Lutfi Anwar 0910440287

LAPORAN PRAKTIKUM METODE KUANTITATIF
Analisis Persamaan Simultan
Disusun Oleh :
Lutfi Anwar
0910440287
PROGRAM STUDI AGRIBISNIS

JURUSAN SOSIAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN
FAKULTAS PERTANIAN
UNIVERSITAS BRAWIJAYA
MALANG
2012
Persamaan Simultan
Hasil SPSS
Two-stage Least Squares Analysis Persamaan 1

Notes
Output Created
27-Apr-2012 23:39:16
Comments
Input
Active Dataset
DataSet0
Filter
<none>
Weight
<none>
Split File
<none>
N of Rows in Working Data File
21
Date
<none>
Missing Value
Definition of Missing
User-defined missing values are treated as missing.
Handling
Cases Used
Statistics are based on all cases with valid data for all
variables across all equations.
Syntax
2SLS Dt WITH POPt It PDG Dt1

/INSTRUMENTS PDGt1 It POPt NTt Dt1 St
PRODGt PDVt L_T IMG PWG PDG
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.
Resources
Processor Time
0:00:00.015
Elapsed Time
0:00:00.016
Time Series
Amount of Output
PRINT = DEFAULT
Settings (TSET)
Saving New Variables
NEWVAR = CURRENT
Treatment of User-Missing Values
MISSING = EXCLUDE
Equations Include
CONSTANT
FIT_1
Fit for Dt, MOD_1 Equation 1
Variables Created
or Modified
[DataSet0]
Model Description
Type of Variable
Equation 1
Dt
dependent
POPt
predictor & instrumental
It
PDG
Dt1
PDGt1
instrumental
NTt
instrumental
Persamaan Simultan
St
instrumental
PRODGt
instrumental
PDVt
instrumental
L_T
instrumental
IMG
instrumental
PWG
instrumental
MOD_1
Model Summary
Equation 1
Multiple R
.754
R Square
.569
Adjusted R Square
.461
Std. Error of the Estimate
407810.695
ANOVA
Sum of Squares
Equation 1
df
Mean Square
Regression
3.510E12
8.774E11
Residual
2.661E12
16
1.663E11
Total
6.171E12
20
Sig.
5.276
.007
Coefficients
Unstandardized Coefficients
B
Equation 1
(Constant)
Std. Error
-6.009E6
3155699.191
POPt
63.212
25.613
It
-6.449
4.134
-786.267
348.899
.290
.183
PDG
Dt1
Coefficients
Beta
Equation 1
(Constant)
Sig.
-1.904
.075
POPt
2.266
2.468
.025
It
-.429
-1.560
.138
-2.040
-2.254
.039
.342
1.584
.133
PDG
Dt1
Coefficient Correlations
POPt
Equation 1
Correlations
It
PDG
Dt1
POPt
1.000
-.732
-.976
-.386
It
-.732
1.000
.774
.011
Persamaan Simultan
PDG
-.976
.774
1.000
.276
Dt1
-.386
.011
.276
1.000
Two-stage Least Squares Analysis p`Persamaan 2

Notes
Output Created
27-Apr-2012 23:40:16
Comments
Input
Active Dataset
DataSet0
Filter
<none>
Weight
<none>
Split File
<none>
21
Date
<none>
Missing Value
Handling
Cases Used
Syntax
2SLS PRODGt WITH PDG L_T PDVt

/INSTRUMENTS PDGt1 It POPt NTt Dt Dt1 St PDVt
L_T IMG PWG PDG
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.
Resources
Processor Time
0:00:00.000
Elapsed Time
0:00:00.028
Time Series
Amount of Output
PRINT = DEFAULT
Settings (TSET)
NEWVAR = CURRENT
Treatment of User-Missing
MISSING = EXCLUDE
Values
Variables Created
Equations Include
CONSTANT
FIT_2
Fit for PRODGt, MOD_2 Equation 1
or Modified
[DataSet0]
Model Description
Type of Variable
Equation 1
PRODGt
dependent
PDG
L_T
PDVt
PDGt1
instrumental
It
instrumental
POPt
instrumental
NTt
instrumental
Persamaan Simultan
Dt
instrumental
Dt1
instrumental
St
instrumental
IMG
instrumental
PWG
instrumental
MOD_2
Model Summary
Equation 1
Multiple R
.751
R Square
.563
Adjusted R Square
.486
198533.192
ANOVA
Sum of Squares
Equation 1
df
Mean Square
Regression
8.647E11
2.882E11
Residual
6.701E11
17
3.942E10
Total
1.535E12
20
F
7.313
Sig.
.002
Coefficients
B
Equation 1
(Constant)
424545.267
469878.355
139.932
294.932
-.069
.113
293793.286
74698.666
PDG
L_T
PDVt
Std. Error
Coefficients
Beta
Equation 1
(Constant)
Sig.
.904
.379
PDG
.728
.474
.641
L_T
-.926
-.608
.551
.679
3.933
.001
PDVt
PDG
Equation 1
Correlations
L_T
PDVt
PDG
1.000
-.994
.244
L_T
-.994
1.000
-.211
.244
-.211
1.000
PDVt
Persamaan Simultan
Two-stage Least Squares Analysis Persamaan 3

