Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Outline
1. Introduction
2. Mergers and acquisition method and
process
3. The architecture of the knowledge-based
DSS.
4. Conclusions
References
Introduction
Operations
Strategies
Financials
Other aspects
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A database
A case base
A rule base
A model base
An inference engine
A user interface.
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The database
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Some rules:
Rule: 1
If Growth_Rate 30% of a similar industry then Type = Optimistic
Rule: 2
If 5% Growth_Rate 29% of a similar industry then Type =
Normal
Rule: 3
If -5% Growth_Rate 4% of a similar industry then Type =
Conservative
Rule: 4
If After_Merger_Business_Value 130%*
Before_Merger_Business_Value then Strong_Suggestion_to_Buy
Rule: 5
If 110%*Before_Merger_Business_Value
After_Merger_Business_Value <130%*
Before_Merger_Business_Value then Suggestion_to_Buy
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Rule: 6
If 100%*Before_Merger_Business_Value
After_Merger_Business_Value <110%*
Before_Merger_Business_Value then Suggestion_to_Wait
Rule:7
If Merger_Type = Electronic Industry then show Case 1
Rule: 8
If Merger_Type = Chemical Industry then show Case 2
Rule:9
If Choice = Discounted Free Cash Flow then execute Model1
Rule:10
If Choice = Economic Profit then execute Model2
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Beside a rule base, the KDSS also uses a case base in the
knowledge base.
The case base records all past cases of mergers and
acquisitions. For these cases, the basic financial data,
procedures, policies, legal issues, and other related problems are
evaluated, organized and saved in the case base.
There are four pairs of successful merger and acquisition
company, called X1Y1, X2Y2, X3Y3 and X4Y4, from Taiwans
electronic and chemical industries.
The four main cases in the current case base named CASE01,
CASE02, CASE03 and CASE04.
Each case links basic data, related regulations and taxes,
procedures, expert audits, and agreements, all organized in a
hierarchical format.
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The first two models are most popular. Here, DCF model and
economic profit model are used.
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When the business enters the mature stage, we can assume that g = 0
and the Eq. (1) can be simplified as follows:
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The economic profit equals the spread between the return on invested
capital and the cost of capital times the amount of invested capital. The
model can be defined as follows:
Economic Profit:
= Invested Capital (ROIC WACC)
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Conclusions
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References
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