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FIN 4250

Financing Issues

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

What Are the Big Financing Issues?


Cost of Capital Divisional Hurdles Capital Structure Leverage Refunding Dividends

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

What Is Capital?
Funding for long term investment Two types
Fixed payout
Bonds, preferred stock, etc.

Variable payout
Common stock, retained earnings

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

What is the Cost of Capital?


Each type of capital has its own cost (measured as a rate) The cost of capital is a weighted average of these rates
So, our goal is to calculate WACC the weighted average cost of capital

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

How Is the Cost of Capital Weighted?


Most firms have a capital structure that they are content to leave unchanged
Say, X% in bonds, and (100-X%) in equity

The Modigliani-Miller Theorem suggests that changing capital structure does little to the bottom line So, the cost of capital is weighted by those proportions unless there are other considerations
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 5

How Is the Cost of Capital Used, and How Does It Behave?


A firm uses the cost of capital to figure out how to finance the marginal investment
Marginal in the sense of next or additional

Typically retained earnings are a cheaper way to fill your variable payout category (because there are flotation costs with issuing new equity)
So, most firms WACC is lower for small investments, and higher for large ones
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 6

What Is the Difficulty in Calculating Cost of Capital?


Firms have different ways in which they raise capital The problems are that:
Their costs are quoted in different ways There are idiosyncrasies with each type of security

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

What Should Go Into the Cost of Capital?


Capital is long term
Debt Common stock Preferred stock Retained earnings

Other long term items can be added

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

Is the Cost of Bond Financing the Rate On Existing Bonds?


No rates change
You want the marginal rate that you would pay on new financing Note that flotation costs are often ignored because they are small for bonds

The marginal rate is caused by three things


The risk-free rate (which incorporates expectations of inflation) The risk premium (determined by the market and your prospects) Tax considerations
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 9

Is the Earnings/Price Ratio the Cost of Common Stock?


Yes if the firm is not expected to grow
Of course, in this case you probably wouldnt be as worried about the cost of capital anyway

No if the firm is growing

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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Is the Dividend/Price Ratio the Cost of Preferred Stock?


No Preferred stock often has higher placement costs Most preferred dividends (70%) are nontaxable

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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How Do I Calculate the Cost of Bonds?


The current price must equal the PV of the maturity value, plus the PV of the stream of coupons P = M/(1+k)N + sum{C/(1+k)n}
Solve for k

Deflate k by the appropriate tax rate to get the cost of bonds, kd=k(1-t)
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 12

What Are the Pitfalls with the Cost of Bonds?


Thin trading
Use a bond rating as a proxy

Yield curve extrapolation


Is the horizon your costing currently available?

Callability
This is a mess because you have to incorporate how the yield curve might effect your decision to call but it can be done
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 13

How Do I Calculate the Cost of Common Stock?


Use the CAPM Use discounted cash flow
Note that you have to use this method to reasonably account for flotation costs on new issues

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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How Do I Use the CAPM to Calculate the Cost of Equity?


Obtain:
A risk-free rate The market risk premium The for your firm

Be aware that all of those must be chosen appropriately for the horizon of your project which might be different than what you would use to make a portfolio investment decision Calculate the cost of capital ks = krf + (km-krf) Note that there isnt a reasonable way to incorporate flotation costs
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 15

How Do I Use Discounted Cash Flow to Calculate the Cost of Equity?


Obtain the:
Current price Expected future dividends Expected future growth rate

Calculate:
kcs = g + D(1+g)/(P-Flotation Costs)

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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Where Do I Get an Expected Growth Rate to Use for Costing?


Use analysts forecasts Use the product of the retention rate and the return on equity

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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How Do I Calculate the Cost of Preferred Stock?


Cost is the dividend divided by the amount you clear after flotation, weighted by how much is taxable. kps = (1-.3t)D/(Price-Flotation Cost)

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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How Do I Value the Cost of Retained Earnings?


Retained earnings and common stock are costed in the same ways Use the:
CAPM (see above) Discounted cash flow (see above) Construct a guesstimate:
From your current bond yield plus a risk premium

Then make a judgment call combining all of them


Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 19

How Do I Construct Weighted Cost of Capital?


The rates are weighted across the components by their share of your capital structure
Need to decide whether to use book or market value, lean towards the latter

Usually there are two possibilities:


Bonds, preferred stock, and retained earnings, or Bonds, preferred stock, and new equity issues

The difference is how much the flotation costs of new issues effect your choice to retain earnings
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 20

What Is a Marginal Cost of Capital Chart?


This shows the rates, as well as the step at the cutoff where new equity has to be issued for a large enough investment Generally shown as two flat segments with a step
In reality, the rightward segment will eventually slope upward reflecting limited ability to place large amounts of common stock
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 21

How Is Depreciation Handled?


