2 Economic Environment The Rostow Modernization Model: Economic growth requires advancing from one stage to the other. The modernization stages are: Traditional Society Countries in the traditional society are characterized by an economic structure that is dominated by agriculture. Economic change and improvements are not sufficient to sustain any growth in per capita output which is low.
Transitional Society The transitional society stage is characterized by increased productivity in agriculture and modern manufacturing begins to emerge. In manufacturing low productivity remains the norm.
Take-Off During take-off, growth becomes the norm and improvements in production leads to the emergence of leading sectors. Incomes rise and new class of entrepreneurs emerge.
The Drive to Maturity In the drive-to-maturity stage, modern technology is fully adopted in all economic activity, and new leading sectors emerge. The economy demonstrates the technological and entrepreneurial skill to produce anything it chooses to. The economy looks beyond the countrys border for development.
High Mass Consumption In the age of high mass consumption, leading sectors shift towards durable goods. A surge occurs in per capita income and increased allocation to social welfare programmes. The masses can afford goods beyond food, clothing and shelter. 3 Economic Environment The Marxist-Leninst Model of Economic Development: According to this model, advancement is a function of the control of means of production, production outcomes of resource allocation and the development of a mindset devoid of materialist needs. Primitive Society This stage is characterized by the joint tribal ownership of primitive means production centered on agricultural tasks.
The Slavery-Based Society This stage emerges as a result of tribes dominance over other tribes and claim ownership of conquered tribes and their property.
Feudalism This stage is characterized by the feudal lords, who own the land and its dwellers.
Bourgeoisie This stage establishes lucrative means of production and achieves high productivity at the expense of exploited workers.
Capitalism The shift of production to the industrial sector and in its later stages, by imperialism where capital loses its national identity by crossing borders.
Imperialism Here capital loses its national identity by crossing borders.
Socialism A transition stage of economic and political development by the disappearance of private property and its replacement with collective state property.
Communism - A stage of economic and political development which is characterized by state and cooperative ownership of all means of production and property 4
Levels of Economic Development
Developed Countries Highly industrialized countries with well developed service sectors, mature markets and intense competition. They are characterized by the World Bank as high-income with a GNP per capita of US$9,266.
Emerging Markets Countries that are developing rapidly and have great economic potential. They are characterized by the World Bank as middle- income countries with a GNP per capita of US$766. to US$9,265.
Developing Countries Countries are primarily agrarian, often neglected or underserved by the large multinationals and are characterized by the World Bank as low-income countries with a GNP per capita of less than US$755. 5 Macro and Micro Environment A countrys economy is based on its sources of domestic livelihood and the allocation of those resources. The economic environment can be viewed from two different angles The Macro view and the Micro view. 6 Macro and Micro Environment Factors which contribute to the Macroeconomic Environment: Population and Income Structure of Consumption Other economic indicators such as production indicators, prices, finance Concept of economic advancement Economic systems Mutual economic dependence
Factors which contribute to the Microeconomic Environment: Sources of competition Competitive advantage
7 Evaluation of Economic Environments
S.No
Financial Considerations Technical and Engineering Feasibility Considerations
Marketing Considerations Economic and Legal Considerations Political and Social Considerations
1 Capital Acquisition plan
Raw materials availability
Market size
Legal systems
Internal political stability 2 Length of Payback period
Geography / Climate
Market potential Host government attitude towards Foreign investment
Relations with neighbouring countries 3 Projected cash inflows
Site locations and access
Distribution costs
Restrictions on ownership
Political/Social traditions 4 Projected cash outflows Availability of local labour and management
Competition
Tax laws
Religious / Racial / Language factors 5 ROI
Infrastructure
Promotion costs
Import / Export restrictions
Labour organizations and attitudes 6
Monetary Exchange considerations Time taken to establish sales channels
Capital flow restrictions
Skill / technical level of labour force
7 Land title acquisition 8 Legal Environment
Countries enact laws to control foreign businesses in their economies, and some of these laws are discriminatory against foreign goods and businesses. Laws are sometimes designed to allow reciprocity with nations on good trading terms with the country. Extremely favourable laws may be passed to attract foreign investment.
