Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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Issue of claims may be motivated by insurance project financing, liquidity need Asymmetry of information about value of assets in place, prospects attached to new investment, quality of collateral. level Two themes:(1)market breakdown (2)costly signaling riskiness
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Asymmetric information may account for a number of observations, e.g.,: negative stock price reaction to equity issuance (and smaller reaction during booms), pecking-order hypothesis (issue low-information-intensity securities first), market timing. Asymmetric information predicts dissipative signals (besides lack of financing), e.g.: private placements, limited diversification, insufficient liquidity, dividend distribution, excess collateralization, underpricing.
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II. MARKET BREAKDOWN Privately-known-prospects model Wealth A = 0, investment cost I. Project succeeds (R) or fails (0). Risk neutrality, LL, and zero interest rate in economy. No moral hazard.
or
Asymmetric information
Extensions (1) Market timing Financing feasible when ( m + ) R I. Adverse selection parameter smaller in booms ( large). (2) Negative stock price reaction and going public decision Entrepreneur already has an existing project, with probability of success p or q. Deepening investment would increase probability of success by Financing? Good borrower can refuse to be financed. Hence pooling only if:
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Separating equilibrium (only bad borrower raises funds) Negative stock price reaction upon issuance. (3) Pecking-order hypothesis (Myers 1984)
(1) internal finance Entrepreneurs cash
Payoff in case of failure is now RF > 0 Payoff in case of success is RS = RF + R. Max {good borrower's payoff} s.t. investors break even in expectation
II. RESPONSES TO THE LEMONS PROBLEM COSTLY COLLATERAL PLEDGING PRIVATELY-KNOWN-PROSPECTS MODEL No moral hazard
R 0
probability p
or
good type
bad type
Define
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and
Note:
safe payment
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DETERMINANTS OF COLLATERALIZATION
IV LOW INFORMATION INTENSITY SECURITIES General idea: good borrower tries to signal good prospects by increasing the sensitivity of his own returns to the privy information reducing the investors claims sensitivity to this information.
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OTHER SIGNALING DEVICES Suboptimal risk sharing Leland-Pyle 1977. Underpricing. ST financing, Monitoring (certification).
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APPENDIX 1 PRIVATELY-KNOWN-PRIVATE-BENEFIT MODEL WITH MORAL HAZARD Only borrower knows B A=0 Hard to have separation: bad type's utility good type's Model Outcome
Probability : BL Probability 1 : BH
BH > BL
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Assumptions
no lending (breakdown)
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where
"Reduced quality of lending" (relative to SI)
reduced NPV.
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APPENDIX 2 CONTRACT DESIGN BY AN INFORMED PARTY (ADVANCED) 2 types b probability ~ b probability 1- (generalizes to n types) Contractual terms (possibly random) : c
Example: c = Rb
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etc.
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ISSUANCE GAME
Borrower offers contract Investors accept / refuse (If acceptance) borrower exercises option
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DEFINITIONS
is
INCENTIVE COMPATIBLE IF
PROFITABLE TYPE-BY-TYPE IF
PROFITABLE IN EXPECTATION IF
Note: first and third necessary conditions for equilibrium behavior.
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Interim efficient allocation = undominated in the set of allocations that are IC and profitable in expectation. Remark: profitable type-by-type is not "information intensive" (is "safe", "belief free"). LOW INFORMATION INTENSITY OPTIMUM (LIIO) FOR TYPE b: Payoff where c0 maximizes bs utility in set of allocations that are IC and profitable type-by-type:
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Lemma: LIIO
is incentive compatible.
after all.
Intuition: same constraints for both programs. BORROWER CAN GUARANTEE HIMSELF HIS LIIO. PROPOSITION (1) Issuance game has unique PBE if LIIO interim efficient (2) If LIIO interim inefficient, set of equilibrium payoffs = feasible payoffs that dominate LIIO payoffs. 25
SEPARATING ALLOCATION
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LIIO both types prefer (at least weakly) separating allocation to LIIO. Type b can get the separating payoff: offers IC by definition (note could offer )
Type can get offers which is safe for investors.
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PROPOSITION: under monotonicity assumption SEPARATING ALLOCATION (LIIO) IS INTERIM EFFICIENT IFF Consider
with
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