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=
E(r)
10
20
30
40
50
o(r)
0
26.5
34.6
38.7
40.0
Risk-Averse Indifference Curve
When E(u) = 180, and u
i
= 0 + 20r
i
- .2r
i
2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 10 20 30 40 50
Expected Return
Standard Deviation of Returns
Maximizing Utility
Given the efficient set of investment possibilities and a
mass of indifference curves, an investor would
maximize his/her utility by finding the point of
tangency between an indifference curve and the
efficient set.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 10 20 30 40 50
Expected Return
Standard Deviation of Returns
Portfolio That
Maximizes
Utility
E(u) = 380
E(u) = 280
E(u) = 180
Problems With Quadratic Utility Functions
Quadratic utility functions turn down after they reach
a certain level of return (or wealth). This aspect is
obviously unrealistic:
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0 20 40 60 80
Total Utility
Percent Return
Unrealistic
Problems With Quadratic Utility
Functions (Continued)
As discussed in the Appendix on utility
functions, with a quadratic utility function, as
your wealth level increases, your willingness to
take on risk decreases (i.e., both absolute risk
aversion [dollars you are willing to commit to
risky investments] and relative risk aversion
[% of wealth you are willing to commit to
risky investments] increase with wealth levels).
In general, however, rich people are more
willing to take on risk than poor people.
Therefore, other mathematical functions (e.g.,
logarithmic) may be more appropriate.
Two Additional Assumptions of the CAPM
Assumption II - All investors are in agreement
regarding the planning horizon (i.e., all have the same
holding period), and the distributions of security
returns (i.e., perfect knowledge exists).
Assumption III - There are no frictions in the capital
market (i.e., no taxes, no transaction costs, no
restrictions on short-selling).
Note: Many of the assumptions are obviously
unrealistic. Later, we will evaluate the consequences of
relaxing some of these assumptions. The assumptions
are made in order to generate a model that examines
the relationship between risk and expected return
holding many other factors constant.
The CAPM With Unlimited Borrowing &
Lending at a Risk-Free Rate of Return
First, using the Markowitz full covariance model we
need to generate an efficient set based on all risky
assets in the universe:
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 20 40
Expected Return
Standard Deviation of Returns
Capital Market Line (CML)
Next, the risk-free asset is introduced. The
Capital Market Line (CML) is then
determined by plotting a line that goes
through the risk-free rate of return, and is
tangent to the Markowitz efficient set. This
point of tangency identifies the Market
Portfolio (M). The CML equation is:
) (r
) (r
r ) E(r
r ) E(r
p
M
F M
F p
(
+ =
Capital Market Line (CML) - Continued
0
0.25
0.5
0 0.48
Expected Return
Standard Deviation of Returns
E(r
M
)
M
o(r
M
)
Lending
Borrowing
CML
r
F
Portfolio Risk and the CML
Note that all points on the CML except the Market
Portfolio dominate all points on the Markowitz
efficient set (i.e., provide a higher expected return for
any given level of risk). Therefore, all investors should
invest in the same risky portfolio (M), and then lend or
borrow at the risk-free rate depending on their risk
preferences.
That is, all portfolios on the CML are some
combination of two assets: (1) the risk-free asset, and
(2) the Market Portfolio. Therefore, for portfolios on
the CML:
) (r x ) (r and ) (r x ) (r
Free) (Ri sk- 0 ) (r si nce However,
) (r ) (r x x 2 ) (r x ) (r x ) (r
M M p M
2 2
M p
2
F
M F M , r M r M
2 2
M F
2 2
r
p
2
F F
F
= =
=
+ + =
Portfolio Risk and the CML (Continued)
By definition, since o(r
p
) = x
M
o(r
M
), all portfolios that
lie on the CML are perfectly positively correlated with
the Market Portfolio (i.e., 100% of the variance in the
portfolios returns is explained by the variance in the
markets returns, when the portfolio lies on the CML).
Recall the Single-Factor Models Measure of Variance
) (r ) (r
) (r ) (r
: CML the on portfol i os for Therefore,
0 ) ( 1.00, : When
) ( ) (r ) (r
M p p
M
2 2
p p
2
p
2
M p,
p
2
M
2 2
p p
2
=
=
= =
+ =
Note, since o(r
M
) is the
same for all portfolios,
all of the risk of a
portfolio on the CML is
reflected in its beta.
