Global average temperature could increase by more than 4degc in the course of the 21st century. Conditions already exist for the complete loss of the Himalayan Hindu-Kush ice sheet. Cholera is expected to increase in south and East Asia due to projected changes in hydrological cycle associated with global warming.
Global average temperature could increase by more than 4degc in the course of the 21st century. Conditions already exist for the complete loss of the Himalayan Hindu-Kush ice sheet. Cholera is expected to increase in south and East Asia due to projected changes in hydrological cycle associated with global warming.
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Global average temperature could increase by more than 4degc in the course of the 21st century. Conditions already exist for the complete loss of the Himalayan Hindu-Kush ice sheet. Cholera is expected to increase in south and East Asia due to projected changes in hydrological cycle associated with global warming.
Copyright:
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
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Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
Climate Change in the Fisheries Sector Herman Kumara, Convener-National Fisheries Solidarity Movement, [NAFSO]-Sri Lanka General Secretary-World Forum of Fisher Peoples’ [WFFP] During the past 11500 years, the period of human civilization, temperatures had varied within a
narrow 1 degree band.
In the course of the 21st century, global average temperature could increase by more than 4°C. • Nepal is the home of numerous peaks • 2323 glacier lakes • 3252 glacier rivers
• Since last 30 years temperature is
increasing by 0.6 Degree Celsius Impacting Snow melting, • 20 glacier lakes are endanger to burst, debris deposition, siltation due to deforestation, land slide, & flooding Taken together with those on the neighboring Tibetan Plateau, the Himalayan Hindu-Kush glaciers represent the largest body of ice on the planet outside the polar regions.
This ice sheet and its glaciers feed seven of the Asia’s great river systems : the Indus, Ganges, Brahmaputra, Salween, Mekong, Yangtze and Huang He.
The basins of these rivers are home to 1.3 billion people
from Pakistan to Indochina, including parts of India and China.
The conditions already exist for the complete loss of the
Himalayan Hindu Kush ice sheet. Many scientist are now of the view that the complete loss of the Himalayan glaciers is inevitable, given the warming trend and the current political inertia. FLOODS • Approximately 66 million people suffered flood damage from 1973 to 1997. • Between 1987 and 1997, 44% of all flood disasters affected Asia, claiming 228,000 lives (roughly 93% of all flood-related deaths worldwide). Economic losses for the region total US$136 billion.000. • Floods account for 15% of all deaths related to natural disasters, famines for 42%. Endemic morbidity and mortality due to diarrhoeal disease primarily associated with floods and droughts are expected to rise in East, South and Southeast Asia due to projected changes in hydrological cycle associated with global warming. Increases in coastal water temperature would exacerbate the abundance and/or toxicity of cholera in South Asia.
Small Islands, whether located in the
Tropics or higher latitudes, have characteristics which make them especially vulnerable to the effects of climate change, sea level rise and extreme events.
Deterioration in coastal conditions, for
Water scarcity • Climate change is expected to account for about 20 percent of the global increase in water scarcity. • 1.2 Billion people in the world today do not have safe drinking water. • A 2006 study by the UK Meteorological Office concluded that, with no mitigation of climate change, the severe droughts that now occur only once every 50 years will occur every other year by 2100. Water Scarcity • Asia already has 60% of the world's population but only 36% of the globe's freshwater • Over the next decade the number of people at risk of water scarcity is likely to rise from tens of millions to billions Dry Land & Water Bodies Impacts on Small Producers Women Vendors at fish Women Processors at work Market for daily wages The mean minimum night-time temperature during the dry season at the IRRI fields has risen since 1979 by 1.13 degrees Celsius, or triple the 0.35 percent rise in maximum daytime temperature. Yields fell by 15 percent for every one-degree Celsius increase in mean daily minimum temperature. SEA LEVEL RISE While large sea-level-rise figures may seem abstract, a rise of 1 meter will have a devastating impact on densely populated river deltas in the developing world, as homes and agricultural land are lost and damaged by storm surges. Cities Under Threat due to sea level rise Cities Under Threat due to sea level rise In Industrial regions, small rises will have severe impacts on coastal infrastructure : Loss of beaches, ports, and shipping facilities; flooding of transport links, inundation of underground facilities, including sewers, water, electricity transmission and communications infrastructure; as well as the loss of industrial and domestic building “Even if the world agrees at make-or-break climate talks in December to slash CO2 emissions, many of those impacts -- rising sea levels, increased disease, flooding and drought -- are already inevitable.” UN scientists say. Of the 28 nations deemed at "extreme risk", 22 are in Africa. Bangladesh and Sri Lanka are similarly threatened, with Pakistan right on the edge and India not far behind. ASIA – CLIMATE HOTSPOT? • In the regional level, freshwater availability in Central, South, East and Southeast Asia particularly in large river basins is projected to decrease due to climate change which, along with population growth and increasing demand arising from higher standards of living, could adversely affect more than a billion people by the 2050s.