Depreciation is a source of internal cash flow, just like retained earnings Therefore, count it as a retained earning in your calculations

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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What Factors Effect the Cost of Capital That A Firm Cant Control?
Interest rates Tax rates

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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What Factors Effect the Cost of Capital That A Firm Can Control?
Capital structure
Perhaps you can assume more debt to lower the cost of capital

Dividend policy
Perhaps you can reduce your dividends to reduce the cost of capital

Investment policy
Perhaps you can choose less risky projects
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 24

What Are the Potential Pitfalls In Calculating the Cost of Capital?


Private ownership less data Small firms less data Measurement problems
What is the risk-free rate What is the expected growth rate? What is the risk premium?

Capital structure may change


Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 25

What Are the Mistakes to Avoid?


Use the current rather than the historical cost of debt Dont mix a historical risk premium with a current risk-free rate in the CAPM Unless the firm has an explicit target, your share weights should be based on market valuations Accounts payable and accruals are not sources of capital
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 26

How Is Cost of Capital Used with Hurdles?


Estimate the rate the company has to earn on an investment to make it worthwhile Compare the cost of capital to that rate
Invest if rate > cost of capital Dont invest otherwise

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What About Corporate Divisions With Different Projects?


Different divisions within a firm will have investment opportunities with different rates of return
But, remember that rates of return are correlated with risk

A pitfall for a company is that the riskier division(s) may have more projects that clear the investment hurdle so a company that doesnt have divisional hurdles may find itself getting riskier through time
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 28

How Can the Volatility of Different Divisions Be Measured?


You can calculate betas for different divisions Obviously this will be easiest if the divisions are stand-alone and have their own equity Alternatively, you can Look at the betas for firms that have operations similar to your divisions Recall that beta is the ratio of the variances of your risk premium to that of the market, and proxy for those premiums with earnings Make an adjustment based on standard deviations of earnings without reference to beta
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 29

How Will Cost of Capital Vary Across Divisions?


This really depends on whether your fixed payout items are issued for the corporation as a whole or by each division It doesnt matter as much if common stock is issued by the corporation rather than by the divisions
This is because most divisions have either an explicit or implicit capability of retaining earnings
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How Will Cost of Capital Behave If Debt Is Corporate But Earnings Can Be Retained at the Division Level?
The only difference in cost of capital will be from how beta effects the weight you put on common stock or retained earnings

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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What Are the Pitfalls In Having Corporate Debt But Divisional Equity (or Retained Earnings)?
This may still allow the risky division to grow faster as it takes advantage of cheaper debt available from the corporation

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How Will Cost of Capital Behave If All Capital Is Raised at the Division Level?
Now the bond market will also be pricing the risk of the division, and the higher risk division will not have an advantage On the other hand, what is the point of having a division (as opposed to an independent firm) in this case?
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 33

What Are the Pitfalls In Letting Divisions Have Their Own Debt?
Firms dont know too much about the appropriateness of their own capital structure, so how would you know how much debt each division could carry? Who will back up the debt
Division: then whats the point of keeping them as a subsidiary? Corporation: there is a moral hazard for divisional managers
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 34

How Serious a Short-Term Problem Can Differences In Divisional Risk Be?


This problem becomes smaller as:
The firm gets larger The projects get smaller The time frame is shorter

For example, suppose the firm has X% debt. Adopting projects with Y% debt will only slowly move the overall structure from X% to Y%.
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 35

Are There Incentive Problems With Divisions?


Firms exist because they are better at reducing transactions costs than markets
This is the Coase Theorem

But markets trade off risk for return in a cheap and decentralized way Financing with divisions is a problem the Coase Theorem says we should go the other way
Incentive problems come about when we do that incompletely
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What Is Capital Structure?


The breakdown of the firms capital (longterm financing) into fixed and variable payout items
And then into finer categories

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What Is the Appropriate Capital Structure?


The short answer is that there isnt one The long answer is that we probably cant tell what the appropriate capital structure is, so most firms work under the assumption that they shouldnt change the existing capital structure drastically
It worked before, it will work again

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Why Should We Care About Capital Structure?


Firms have business risk generated by what they do But then firms adopt additional financial risk when they finance with debt
They trade off access to capital at lower rates for potential loss of control if they cant make payments

In principle, you can measure these with return on equity


A leverage firm will have a higher ROE, but its hard to demonstrate this because it isnt clear what to compare it to
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 39

What Is the (Nave) Theory of Capital Structure?