Notes
Output Created
27-Apr-2012 23:42:22
Comments
Input
Active Dataset
DataSet0
Filter
<none>
Weight
<none>
Split File
<none>
21
Date
<none>
Missing Value
Handling
Cases Used
Syntax
2SLS PDG WITH PWG NTt IMG PDGt1

/INSTRUMENTS PDGt1 It POPt NTt Dt Dt1 St
PRODGt PDVt L_T IMG PWG
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.
Resources
Processor Time
0:00:00.031
Elapsed Time
0:00:00.019
Time Series
Amount of Output
PRINT = DEFAULT
Settings (TSET)
NEWVAR = CURRENT
Treatment of User-Missing Values
MISSING = EXCLUDE
Equations Include
CONSTANT
FIT_3
Fit for PDG, MOD_3 Equation 1
Variables Created
or Modified
[DataSet0]
Model Description
Type of Variable
Equation 1
PDG
dependent
PWG
NTt
IMG
PDGt1
It
instrumental
POPt
instrumental
Dt
instrumental
Persamaan Simultan
Dt1
instrumental
St
instrumental
PRODGt
instrumental
PDVt
instrumental
L_T
instrumental
MOD_3
Model Summary
Equation 1
Multiple R
.989
R Square
.977
Adjusted R Square
.972
242.446
ANOVA
Sum of Squares
Equation 1
Regression
Mean Square
40604217.234
10151054.309
940479.718
16
58779.982
41544696.952
20
Residual
Total
df
Sig.
172.696
.000
Coefficients
B
Equation 1
(Constant)
Std. Error
-361.370
136.438
PWG
.691
.179
NTt
.054
.049
IMG
-9.259E-5
.000
.667
.110
PDGt1
Coefficients
Beta
Equation 1
(Constant)
Sig.
-2.649
.018
PWG
.346
3.871
.001
NTt
.132
1.104
.286
IMG
-.040
-.607
.552
.577
6.087
.000
PDGt1
PWG
Equation 1
Correlations
NTt
IMG
PDGt1
PWG
1.000
-.414
-.103
-.295
NTt
-.414
1.000
-.465
-.578
Persamaan Simultan
IMG
-.103
-.465
1.000
.126
PDGt1
-.295
-.578
.126
1.000
FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=Dt PRED_DT PRODGt PRED_PRODGt PDG PRED_PDGt

/STATISTICS=MEAN
/ORDER=ANALYSIS.
Frequencies
Notes
Output Created
27-Apr-2012 23:48:56
Comments
Input
Data
C:\Users\drago\Documents\SEMESTER
6\Metkuan\metkuan praktikum\MINGGU
5\baru\data.sav
Active Dataset
DataSet1
Filter
<none>
Weight
<none>
Split File
<none>
21
Missing Value
Handling
Cases Used
Statistics are based on all cases with valid data.
Syntax
FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=Dt PRED_DT PRODGt

