energy.
Coal reserves
Oil reserves
Natural gases reserves
Uranium reserves
Annual eneregy consumed by humankind
SOLAR ENERGY
Every hour, the earth absorbs more Renewable energy is an essential tool for solving problems and
energy from the sun than it can consume energy challenges of today, including part :
the entire world population in one year.
Global warming, associated with the use of fossil fuels.
The huge increase in electricity consumption.
SUN BELT
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MARKET OVERVIEW
PANAMA SUBSTATIONS AND TRANSMISSION
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
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|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
Project : CSF Charco Azul Fix tilted Project : CSF Charco Azul 1 Axis tracker
• Plant Factor : 17.50 % • Plant Factor : 20.65 %
• Solar Irradiation • Solar Irradiation
o Global Horizontal : 1.701 Kwh/m2/year o Global Horizontal : 1.701 Kwh/m2/year
o Global Tilt : 1.713 Kw/m2/year o Global 1 axis tracker : 2.008 Kw/m2/year
o Performance Ratio : 74.59 % o Performance Ratio : 75.08 %
o Equivalent Irr. : 1.278 Kwh/m2/year o Equivalent Irr. : 1.508 Kwh/m2/year
• Construction time : 6 months •
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
Project : CSF Mata de Nance Fix tilted Project : CSF Mata de Nance 1 Axis tracker
• Plant Factor : 17.06 % • Plant Factor : 20.03 %
• Solar Irradiation • Solar Irradiation
o Global Horizontal : 1.645 Kwh/m2/year o Global Horizontal : 1.645 Kwh/m2/year
o Global Tilt : 1.661 Kw/m2/year o Global 1 axis tracker : 1.937 Kw/m2/year
o Performance Ratio : 74.99 % o Performance Ratio : 75.49 %
o Equivalent Irr. : 1.246 Kwh/m2/year o Equivalent Irr. : 1.462 Kwh/m2/year
• Construction time : 6 months •
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
Project : CSF Llano Sanchez Fix tilted Project : CSF Llano Sanchez 1 Axis tracker
• Plant Factor : 17.32 % • Plant Factor : 20.16 %
• Solar Irradiation • Solar Irradiation
o Global Horizontal : 1.667 Kwh/m2/year o Global Horizontal : 1.667 Kwh/m2/year
o Global Tilt : 1.688 Kw/m2/year o Global 1 axis tracker : 1.952 Kw/m2/year
o Performance Ratio : 74.90 % o Performance Ratio : 75.38 %
o Equivalent Irr. : 1.264 Kwh/m2/year o Equivalent Irr. : 1.471 Kwh/m2/year
• Construction time : 6 months •
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
Project : CSF Santiago Fix tilted Project : CSF Santiago 1 Axis tracker
• Plant Factor : 17.36 % • Plant Factor : 20.37 %
• Solar Irradiation • Solar Irradiation
o Global Horizontal : 1.681 Kwh/m2/year o Global Horizontal : 1.681 Kwh/m2/year
o Global Tilt : 1.694 Kw/m2/year o Global 1 axis tracker : 1.973 Kw/m2/year
o Performance Ratio : 74.82 % o Performance Ratio : 75.37 %
o Equivalent Irr. : 1.267 Kwh/m2/year o Equivalent Irr. : 1.487 Kwh/m2/year
• Construction time : 9 months •
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
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OFFTAKE SCENARIOS 50 MW SANTIAGO
COMMON ASSUMPTIONS CSF SANTIAGO
Common Assumptions
Technical
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
Total OPEX ($47.5) - (0.1) (1.2) (1.3) (1.3) (1.4) (1.4) (1.5) (1.5) (1.6) (1.6) (1.7) (1.7) (1.8) (1.8) (1.9) (2.0) (2.0) (2.1) (2.2) (2.3) (2.4) (2.4) (2.5) (2.6) (2.7) (2.6)
EBITDA $156.9 - 0.4 4.87 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.5 7.6 7.8 7.3
Margin 76.8% 79.9% 79.9% 79.6% 79.4% 79.2% 79.0% 78.7% 78.5% 78.3% 78.1% 77.8% 77.6% 77.3% 77.1% 76.9% 76.6% 76.4% 76.1% 75.8% 75.6% 75.3% 75.1% 74.8% 74.5% 74.3% 74.0%
Depreciation ($51.6) - (0.8) (10.3) (10.3) (10.3) (10.3) (9.5) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Amortization ($0.2) - (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Interest Expenses ($15.9) - (0.2) (1.8) (1.7) (1.7) (1.6) (1.4) (1.3) (1.2) (1.1) (1.0) (0.8) (0.7) (0.6) (0.4) (0.2) (0.1) - - - - - - - - - -
