Professional Documents
Culture Documents
S S S Kumar
Indian Institute of Management Kozhikode
Calicut 673 570
A story of two stocks contd..
Financial Management I 2
A story of two stocks contd..
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Which one will you invest in???
A difficult one
Lets move on.
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Now what is your decision?
Stock M Stock N
30% 26%
28% 13%
34% 48%
32% 11%
31% 57%
31% 31%
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Why risk and return are linked..
Investment A is the A
obvious choice A but add
risk, is the
choice still
obvious?
B
B
B would die
out through
lack of takers!
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Stocks M and N contd
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Return
952 - 948
= .0168 = 1.68%
948
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annualized R:
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example 2
100 - 82 + 8
= .3171 =31.71%
82
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annualized R:
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Expected Return
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example 1
R Prob(R)
10% .2
5% .4
-5% .4
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example 2
R Prob(R)
1% .3
2% .4
3% .3
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Risk
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Measuring risk
Range
MAD
Variance
Standard deviation
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Measuring risk
Microsoft Office
Excel Worksheet
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Diversification
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General expression for return
n
RP wi Ri
i 1
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General expression for risk
n n n
w i wi w j ij i j
2 2
i
2
i 1 j 1 i 1
i j
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Diversification and no. of stocks
Microsoft Office
Excel Worksheet
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Risk reduction through diversification
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Examples of Unsystematic risk
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Examples of Systematic risk
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The Final Take Away
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measuring relative risk
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Systematic Risk Measurement
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Beta,
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interpreting
if
stock is risk free
if
stock return = market return
if
stock is riskier than market index
if
stock is less risky than market index
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Characteristic Line
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Using Regression
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Betas of Nifty Stocks
Microsoft Office
Excel Worksheet
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PF of a Risk free asset and a risky asset A
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PF of a Risk free asset and a risky asset A
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PF of a Risk free asset and a risky asset B
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PF of a Risk free asset and a risky asset B
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Putting together
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Fundamental Relationship between risk and ret
Returns
E ( Ri ) R f
E(RC) i
E(RB)
E(RA)
A B C Beta
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E ( R ) R f [ E ( Rm ) R f ]
where
is the portfolio risk
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implication
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CAPM tells us size of risk/return tradeoff
CAPM tells use the price of risk
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