DERIVATIVES & RISK

MANAGEMENT
PG 2016 TRIMESTER V
 Outline

Introduction

Forward Contracts

Futures Contracts

Options

Swaps

Derivatives and Risk-Management: Some Comments

Appendix: Interest-Rate Conventions

2
 Objectives

This segment
Introduces the major classes of derivative securities
Forwards
Futures
Options
Swaps
Discusses their broad characteristics and points of
distinction.
Discusses their uses at a general level.
The objective is introductory: to lay the foundations for
the detailed analysis of derivative securities.

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 Derivatives

A derivative security is a financial security whose value

depends on (or derives from) other, more fundamental,
underlying financial variables such as the price of a stock, an
interest rate, an index level, a commodity price or an
exchange rate.
There are three basic classes of derivative securities:
Futures & forwards.
Swaps.
Options.

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 Basic Distinctions - I

Forward contracts are those where two parties agree to a

specified trade at a specified point in the future.
Defining characteristic: Both parties commit to taking part in
the trade or exchange specified in the contract.
Futures and swaps are variants on the theme:
Futures contracts are forward contracts where buyers
and sellers trade through an exchange rather than
bilaterally.
Swaps are akin to forward contracts in which the parties
commit to a series of exchanges at several dates in the
future.

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 Basic Distinctions II

Options: Characterized by optionality concerning the specified

trade.
One party, the option holder, retains the right to enforce
or opt out of the trade.
The other party, the option writer, has a contingent
obligation to take part in the trade.
Call option: Option holder has the right, but not the obligation,
to buy the underlying asset at the price specified in the
contract.
Option writer has a contingent obligation to participate in
the specified trade as the seller.
Put option: Holder has the right, but not the obligation, to sell
the underlying asset at the price specified in the contract.
Option writer has a contingent obligation to participate in 6
the specified trade as the buyer.
 Risk-Management Roles - I

These classes of derivatives serve important, but different,

purposes.
Futures, forwards and swaps enable investors to lock in cash
flows from future transactions.
Thus, they are instruments for hedging risk.
"Hedging" is the offsetting of an existing cash-flow risk.
Example 1 A company that needs to procure crude oil in
one month can use a one-month crude oil futures contract to
lock in a price for the oil.
Example 2 A company that has borrowed at floating
interest rates and wishes to lock in fixed interest rate
payments instead can enter into a swap where it commits to
exchanging fixed interest rate payments for floating ones.

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Risk-Management Roles - II

Options provide one-sided protection.

The option confers a right without an obligation. As a
consequence:
Call Protection against price increase.
Put Protection against price decrease.
Example Suppose a company needs to procure oil in one month.
If the company buys a call option, it has the right to buy oil at
the "strike price" specified in the contract.
If the price of oil in one month is lower than the strike price,
the company can opt out of the contract.
Thus, the company can take advantage of price decreases but
is protected against price increases.
In short, options provide financial insurance.

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 Outline for Remaining Discussion

The rest of the material defines these classes of instruments

more formally.
Order of coverage:
Forwards
Futures
Options
Swaps

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 Forward Contracts

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Forward Contracts

The building block of most other derivatives, forwards are

thousands of years old.
A forward contract is a bilateral agreement
between two counterparties
a buyer (or "long position"), and
a seller (or "short position")
to trade in a specified quantity
of a specified good (the "underlying")
at a specified price (the "delivery price")
on a specified date (the "maturity date") in the future.
The delivery price is related to, but not quite the same thing
as, the "forward price." The forward price will be defined
shortly.

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 Forwards: Characteristics

Important characteristics of a forward contract:

Bilateral contract Negotiated directly by seller and buyer.

Customizable Terms of the contract can be "tailored."
Credit Risk There is possible default risk for both parties.
Unllateral Reversal Neither party can unilaterally transfer
its obligations in the contract to a third party.
Futures & forwards differ on precisely these characteristics as we
see shortly.

