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Definition
• The NPV break-even analysis identifies the
level of sales necessary to produce a zero level
of NPV.
• It differs from accounting break-even analysis
in that NPV break-even focuses on cash flows,
not accounting profits.
• Principle 1: Money Has a Time Value
Sample Scenario:
Cash Flow Forecasts: Year 0 Years 1-12
Investment ($5,400)
Sales $16,000
Variable Costs (81.25% of Sales) 13,000
Fixed Costs 2,000
Depreciation (Straight Line) 450
Pretax Profit 550
Taxes @ 40% 220
Profit after Tax 330
Cash Flow from Operations 780
Net Cash Flow ($5,400) $780
Accounting Break-Even
– Accounting break-even is calculated as:
Revenues $13,067
Variable Costs 10,067
Fixed Costs + Depreciation 2,450
Pretax Profit 0
Taxes 0
Profit after Tax 0
Why NPV Analysis?
• Accounting Break-Even
– If a project breaks even in accounting terms is it
an acceptable investment?
8-8
Break-Even Analysis
– Using the accounting break-even, the project
had to generate sales of $13.067 million to have
zero profit.
– Using the NPV break-even, we find that the
project needs sales of $15.4 million to have a
zero NPV.
• The project needs to be 18% more successful to break-
even on a NPV basis!
Longhorn Enterprises
is considering an
investment that
involves producing
novelty brake
lights for
automobiles. The
analysis of NPV
breakeven
presented here
corresponds to the
assumptions
underlying the
worst case
scenario for the
investment.
Operating Leverage and the
Volatility of Project Cash Flows
Definition
• Operating leverage results from the use of
fixed costs in the operations of the firm and
measures the sensitivity of changes in
operating income to changes in sales.
Basic Idea of Operating Leverage
• Operating leverage is the degree to which a
project or firm is committed to fixed production
costs.
• A firm with low operating leverage will have low
fixed costs compared to a firm with high
operating leverage.
• Generally speaking, projects with a relatively
heavy investment in plant and equipment will
have a relatively high degree of operating
leverage. Such projects are said to be capital
intensive.
Degree of Operating Leverage
• Degree of operating leverage (DOL) tells us
when there is a percent change in sales, how
that is reflected in a percent change in Net
Operating Income (NOI).
DOL Equation