• Coastal areas, especially heavily-populated mega-delta regions
in South, East and Southeast Asia, will be at greatest risk due to increased flooding from the sea and in some mega-deltas flooding from the rivers.
• It is projected that crop yields could increase up to 20% in East
and Southeast Asia while it could decrease up to 30% in Central and South Asia by the mid-21st century. Taken together and considering the influence of rapid population growth and urbanization, the risk of hunger is projected to remain very high in several developing countries. Wildlife Effects • Polar Bears – Require pack ice to live – Might eventually go extinct in the wild • Sea turtles – Breed on the same islands as their birth – Could go extinct on some islands as beaches are flooded • Other species may go extinct as rainfall patterns change throughout the world • Biodiversity in the region may decrease as plants and animals struggle to adapt to the new conditions of changed rainfall patterns, increased temperature and increased frequency and intensity of extreme events. Increased ocean temperatures would be especially detrimental to sensitive marine organisms such as corals, which may bleach resulting in overall reef degradation. Impacts “With a one-degree rise in sea temperature, the Caribbean's fishing industry could virtually collapse”.
"The coral reefs at this time are at the upper limits at
which they can stay alive if no action is taken to increase the ability to withstand higher temperatures. That has negative feedback because reefs provide the habitats for all of our marine life, so if you destroy the reefs, the fish will migrate," Kenrick Leslie –Executive Director, Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre, Belmopan, Belize, Impacts on Planktons • “Further evidence of this warming signal is seen in the appearance of a Pacific planktonic organisms in the Northwest Atlantic for the first time in 800,000 years by transfer across the top of Canada due to the rapid melting of the Arctic in 1998,”
Dr. Christian Nellemann.
Impacts on Coral Reefs • There the 80- 100% of the world’s coral reefs may suffer annual bleaching events by 2080 under global warming scenarios. • Those at particular risk are in the Western Pacific; the Indian Ocean; the Persian Gulf; the Middle East and in the Caribbean Impacts on Employment • Worldwide, marine • Atmospheric carbon and freshwater concentration will lead to warm sea water which will fisheries generate lead to decline of marine over US$130 billion species and coral bleaching. annually, employ at least 200 million Hotter water means less • people, and feed food, less offspring and billions of people even less oxygen for marine reliant on fish as an and freshwater fish important source of populations, since the amount of oxygen dissolved protein in water decreases as temperatures rise. . Impacts on Food systems • Climate change threatens coastal infrastructure, food and water supplies and the health of people across the world. • It will add significantly to pressures on fish stocks. • This is as much a development and economic issue as it is an environmental one. • Millions of people in developing countries derive their livelihoods from fishing while around 2.6 billion people get their protein from seafood,” Impacts • “ Climate Change from dramatic alternations in ocean circulation affecting perhaps a three quarter of key fishing grounds up to the emerging concern of ocean acidification,” Achim Steiner, UN Under-Secretary General and UNEP Executive Director, CO2 EMMISSIONS &CLIMATE CHANGE • CO2 emissions will increase the Acidity of Seas and Oceans. • Impact Calcium and shell-forming marine life including Corals, tiny Planktonic organisms at the base of the food chain. • Increasing concentrations of C02 in the atmosphere are likely to be mirrored by increasing acidification of the marine environment. • Increasing acidification may reduce the availability of CaCo3 in sea water, including a key one known as aragonite which is used by a variety of organisms for shell-building. • Cold-water and deep water corals could be affected by acidification by 2050 and shell- building organisms throughout the Southern Ocean and into the sub-Arctic Pacific Ocean by 2100. Pollution “It was critical that existing stresses were also addressed too in order to conserve fish stocks and coral reefs in a climate constrained world. There was growing evidence that coral reefs recover from bleaching better in cleaner, less polluted waters”. Stefan Hain UNEP World Conservation Monitoring Centre SOME AFFECTED FISH SPECIES “Parrot Fish, Tuna and Dolphin Would not survive a one-degree rise in sea water temperature and would, therefore, Migrate to water bodies further North”
