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Inequalities of

Development
Lorenz Curve and
Gini Coefficient

How evenly spread is the


worlds wealth?
Cumulative World Pop'

Cumulative Wealth (PPP)

1988

1993

10

0.9

0.8

20

2.3

50

9.6

8.5

75

25.9

22.3

85

41

37.1

90

53.1

49.2

95

69.8

66.3

99

91.7

91.5

100

100

100

World distribution of wealth (PPP) Lorenz Curve


100

Pop

90

Cumulative Wealth (PPP)

80
70
60
50

ne
i
L

40

of

li
a
t
to

ra
g
e
nt

n
it o

1988

199
3

10

0.9

0.8

20

2.3

50

9.6

8.5

25.9

22.
3

41

37.
1

53.1

49.
2

69.8

66.
3

99

91.7

91.
5

100

100

100

75
85

30

90

20

95

10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Cumulative Global Population

80

90

100

Wealth
(PPP)

World distribution of wealth (PPP) Lorenz Curve


100

The richest 10%


possessed
46.9% of the
world wealth in
1988.
on

90

Cumulative Wealth (PPP)

80
70
60
50

ne
i
L

40

of

li
a
t
to

Pop

i
t
ra
g
e
nt

1988

199
3

10

0.9

0.8

20

2.3

50

9.6

8.5

25.9

22.
3

41

37.
1

53.1

49.
2

69.8

66.
3

99

91.7

91.
5

100

100

100

75
85

30

90

20

95

10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Cumulative Global Population

80

90

100

Wealth
(PPP)

World distribution of wealth (PPP) Lorenz Curve


100

The richest 10%


possessed
50.8% of the
world wealth in
1993.
on

90

Cumulative Wealth (PPP)

80
70
60
50

ne
i
L

40

of

li
a
t
to

Pop

i
t
ra
g
e
nt

1988

199
3

10

0.9

0.8

20

2.3

50

9.6

8.5

25.9

22.
3

41

37.
1

53.1

49.
2

69.8

66.
3

99

91.7

91.
5

100

100

100

75
85

30

90

20

95

10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Cumulative Global Population

80

90

100

Wealth
(PPP)

World distribution of wealth (PPP) Lorenz Curve


100

Pop

90

Cumulative Wealth (PPP)

80
70

ra
g
e
nt

60

n
it o

li
a
ot The greater
t
of
this area the
ne
i
L
more unequal
the
distribution

50
40
30

1988

199
3

10

0.9

0.8

20

2.3

50

9.6

8.5

25.9

22.
3

41

37.
1

53.1

49.
2

69.8

66.
3

99

91.7

91.
5

100

100

100

75
85
90

20

95

10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Cumulative Global Population

80

90

100

Wealth
(PPP)

What is a Gini Coefficient?


The

Gini coefficient, invented by the Italian


statistitian Corado Gini, is a number between
zero and one that measures the degree of
inequality in the distribution of something.
The coefficient would register zero (0.0 =
minimum inequality) for a society in which
each member received exactly the same
amount.
A coefficient of one (1.0 = maximum
inequality) would mean one member got
everything and the rest got nothing.

Calculating the Gini Coefficient


100

Although the Lorenz


Curve is good visual
indicator of
distribution equality,
the Gini Coefficient
provides a clearer
quantatitive value.

90

Cumulative Wealth (PPP)

80

70
60
50

ne
i
L

40

of

li
a
t
to

ra
g
e
nt

n
it o

A / B = Gini
Values should lie
between 0 (total
integration) to 1 (total
segregation).

30
20
10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Cumulative Global Population

80

90

Tasks

Plot Lorenz Curves for 1988 and 1993


data on graph paper. Answer
Calculate the Gini Coefficient for both.
What do these tell you about trends in
world distribution of wealth between
1988 and 1993? Answer
Economists estimate that the world's
Gini coefficient fell to 0.63 in 1998
from 0.66 in 1970. Plot a graph to
show fluctuations over time. Answer
Try and find the worlds latest Gini
coefficient figures. What does it show.

Pop

Wealth
(PPP)

1988

1993

10

0.9

0.8

20

2.3

50

9.6

8.5

75

25.9

22.3

85

41

37.1

90

53.1

49.2

95

69.8

66.3

99

91.7

91.5

100

100

100

What are typical Gini


Coefficients for countries around
the world?