Laws that are framed for goods/services entering foreign markets are of various types. Tariffs. Antidumping Laws. 9 International Laws
International law is a huge area of study. Let us consider certain areas of international law that are of particular relevance to the marketer.
Protection of Property Property here refers to the patents, trademarks, etc
Regional Laws These laws pertain to specific areas involving a group of countries tie together through some kind of regional co-operation. Ex: ASEAN 10 Disputes Despite the inclusion of all precautionary clauses, disputes may emerge. The following are some of the methods used to settle disputes.
Arbitration In arbitration, parties to a dispute agree to take their case to a third party in the form of agency of independent arbitration. They submit whatever documents of evidence they feel are relevant and agree to accept the judgement of the arbitrators waiving their rights to appeal through court systems.
Arbitration has several advantages over litigation. It is a faster process over court procedures. Results are achieved faster and less expensive as the proceedings are less complex. The main drawback of international arbitration is that its use forecloses further appeals. 11 Disputes Judicial Settlement The International Court of Justice will decide on the dispute submitted to it in accordance with international law and shall use the sources of international law in the following order:
International Conventions
International Customs
General Principles of Law recognized by civilized nations
Judicial decisions or works of jurists as a subsidiary means for determining the rules of international law 12 Disputes Negotiations Negotiations are also means of settlement of international disputes. It is less formal method than judicial settlement. Sometimes disputes are settled only through negotiations.
Good Offices When two states are not able to resolve their disputes, a third state may offer its good offices for the same. An international organization or some individuals may also offer these offices. The third state/individual/international organization creates a conducive environment for the settlement of disputes, some general suggestions may be put forward, but the third party does not take active part in the negotiations.
Mediation In the case of mediation, the third state not only offers its services but also actively participates in the talks to resolve the dispute
13
Political Environment
Political Environment connotes diverse happenings such as civil difficulties, acts of terrorism against businesses and conflicts between countries in a particular region. Political stability has been found to be one of the crucial variables that companies weigh, when considering going overseas. If risks of violence, restriction of operations, or restrictions on repatriation of capital and remittances of profits are high in a particular country, it is necessary to know how to monitor that countrys ongoing political situation 14 Sources of Political Problems
Political Sovereignty This refers to a countrys desire to assert its authority over foreign businesses through various sanctions. Such sanctions are regular and therefore predictable. Many of the developing countries impose restrictions on foreign business to protect their independence. These countries are possessive about their political freedom and want to protect it at all costs, even if it means going at a slow economic pace without the help of MNCs. The industrialized nations, whose political sovereignty has been secure for a long time, require a more open policy for the economic realities of todays world. In order to reduce unemployment, limit inflation, deliver health servicesthese countries seek foreign technology. In these countries, multinationalism of business is politically acceptable and economically desirable.
Political Conflict Several countries in different parts of the world undergo political conflict of various sorts such as turmoil, internal warPolitical change, sometimes leads to a more favourable business climate. The effect of political conflict on business may be direct or indirect. Direct effects would be violence against the firm such as damaging company property, going on strikesIndirect effects occur because of changes in the government policy. 15 Sources of Political Problems Political Intervention Political intervention can be defined as a decision on the part of the host country government that may force a change in the operations, policies and strategies of a foreign firm. The intervention may vary from some sort of control to complete takeover, or annexation of the foreign enterprise. The magnitude of the intervention would vary according to the companys business in the country and the nature of the intervention. There are different types of intervention: Expropriation Domestication Exchange Control Import Restrictions Market Control Tax Control Price Control Labour Restrictions
16 Sources of Political Problems Expropriation Official seizure of foreign property by a host country whose intention is to use the seized property in the public interest. Expropriation is recognized by international law as the right of sovereign states, provided the expropriated firms are given prompt compensation, at fair market value, in convertible currencies.