Tax Payable ($22.2) - - - - - - (0.0) (0.4) (0.4) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.6) (0.6) (0.6) (0.7) (1.5) (1.6) (1.6) (1.6) (1.7) (1.7) (1.7) (1.8) (1.8) (1.7)
Debt Principal ($38.5) - (0.1) (1.8) (1.9) (2.0) (2.1) (2.2) (2.3) (2.4) (2.5) (2.6) (2.8) (2.9) (3.1) (3.2) (3.4) (3.2) - - - - - - - - - -
UNLEVERED CASH FLOW $72.2 (0.0) (53.7) 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.2 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.9 6.0 5.6
LEVERED CASH FLOW $63.9 (0.0) (16.2) 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.4 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.9 6.0 5.6
Coverage Ratios
EBITDA / Interest 2.64x 2.64x 2.65x 2.84x 3.06x 3.32x 3.64x 4.02x 4.48x 5.07x 5.85x 6.90x 8.43x 10.83x 15.19x 25.54x 74.95x
After Tax Cash Coverage 1.34x 1.34x 1.34x 1.36x 1.39x 1.42x 1.44x 1.37x 1.40x 1.42x 1.44x 1.47x 1.50x 1.52x 1.55x 1.58x 1.73x
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
Blended Power Price ($/MWh) $79.0 $79.2 $81.6 $84.0 $86.5 $89.1 $91.8 $94.6 $97.4 $100.3 $103.3 $106.4 $109.6 $112.9 $116.3 $119.8 $123.4 $127.1 $130.9 $134.8 $138.9 $143.0 $147.3 $151.7 $156.3 $160.6
Blended Power Price (w Carbon Credits) $80.0 $80.2 $82.6 $85.1 $87.7 $90.3 $93.1 $95.9 $98.8 $101.7 $104.8 $108.0 $111.3 $114.6 $118.1 $121.6 $125.3 $129.1 $133.0 $137.0 $141.2 $145.5 $149.9 $154.4 $159.1 $163.5
Total OPEX ($53.6) - (0.1) (1.4) (1.4) (1.5) (1.5) (1.6) (1.6) (1.7) (1.8) (1.8) (1.9) (1.9) (2.0) (2.1) (2.2) (2.2) (2.3) (2.4) (2.5) (2.6) (2.7) (2.7) (2.8) (2.9) (3.0) (2.9)
EBITDA $186.1 - 0.5 5.77 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.5 8.7 8.9 9.1 9.3 8.6
Margin 77.6% 80.7% 80.7% 80.4% 80.2% 80.0% 79.8% 79.6% 79.3% 79.1% 78.9% 78.7% 78.4% 78.2% 78.0% 77.7% 77.5% 77.3% 77.0% 76.8% 76.5% 76.3% 76.0% 75.8% 75.5% 75.2% 75.0%
Depreciation ($60.0) - (1.0) (12.0) (12.0) (12.0) (12.0) (11.0) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Amortization ($0.2) - (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Interest Expenses ($18.4) - (0.2) (2.1) (2.0) (1.9) (1.8) (1.7) (1.5) (1.4) (1.3) (1.1) (1.0) (0.8) (0.7) (0.5) (0.3) (0.1) - - - - - - - - - -
Tax Payable ($26.6) - - - - - - (0.0) (0.5) (0.5) (0.6) (0.6) (0.6) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.8) (0.9) (1.8) (1.9) (1.9) (1.9) (2.0) (2.0) (2.1) (2.1) (2.2) (2.0)
Debt Principal ($44.5) - (0.2) (2.1) (2.2) (2.3) (2.4) (2.5) (2.6) (2.8) (2.9) (3.1) (3.2) (3.4) (3.5) (3.7) (3.9) (3.7) - - - - - - - - - -
UNLEVERED CASH FLOW $87.3 (0.0) (62.0) 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.1 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.7 6.8 7.0 7.1 6.6
LEVERED CASH FLOW $77.8 (0.0) (18.7) 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.6 3.0 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.7 6.8 7.0 7.1 6.6
Coverage Ratios
EBITDA / Interest 2.70x 2.70x 2.72x 2.91x 3.14x 3.41x 3.73x 4.12x 4.60x 5.20x 6.00x 7.08x 8.64x 11.11x 15.59x 26.22x 76.94x
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
After Tax Cash Coverage 1.37x 1.37x 1.38x 1.40x 1.43x 1.46x 1.48x 1.40x 1.42x 1.45x 1.48x 1.50x 1.53x 1.56x 1.58x 1.61x 1.77x
Blended Power Price ($/MWh) $79.0 $79.2 $81.6 $84.0 $86.5 $89.1 $91.8 $94.6 $97.4 $100.3 $103.3 $106.4 $109.6 $112.9 $116.3 $119.8 $123.4 $127.1 $130.9 $134.8 $138.9 $143.0 $147.3 $151.7 $156.3 $160.6
Blended Power Price (w Carbon Credits) $80.0 $80.2 $82.6 $85.1 $87.7 $90.3 $93.1 $95.9 $98.8 $101.7 $104.8 $108.0 $111.3 $114.6 $118.1 $121.6 $125.3 $129.1 $133.0 $137.0 $141.2 $145.5 $149.9 $154.4 $159.1 $163.5
• Pablo Martinez
• pmartinez@continuaenergiaspositivas.com
• Mobile phone : +34 620 83 13 96 - ESPAÑA
• Alejandro Vega
• avega@continuaenergiaspositivas.com