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 The Role of Forwards: Hedging

Forwards enable buyers and sellers to lock-in a price for a future

market transaction.
Thus, they address a basic economic need: hedging.
Demand for such hedging arises everywhere. Examples:
Currency forwards: lock-in an exchange rate for a future
transaction to eliminate exchange-rate risk.

Interest-rate forwards (a.k.a. forward-rate agreements): lock-

in an interest rate today for a future borrowing/investment to
eliminate interest-rate risk.

Commodity forwards: lock-in a price for a future sale or

purchase of commodity to eliminate commodity price risk.

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 BUT...

An obvious but important point: The elimination of cash flow

uncertainty using a forward does not come "for free."
A forward contract involves a trade at a price that may be "off-
market," i.e., that may differ from the actual spot price of the
underlying at maturity.
Depending on whether the agreed-upon delivery price is higher or
lower than the spot price at maturity, one party will gain and the
other party lose from the transaction.

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 An Example

An India-based exporter anticipates 200 million of exports

and hedges against fluctuations in the exchange rate by
selling 200 million forward at Rs. 71.30/.
Benefit? Cash-flow certainty: receipts in Rs. are known.
Cost? Exchange-rate fluctuations may lead to ex-post regret.
Exchange rate at maturity is Rs. 71.40/.
Exporter loses Rs. 0.10/ for a total loss of Rs. 20
million on the hedging strategy.
Exchange rate at maturity is Rs. 71.20/.
Exporter gains Rs. 0.10/ for a total gain of Rs. 20
million on the hedging strategy.

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 Forward Contracts: Payoffs
Forward to buy XYZ stock at F = 100 at date T.
Let ST denote the price of XYZ on date T.

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 Forwards are "Linear" Derivatives

ST : Spot price at maturity of forward contract.

F : Delivery price locked-in on forward
contract.
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The Forward Price

We have seen what is meant by the delivery price in a forward contract.

What is meant by a forward price?

The forward price is a breakeven delivery price: it is the delivery price that would make the contract have zero value to both parties at inception.
Intuitively, it is the price at which neither party would be willing to pay anything to enter into the contract.

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 The Forward Price and the Delivery Price

At inception of the contract, the delivery price is set equal to the

forward price.
Thus, at inception, the forward price and delivery price are
the same.
As time moves on, the forward price will typically change, but the
delivery price in a contract, of course, remains fixed.
So while a forward contract necessarily has zero value at
inception, the value of the contract could become positive or
negative as time moves on.
That is, the locked-in delivery price may look favorable or
unfavorable compared to the forward price on a fresh
contract with the same maturity.

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 The Forward Price

Is the forward price a well-defined concept?

Not obvious, a priori.

It is obvious that
If the delivery price is set too high relative to the spot, the
contract will have positive value to the short (and negative
value to the long).
If the delivery price is set too low relative to the spot, the
situation is reversed.
But it is not obvious that there is only a single breakeven price.
It appears plausible that two people with different information
or outlooks about the market, or with different risk-aversion,
can disagree on what is a breakeven price.
This question is addressed in a later chapter on forward pricing.

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 Futures Contracts

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 Futures Contracts

A futures contract is like a forward contract except that it is

traded on an organized exchange.
This results in some important differences. In a futures contract:
Buyers and sellers deal through the exchange, not directly.
Contract terms are standardized.
Default risk is borne by the exchange, and not by the
individual parties to the contract.
"Margin accounts" (a.k.a "performance bonds") are used to
manage default risk.
Either party can reverse its position at any time by closing
out its contract.

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 Forwards vs. Futures

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 The Futures Price

As with a forward contract, there is no up-front payment to enter

into a futures contract.
Thus, the futures price is defined in the same way as a forward
price: it is the delivery price which results in the contract having
zero value to both parties.
Futures and forward prices are very closely related but they are not
quite identical.
The relationship between these prices is examined in later
chapters.

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 Options

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 Basic Definitions

An option is a financial security that gives the holder the right to

buy or sell a specified quantity of a specified asset at a specified
price on or before a specified date.

