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Agenda
Steel Outlook Usiminas speeding up its Investment Program Financial Highlights Market trends 2008
Steel outlook
Inflation (%)
5.0
5.0
4.7 4.2 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.9 Average 3.7
'01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08(e)
Transfer of Production
Developed x Emerging (Countries)
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% '70 '80 '90 '00 '10(e)
Consolidation
% of production of the 15 largest
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 (e) '09 '10 (e) (e) '11 (e)
40%
42%
58%
10% 5% 0%
94 '00 '07
Emerging Markets
OECD
Source: IISI
Chinese Production
Source: CRU International; World Steel Dynamics Obs: 2005: ~ 50%/ 50%
Iron Ore
160
Scrap (Japan)
800
US$/t
300
US$/t
141
700 600 500 400 300
US$/t
734
77 65 38
85
125
115
98
60 40 20 0
'03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08
Souce : Tex Report
47
57
32
200 100 0
'03 '04 '05 '06 '07 Jul '08
Souce : Tex Report
5.7
14.7
Average 4.5
10.0
2.7
Average 7.3
4.8 3.6
1.3
1.1
Average 1.7
5.0
0.0
'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08(e) '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08(e)
Consolidation
Largest steel producers - 2007
(33.8 million tons. = Brazilian crude steel production)
+10.7% +17.8%
11.7 9.2 9.9 12.9
Steel Industry
Steel prices follow raw materials prices
1,250
1,000
750
689
500
402 430
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
Jun 08
Energy
Ipatinga Power Plants Cubato Power Plants
Logistics
MRS Usifast Praia Mole Port Cubato Port Ing Terminal
Steelmaking
Int. Cmara Plant J. Bonifcio Plant Santana do Paraso Source: Usiminas Ternium
10
Capital Goods
UMSA
147
100 72
Usiminas
Maximum
Steel Demand
The outlook is for continued growth
Consumption and Demand Global Apparent Steel Consumption
Million Tons
800
Million Tons
21.5 20.3
19.2
600
Rest of world
15
400
10
9.2
200
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2010E
2015E
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Source: WSD 12
Usiminas Accelerating
Goals
Consolidate its leadership in the domestic flat steel market Create solid basis for future international steps
14
Usiminas Accelerating
The investment program has strategic focus:
Increase steelmaking and rolling capacity Increase iron ore extraction and processing capacity Technology updating, cost savings and environmental control
15
Usiminas Accelerating
Investments will target:
New slab plant (Santana do Paraso) Intendente Cmara Plant (Ipatinga) Jos Bonifcio Plant (Cubato) Mining assets Logistics assets
Usiminas Accelerating
Investments will target:
New slab plant (Santana do Paraso) Intendente Cmara Plant (Ipatinga) Jos Bonifcio Plant (Cubato) Mining assets Logistics assets
Usiminas Accelerating
Usiminas Accelerating
Production capacity 5 million tons/yr Start of works 1st Half 2009 Start up 2.5 million t/yr in 2011 2.5 million t/yr in 2012 Coke plant 2.0 million t/yr Power plant 250 MW
Usiminas Accelerating
20
Usiminas Accelerating
Greater steel expansion without significant capex increase Maintenance of existing synergies Cost minimization for elimination of physical interferences with current operations
21
Usiminas Accelerating
22
Usiminas Accelerating
New site supports additional slabs and rolling mills expansions, according to future demand Opening of future options
23
Usiminas Accelerating
Exports
60%
Usiminas Accelerating
Investments will target:
New slab plant (Santana do Paraso) Intendente Cmara Plant (Ipatinga) Jos Bonifcio Plant (Cubato) Mining assets Logistics assets
Usiminas Accelerating
START UP FORECAST 1st Half 2011 2nd Half 2010 1st Half 2011
PROJECT AMOUNT US$ 460 million US$ 500 million US$ 130 million
Other
Technology updating, cost savings and environmental control, with highlight for Coke Plant 3 (+750kt/yr) and thermolectric powerplant (60 MW) in 2008 US$ 2.1 billion
Total Investments
Usiminas Acelerando
Greater capacity in Brazil to supply sophisticated steel with advanced technology
27
Usiminas Accelerating
CIS
Severstal
Asia
Nippon Steel JFE Posco Baosteel China Steel
North America
Oregon Steel
Sole Latin American company to detain accelerated cooling technology, enabling Usiminas to meet new market demands for sophisticated products.
28
Usiminas Accelerating
Investments will target:
New slab plant (Santana do Paraso) Intendente Cmara Plant (Ipatinga) Jos Bonifcio Plant (Cubato) Mining assets Logistics assets
Usiminas Accelerating
PROJECT VALUE US$ 1.0 billion US$ 170 million US$ 140 million
Other
Total Investments
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Usiminas 2013
Intendente Cmara Plant million tons Slabs Hvy Plate Hot Strip Cold Strip EG HDG Current 5.00 1.00 3.60 2.50 0.36 0.48 After 5.00 1.50 3.80 2.50 0.36 1.03
Jos Bonifcio Plant Current 4.50 1.00 2.10 1.20 After 4.80 1.00 4.40 / 6.10 1.20 -
The second expansion phase in slabs (3 million t/yr) to be executed, with Cubato as 1st option, will depend on market demand
Source: Usiminas
31
Usiminas Accelerating
Investments will target:
New slab plant (Santana do Paraso) Intendente Cmara Plant (Ipatinga) Jos Bonifcio Plant (Cubato) Mining assets Logistics assets
Mining Assets
Usiminas Accelerating
With the goal of eliminating risks / dependency, Usiminas acquired iron ore assets in February 2008
J.Mendes
Current production capacity
Global
Somisa
Pau de Vinho
Reserves
5 million tons/yr
Downpayment of US$ 925 million. Total disbursement limited to US$ 1.9 billion, depending on reserves and quality under drilling process. Maximum reserves considered : 1.4 billion tons.