Domestication This could be defined as creeping expropriation or a process by which controls and restrictions placed on the foreign firm gradually reduce the control of the owners. Although domestication may ultimately lead to expropriation, in a way it offers a compromise to both parties. The MNC continues to operate in the country while the host government is able to maintain leverage on the foreign firm through imposing different controls. Domestication involves several measures: Gradual transfer of ownership to nationals Promotion of large number of nationals to higher levels of management Greater decision making powers accorded to nationals More products produced locally than imported for assembly Specific export regulations designed to dictate participation in world markets
17 Sources of Political Problems Exchange Control Countries having difficulties with the balanced of trade often impose restrictions on the free use of foreign exchange (Ex: Repatriation of funds). The exchange control may also be an effort to encourage domestic industry.
Import Restrictions This is primarily imposed to protect and support the domestic industries.
Market Control The government of a country sometimes imposes market control to prevent foreign companies from competing in certain markets.
Tax Control This may be imposed by means of excessive and unconventional taxes on foreign business. This is primarily done for three reasons. Indirect way of warning them that they are no longer wanted in that country When the host country is in dire need of new revenues When the host government learns that the foreign company has abused differences in international taxation and have deprived the country of due revenue
Price Control For the sake of public interest in difficult economic times, countries often resort to price control. Countries use price control in various ways to improve their economies by setting an official price on essential products such as drugs, sugar, cereals, etc
Labour Restrictions In many countries, labour unions are very strong and have great political clout. In these countries labour restrictions are an effective form of government intervention. Using its strength the unions may be able to talk the government into passing very restrictive laws that support labour at heavy cost to business. 18 Factors which Influence the Political Environment
Type of government Government stability Government economic management International stance of government Change in government policy Relationship with parent companys home government Attitude towards foreign managers Administrative procedures Closeness of government to people
19 Political Risk Assessment
There are normally three methods to analyse the political risk: Grand Tour An executive or a team of executives visit the country, hold meetings with government, officials, local businessmen etcand based on these findings, they may come to a conclusion.
Old Hand In this approach, the advice of an outside consultant or expert is sought. These may be seasoned educators, diplomats, businesspersons, etcTheir decision helps the decision making process.
Delphi Technique Here a group of experts are asked to share their opinions independently on a given problem, in a form that can be scored in order to produce a statistical distribution or opinion. These experts are shown the resulting distribution and given a choice to alter their original views. This process is repeated several times. This technique is used to rate different political factors, like the stability of the government, the role of its armed forces, political conflicts, etc Based on the findings, the final decision is made.
Cultural Environment Doing business across national boundaries requires interaction with people nurtured in different cultural environments. Culture normally has the following characteristics:
People over time; transmit the culture of their group from generation to generation
One part of the culture is deeply connected with another part, such as religion with marriage, business with social status, etc
The tenets of culture are accepted by most members of the group.
Culture does not stand still, but changes slowly over time.
20 Cultural Environment When we talk about culture, there are certain factors to be considered:
Material Life Refers to economics, that is, what people do to derive their livelihood. The tools, knowledge, techniques, methods and processes that a culture utilizes to produce goods and services as well as their distribution and consumption, all are a part of material life. Material life reflects the standard of living and degree of technological advancement.
Social Interactions Social interactions establish the roles that people play in a society and their authority / responsibility patterns. These roles and patterns are supported by societys institutional framework, which includes education, marriage, etc
Language
Aesthetics Aesthetics include the art, drama, music, architecture, etcpertaining to a society
Religion and Faith Religion influences a cultures outlook on life, its meaning and concept
Ethics The concept of what is right and wrong is based on culture
21 Cross-Cultural Analysis of Consumer Behaviour
Determine the relevant motivations in the culture Determine characteristic behavior patterns Determine what broad cultural values are relevant to the product Determine characteristic forms of decision making Evaluate promotion methods appropriate to the culture Determine appropriate institutions for the product in the minds of customers Adapt to the cultural changes from time to time
22 Impact of Culture on Marketing Decisions 23 Customers Culture
Lifestyle Behaviour patterns Actions in the market place Impact on firms marketing decisions