Buy = Call option. Sell = Put option

On/before: American. Only on: European
Specified price = Strike or exercise price
Specified date = Maturity or expiration date
Specified asset = "underlying"
Buyer = holder = long position
Seller = writer = short position

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 Broad Categories of Options

Exchange-traded options:

Stocks (American).
Futures (American).
Indices (European & American)
Currencies (European and American)
OTC options:

Vanilla (standard calls/puts as defined above).

Exotic (everything elsee.g., Asians, barriers).
Others (e.g., embedded options such as convertible bonds
or callable bonds).

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 Options as Financial Insurance

As we have noted above, option provides financial

insurance.
The holder of the option has the right, but not the obligation, to
take part in the trade specified in the option.
This right will be exercised only if it is in the holder's interest to
do so.
This means the holder can profit, but cannot lose, from the
exercise decision.

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 Put Options as Insurance: Example
Cisco stock is currently at $24.75. An investor plans to sell Cisco
stock she holds in a month's time, and is concerned that the
price could fall over that period.
Buying a one-month put option on Cisco with a strike of K will
provide her with insurance against the price falling below K.
For example, suppose she buys a one-month put with a strike of
K = 22.50.
If the price falls below $22.50, the put can be exercised
and the stock sold for $22.50.
If the price increases beyond $22.50, the put can be
allowed to lapse and the stock sold at the higher price.
In general, puts provide potential sellers of the underlying with
insurance against declines in the underlying's price.
The higher the strike (or the longer the maturity), the
greater the amount of insurance provided by the put.

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 Call Options as Insurance: Example

Apple stock is currently trading at $218. An investor is planning to

buy the stock in a month's time, and is concerned that the price
could rise sharply over that period.
Buying a one-month call on Apple with a strike of K protects the
investor from an increase in Apple's price above K.
For example, suppose he buys a one-month call with a strike of K
= 225.
If the price increases beyond $225, the call can be exercised
and the stock purchased for $225.
If the price falls below $225, the option can be allowed to
lapse and the stock purchased at the lower price.
In general, calls provide potential buyers of the underlying with
protection against increases in the underlying's price.
The lower the strike (or the longer the maturity), the greater
the amount of insurance provided by the call.
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 The Provider of this Insurance

The writer of the option provides this insurance to the holder:

The writer is obligated to take part in the trade if the holder
should so decide.
In exchange, writer receives a fee called the option price or the
option premium.
Chapters 9-16 are concerned with various aspects of the option
premium including the principal determinants of this price and
models for identifying fair value of an option.
Chapter 17 discusses how to measure the risk in an option or a
portfolio of options.
Chapters 18 and 19 extend the pricing analysis to "exotic"
options.
Chapter 21 studies hybrid securities such as convertible bonds
that have embedded optionalities.

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 Swaps

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 What are Swaps?

A swap is a bilateral contract between two counterparties

that calls for periodic exchanges of cash flows on specified
dates and calculated using specified rules.
The contract specifies the dates (say, T1, T2, ... , Tn ) on which
cash flows will be exchanged.
The contract also specifies the rules according to which the
cash flows due from each counterparty on these dates are
calculated.
The frequency of payments for the two counterparties
need not be the same.
For example, one counterparty could be required to
make semi-annual payments, while the other makes
quarterly payments.

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 Categories of Swaps

Swaps are differentiated by the underlying markets to which

payments on one or both legs are linked.
The largest chunk of the swaps market is occupied by
interest-rate swaps, in which each leg of the swap is tied to
a specific interest rate index.
Other important categories of swaps include:
Currency swaps, in which the two legs of the swaps
are linked to payments in different currencies.
Equity swaps, in which one leg (or both legs) of the
swap are linked to an equity price or equity index.
Commodity swaps, in which one leg of the swap is
linked to a commodity price.
Credit-risk linked swaps (especially credit-default
swaps) in which one leg of the swap is linked to
occurrence of a credit event (e.g., default) on a specified
reference entity. 34
 What do Swaps Achieve?