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Mining Assets
Usiminas Acelerando
Iron ore mines highlights: Low level of P (phosphorus 0.05%) Low level of Al203 (alumina 1.0%) Sinter feed generation of 4.5% to 5.0% of SiO2 (silica) Pellet feed generation for pellets for BF and DRI Favorable logistics (close to MRS & FCA railroads) and future Ing Maritime Terminal
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Mining Assets
Usiminas Accelerating
Production - million tons
30
27.7
Pellet Feed Sinter Feed
29.2
14.0
20
Lump
10
9.0
10.5
13.0
2.2
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source: Usiminas
35
Mining Assets
Usiminas Accelerating
Although Ipatinga and Santana do Paraso do not have logistics access to be supplied by its mines on Serra Azul, Usiminas will have the benefit of full hedge against iron ore price fluctuations
J. Bonifcio Plant
Jos Bonfcio Plant 2.0 MM t/yr Hedge Intend. Cmara Plant 8.0 MM t/yr Santana do Paraso 8.0 MM t/yr
2.2 MM t/yr
Exports
16.7 MM t/yr
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Mining Assets
Usiminas Accelerating
Aiming to add value to iron ore, Usiminas will build a PELLET PLANT
Capacity 7 million tons Investment US$ 750 million Start up of operations 2013
Usiminas Accelerating
Investments will target:
New slab plant (Santana do Paraso) Intendente Cmara Plant (Ipatinga) Jos Bonifcio Plant (Cubato) Mining assets Logistics assets
Logistics Assets
Usiminas Accelerating
Usiminas acquired land in Sepetiba Bay where it will build a maritime terminal
Price R$ 72 million Land 850 thousand m Start of operations 2012 Shipping capacity 25 million tons of Iron Ore, in addition to other products
Area will be a benchmark from the environmental point of view Amount estimated for environmental recovery - up to R$ 40 million
39
Logistics Assets
Usiminas Accelerating
With the new terminal, the iron ore export corridor will be improved for Usiminas mines at competitive costs
(Minas Gerais) Brazil Int. Cmara Plant (Esprito Santo) Iron Ore Mines
Belo Horizonte
(So Paulo)
So Paulo
(Rio de Janeiro)
Ing Terminal MRS
J. Bonifcio Plant
40
Cubato Terminal
Usiminas Accelerating
Total Investments of:
Financial Highlights
Financial Highlights
Over the last few years, Usiminas has prepared itself for this new phase
Usiminas
US$ Million
5,000
46%
Ebitda Ebitda Margin
4,000
35% 31%
32%
35%
3,000
2,269
2,000
2,581 2,010
1,922 999
1,000
530
734
657
831
721
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
1Q08
March, 2008
43
Usiminas
Financial Highlights
Over the last few years, Usiminas has prepared itself for this new phase
US$ Million
5,000
3.1
4,000
Net Debt
3,000
2,491
2,334 1,317
2,000
1,000
March, 2008
44
Usiminas
Financial Highlights
The Investment Program foresees the following funding:
Main Financial Transactions
ECAs
Type BNDES
Capital Markets
BNDES Eurobond
Commerc'l Banks
Usiminas
Financial Highlights
Estimated Capex for the Investment Program fits into the capital structure considered adequate for the company
US$ million
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 TOTAL
STEELMAKING
MINING
TOTAL
46
Demand growth
(thousand tons)
12,922 11,669
9,229
9,902
+10.7% +17.8%
2005
Source: IBS / Usiminas
2006
2007
2008
48
2,677 1,150 1,527 2,337 1,541 796 4,888 3,934 954 9,902
3,198 1,384 1,814 2,706 1,842 864 5,765 4,586 1,179 11,669
3,636 1,578 2,058 2,918 2,049 869 6,367 5,035 1,332 12,922
1 OEMs = Original Equipment Manufacturer 2 - Industry: Shipbuilding/Tractors/agriculture/Highway/Industrial/Bottles/Containers/Large-diameter Tubes/Other Appliances: Eletro-electronics/Domestic Appliances / Safes and Furniture 3 - Distribuition : Rerolling/Small-diameter tubes/Distribution Civil Construction: Civil construction/ Shapes 49
Overview
USA - Low inventory levels - Imports decreasing - 10% - Exports increasing - 17% - Stable prices
sia - Growth in demand - Prices increasing slighttly - Regional transactions - Exports barriers threats China - Growth in demand - 12% - Production increase - 10% - Reduction of 23% in net exports (accum. 2008) - Stable prices - Threat of higher export taxes
Latin America - Significant demand growth - Exports decreasing - Higher imports - Prices increasing slightly
Middle East - Strong demand growth pushed by energy and civil construction sectors - High level of imports
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Declarations contained in this presentation in relation to the busines outlook of the Comapany, operational and financial projections and references to the growth potential of the Comapany constitute mere forecasts and were based on the expectations of the Management in relation to future performance. These expectations are highly dependent on market behavior, of the economic situation in Brazil, on industry and international markets, and are, therefore, subject to changes.
www.usiminas.com.br/ri
ADR Level I
Investor Relations:
Bruno Seno Fusaro (Head of IR) brunofusaro@usiminas.com.br Tel.: +55-31-3499-8772 Fax: +55-31-3499-9357 Gilson Rodrigues Bentes gilson@cosipa.com.br Tel.: +55-31-3499-8617 +55-11-5070-8980 Luciana Valadares dos Santos lsantos@usiminas.com.br Tel.: +55-31-3499-8619
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