Capital Market Line (CML
Versus
Security Market Line (SML)
Recall Property II:
Given a population of securities, there will be a
simple linear relationship between the beta
factors of different securities and their
expected (or average) returns if and only if the
betas are computed using a minimum variance
market index portfolio.
Therefore:
Given the CML, we can determine the SML
(relationship between beta & expected return)
CML Versus SML
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0 0.5 1 1.5
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0 0.48
E(r)
E(r)
o(r)
CML
SML
|
M
C
B
A
C
M
B
A
r
F r
F
E(r
M
) E(r
M
)
o(r
M
)
Portfolios That Lie on the CML
Will Also Lie on the SML
CML Equation:
Can be restated as:
And, since for portfolios on the CML:
We can state that for portfolios on the CML:
) (r
) (r
r ) E(r
r ) E(r
p
M
F M
F p
(
+ =
) (r
) (r
] r ) [E(r r ) E(r
M
p
F M F p
+ =
) (r ) (r
M p p
=
) (r
) (r
M
p
p
=
Therefore, for portfolios on the CML:
Individual Securities Will Lie on the SML,
But Off the CML
Recall:
However:
in well diversified portfolios (i.e., can be done
away with)
Equati on SML
] r ) [E(r r ) E(r
) (r
) (r
] r ) [E(r r ) E(r
p F M F p
M
p
F M F p
+ =
+ =
) ( ) (r ) (r
p
2
M
2 2
p p
2
+ =
0 ) (
p
2
=
Therefore, Relevant Risk may be defined as:
And since:
We can state that:
That is, a securitys contribution to the risk of a portfolio
can be measured by its beta. Since an individual securitys
residual variance can be diversified away in a portfolio,
the market place will not reward this unnecessary risk.
Since only beta is relevant, individual securities will be
priced to lie on the SML.
) (r ) (r
M
2 2
p p
2
=
=
=
m
1 j
j j p
x
Ri sk Rel evant
) (r x ) (r
M
2
2
m
1 j
j j p
2
|
|
|
.
|
\
|
=
=
Individual Security on the SML and Off the CML
(Continued)
0
30
0 50
0
30
0 1 2
E(r) E(r)
o(r) |
CML
M M
Off the CML
22
18
10
22.5 33.75
22
18
10
On the SML
SML
1.5
Relationship Between the SML and the
Characteristic Line (In Equilibrium)
Characteristic Line:
Security Market Line (SML):
As a result, in equilibrium, all characteristic lines pass
through the risk-free rate.
) E(r A ) E(r
r A r
M j j j
t j, t M, j j t j,
+ =
+ + =
) (1 r A m equi l i bri u In : Note
) E(r ) (1 r ) E(r
: g Rearrangi n
] r ) [E(r r ) E(r
j F j
M j j F j
j F M F j
=
+ =
+ =
Characteristic Line Versus SML
(In Equilibrium)
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0 10 20
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0 0.5 1 1.5
|
2
= 1.5
|
1
=.5
r
j
r
M
E(r
2
)
E(r
M
)
E(r
1
)
r
F
A
1
A
2
Characteristic Line
E(r
M
) =
A
1
= 10(1 - .5) = 5
A
2
= 10(1 - 1.5) = -5
E(r)
|
Security Market Line
E(r
2
)
E(r
M
)
E(r
1
)
r
F
Characteristic Line Versus SML
(In Disequilibrium: Undervalued Security)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0 0.5 1 1.5 -10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0 10 20
E(r
2
)
E(r
E
)
E(r
M
)
r
F
A
E
E(r
M
) =
|
2
= 1.5
r
j
r
M
Characteristic Line
Security Market Line
E(r)
|
E(r
2
)
E(r
E
)
E(r
M
)
r
F
Characteristic Line Versus SML
(In Disequilibrium: Overvalued Security)
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 0.5 1 1.5 -15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 10 20
E(r
E
)
E(r
2
)
r
F
A
E
E(r
M
) =
|
2
= 1.5
r
j
r
M
Characteristic Line
Security Market Line
E(r)
|
E(r
2
)
E(r
E
)
E(r
M
)
r
F
CAPM With No Risk-Free Asset
0
0.25
0 0.5 1 1.5
0
0.25
0.5
0 0.48
E(r) E(r)
o(r)
|
E(r
M
)
E(r
M
)
E(r
Z
)
E(r
Z
)
M
X
SML
MVP
CAPM With No Risk-Free Asset
(Continued)
Assumption: All investors take positions on the
efficient set (Between MVP and X)
In this case, the Markowitz efficient set (MVP to X) is
the Capital Market Line (CML).
M is the efficient Market Portfolio (the aggregate
of all portfolios held by investors)
E(r
Z
) is the intercept of a line drawn tangent to
(M)
From Property II, since (M) is efficient, a linear
relationship exists between expected return and beta.
All assets (efficient and inefficient) will be priced to lie
on the SML.
j Z M Z j
)] E(r ) [E(r ) E(r ) E(r + =
Can Lend, but Cannot Borrow at the Risk-Free Rate
0
0.25
0 0.5 1 1.5
0
0.25
0 0.48
E(r)
E(r)
E(r
M
)
E(r
M
)
E(r
Z
)
E(r
Z
)
r
F
o(r) |
SML
L
M
X
o(r
M
)
Can Lend, but Cannot Borrow at the
Risk-Free Rate (Continued)
Capital Market Line (CML):
(r
F
- L - M - X)
Between r
F
and L:
Combinations of the risk-free asset and the risky
(efficient) portfolio L.
Between L and X:
Risky portfolios of assets.
Security Market Line (SML):
All assets (efficient and inefficient) will be priced to
lie on the SML.
j Z M Z j
)] E(r ) [E(r ) E(r ) E(r + =
Can Lend at the Risk-Free Rate:
Borrowing is at a Higher Rate
0
0.25
0 0.5 1 1.5
0
0.25
0 0.48
E(r) E(r)
o(r)
|
E(r
M
) E(r
M
)
r
B
E(r
Z
)
E(r
Z
)
SML
r
F
o(r
M
)
L
M
B
X
Can Lend at the Risk-Free Rate, and Borrow at
a Higher Rate (Continued)
Capital Market Line (CML):
(r
F
- L - M - B - X)
Between r
F
and L:
Combinations of the risk-free asset and the risky
(efficient) portfolio L.
Between L and B:
Risky portfolios of assets.
Between B and X:
Combinations of the risky (efficient) portfolio B
and a loan with an interest rate of r
B
Security Market Line (SML):
All assets (efficient and inefficient) will be priced
to lie on the SML
j Z M Z j
)] E(r ) [E(r ) E(r ) E(r + =
Conditions Required for Market Efficiency
In order for the Market Portfolio to lie on the
efficient set, the following assumptions must
hold:
All investors must agree about the risk and
expected return for all securities.
All investors can short-sell all securities
without restriction.
No investors return is exposed to federal
or state income tax liability now in effect.
The investment opportunity set of
securities is the same for all investors.
When the Market Portfolio is Inefficient
Investors Disagree About Risk and Expected
Return
In this case there will be no unique perceived
efficient set for the Market Portfolio to lie on (i.e.,
different investors would have different perceived
efficient sets).
Some Investors Cannot Sell Short
In this case, Property I no longer holds. If a
constrained efficient set were constructed with
no short-selling, and each investor selected a
portfolio lying on the constrained efficient set,
the combination of these portfolios would not lie
on the constrained efficient set.
When the Market Portfolio is Inefficient
(Continued)
Taxes Differ Among Investors
When tax exposure differs among investors (e.g.,
state, local, foreign, corporate versus personal), the
after-tax efficient set for one investor will be
different from that of others. There would be no
unique efficient set for the Market Portfolio to lie
on.
Alternative Investments Differ Among
Investors
Efficient sets will differ among investors when the
populations of securities used to construct the
efficient sets differ (e.g., some may exclude
polluters, others may include foreign assets, etc.).
Summary of Market Portfolio Efficiency
In reality, assumptions underlying the
efficiency of the Market Portfolio are
frequently violated. Therefore, the Market
Portfolio may well lie inside the efficient set
even if the efficient set is constructed using the
population of securities making up the market.
In other words, perhaps the market can be
beaten. That is, there may be portfolios that
offer higher risk-adjusted returns than the
overall Market Portfolio.