Swaps are among the most versatile of financial instruments

with new uses being discovered (invented?) almost every day.
One of the sources of swap utility comes from the fact that
swaps enable converting exposure to one market to exposure
to another market.
Example 1 Consider a 3-year equity swap in which
One counterparty pays the returns on the S&P 500 on
a given notional principal P.
The other counterparty pays a fixed rate of interest r
on the same principal P.
The first counterparty in this swap is exchanging equity-
market returns for interest-rate returns over this three-year
horizon. The second counter party is doing the opposite
exchange.

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 What do Swaps Achieve?

Example 2 Consider an interest-rate swap in which

One counterparty pays a floating interest-rate (e.g., Libor)
on a given notional principal P.
The other counterparty pays a fixed rate of interest r on the
same principal P.
Such a swap enables converting floating interest-rate exposure to
floating interest-rate exposure (and vice versa).

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What do Swaps Achieve?

Example 3 Consider a currency swap in which

One counterparty makes US dollar payments based on
USD-Libor.
The other makes Japanese yen payments based on JPY-
Libor.
The swap enables converting floating rate USD exposure to
floating-rate JPY exposure and vice versa.

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 Linking Different Markets

As a corollary, swaps provide a pricing link between different

markets.
Consider the equity swap in Example 1.
At inception, the fixed rate r in the equity swap is set so
that the swap has zero value to both parties, i.e., so that
the PV of the cash flows expected from the equity leg is
equal to the PV of the cash flows from the interest rate leg.
This means the interest rate r represents the market's
"fair price" for converting equity returns into fixed-
income returns.
Thus equity swaps also provide a pricing link between the
equity and fixed-income markets: the swap not only
enables transferring equity risk into interest-rate risk, it
also specifies the price at which this transfer can be done.
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 Linking Different Markets

Similarly:
Interest-rate swaps provide a link between different
interest-rate markets, for example, the fixed-rate at
which floating-rate exposure can be converted to fixed-
rate exposure.
Currency swaps provide a link between interest-rate
markets indifferent currencies, for example, the EUR
fixed rate at which USD floating-rate exposure can be
converted to EUR fixed-rate exposure.

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Swaps in this book

Part 3 of the book deals with swaps.

Chapter 23 examines interest-rate swaps, the main component of
the market.
Chapter 24 studies the characteristics, uses and pricing of equity
swaps.
Chapter 25 looks at currency swaps and commodity swaps.
Other instruments with the "swaps" moniker are examined
elsewhere in the book.
Variance and volatility swaps are discussed in Chapter 14.
Credit-related swaps, including Total Return Swaps and
Credit Default Swaps are dealt with in Chapter 31.

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 Derivatives and Risk-
Management: Some Comments

41
 Derivatives and Risk-Management

Derivatives can be used to hedge or obtain insurance against

existing risk exposures.
We examine derivatives use in various contexts throughout
the book.
Here, we use a simple example to make a simple preliminary
point: that derivatives do not offer a panacea in managing
risk.
There are pros and cons to every derivatives strategy
(including to the strategy of using no derivatives).
That is, there is no dominant alternative that is better
in all conditions.

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 A Simple Example

Suppose it is currently December, and a US-based company

learns that it will be receiving 25 million in March.
As a US-based organization, the company needs to convert
the euros into dollars upon receipt, so is exposed to changes
in the exchange rate.
The company has (at least) three choices:
Do nothing, i.e., retain full exposure to changes in
exchange rates.
Use a forward/futures contract to lock in an exchange
rate today.
Buy a put option on the euro that guarantees a floor
exchange rate.

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Comparing the Alternatives

We compare outcomes under these three alternatives using

three relevant criteria:
1. Cash-flow uncertainty under the strategy.
2. Up-front cost of the strategy.
3. Exercise-time (or lock-in) regret from the strategy.
Assume the following:
.The company can lock in an exchange rate of $1.0328/
using CME March futures contracts.
.The company can buy put options on the euro with a
strike of $1.03/ and expiring in March at a total cost of
$422,500.