PRED_PRODGt PDG PRED_PDGt
/STATISTICS=MEAN
/ORDER=ANALYSIS.
Resources
Processor Time
0:00:00.015
Elapsed Time
0:00:00.017
[DataSet1] C:\Users\drago\Documents\SEMESTER 6\Metkuan\metkuan

praktikum\MINGGU 5\baru\data.sav
Statistics
Dt
Valid
PRODGt
Fit for PRODGt,
PDG
Fit for PDG,
MOD_1
MOD_2
MOD_3
Equation 1
Equation 1
Equation 1
21
21
21
21
21
21
3.4144E6
3.4143640E6
2.0042E6
2.0041987E6
2054.9524
2.0549524E3
Missing
Mean
Fit for Dt,
Frequency Table
Dt
Frequency
Valid
1910968.00
Percent
4.8
Valid Percent
4.8
Cumulative Percent
4.8
Persamaan Simultan
2769278.00
4.8
4.8
9.5
2940631.00
4.8
4.8
14.3
2943923.00
4.8
4.8
19.0
3160562.00
4.8
4.8
23.8
3187530.00
4.8
4.8
28.6
3190974.00
4.8
4.8
33.3
3284303.00
4.8
4.8
38.1
3328465.00
4.8
4.8
42.9
3366006.00
4.8
4.8
47.6
3368570.00
4.8
4.8
52.4
3374606.00
4.8
4.8
57.1
3392090.00
4.8
4.8
61.9
3489930.00
4.8
4.8
66.7
3514290.00
4.8
4.8
71.4
3922160.00
4.8
4.8
76.2
3964030.00
4.8
4.8
81.0
3977884.00
4.8
4.8
85.7
4073471.00
4.8
4.8
90.5
4102519.00
4.8
4.8
95.2
4439453.00
4.8
4.8
100.0
21
100.0
100.0
Total
Fit for Dt, MOD_1 Equation 1

Frequency
Valid
Percent
Valid Percent
Cumulative Percent
2332572.31984
4.8
4.8
4.8
2671775.78783
4.8
4.8
9.5
3083020.84805
4.8
4.8
14.3
3098497.78845
4.8
4.8
19.0
3124355.57057
4.8
4.8
23.8
3261216.31730
4.8
4.8
28.6
3273234.29627
4.8
4.8
33.3
3312400.89649
4.8
4.8
38.1
3328543.65060
4.8
4.8
42.9
3466606.19994
4.8
4.8
47.6
3497376.54222
4.8
4.8
52.4
3531931.53545
4.8
4.8
57.1
3537296.72627
4.8
4.8
61.9
3558538.71445
4.8
4.8
66.7
3562899.59662
4.8
4.8
71.4
3584361.06236
4.8
4.8
76.2
3694790.08193
4.8
4.8
81.0
3704176.13921
4.8
4.8
85.7
Persamaan Simultan
3867040.23189
4.8
4.8
90.5
4102456.26459
4.8
4.8
95.2
4108552.42969
4.8
4.8
100.0
21
100.0
100.0
Total
PRODGt
Frequency
Valid
Percent
Valid Percent
Cumulative Percent
1488269.00
4.8
4.8
4.8
1493933.00
4.8
4.8
9.5
1631918.00
4.8
4.8
14.3
1690004.00
4.8
4.8
19.0
1725467.00
4.8
4.8
23.8
1755354.00
4.8
4.8
28.6
1898809.00
4.8
4.8
33.3
2004051.00
4.8
4.8
38.1
2014574.00
4.8
4.8
42.9
2051645.00
4.8
4.8
47.6
2059576.00
4.8
4.8
52.4
2094195.00
4.8
4.8
57.1
2108348.00
4.8
4.8
61.9
2119585.00
4.8
4.8
66.7
2175874.00
4.8
4.8
71.4
2191986.00
4.8
4.8
76.2
2241742.00
4.8
4.8
81.0
2252667.00
4.8
4.8
85.7
2306484.00
4.8
4.8
90.5
2329811.00
4.8
4.8
95.2
2453881.00
4.8
4.8
100.0
21
100.0
100.0
Total
Fit for PRODGt, MOD_2 Equation 1