• Mobile phone : +34 609 65 04 08 - ESPAÑA
• Rodolfo Zamalloa
• rzamalloa@continuaenergiaspositivas.com
• Mobile phone : +51 983 538 450 - PERÚ
PIB 46.21$mm
Tasa de Crecimiento Anual Compuesto del PIB en 5 Años 10.00%
Población 3.93m
Total de Inversiones Acumuladas de Energía Limpia, 2009-2014 1.95$mm
Potencia Instalada 2.78GW
Proporción de Renovables 9.00%
Generación Total de Energía Limpia 852.79GWh
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
A la fecha, las políticas de energía limpia de Panamá se han enfocado particularmente en la eólica y la solar, y han incluido
subastas discriminadas por tecnología además de beneficios tributarios para ambas. El país también apoya los proyectos de
pequeña escala a través de una amplia serie de incentivos tributarios.
Durante la primera mitad de 2014, Panamá cubrió su demanda eléctrica principalmente a partir de fuentes termoeléctricas
debido a que una prolongada sequía afectó al país. El 57% de los 4,5TWh generados en la primera mitad del año se
generaron a partir de petróleo, diésel y gas natural; el 34% provino de centrales hidroeléctricas de gran escala; otro 6,6% se
obtuvo a través de pequeñas hidroeléctricas, y el 2% restante se generó a través de plantas de energía limpia. Durante esta
primera mitad del año, también tuvo lugar un incremento significativo la electricidad importada, alcanzando los 176GWh
procedentes del Mercado Eléctrico Regional (MER) debido a la fuerte sequía que el país enfrentó. La generación
hidroeléctrica repuntó más adelante en el año pero generó una alerta respecto de la necesidad de diversificar las fuentes de
generación eléctrica.
La estatal Empresa de Transmisión Eléctrica (ETESA) es la única empresa de transmisión en Panamá y también la que se
ocupa de llevar a cabo las licitaciones para adquirir electricidad. Siguiendo el ejemplo de otros países de América Latina,
Panamá ha adoptado el sistema de subastas para la contratación de nueva capacidad renovable. El ente regulador
Autoridad Nacional de los Servicios Públicos (ASEP) establece lineamientos para las licitaciones y ETESA lleva adelante las
subastas. Panamá tuvo su primera subasta de energía eólica en 2011, otorgando contratos a proyectos por 158MW. El país
llevo a cabo una segunda subasta de energía eólica en 2013 que otorgó un total de capacidad de 125MW que se prevé
entren en funcionamiento para 2019.
El sector eólico también recibe incentivos exclusivos tales como una depreciación acelerada para el equipo relevante y una
exención tributaria a 15 años para empresas basadas en Panamá que fabriquen equipos eólicos. En 2014, Panamá convocó
su primera licitación para contratos de energía solar, otorgando cinco proyectos que sumaban una generación total de
90GWh anuales, programados para ser comisionados en 2017. En 2015, el país sólo ha organizado una licitación pero en
esta ocasión fue para la contratación de capacidad de gas natural, una central de 350MW.
|CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION|
Para pequeños proyectos de hasta 0,5MW, el gobierno de Panamá ofrece exenciones al impuesto al valor agregado (ITBMS)
y a los aranceles de importación. Otro beneficio para los pequeños proyectos de energías renovables es una exención de
impuestos a la transmisión y distribución para proyectos que no superen los 10MW en capacidad. Los proyectos que posean
una capacidad comprendida entre 10MW y 20MW reciben una exención impositiva en sus primeros 10MW de capacidad.
En junio de 2012 se adoptó la regulación de medición neta en el país. De acuerdo a dicha regulación, los usuarios minoristas
de electricidad que posean instalaciones de energía renovable de hasta 500kW podrán conectarse a la red nacional,
entregar su capacidad excedente y recibir un pago por la electricidad excedente suministrada.