The Modigliani-Miller Theorem says that (in the absence of distortionary taxes) a firm cant improve its profitability by changing its capital structure
This is basically a you-cant-game-the-system result The problem with it is that in the real world, we do have distortionary taxes
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 40

What Is the (Not-So-Nave) Theory of Capital Structure?


Our tax system favors debt financing without limits Theoretically then, it is optimal to be infinitely leveraged
This may seem strange, but it follows because the cost of being overleveraged (bankruptcy) is not explicit or tangible

Fall 2005

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What Is An Even Less Nave Theory of Capital Structure?


Marginal tax rates on equity are not as high as we think
Double taxation is a misnomer the rates arent added theyre compounded

Marginal tax rates on debt may be higher than we think


Individual rates are often higher than corporate and capital gains rates

We may be pretty close to the basic ModiglianiMiller result


Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 42

Capital Structure
What are the pros and cons? Is there an ideal one?

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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What Are the Advantages of Financing with Debt?


Tax benefit Because it requires a consistent cash flow, it disciplines managers

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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What are the Disadvantages of Financing with Debt?


Increased risk of loss of control (through bankruptcy) Increased potential for conflict between equity holders and debt holders Loss of flexibility for future financing

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What are the Tax Benefits of Debt?


Tax write-off (100% of interest in the U.S.) Most countries have this
Some try to correct for it
Carrot: the U.K. - tax credit on dividends Stick: Germany - tax penalty on retained earnings

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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Why Is Firm Value Positively Correlated with Reasonable Debt Levels?


All firms increase their value by issuing debt, since there is a positive present value associated with not paying taxes on interest you will pay in the future This gain is the tax rate expected on future earnings times the face value of debt at issue Note that this tax rate is not marginal, since it covers all the debt not just changes in debt Note that this says nothing about costs of debt
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 47

What Savings Are Realized from Debt Finance?


Effective interest rates on debt are lower
kD = r(1-t) Note that we use the marginal tax rate since we are talking about new debt Note that this is only a benefit if your actually making earnings that can be taxed.

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What Can We Predict About the Relationship of Taxes and Debt?


Firms that face higher tax rates should have more leverage
We see this with REITs, which dont pay corporate taxes, and are less leveraged than similar firms

Firms that can shield themselves in other ways say through depreciation should have less debt Changes in tax rates should be correlated with changes in leverage ratios Countries with higher taxes should have more leveraged firms
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 49

How Does Debt Discipline a Firm?


Free cash flows those over which managers have some discretion invite management inefficiency For practical purposes, there has to be some limit to how much you need to discipline your managers so this isnt an argument for infinite leverage

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What Can We Infer From the Propensity of Debt to Rein In Management?


Managers with a preference for equity financing probably dont want investors watching them too closely Countries in which shareholders have more power should also be ones in which leverage is higher Takeover targets are less leveraged than other firms Operating efficiency is higher in leveraged firms

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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When Is Bankruptcy More Likely?


Operating cash flows are small relative to debt obligations Operating cash flows are relatively volatile

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What Are the Direct Costs of Bankruptcy?


Not very high
1% of assets held 5 years prior to bankruptcy 5% of assets at the time of bankruptcy
This reflects slow dissolution of assets prior to filing

Costs are higher if the firm is holding assets that are less liquid

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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What Are the Indirect Costs of Bankruptcy?


Declining revenue associated with bankruptcy fears on the part of customers Stricter terms on payables

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What Features Are Likely to Lead to Higher Indirect Costs?


Sellers of products with:
Long lives Lots of replacement parts Lots of service

Sellers of products whose quality cant be determined in advance Firms producing products with lots of complements
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 55

What Sort of Firms Will Use More Debt Because of the Nature of Bankruptcy Costs?
Stable cash flows Debt payments that can be linked to cash flows Implicit or explicit government backup Firms whose assets are easily divisible and marketable
Brand names are likely to be associated with lower debt
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 56

What Is the Agency Problem with Borrowing?


Equity holders:
Control decision making Prefer riskier projects (since equity is like a call option)

Debt holders
Can end up assuming more risk than they want to Owning a bond is like selling the company a put in exchange for a risk-free note
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 57

What Aspects of Financial Management Are Affected by this Agency Problem?


Project choice Choice of project financing Cash disbursement

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How Does the Agency Problem Affect Project Choice?


Managers devise projects and calculate hurdle rates Bondholders lend money based on hurdle rates and perceived risk of projects Once money is lent, equity holders have an incentive to find even riskier projects
This transfer wealth from bondholders to equityholder Perversely, equityholders may even be interested in projects with negative NPV because they are high risk, and on net are winners for equityholders
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 59

How Do Bondholders Protect Themselves?


With debt covenants that restrict the decision-making freedom of managers and equityholders

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What Is the Agency Problem for Project Finance?


