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Introduction
Over the past decades, globalization has now become a new world order, which virtually influences everything that comes in our mind. Developing countries like Bangladesh with vulnerable geopolitical locations and weak economies are now looking at globalization to strengthen their economy to fight any perceived threats. But the increasing role played by the western dominated institutions such as, the World Bank (WB), International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the World Trade Organization (WTO) in setting the rules under which globalization is played, has placed developing countries in a much disadvantageous position vis--vis the developed countries. However, a closer look at the globalization will show that it has both positive and negative impacts on the economy of Bangladesh. A thorough understanding of the effect of globalization is needed to use its advantages to improve her economy. This may also help Bangladesh maintain a sustained growth in the face of likely economic peril. This paper studies both negative and positive impacts of globalization on some selected economic sectors of Bangladesh. It also studies some ameliorative measures to overcome the negative impacts and also the ways to exploit the opportunities created. Finally the paper recommends some measures for Bangladesh to meet the challenges of economic globalization. Globalization trade and commerce all over the world by creating a borderless market. With the development of hi-tech communication media and rapid transportation facilities, the world has come closer. We can now learn in an instant what is happening in the farthest corner of the world and travel to any country in the shortest possible time. Countries of the world can even share their joy and sorrows like next door neighbor. If one country is distress other can immediately come to its assistance. If we could build up an atmosphere of mutual understanding and co-operation through this globalization process, our world could certainly a better place to live in.
1. No consensus regarding use of concept, and phenomena it is used to describe and/or prescribe. 2. The removal of barriers to free trade and the closer integration of national Economies.. But ... the way globalization has been managed, .. , need to be radically or rethought(Stiglitz, Globalization & its Discontents 2002)
3.
4.
Worldwide interpenetration and interdependence of all sectorseconomic, political, social, cultural, and military (Barkat et.el 2002) Globalization ... is perhaps the most profound source of international transformation since the industrial revolution ... . The adjective global refers less to a place than to a space defined by electronic flows and a state of mind (Kofi Annan, 1997).
5.
Encompasses diffusion of practices, values and technology that have an influence on peoples lives worldwide (Albrow 1997).
6. Shrinking planet phenomenon (Eastwood 2002). 7. Network society (Castells 1996). 8. A highly contested, complex, multidisciplinary discourse
trade, finance & information towards emergence of increasingly integrated global economy.
markets. Effects of both are equated with economic growth increased personal income improved living conditions liberal democracy
9. Globaphiles (pro-globalization): it work for poor Globaphobes (anti-globalization): (trade) is inherently bad for poor. 10. Supporters: Equate positively with openness, cosmopolitanism, integration. Critics: Equate with Western imperialism, corporate domination, rampant consumerism. 11. Globalization process involves: costs risks challenges conflict
One such source has been technological advances that have significantly lowered the
costs of transportation and communication and dramatically lowered the costs of data processing and information storage and retrieval.
A second source of globalization has been trade liberalization and other forms of
economic liberalization that have led to reduce trade protection and to a more liberal world trading system. A third source of globalization has been changes in institutions, where organizations have a wider reach, due, in part, to technological changes and to the more wide-ranging horizons of their managers, who have been empowered by advances in communications.
A fourth reason for globalization has been the global agreement on ideology, with a
convergence of beliefs in the value of a market economy and a free trade system. Friedman in his book The Lexus and the Olive Tree attributes the explosive growth of free market globalization to three factors;
1. 2. 3.
The democratization of technology, The democratization of finance, and The democratization of communications.
The fact these three elements of economic growth are more accessible to most people to explain why today, as Friedman says it, free markets and free trade produce far greater incomes for a society as a whole. Now this opportunity is open to so many more people through changes in technology, finance, and communications,
but also in a speed at which the business can be accomplished today provides huge opportunities to many who were not previously part of the global economy. Friedman reports that according to the U.S. Treasury, in the 1990s, $1.3 trillion in private funds were invested in emerging market economies, compared to a mere $170 million in the 1970s. These private investments are one of the elements that account for the unprecedented prosperity in the world as we enter the twenty-first century.
Along the way, as Friedman explains the democratization of technology, he introduces those of us outside of high tech circles to the concepts of digitalization and bandwidth. He provides an understanding of what is happening with the Internet, from technological, business, and stewardship standpoints. As Friedman puts it, We are responsible for making God's presence manifest by what we do. And the reason that this issue is most acute in cyberspace is because no one else is in charge there. Globalization has led to growing competition on a global basis. While some fear competition, there are many beneficial effects of competition
increases in
Now exist not just in a nation but also on a worldwide basis. Other beneficial effects include the economies of scale and scope that can potentially lead to reductions in costs and prices and are conducive to continuing economic growth. Other benefits from globalization include the gains from trade in which both parties gain in a mutually beneficial exchange, where the gainers are parties, this parties can be,
The regional, National, or International level. One such cost or problem is that of who gains from its
potential benefits. There can be substantial equity problems in the distribution of the gains from globalization among individuals, organizations, nations, and regions. Indeed, many of the gains have been going to the rich nations or individuals, creating greater inequalities and leading to potential conflicts nationally and internationally.
