Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Data Types
Structured data
Typically stored in databases or spreadsheets, required to be managed in accordance
with a standardised storage format and ontology e.g. names, place names,
E.g. SATAC applications, load, enrolments, FLO usage data
Unstructured data
text, audio, imagery, video
E.g. student email, chat rooms, questionnaire responses, lecture videos (audio &
video)
Different data types lend themselves to different analytical techniques. Unstructured data
often requires pre- processing prior to enable structured data analysis
Data Visualisation
Structured Data
Unstructured Data
Two models developed, a) from 1st week in September b) from 2nd week in January.
Training data consisted of 3 years of data 2011, 2012 & 2013 to predict 2014
enrolments - 25,551 training examples for September and 74,516 for January.
A number of commonly used machine learning algorithms could have been used,
we chose to adopt a CHAID decision tree algorithm.
Number Of
Applicants
(Predictions)
8557
26457
Predicted
Commencing
Load
1394
4340
Actual
Commencing
Load
1365
3858
% Error
2.1
12.5
Validation
The strong consistency of the lift profiles between training results and
test and validation results are indicative of structural patterns of
behavior that appear to exist across applicants to South Australian
Universities.
Similar machine learning (decision tree) approach adopted however input variables
consisted only of: course code, attendance type, and previous topics passed (no student
demographic or BOA information).
Binary target variable - 1 did enroll in target topic, 0 did not enroll in target topic
Under new program 2nd year topics being run for first time in 2014. Therefore only have 1 st
year 2013 students to train and test on. Test results gave promising results and a model
was developed to predict topic enrolments for 2015.
Predictions for all seven 2nd year nursing topics were provided and validated by the School
as being consistent with their estimates.
The School of Nursing have requested for the approach to become part of their standard
business process in future years and discussions are underway as to how Planning
Services can meet this request.
School of Education, Humanities and Law have provided 12 topics of interest to assist
planning services further develop the approach within a less constrained course structure.
In Conclusion