Equityholders have the authority to give issuers of new debt priority (in bankruptcy) over existing debt
This transfers some of the wealth of old debtholders to equityholders

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How Do Bondholders Protect Themselves from Being Disprioritized?


Write a put clause into the bond contract
This allows the bonds to be sold back to the firm - at the holders discretion and at face value

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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What Is the Agency Problem with Cash Disbursement?


In the absence of viable projects, equityholders usually want to either:
Pay out cash as dividends, or Use it to repurchase stock

Debtholders prefer that cash be retained to ensure that they get paid
There is evidence that bond prices go down after dividend announcements
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 63

How Do Debtholder Protect Themselves Against Poor Use of Cash?


Covenants that restrict dividend rates Hybrid securities like convertible bonds

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What Are the Implications of the Agency Cost Problems?


Bond prices will be higher due to expectations of abuse Direct costs of monitoring covenants will push bond prices higher Indirect costs of foregone opportunities that covenants restrict

Fall 2005

Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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What Are the Implications of Loss of Flexibility from Debt Finance?


How do we value this? Flexibility is more valuable when: You have more potential projects You have better potential projects Your projects will yield more volatile cash flows This is consistent with why Microsoft or Intel uses little (long-term) debt but holds much cash
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 66

What Is the EBIT-EPS Tradeoff?


EBIT and EPS are positively correlated Assuming a standard strategy of issuing debt to buy stock,
A graph of the two will be steeper as the firm becomes more leveraged

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What Are the Most Important Factors for Managers In Assuming Debt?
Survey evidence (on a 1-5 scale)
5: flexibility, long-term survivability 4: predictable, maximize value, maintain independence, maintain rating 2: maintain comparability with other firms in the industry

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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W hat Is the Modigliani-Miller [1958] Theorem?


Assumptions
No taxes No issuance costs No costs to bankruptcy No agency costs

Not surprisingly, they find that capital structure doesnt matter


This is the list if pros and cons from the beginning of the capital structure section
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 69

What Happens to Modigliani-Miller With Taxes and Interest WriteOffs?


Allowing for taxes with a write-off of interest - makes the optimal capital structure 100% debt

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What Happens to (Modigliani)Miller with Realistic Taxes On All Parties?


Capital structure wont matter if:
All tax rates are zero Tax rates on debt and equity are the same Taxes on personal income (which is the relevent rate for debt) are substantially higher than on corporations making up for the double taxation of equity
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 71

What Is the Practical Implication of the Modigliani-Miller Theorem?


They were the first to point out that there were tradeoffs worth thinking about
Up to this time you determined you capital structure through imitation

It implies that a firm is made or broken on the basis of project choice


Bad choices cant be fixed with finance Good choices cant be ruined with finance
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 72

How Is Modigliani-Miller Helpful?


Its really saying that the cost of capital doesnt change when you change your capital structure How is this possible?
As you shift more towards an asset with a low rate, you increase the costs associated with that method as well Its a zero profit condition for capital structure changes

Project decisions canand should be made on the merits of the project, not on how it is financed
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 73

What Are the Two Practical Views On Debt?


There is no optimal level of debt Debt is preferable up to some threshold level

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How Else Do Firms Choose a Capital Structure?


Base it on where you are in your growth cycle Look at comparable firms Use some hierarchy to help make your choices

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Does Financing Mix Change Across the Firms Life Cycle?


On net, the costs of debt appear to decline as the business grows to maturity (and into decline)
Increasing factors:
Tax benefits Added discipline

Declining factors
Bankruptcy costs Agency costs Need for flexibility
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 76

Does Financing Mix Depend On Your Industry?


There is strong empirical evidence to support this This doesnt mean this is evidence of a management strategy
Each firm may be drawn to a similar capital structure by the costs and benefits of debt

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Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes

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Is There a Financing Hierarchy?


Yes, and it appears to be related to flexibility and control In order, managers prefer to finance with
Retained earnings Straight debt Convertible debt Common stock Preferred stock Convertible preferred stock
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 78

Is Information Asymmetry Related to the Financing Hierarchy?


If managers believe the stock is already underpriced they may reject good projects rather than raise external funding, and vice versa This suggests that retained earnings are preferred because they allow projects to be judged on their merits rather than on the image their financing will project
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 79

What Is the Significance of the Financing Hierarchy?


The street seems to use this ranking as an indicator of financial strength
If you are issuing convertible preferred, it is a sign of weakness

More extremely, issuing securities at all is a sign of weakness


If you prefer retained earnings, and you have to issue securities, it is a sign you arent doing well enough to support the projects coming your way
Fall 2005 Dr. Tuftes FIN 4250 Notes 80

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