Here the example of Tanzania by Pallast can be brought again. WB and IMF claim their role in Tanzania a success but the rise in poverty indicator since their involvement and the amount of annual government spending to pay off the interest of the debt does not really support their claims.
A third type of problem stemming from globalization is that the control of national
economies is seen by some as possibly shifting from sovereign governments to other entities, including the most powerful nation states, multinational or global firms, and international organizations. The result is that some perceive national sovereignty as being undermined by the forces of globalization. Thus globalization could lead to a belief among national leaders that they are helplessly in the grip of global forces and an attitude of disaffection among the electorate. The result could be extreme nationalism and xenophobia, along with calls for protectionism and the growth of extremist political movements, ultimately leading to potential conflicts. The one issue that came to the forefront time and time again was employment and livelihoods. While people largely favor more openness and interconnection between societies, they are much less positive when asked about the impact on their jobs and incomes. For many, globalization was not delivering on its promises, and particularly not delivering decent work.
Workers can hardly trust the current model of globalization when they see every day a growth of the informal economy, a decline in social protection and the imposition of an authoritarian workplace culture, said a trade union leader. But even in a country as successful as Costa Rica the participants in the dialogue felt that the majority of citizens, regardless of their income level or social status, perceived more threats than opportunities in globalization. Unstable global financial markets, in particular, had had disastrous social consequences in many countries, due both to inadequate government policies and to poor understanding of local conditions by the IMF and foreign banks. The middle classes in Argentina and Uruguay had been hit particularly hard. In Asia most participants of globalization sees it working selectively: beneficial for some countries and people, but not for others. The most impressive gain had been in the poverty reduction associated with the opening up of China and India. Yet some 1 billion people in the region had hardly seen any reward. The process had to be managed to make it more inclusive.
The expansion of markets(Economic), Challenges to the state and institutions (political), and The rise of new social and political movements (cultural
relates the political and cultural sector.
).
There are three main sectors where Globalization impacts occur. There are hues circles but we discuss about the globalization impacts on economy because this is the sector where
Impact:
Bangladesh's economy grew rapidly during the 1990s as the country liberalized its markets and became increasingly integrated into the world economy. Until the 2001 global recession, Bangladesh ranked third for improvement of human development - behind only Cape Verde and China - thanks in large part to exports from its blossoming garment industry. Wahiduddin Mahmud, economist and former Minister of Finance and Planning for Bangladesh, explains that despite these positive trends, the recession hit Bangladesh's economy hard, and it seems unlikely that the country will soon regain the momentum it had in the 1990s. The increasing competitiveness of the global garment industry, in particular, threatens to undermine Bangladesh's growth. In addition to considering the overall employment situation, the debate on globalization in Bangladesh has also focused on manufacturing employment in particular. This has been inspired partly by high-profile news stories about job losses in a number of large-scale import-substituting industries, especially in the public sector. Mainly, however, the debate has been fuelled by the findings of the Labour Force Surveys, which show that manufacturing employment has declined in both relative and absolute terms in the 1990s. Thus, under the usual definition of labor force of age 10 years and above, the number of workers engaged in manufacturing seems to have declined dramatically from 7.0 million in 1989 to just 4.1 million in 199596. This has raised concerns that globalization may be leading to de-industrialization in Bangladesh, with all the deleterious consequences for poverty this implies. In addition, the inflow of migrant worker remittances - one of the few saving graces during the economic
slowdown - may also be in peril. These remittances rely strongly on the economic fortunes and hospitality of host countries, some of which are now changing their policies and attitudes towards guest workers. "If Bangladesh is to become less vulnerable to the economic fortunes of others," Mahmud concludes, "it will need to strengthen its domestic economy, creating jobs and markets at home." YaleGlobal Economically, technological changes and government deregulation have permitted the establishment of transnational network in production, trade, and finance creating what is referred to as a borderless world. The new production network describes firms and multinational enterprises (MNEs) who use advanced means of communications and new technologies to spread their activities across the globe. Economic reform process has to be redesigned to boost industrialization. All stakeholders specially the workers need to be involved in the decision making process. Government should be fully committed to accelerate economic reforms that would lead to faster economic growth and poverty alleviation. Necessary steps should also be taken to maintain macroeconomic stability.
