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MISSION ANALYSIS BRIEFING

J3/J5

Task Organization: JFSOCC CASPIAN

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JFSOCC

BAKU

2/75 IN
BOLSHIYE

QRF

JSOTF-A

BAKU

JSOAC

BOLSHIYE

FOB 101 (-)

BOLSHIYE

FOB 102
NAKICHEVAN

NSWTU-2
BAKU

D, 96th CA
BAKU

JSOAD-N
BOLSHIYE

JSOAD-S
NAKICHEVAN

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Task Organization
CJSOTF
ARSOF NSWTU-2
NSWTU-2 (HQ) 2 X SEAL PLT 1 X Mark-V Det AZ SF Co. 7 SOS 321 STS 67 SOS

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JSOAC
352 SOG (HQ)

FOB 01 1-10 SFGA (-) FOB 02 2-10 SFGA

2-75 RGR
D-96-CA BN

21 SOS
4 SOS 99 SOS UCAV 193 SOW 88 SOS 160 SOAR

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Current ODA Disposition

FOB 02
Available- 13 ODAs
ODA 045- MSN Planning ODA 046- MSN Planning ODA 052- MSN Planning ODA 053- MSN Planning ODA 054- MSN Planning ODA 055- MSN Planning ODA 056- MSN Planning ODA 061- MSN Planning ODA 062- MSN Planning ODA 063- MSN Planning ODA 064- MSN Planning ODA 065- MSN Planning ODA 066- MSN Planning

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FOB 01 CST- 17 ODAs

ODA 011 5th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 012 1st AZ Artillery Bde ODA 013 10th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 014 -1st AZ Anti-Armor Bde ODA 015 2nd BCT 1AZ ID ODA 016 1st BCT 1AZ ID ODA 021 1st AZ Division ODA 022 11th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 023 6th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 024 2nd AZ Arty Bde ODA 025 7th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 026 12th AZ Mech In Bde

FOB 02
ODA 041 16th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 042 14st AZ Artillery Bde ODA 043 15th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 044 8th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 051 - In Iraq with NILE Tm

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CJSOTF-A

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JOA Caspian

JSOAC JSOAD-N FOB 01(-) Bolshiye Airport

CJFSOCC CJSOTF NSWTU-2 D-96th CA

JSOAD-S FOB 02 TF SOAR TF RGR Nakichevan Airport

p. 152

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1 4 8

2 5 9

3 6 10 7 11

FRIENDLY SOF 200001ZMAR13 TF-Nail

Base

12 16 22 27

13 17 23 28 33 37 42 47 51 54 38 43 48 52 55 44 49 53

14 20
25 30 34 39

15
21 26 31 35 40 45

18
24 29

19

32
36 41 46 50

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KNOWN FACTS

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Time Zone Delta (Z+4 hrs) CJFSOCC located in BAKU commanded by the Deputy Cdr SOCEUR

CJSOAC located in BOLSHIYE commanded by the 352nd SOG/CC, made up of two JSOADs (North and South) located in BOLSHIYE and NAKICHEVAN
2/75 INF located in NAKICHEVAN commanded by the BN Cdr serving as the strategic reserve for QRF/CBRNE RF. It is supported on a rotational basis by both JSOADs rotary-wing assets. JSOTF-HQ is located in BAKU and is currently focused on FID with Azerbaijani forces.

Individual ODAs are currently performing FID training with AZ Brigades and aiding government forces in SAPA intel collection

All coalition SOF forces have returned to their home countries. NILE (Northern Iran Liason Element) in As Sulaymaniyah at PUK HQ has established contacts with The Kurdish Democratic Party of Iran (KDPI) and is working inside Ahuristan.

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ASSUMPTIONS
Limited Smart weapon supply will

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require Eyes-on atk of trgts and immediate BDA. Due to German mission in NK SAPA/FKM present min threat Atk pri. is (1) SSM, (2) Qazvin Qazvin is chemical production facilities w/i Ah.

CJSOTF MSNs
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Effect
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CJSOTF OPERATIONS TREE

Method of Atk

UW
CST

Disrupt LOC
Cord Defense
Destroy HVTs

Strategy Defend

SR/DA-TGO FID

Conventional
Yes
Unconventional

Disrupt SAPA
F3 Key Leaders

COIN
Preemptive

CT
Psyops CA UW

Dissuade Sup.

HCA Disrupt LOC

Destroy HVTs

Chemical AH Atks Mitigate

SR/DA-TGO
No Cap

US OBJ
No Regime Change

Coalition Atk Diplomatic AH Insurgency

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SPECIFIED TASKS

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Defend Azerbaijan Destroy Ahurastani Offensive WMD

Capabilities

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IMPLIED TASKS

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Conduct Special Operations in JOA Caspian to support JTF

commander Establish Coalition Support Teams (CST) to support Azerbaijans defensive and coordinate US support Conduct FID to support Azerbaijans IDAD Program Conduct UW to disrupt Ahurastans offensive capability Coordinate CAS for Azerbaijani forces Provide ISR support for Air Interdiction Provide PSYOPS LNOs to strategic communications working group (SCWG) Facilitate coordination of Population Control Measures. Conduct SR/DA-TGO to locate and facilitate the destruction of Ahurastans offensive capability Conduct Battle Damage Assessment for JTF Caspian on strategic HVTs

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Essential Task
Defend Azerbaijan
Locate and BPT facilitate the

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destruction of Ahurastans WMD capability. Conduct operations to disrupt Ahurastans offensive capability

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Critical Vulnerabilities
JSOAD-S / FOB 02 / TF Ranger within

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range of AH indirect fires and vulnerable to AH ground attack Infiltration into Ahurastan Sustainment of forces infiltrated south of AZ/AH border Ability to defend Azerbaijan against two tank divisions without Coalition Support. Limited DECON capabilities

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CONSTRAINTS

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Requirements (must do) Must support Azerbaijans Defensive operations Prohibitions (cant do) NGO assets will support earthquake relief 45 days until JTF forces are able to engage the enemy CDRUSEUCOM is approval for cross border operations into Ahurstan Limited Artillery support South of AZ border

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RISKS TO SOF
Operational
Lack of coalition support during initial AH attack

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Tactical
Ahurastans SAM threat during infil Chem attack at JSOADs- North & South and SPODs Fratricide due to shared AO with AZ and coalition forces

(H) use LNOs with appropriate comms package for coalition forces/establish necessary fire control measures at both CFLCC/division level (M)

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PROPOSED CCIR Contd

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FFIR
Interdiction of friendly air assets by Ahurastan ADA forces? Loss of 50% of a BDE Azerbaijans combat power? Loss of communications with FOB for 24 hrs? OR rate drops below 65% for air assets?

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EEFI

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Location of NILE bases in Ahurastan?

UAR recovery and resupply routes?