Business Objectives

The purpose of QLD Health

1) Promote Public Health
Services meets need

2) Reduce Healthcare costs

Regulate supply of services to need of
population

Problem
Problem: Difficult to determine
supply of hospital resources relative
to need

Goal: Predict future need

Scope
Which suburbs are in most need
Which factors contribute most

Data Source
Data needed: population
characteristics (demographic,
socioeconomic, risk factors)
Source: Social Health Atlas of
Australia
312 units of observations, 39
attributes

Classified target value

Classification

Code

Population less than 1000

Population more than 1,000

Population more than 5,000

Population more than 10,000

Population more than 15,000

Population more than 20,000

Population more than 40,000

Type of Data
Attribute
Code
Suburbs
Total people
Category
Age 65+
Education
Aboriginal
Single family
Low income
Unemployed

Qualitativ
e

Nominal

Ordinal

Quantitativ
e

Continued
Attribute
Delayed
Consultation
Smoking during
Pregnancy
Type 2 diabetes
High cholesterol
Circulatory
Hypertension
Psychological
Current Smokers
High alcohol
Physical inactivity

Qualitat
ive

Nominal

Ordinal

Quantitati
ve

Attribute

Metadata
Function/ Description

Code

Code of suburbs

Suburbs

Name of suburbs

Total people

Number of people livingin each

suburb

Category

Classification number of suburbs

from0 to 6 based on population

Age 65+

People aged 65 and over

Education

People who left school at Year 10, or

below, or did not attend school

Aboriginal

Total aboriginal people livingin each

suburb

Single family

Single parent families with children

aged less than 15 years

Low income

Low income households

Unemployed

Number of unemployed people

Smokingduring
Pregnancy

Number of females who smoked

duringpregnancy

Type 2diabetes

People with type 2 diabetes

High cholesterol

People with high cholesterol

Circulatory

People with Circulatorysystem

problems

Hypertension

People with hypertension problems

Psychological

People with high or veryhigh

psychological distresslevels

Current Smokers

People who smoke currently

High alcohol

People who consume alcohol at

levels considered to be a high risk to
health

Physical inactivity

Number of people who are

physicallyinactive

Why?

Simple and comprehensive

Public availability
Suitability for Data Miner
Accuracy and Reliabilty

Technology Selection

SAS Enterprise
Miner

SAS Enterprise Miner

Complex Analysis:
Association
Regression
Clustering
Neural Network
Classification
Decision Trees

Why we use Decision Tree

Why we use Decision Tree

Our aim : Which suburb needs more
medical care in Queensland

Why we use Decision Tree

Why we use Decision Tree

Why we use Decision Tree

Simple to Understand
Requires little data preparation
Can handle large datasets
Can handle numerical and
categorical data

Why we use Decision Tree

To achieve our goal, we need decision

tree..

Application

Application-Data

Application-StatExplore
Table with Indirect (social) factors

Application-StatExplore
Table with health factors

Application-Data Partition
312 data
275~276 data for
Training
36~37 data for
Validation

Application-Replacement & Control

Point

Application-Decision Tree

Summary & Conclusion

Results

Continue

Analysis
Classificatio
n

Category 1

Category 2,
3
Category 4

Category 5,
6

Education

Single family Smoking

Ageing

Results

Outcomes

Conclusion
Social care

Category 1
Small medical points

Category 2
Hypertension & Psychology Social care, Promote Health,

Category 3
Invest more

Illness specific

Conclusion
Invest less

Meet demand

Category 4

Aging resources

Category 5 & 6

Illness specific

Category 5 & 6

Compete

Promote public
health

 Meet
Demand
Better
understandi
ng

Better
Planning

Cost
managem
ent

Revenue
increase
Better
services