Kenrick Leslie, executive director of the Caribbean
Community Climate Change Centre in Belmopan, Belize Climatic Specialist Impacts • The parrot fish plays a dual role, as it is one of the most effective cleaners of coral reefs.
"By foraging on the coral reef, it keeps algae growth
in check, so that the algae do not overpower the coral reef and cause it to die. The disappearance of the parrot fish would, therefore, be a loss not only to the palates of seafood lovers, but to the reefs, which would be even more vulnerable to attacks from various forms of algae, which are increasing due to other bad environmental practices” Andre Kong – Jamaica Leading Fish Expert Water Wars In the midst of a development crisis? • 2 billion people without access to clean cooking fuels
• 1 billion people go to bed on hunger every night, 750
million from Asia
• More than 1.5 billion people live without electricity
• More than 1 billion have poor access to fresh water
• About 800 million people chronically undernourished
• 2 million children die per year from diarrhea
• 30,000 deaths each day from preventable diseases
Healing the Mother Earth “We need to plant trees all over as part of our commitment in all the nations by all, side by side with working on the causes of war” Wangari Maathai Nobel Prize Winner from Kenya 5th June 2007 in Oslo 8th Sophie Foundation Award Need Visionary Leadership Mohammed Nasheed, President of Maldives has set goals to turn the Maldives into the first nation to be carbon neutral by 2020. The 200 inhabited islands in the Maldives want to switch over to solar and wind-driven generators and authorities hope to drastically reduce the number of motorcycles that choke Male's narrow streets. Act Now or Lose Forever Industrial Nations must acknowledge their Historic Responsibility for Global Warming and accept ambitious and binding emission reduction targets consistent with an average temperature increase of below 1.5 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial levels. Mohammed Nasheed U.N. summit of world leaders-22 Sept 2009 Need more such leadership! "What we need in international negotiations is that politicians in the world assume responsibility in order to firmly prevent climate change and protect peace and stability at global levels," "Our nation will strongly call on major countries around the world to set aggressive goals," Yukio Hatoyama –Japan Prime Minister Inconvenient truth! "My country is the largest source of pollution and most responsible for creating the problem. There is need for a change in the US policy on climate and whoever comes to the White House after the November presidential polls will have to take necessary steps” Al Gore - Former US Vice-President and Nobel Peace Laureate What WFFP Says! “The disasters come one after other like tsunami, earth quakes, floods, cyclones, ice falling in the gulf, coldest climate in china etc. are linked with climate change. All these are connected with Marine Life, one way or another. Unless we take these seriously & they go out of our hands, we become helpless, which will lead to the total destruction of the whole planet. Can we be idle any longer”? Thomas Kocherry- Special Invitee to WFFP CC. UNFCCC: The preamble “Acknowledging the global nature of climate change calls for the widest possible cooperation by all countries and their participation in an effective and appropriate international response, in accordance with their common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities”