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Statement-Question-Goal
Modeling provides a powerful tool to predict problems in traffic flow. Also, to assist engineering efforts in the design of devices that will increase traffic through-output. What can modeling of traffic flow provide, in the way of, explicit reasoning about how a system of electro-optical devices should be set up to control traffic flow? Specifically we want to know what traffic variables are observable by the driver and how we can electronically enhance driving conditions to create overall traffic stability?
What is Traffic?
Working Definition of Traffic: The passage of vehicles (cars) along routes of transportation
Fundamental observable properties of traffic:
Velocity,
Given at unique points (x,t)
Traffic Flux,
Traffic Density,
If we consider cars to be a dynamic coupled system (continuous) then we can derive an equation for the Conservation of the number of cars.
Conservation of Cars
The number of cars enter and leaving the system is constant. The change of the car density, , is proportionate to the change in the flux, q in the given roadway. Conservation is not useful yet for prediction. Can we modify?
YES!
HOW?!
decreases as increases
occurs at local maximum and
Example
An example of the relationship :
Flow,
Density,
* Least Squares Fit
Where u() is an experimentally determined and road conditions are relatively homogenous. Traffic density will not change a large amount*
*For reference see Haberman (1998). Traffic Flow" Mathematical Models,259-394.
3.
4.
5.
Simple Instabilities
Conservation equation where the flux changes with the density Nonlinear PDE Instabilities propagate at a speed depending on the density Accidents more likely since traffic density is less homogenous
Example
Initial Data
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(x,0)=f(x)-axis
Characteristics
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X-axis
Conditions imply a traffic accident Characteristics of the PDE intersect causing multivalued solution.
Graph of Characteristics
Characteristics are lines along which the velocity are constant;
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*With being the sensitivity of the interaction between the two cars. We wish to more accurately describe this sensitivity at the cost of linearity. The closer a driver is to the (n-1) car the stronger the response will be. Therefore, we can assume that given this information a driver is more likely to have a stronger or even quicker reaction to the relative velocity of the other car. Mathematically this means:
Integrating gives a relationship between the velocity of the nth car and the relative positions as: 0
Steady State
T is the reaction time of the driver. Thus our solution is:
, As
Such that u(max)=0 gives integration constant. Also, it can be shown that c is the velocity at the maximum flow.
Since most of the information a driver receives is visual, can this be the situation if we provide visual enhancement?
What other situations will be affected by reducing the reaction time parameter T?
Is the model of a continuum of cars too nave? Are more sophisticated discrete models needed to find what situations will be most usefully influenced by the introduction of electro-optical devices?
Conclusion
Traffic Instability
Real World: traffic problems caused by driver incompetence. Mathematically: Points where solutions, for position become multivalued.
Parameters
To improve traffic flow and reduce instability we need an accurate model. What variables in traffic flow are most relevant to creating maximal flow?
What model?
Continuous (fluid mechanical, conservation) Discrete (car-following models) A hybrid of Continuous and Discrete)?*
*Bourrel, Henn (2003) Mixing Micro and Macro Representations of Traffic Flow: A First Theoretical Step, www.iasi.rm.cnr.it/ewgt/13conference/109_bourrel.pdf