Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Prerequisite: none
Contact education:
20 hours
Consultation:
0 hours
Individual assignment:
85 hours
Total:
105 hours
Credit:
ECTS : 8
Examinations requirements:
Oral: Presentation
Written: Prepare a case study using the quantitative
methods
Compulsory literature:
Jon Curwin and Roger Slater: Quantitative Methods for
Business Decisions, Fifth edition,
Cengage Learning Business Press, ISBN-13: 9781861525314
Recommended literature:
David R. Anderson, Dennis J. Sweeney, Thomas A.
Williams, Jeffry D. Camm, Kipp Martin: Quantitative
Methods for Business, Cengage Learning Business
Press, (2010) ISBN-13: 978-0-324-65175-1
Course Design
Part lecture, part skills development
Usually one major topic per day
Some time devoted to working with
statistical software packages (excel and
SPSS)
Course Reading
Jon Curwin and Roger
Slater:
Quantitative Methods
for Business
Decisions
Statistical Software
All course examples will use EXCEL
You can download
the excel files of the course book:
http://www.agr.unideb.hu/~baloghp/Montenegro
1. The quantitative
approach
Quantitative information:
We can get data quickly, but we need
to be sure that we are working on the
right problem and that the data is
valid.
Data means
a few recording
an extensive national or international
survey
1. The quantitative
approach
Quantitative information:
Internet has transformed the flow and
availability of data.
The ability to manage data, produce
information and work with problems are
all seen as and important business
competencies.
1. The quantitative
approach
Quantitative information:
Desk research:
First you need checking what work has
already been done.
Provide information or identify techniques.
It is always helpful to find a questionnaire
that has been used previous study and
may only require some modification.
1. The quantitative
approach
Quantitative information:
Managing numbers is an important part
of understanding and solving problems.
The collecting together of numbers, and
other facts and opinions provides data.
This data only becomes information when
it informs the user!!
The quantitative approach is more than
just doing sums.
It is about making sense of numbers
within a context.
1. The quantitative
approach
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
Problem solving
Methodology
Models
Measurement
Scoring models
Problem solving
1.2 Methodology
Old methods
New methods
Reliability and validity of findings
(conclusions)
Was the purpose of the research clear?
Was this research necessary? (desk
research)
Was the means of data collection
appropriate?
What can we infer?
(-inductive approach
generalization
-deductive approach)
1.3 Models
1.3.1 Model abstraction
1.3.2 The development of a
mathematical model
1.3.3 Models of uncertainty
1.3.4 Computer-based modelling
Modelling
Inpu
ts
Transforma
tion
process
Assumpti
ons
Outcom
es
1.3 Models
A model is a representation of real
objects or situations
A good understanding of the object or
situation
The recognition of all relevant variables
The understanding of relationships
The ability to undertake analysis
abstract
Stochastic
Expected value
Mean
1.3.4 Computer-based
modelling
Computational
Least
(spreadsheets, what if) abstract
Analytical
(mathematical techniques
and manipulation)
Simulation
(equations and
distributions)
Most
Expert systems
abstract
(advising on solution)
1.4 Measurement
Measurement is about assigning a value
or a score to an observation.
Measurement is the representation of
type,
size or
quantity by numbers.
1.4 Measurement
Nominal (or categorical) level of
measurement:
If responses merely classified into a number
of distinct categories, where no order or
value.
The classification of survey respondents on
the basis of
religious affinity,
voting behaviour or
car ownership.
1.4 Measurement
1.4 Measurement
1.4 Measurement
1.4 Measurement
1.4 Measurement
Interval scale:
1.4 Measurement
Ratio scale:
The highest level of measurement,
- which has all the distance properties of the
interval scale and in addition,
- zero represents the abscence of the
caracteristic being measured.
Distance and time are good examples.
It is meaningful, for example, to refer to 0 time
and 0 distance and refer to one journey taking
twice as long as another journey or
one distance as being twice as long as another
distance.
1.4 Measurement
1.4 Measurement
1.4 Measurement
2. Managing data
The truth is
out there
somewhere
Financial Statisticsis a
monetary
compendium of the
UK's key financial and
monetary
statistics.
Published monthly, it
contains
data
on
public sector finance,
central
government
revenue
and
expenditure,
money
supply
and
credit,
banks and building
societies, interest and
exchange
rates,
financial
accounts,
capital issues, balance
sheets and balance of
payments.
An established reference
source,Social Trendsdraws
together the most up-to-date
social and economic data from a
wide range of government
departments and other
organisations. Data is presented
clearly in a combination of tables,
figures and text providing the
ideal tool for researching life and
lifestyles in the UK.
Each chapter focuses on a
different social policy area:
population, households and
families, education and training,
labour market, income and wealth,
expenditure, health, social
protection, crime and justice,
housing, environment, transport,
lifestyles and social participation.
This
publication
summarises
the
main
features
of
European
business and its different
activities in a concise and
simple
manner.
The
publication is intended to
function as a showcase
for and introduction to the
data available in this field.
This edition includes a
special feature section on
SMEs, which presents an
analysis of the different
characteristics of micro,
small, medium and large
enterprises
This
publication
draws
a
comprehensive picture of the
Science,
Technology
and
Innovation activities in the
European Union as carried out
by its people, enterprises and
governments. It provides the
reader
with
statistical
information to appreciate the
evolution and composition of
science and technology in
Europe and its position with
regard to its partners. The
pocketbook is divided into
seven chapters among which:
Government
budget
appropriations or outlays on
Research
and
Development
(GBAORD), R&D Expenditure,
R&D
Personnel,
Human
Resources
in
Science
and
Technology, Innovation, Patents,
High-technology.
http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/index.html
Surveys:
http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/guide-method/surveys/list-ofsurveys/index.html
http://www.roughguides.com/
www.dis.strath.ac.uk/business/
General Global Marketing Informations:
http://webpages.dcu.ie/~gannonm/Websites%20General
%20Global%20Marketing%20Information.html
EUROSTAT:
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/euro
stat/home
Disadvantage:
the lack of any quality control
undertake a census
sample
Census:
2.6 Conclusion
Obtaining and using data as information is
an important part of understanding and
solving any problem.
There is little doubt about the volume of
data now available, and any search of the
Internet can easily produce reams of
computer printout.
As with all problem solving we need to
work within boundaries that ensure the
problem remains manageable and yet does
not exclude new avenues of enquiry.
Given the diversity of possible data sources
we need to check that data is appropriate,
adequate and without bias.
2.6 Conclusion
As discussed, the choice is rarely
between secondary data (existing data)
or primary data (new data that needs to
be collected for the specific purpose).
Secondary data will help describe and
define the existing problem.
The examination of secondary data can
also provide guidance on what research
methods work and which don't.
Primary data will generally be needed to
add specific detail.
2.6 Conclusion
The purpose of any statistical investigation
needs to be clear.
A statement that we wish to investigate the
management of change within the organization
will mean different things to different people.
In this case, we need to be clear about our
meaning of change or changes, 'management'
and the general context.
Decisions will need to be made on who to
include and who to exclude.
In all statistical work the definition of
population (all those people or items of
interest) is particularly important.
If we refer to the workforce, for example, do we
mean only full-time employees, those at a
particular location or those doing a particular
job?
2.6 Conclusion
It is a frequently reported experience
that 'desk research' yields some of the
information required but also yields
other data of interest and a wealth of
new ideas.
It is also worth considering how much
research is genuinely original!
If the purpose of the statistical
investigation requires the collection of
original data, then the sample survey is
probably the most widely used method
in business and economics.
2.6 Conclusion
Once collected, data needs to be collated
and presented (see Chapter 4).
Available computer hardware and software
now allows data to be stored, manipulated
and analysed with relative ease.
Many types of computer software are
available for dealing with survey data.
You could use a standard spreadsheet, such
as, Excel or Lotus-123 to record the answers
(in a coded form), or you could use more
specialized software such as SPSS.
The choice that you make will depend on the
size of the survey, the resources available
and the sophistication of the analysis
necessary.