In practice, coefficient values range from around 0.2 for


historically equalitarian countries like Bulgaria, Hungary,
the Slovak and Czech republics and Poland to over 0.6 for
Central and South American countries (such as Brazil)
where powerful elites dominate the economy.
The evolution of the Gini coefficient is particularly useful
as it reveals trends. It shows the evolution towards
greater equality in Cuba from 1953 to 1986 (0.55 to
0.22) and the growth of inequality in the USA in the last
three decades during which the Gini went from 0.35 in
the '70's to 0.40 now (and it is still rising!).
Most European countries and Canada rate around 0.30,
Japan and some Asian countries get around 0.35, some
reach 0.40 while most African countries exceed 0.45.
(see later slides for more details)
Source:http://berclo.net/inden.ht

A Fairer Future for the World?


Global

trends for the Gini coefficient of


wealth can be rather confusing and
distorted by the rapid growth of large
Tiger Economies like China.
The gap between the worldss rich
and poor has never been wider.
Malnutrition, AIDS, conflict and
illiteracy are a daily reality for
millions. MakePovertyHistory.ORG

What about Equality within


Countries?

Selected South and


Middles Americas

Selected African

Gini
Argentina

Bolivia
2002
Brazil
2001
Chile 2000
Colombia
Ecuador
1998
El
Salvador
Guatemala
Honduras
Panama

Developed
Countries

Gini

Gini

0.51

Botswana

0.58

Central
African
Rep.

0.63

0.61

Australia

Malaysia

0.49

0.26

Taiwan,
China
2000

0.24

0.33

Republic
of Korea
1998

0.32

Denmark
1997

0.27

Thailand
2002

0.4

0.31
0.28

Belgium
2000

0.59
0.51

Malawi
1997/1998

0.54

South
Africa

0.58

France
1994

0.54

Uganda
1991

0.59

Germany

0.5

Zambia
1998

0.53

Ireland 2

0.31

Zimbabwe

0.57

Italy 2000

0.31

Luxembou
rg

0.29

0.58
0.52

0.5

Gini

0.32

Lesotho
1995

0.63

Selected East
Asian

Canada
2000

Norway

Selected Fast
Growing

India
China

0.33

Recap Why are Lorenz curves


and Gini Coefficients useful
They

can be used to tell how equal wealth


is distributed within a country at one time.
They can show changes in distribution
over time.
They can show differences between
countries
They often reflect changing political
situations
E.g. USA and South Africa

Lorenz Curve of U.S. Income,


2001

Lowest fifth

3.5 %

3.5%

Second fifth

8.8

12.3

Third fifth

14.5

26.8

Fourth fifth

23.1

49.9

Highest fifth

40.1

100.0

Cumulative percentage of income

Income
Quintile

Percentage Cumulative
of Total Percentage of
Family
Total Family
Income
Income

100

80
60

I
B

40
20

H
A

F
0

20

40

60

80

100

Cumulative percentage of families

Lorenz Curve for the U.S.


1929, 1970, 2001
Cumulative percentage of
income

100%
80
60
40

Line of absolute
equality
1970
2001

1929

20
0

40
20
60
80 100%
Cumulative percentage of population

U.S. Income Distribution Over


Time
From

1929 to 1970, income inequality


in the U.S. decreased.
From 1970 to 2001, it increased.

U.S. Income Distribution Over


Time
Up

to 1970, equality increased


because:

Welfare programs.
Unemployment insurance.
Social security.
Progressive taxation.
Improved macroeconomic performance
of the economy.

U.S. Income Distribution Over


Time
Inequality

increased because:

Wage increases have not kept up with


price increases.
A movement away from progressive
taxation.
A reduction in government funding for
some social programs.

Cumulative percentage of income

U.S. Income Distribution


Compared to Other Countries
100
80
60
40
20
0

Sweden
Japan

United States
Brazil

20
40
60
80 100
Cumulative percentage of population

What can you say about the distribution of wealth in the USA from this

Socioeconomic Dimensions
of Income Inequality
Income

distribution can be shown


according to socioeconomic
characteristics:

Race.
Ethnicity.
Geographic region.
Gender.
Type of job.

Changes over time


Remember

if Gini coefficient increases


then the distribution has become less
equal.

The

table below shows changes in the


gini coefficient between race groups in
Southern Africa.
What does it show
A) about differences between groups
B) what has happened to levels of
income distribution in South Africa.

OK so what does it mean to


us

You have found out a way to show inequality


graphically and statistically.
It allows you to compare countries
It allows you to look for causes of inequality
In essays, it is important to be able to show
proof of inequality and the extent of it in the
first section.

Relevance to other work in


Higher level
Different

Theoretical views on
Development
Rostows modernist approach all
countries can follow a path to
development
Dependency theorists and World
Systems Approach the development
of under development.

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