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Present Scenario:
Pakistans economy is in a downward spiral. Inflation is at 25percent (food inflation 50%),
foreign reserves are falling, and the government is in danger of defaulting on its foreign
debt.
A spike in global food prices has hit Pakistanis especially hard, and the global financial
crisis only threatens to exacerbate Pakistans economic woes. Pakistan is watching foreign
investors flee.
Uncertainty:
Fraud:
ENERGY CRISIS:
Inflation means price hike, huge gar between demand
and supply, too many rupees chasing too few things.
More supply of Money due to; AID after 9/11.
Growth in banking sector and investment in real
estate. Poor supply of goods, food items due to low
yield.
Inflation due to rise in oil prices, food, removal of
food subsidy, devaluation of Rupee, higher import
price, Government borrowing from State Bank Rs .
544 billion. Resultantly increase in wage-price.
Delay in monetary tightening by the State Bank.
Government claims 25% while actual is 32% while
food inflation is 45%
Deceleration of growth in
manufacturing:
Energy crisis. Terrorist incidents. High interest rates discouraged Private investment.
High imports and low exports. 75 industrial units in Karachi and 85 in Faisalabad were
closed due to energy crisis.
Fiscal deficit:
Conclusion: