Professional Documents
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SMBA Batch 25
Amit P. Kasar Dipika Yadav Pooja Jadhav Smita Dumbre
Meaning Of Derivatives A derivative is any instrument or contract that derives its value from another underlying asset, instrument, or contract
OTC
Exchange Traded
Floors
Using Forward Rate Agreements to Manage Interest Rate Risk Forward Rate Agreements A forward contract based on interest rates based on a notional principal amount at a specified future date Buyer Agrees to pay a fixed-rate coupon payment (at the exercise rate) and receive a floating-rate payment Seller Agrees to make a floating-rate payment and receive a fixed-rate payment The buyer and seller will receive or pay cash when the actual interest rate at settlement is different than the exercise rate
Forward Rate Agreements (FRA) Similar to futures but differ in that they: Are negotiated between parties Do not necessarily involve standardized assets Require no cash exchange until expiration There is no marking-to-market No exchange guarantees performance
Notional Principal The two counterparties to a forward rate agreement agree to a notional principal amount that serves as a reference figure in determining cash flows. Notional Refers to the condition that the principal does not change hands, but is only used to calculate the value of interest payments.
Notional Principal Buyer Agrees to pay a fixed-rate coupon payment and receive a floating-rate payment against the notional principal at some specified future date. Seller Agrees to pay a floating-rate payment and receive the fixed-rate payment against the same notional principal.
Example: Forward Rate Agreements Suppose that Metro Bank (as the seller) enters into a receive fixed-rate/pay floating-rating forward rate agreement with County Bank (as the buyer) with a six-month maturity based on a 1 million notional principal amount The floating rate is the 3-month MIBOR and the fixed (exercise) rate is 7%
Example: Forward Rate Agreements Metro Bank would refer to this as a 3 vs. 6 FRA at 7 percent on a 1 million notional amount from County Bank The phrase 3 vs. 6 refers to a 3-month interest rate observed three months from the present, for a security with a maturity date six months from the present The only cash flow will be determined in six months at contract maturity by comparing the prevailing 3-month MIBOR with 7%
Example: Forward Rate Agreements Assume that in three months 3-month MIBOR equals 8% In this case, Metro Bank would receive from County Bank 2,451. The interest settlement amount is 2,500: Interest = (.08 - .07)(90/360) 1,000,000 = 2,500. Because this represents interest that would be paid three months later at maturity of the instrument, the actual payment is discounted at the prevailing 3month MIBOR: Actual interest = 2,500/[1+(90/360).08]=2,451
Example: Forward Rate Agreements The FRA position is similar to a futures position County Bank would pay fixed-rate/receive floating-rate as a hedge if it was exposed to loss in a rising rate environment. This is similar to a short futures position
Rationale of IRFs
It is not just the financial sector, but also the corporate and household sectors that are exposed to interest rate risk. Banks, insurance companies, primary dealers and provident funds bear significant interest rate risk on account of the mismatch in the tenure of their assets (such as loans and Govt. securities) and liabilities. These entities therefore need a credible institutional hedging mechanism. Interest rate risk is becoming increasingly important for the household sector as well, since the interest rate exposure of several households are rising on account of increase in their savings and investments as well as loans (such as housing loans, vehicle loans ,etc.). Moreover, interest rate products are the primary instruments available to hedge inflation risk, which is typically the single most important macroeconomic risk faced by the household sector.
Benefits of Exchange traded IRF Interest rate futures provide benefits typical to any Exchangetraded product, such as Standardization Only contracts with standardized features are allowed to trade on the exchange. Standardization improves liquidity in the market. The following features are standardized: Only certain expiry dates are allowed in India viz. last working day of the months of March, June, September and December. The size of contract can only be in multiples of a certain number called the lot size. The lot size currently in India is Rs. 2 lakhs. Only some specific bonds can be used for delivery. Transparency Transparency is ensured by dissemination of orders and trades for all market participants. Also, competitive matching of orders of buyers and sellers boosts transparency.
Contract cycle:
New contracts can be introduced by the Exchange on any day of a calendar month. At the time of introduction, the duration of any contract can vary from 1 month to 12 months. The expiry has to be on Last Thursday of the Expiry month. Expiry day Interest rate future contracts shall expire on the last Thursday of the expiry month. If the last Thursday is a trading holiday, the contracts shall expire on the previous trading day. Further, where the last Thursday falls on the annual or halfyearly closing dates of the bank, the expiry and last trading day in respect of these derivatives contracts would be preponed to the previous trading day.
Trading Parameters
Contract size The permitted lot size for the interest rate futures contracts shall be 2000. The minimum value of a interest rate futures contract would be Rs. 2 lakhs at the time of introduction. Price steps The price steps in respect of all interest rate future contracts admitted to dealings on the Exchange is Re.0.01.
The Futures contracts having face value of Rs 100 on notional ten year coupon bearing bond and notional ten year zero coupon bond would be based on price quotation and Futures contracts having face value of Rs. 100 on notional 91 days treasury bill would be based on Rs. 100 minus (-) yield.
Cont Base Price & operating ranges Base price of the Interest rate future contracts on introduction of new contracts shall be theoretical futures price computed based on previous days closing price of the notional underlying security. The base price of the contracts on subsequent trading days will be the closing price of the futures contracts. However, on such of those days when the contracts were not traded, the base price will be the daily settlement price of futures contracts. Quantity freeze Orders which may come to the Exchange as a quantity freeze shall be 2500 contracts amounting to 50,00,000 which works out on the day of introduction to approximately Rs 50 crores.
Rs.2,00,000
2000 Re.0.01
The contracts shall be for a period of a maturity of Contract one year with three months continuous contracts months for the first three months and fixed quarterly contracts for the entire year. Price limits Settleme nt Price Not applicable As may be stipulated by NSCCL in this regard from time to time.
Daily settlement price for an Interest Rate Futures Contract shall be the closing price of such Interest Rate Futures Contract on the trading day. The closing price for an interest rate futures contract shall be calculated on the basis of the last half an hour weighted average price of such interest rate futures contract. In absence of trading in the last half an hour, the theoretical price would be taken or such other price as may be decided by the relevant authority from time to time.
Settlement Schedule
Settlement Schedule Product 1. IRF Contracts Settlement Daily Mark-to-Market Settlement Schedule Pay-in : T+1 working day on or after 11.30 a.m. Payout : T+1 working day on or after 12.00 p.m.
2. IRF Contracts
Final Settlement
(T is expiration day)
Pay-in : T+1 working day on or after 11.30 a.m. Payout : T+1 working day on or after 12.00 p.m.
Speculators: Speculators participate in the future market to take up the price risk, which is avoided by the hedgers. They take calculated risk and gain when the prices move as per their expectation.
Arbitrageurs: Arbitrageurs closely watch the bond and futures markets and whenever they spot a mismatch in the alignment in the prices of the two markets, they enter to make some profit in a risk-free transaction.
Speculation strategies
Long Only Strategy: In the view of some investors, by consistently having a long position in assets, particularly in bonds, one can achieve fair returns. They hold this view for IRF also, as IRF has the bond as its underlying. These investors buy IRF and repeatedly roll them over before each expiry. This strategy is called Long Only Strategy. View Based Trading: In contrast to Long Only investors, some investors take both long and short positions in the IRF market, depending on their views on interest rate movements in future. If they expect interest rates to go up, they sell IRF and if they have the opposite expectation, they buy IRF. If the interest rate movement turns out to be the way the investor expected, he would make profit; otherwise, he would make losses.
Arbitrage strategy
Frequently, the price of a bond in spot market and price of futures may not be aligned with each other because of some distortions in the supply/demand factors. The arbitrage strategy employed to gain riskfree profits by exploiting the non-alignment (or mis-pricing of futures relative to spot bond prices) is called cash/futures arbitrage. Cash/Futures arbitrage is also called basis arbitrage or cash and carry arbitrage. Smart market participants take advantage of such situations to make risk free profits. It involves buying a bond in cash (spot) market and selling futures simultaneously or vice versa. It should be noted that the cost of carry has to be considered while calculating the profits. Net basis is an important parameter to track arbitrage in IRF market. Net basis is typically positive. If net basis turns negative, however, an arbitrage opportunity arises, which can be exploited to make risk-free profits.
Basic Interest Rate Swaps Basic or Plain Vanilla Interest Rate Swap An agreement between two parties to exchange a series of cash flows based on a specified notional principal amount Two parties facing different types of interest rate risk can exchange interest payments
Basic Interest Rate Swaps Basic or Plain Vanilla Interest Rate Swap One party makes payments based on a fixed interest rate and receives floating rate payments The other party exchanges floating rate payments for fixed-rate payments When interest rates change, the party that benefits from a swap receives a net cash payment while the party that loses makes a net cash payment
Basic Interest Rate Swaps Conceptually, a basic interest rate swap is a package of FRAs As with FRAs, swap payments are netted and the notional principal never changes hands
Basic Interest Rate Swaps Using data for a 2-year swap based on 3-month MIBOR as the floating rate This swap involves eight quarterly payments. Party FIX agrees to pay a fixed rate Party FLT agrees to receive a fixed rate with cash flows calculated against a 10 million notional principal amount
Basic Interest Rate Swaps Firms with a negative GAP can reduce risk by making a fixed-rate interest payment in exchange for a floating-rate interest receipt Firms with a positive GAP take the opposite position, by making floating-interest payments in exchange for a fixedrate receipt
Basic Interest Rate Swaps Basic interest rate swaps are used to: Adjust the rate sensitivity of an asset or liability For example, effectively converting a fixed-rate loan into a floating-rate loan Create a synthetic security For example, enter into a swap instead of investing in a security Macrohedge Use swaps to hedge the banks aggregate interest rate risk
Basic Interest Rate Swaps Swap Dealers Handle most swap transactions Make a market in swap contracts Offer terms for both fixed-rate and floating rate payers and earn a spread for their services
There is some credit risk with swaps in that the counterparty may default on the exchange of the interest payments Only the interest payment exchange is at risk, not the principal
Reverse Collar
An agreement between two counterparties that limits the buyers interest rate exposure to a maximum limit Buying a interest rate cap is the same as purchasing a call option on an interest rate
An agreement between two counterparties that limits the buyers interest rate exposure to a minimum rate. Buying an interest rate floor is the same as purchasing a put option on an interest rate
Basic Swap to Hedge Aggregate Balance Sheet Risk of Loss from Falling Rates Bank Swap Term-Pay MIBOR, Receive 4.18%
Deposits
Current Rates
Rates Fall
Constant
PRIME 5.50% MIBOR 3.00%
Balance Sheet Flows: Loan Deposit Spread Interest Rate Swap Flows: Fixed Floating Spread Margin
5.50% (3.75%)
1.75%
Bank
Buying a Floor on 3Month MIBOR to Hedge Aggregate Balance Sheet Risk of Loss From Falling Rates
Fixed 3.75%
Deposits
Margin
2.45%
1.95%
3.45%
Loans
Prime + 1%
Strategy: Buy a Floor on 3-Month MIBOR at 2.00 Percent, and Sell a Cap on 3-Month MIBOR at 3.50 Percent
Pay when Three-Month MIBOR > 3.50% Counterparty Receive when Three-Month MIBOR < 2.00% Premium: 0.38% per year
Bank
Buying a Reverse Collar to Hedge Aggregat e Balance Sheet Risk of Loss from Falling Rates
Fixed 3.75%
Deposits
Rates Fall
Rates Rise
PRIME 5.50%
MIBOR 3.00%
PRIME 4.50%
MIBOR 2.00%
PRIME 6.50%
MIBOR 4.00%
Balance Sheet
Flows:
Loan Deposit
Spread Reverse Collar
6.50%
(3.75%)
5.50%
(3.75%)
7.50%
(3.75%)
2.75%
1.75%
3.75%
Flows: Payout
Fee Amort. Spread
0.00%
0.38% 0.38%
0.50%
0.38% 0.88%
(0.50%)
0.38% (0.12%)
Margin
3.13%
2.63%
3.63%
Fixed Rate
Loans
Fixed 7.00%
Bank
Using a Basic Swap to Hedge Aggregat e Balance Sheet Risk of Loss From Rising Rates
Swap Counterparty
Three-Month MIBOR
3-Month MIBOR
- 0.25%
Deposits
Current Rates Rates Fall Rates Rise
Constant
MIBOR
3.00%
MIBOR
2.00%
MIBOR
4.00%
Balance Sheet
Flows:
Loan
Deposit
Spread Interest Rate
7.00%
(2.75%)
7.00%
(1.75%)
7.00%
(3.75%)
4.25%
5.25%
3.25%
Swap Flows:
Fixed
Floating Spread
(4.19%)
3.00% (1.19%)
(4.19%)
2.00% (2.19%)
(4.19%)
4.00% (0.19%)
Margin
3.06%
3.06%
3.06%
Fixed Rate
Loans
Fixed 7.00%
Bank
Buy a Cap on 3Month MIBOR to Hedge Balance Sheet Rate Risk of Loss from Rising Rates
Deposits Current Rates Constant Rates Fall 100 Basis Points Rates Rise 100 Basis Points
MIBOR 3.00% Balance Sheet Flows: Loan Deposit Spread Cap Flows: Payout Fee Amort. Spread 0.00% (0.50%) (0.50%)
MIBOR 2.00%
MIBOR 4.00%
7.00%
(2.75%)
7.00%
(1.75%)
7.00%
(3.75%)
4.25%
5.25%
3.25%
Margin
3.75%
4.75%
3.25%
Strategy: Buy a Cap at 3.00 Percent, and Sell a Floor at 2.00 Percent
Receive when Three-Month MIBOR > 3.00%
Using a Collar on 3-Month MIBOR to Hedge Balance Sheet Risk of Loss from Rising Rates
Bank Pay when Three-Month MIBOR < 2.00% 3-Month MIBOR - 0.25%
Counterparty
Deposits
MIBOR 3.00% Balance Sheet Flows: Loan Deposit Spread Collar Flows: Payout Fee Amort. Spread 0.00% (0.75%) (0.75%)
MIBOR 2.00%
MIBOR 4.00%
7.00%
(2.75%) 4.25%
7.00%
(1.75%) 5.25%
7.00%
(3.75%) 3.25%
Conclusion
Interest rate volatility is a major source of uncertainty particularly for financial institutions A single-period interest rate exposure can be hedged using FRAs, interest rate futures, simple interest rate options and options on interest rate futures Multi-period risk can be managed with interest rate caps and floors Valuation of interest rate derivatives must take account of the stochastic evolution of the entire term structure and in certain cases, simpler approaches using binomial lattice or modifications of Black-Scholes model may be adequate