Frequency
Valid
Percent
Valid Percent
Cumulative Percent
1588501.64145
4.8
4.8
4.8
1673735.44886
4.8
4.8
9.5
1791326.28511
4.8
4.8
14.3
1802182.65890
4.8
4.8
19.0
1803586.71636
4.8
4.8
23.8
1832676.32263
4.8
4.8
28.6
1833952.11673
4.8
4.8
33.3
1874326.44313
4.8
4.8
38.1
2015851.42873
4.8
4.8
42.9
Persamaan Simultan
2038858.48940
4.8
4.8
47.6
2066127.46790
4.8
4.8
52.4
2071942.11495
4.8
4.8
57.1
2074443.96632
4.8
4.8
61.9
2099687.91771
4.8
4.8
66.7
2129785.38959
4.8
4.8
71.4
2157082.98293
4.8
4.8
76.2
2191222.36857
4.8
4.8
81.0
2191225.82959
4.8
4.8
85.7
2203549.72562
4.8
4.8
90.5
2280452.87026
4.8
4.8
95.2
2367654.81525
4.8
4.8
100.0
21
100.0
100.0
Total
PDG
Frequency
Valid
Percent
Valid Percent
Cumulative Percent
592.00
4.8
4.8
4.8
615.00
4.8
4.8
9.5
653.00
4.8
4.8
14.3
729.00
4.8
4.8
19.0
890.00
4.8
4.8
23.8
1041.00
4.8
4.8
28.6
1125.00
4.8
4.8
33.3
1215.00
4.8
4.8
38.1
1256.00
4.8
4.8
42.9
1260.00
4.8
4.8
47.6
1430.00
4.8
4.8
52.4
1461.00
4.8
4.8
57.1
1525.00
4.8
4.8
61.9
2572.00
4.8
4.8
66.7
2640.00
4.8
4.8
71.4
2989.00
4.8
4.8
76.2
3619.00
4.8
4.8
81.0
3745.00
4.8
4.8
85.7
4110.00
4.8
4.8
90.5
4212.00
4.8
4.8
95.2
5475.00
4.8
4.8
100.0
21
100.0
100.0
Total
Fit for PDG, MOD_3 Equation 1
Persamaan Simultan
Frequency
Percent
Valid Percent
Cumulative
Percent
Valid
435.13722
4.8
4.8
4.8
524.39733
4.8
4.8
9.5
558.04707
4.8
4.8
14.3
638.08432
4.8
4.8
19.0
784.47740
4.8
4.8
23.8
1002.02162
4.8
4.8
28.6
1161.08917
4.8
4.8
33.3
1279.18829
4.8
4.8
38.1
1378.38642
4.8
4.8
42.9
1423.32122
4.8
4.8
47.6
1505.84925
4.8
4.8
52.4
1591.98505
4.8
4.8
57.1
1759.65675
4.8
4.8
61.9
2387.74419
4.8
4.8
66.7
2523.67749
4.8
4.8
71.4
3253.02277
4.8
4.8
76.2
3676.24204
4.8
4.8
81.0
3868.88011
4.8
4.8
85.7
3942.63414
4.8
4.8
90.5
4379.67565
4.8
4.8
95.2
5080.48251
4.8
4.8
100.0
21
100.0
100.0
Total
Persamaan Simultan

Lutfi Anwar 0910440287

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LAPORAN PRAKTIKUM METODE KUANTITATIF

Analisis Persamaan Simultan

PROGRAM STUDI AGRIBISNIS

Two-stage Least Squares Analysis Persamaan 1

N of Rows in Working Data File

User-defined missing values are treated as missing.

2SLS Dt WITH POPt It PDG Dt1

Saving New Variables

Treatment of User-Missing Values

Fit for Dt, MOD_1 Equation 1

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

Std. Error of the Estimate

Two-stage Least Squares Analysis p`Persamaan 2

N of Rows in Working Data File

User-defined missing values are treated as missing.

2SLS PRODGt WITH PDG L_T PDVt

Saving New Variables

Fit for PRODGt, MOD_2 Equation 1

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

Std. Error of the Estimate

Two-stage Least Squares Analysis Persamaan 3

N of Rows in Working Data File

User-defined missing values are treated as missing.

2SLS PDG WITH PWG NTt IMG PDGt1

Saving New Variables

Treatment of User-Missing Values

Fit for PDG, MOD_3 Equation 1

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

Std. Error of the Estimate

FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=Dt PRED_DT PRODGt PRED_PRODGt PDG PRED_PDGt

N of Rows in Working Data File

User-defined missing values are treated as missing.

Statistics are based on all cases with valid data.

FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=Dt PRED_DT PRODGt

[DataSet1] C:\Users\drago\Documents\SEMESTER 6\Metkuan\metkuan

Fit for PRODGt,

Fit for PDG,

Fit for Dt,

Fit for Dt, MOD_1 Equation 1

Fit for PRODGt, MOD_2 Equation 1

Fit for PDG, MOD_3 Equation 1

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