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 The Alternatives Compared

The table below presents the outcomes (in US$) under the three
alternatives in two scenarios:
A "low" exchange rate (relative to the locked-in rate) of
$0.9928/.
A "high" exchange rate of $1.0728/.

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 The Alternatives Compared

1. Cash flow uncertainty

Maximal for the do-nothing alternative.
Intermediate for the option contract.
Least for the futures contract.
2. Up-Front Cost
Zero for the do-nothing and futures contract alternatives.
Substantial ($422,500) for the options contract.
3. Exercise-Time Regret None with the options contract, but
possible with the others:
If $1.0728/. The futures contract has ex-post regret (not
hedging would have been better).
If $0.9928/. The do-nothing contract has ex-post regret:
hedging would have been better.

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 The Best Alternative?

There is none: Each strategy has its pros and cons.

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 Appendix: Interest-Rate
Conventions

48
 Interest-Rate Convention

One important preliminary issue is the interest-rate

convention we use.
Any convention may be usedthe choice is really one of
convenience. Different interest-rate conventions are simply
different mechanisms for converting sums of money due in
the future into present values today, or investments made
today into future values due at maturity.
As long as we obtain the correct present values and future
values, it doesn't matter what convention we use.

49
 Moving Between Conventions

Interest rates expressed under different conventions will not

of course be the same (just as a person's height measured in
inches is not the same as her height measured in
centimeters).
But just as we can always convert height from centimeters to
inches and vice versa, we can always move between the
conventions and express a given situation in any interest rate
convention that we want.
The key thing is to remember that an interest rate convention
is simply a mechanism for telling us how to compute present
values of future amounts (or future values of present
investments).

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 Two Specific Conventions

For specificity, we use one of two conventions in the numerical

illustrations:
Continuous-compounding.
The money-market convention.

We discuss each below and also how to go from one

convention to the other.
Remark The main body of the text uses mainly continuous-
compounding. The money-market convention is introduced in
the Exercises section in Chapter 3, and is used in several other
chapters in the book.

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 ContinuousCompounding

The continuous-compounding convention is commonly used in

theoretical work in modern Finance.
If the T-year continuously-compounded interest rate is r :

$A invested for T years grows to $e rT A by time T.

The present value of $A receivable at time T is PV (A) = e rT
A.

Continuous-compounding has several technical advantages which

is why it is popular with modelers and is commonly used in finance
textbooks.

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 Money-Market Convention

The other convention we use is the money market convention.

In the US money-market, an interest rate of over a horizon
[0,T ] means that the interest payable per dollar of principal is

where d is the actual number of days in the horizon [0,T ].

For example, if the 3-month interest rate is 5% and there are 91
calendar days in the 3-month horizon, then the interest received
per dollar of investment is

Actual/360 is popular in other countries too, though some

countries (such as Britain) use Actual/365.
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 Money-Market Convention

Under the Actual/360 convention, an amount A invested

over [0,T ] at the rate grows by time T to

Conversely, the present value of A receivable at T is

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 Moving Between Conventions

Suppose an investment of $1 made today will be worth $1.03 in

three months.
1. If the interest rate is expressed in the Actual/360
convention and the three-month horizon has 91 days in
it, what is ?

2. If the interest rate r is expressed in the continuous-

compounding convention and we treat three months as
1/4 years, what is r ?

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 Moving Between Conventions

Consider an investment of $1 over a horizon of one month.

1. If the interest rate expressed in the Actual/360

convention is 4% and the one-month horizon has 31 days in
it, to what does the invested amount grow to?

2. If you had to express the same outcome using a

continuous-compounding convention, and we treat one
month as 1/12 of a year, what is the continuously-
compounded rate r ?

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 Moving Between Conventions

Consider an investment of $1 over a horizon of one month.

1. If the interest rate r expressed in the continuously

compounded terms is 4% and we treat the one month
horizon as 1/12 of a year, to what does the invested
amount grow?

2. If you had to express the same outcome using an

Actual/360 convention and the one month horizon has
31 days in it, what is the rate ?

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