DHAKA: Bangladesh faces the challenge of achieving accelerated economic growth and alleviating the massive poverty that afflicts nearly two-fifths of its 135 million people. To meet this challenge, market-oriented liberalizing policy reforms were initiated in the mid1980s and were pursued much more vigorously in the 1990s. These reforms were particularly aimed at moving towards an open economic regime and integrating with the global economy While most low-income countries depend largely on the export of primary commodities, Bangladesh has made the transition from being primarily a jute-exporting country to a garment-exporting one. While most low-income countries depend largely on the export of primary commodities, Bangladesh has made the transition from being primarily a jute-exporting country to a garment-exporting one. This transition has been dictated by the country's resource endowment, characterized by extreme land scarcity and a very high population density, making economic growth dependent on the export of labour-intensive manufactures. It is not easy for a least developed Country like Bangladesh to specialize in manufactured export
Although Bangladesh still does not rank among the most globally integrated developing economies, the pace of integration has been quite rapid. Until hit by the global recession in 2001, there had been robust and sustained growth of export earnings, averaging about 15 percent per year in the 1990s. As a result, the ratio of export earnings to GDP had nearly doubled to about 14 percent by the end of the decade. In 2001-02, however, export earnings
declined in US dollar terms for the first time in nearly 15 years. Although there was a recovery in the following year, the medium term outlook indicates that it will be difficult to regain the export momentum of the 1990s. The relatively strong growth of the Bangladeshi economy in the 1990s was underpinned by the even stronger export growth. Unfortunately, the removal of the Multi-Fiber Arrangements (MFA) quotas now threatens to increase competition in the global garment industry and thus limit Bangladesh's growth. The strength of the industry depends on the export quotas dictated by the MFA and preferential access in the major Western markets. Moreover, other export industries are unlikely to take its place if the garment industry shrinks; excluding the garment industry, the growth of the large-scale manufacturing industries was a meager 4 percent annually in the 1990s. It is not easy for a Least Developed Country (LDC) like Bangladesh to specialize in manufactured exports. Having low wage costs can hardly compensate for its lack of marketing skills and infrastructure and poor overall investment climate. Moreover, the high degree of dependence of domestic industries on imported raw materials and industrial inputs makes it difficult for Bangladesh to satisfy the so-called "rules of origin" in getting preferential access for its exports in the markets of the developed countries. Thus, most of Bangladesh's garment exports are not eligible for the tariff concessions given under the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) in the EU market. This problem has not received adequate attention, since the other major players in textile trade among developing countries are hardly affected by it. Another issue of great importance to Bangladesh is that the free movement of temporary workers across borders be expanded, for workers' remittances play an important role in its economy. Indeed, a redeeming feature in the face of the export slowdown in Bangladesh is the continued increase in the inflow of migrant workers' remittances, which grew from about 2.5 percent of GDP in the beginning of the 1990s to above 5 percent in 2001-02 (amounting to about US$2.5 billion). Migrant workers are mostly unskilled or semi-skilled, and most of them come from poor rural families, making their remitted savings an important means for their families to escape poverty
In the wake of the 2001 global recession, Bangladesh's reliance on foreign countries as a market for exports and as a source of remittances has become obvious. If Bangladesh is to become less vulnerable to the economic fortunes of others, it will need to strengthen its domestic economy, creating jobs and markets at home. A strong domestic sector and an improved overall investment environment will provide a more stable source of income like what the garment industry has provided so far - and will rekindle and sustain Bangladesh's economic growth.
amount to nearly three-fourths of net export earnings. This paper will focus specifically on the consequences of these two dimensions of globalization viz. trade openness and workers remittances. The paper is structured as follows. Section II provides an overview of growth and poverty in Bangladesh in the last two decades and presents an analysis of the growth-poverty nexus, i.e. the mechanisms through which growth impacted on poverty. Trade to GDP: Bangladeshs Experience
The trade sector has on an average grown only slightly faster than the growth of the economy. The overall growth of the economy and the social sector development indicators, particularly for the decade of 1990s, does not show any significant gains from the liberalization process. Poverty which was increasing till the early 1980s started to increase thereafter till the end of the decade.
The increase in the openness of the economy did not translate significantly into any
enhancement of growth and subsequent decline in poverty Table 1. Annual average growth rates of the Bangladesh economy, 1980/81 to 1999/2000 Five-year average Decadal average Sector 1980/811984/85 1985/861988/89 1990/911994/95 1995/96-
199920/00 1980/811989/90 1990/911999/2000 GDP 3.72 3.74 4.40 5.21 3.73 4.81 Population 2.13 2.19 1.98 1.60 2.16 1.79 Per capita GDP 1.59 1.55 2.41 3.61 1.57 3.01 Source: Computed from BBS (2000, annex table 8) and BBS (2001a, annex table 8). Faster growth of income was accompanied by some widening of income inequality, in both urban and rural areas. Inequality had also widened in the earlier decade, but it did so much more sharply in the 1990s. Thus, the Gini coefficient of consumption expenditure for urban areas had gone up from 0.30 in 1983-84 to just 0.32 in 1991-92, but then rose sharply to 0.38 by 2000. Rural areas also experienced a similar trend. After remaining roughly constant around 0.25 during the 1980s, the rural Gini rose steeply to 0.30 by 2000. Despite the worsening of income distribution, however, poverty declined in the 1990s, and what is more, it declined faster than in the preceding decade. In the 1980s, the extent of poverty was virtually static from 52 per cent in 1983-84, the proportion of people in poverty fell to just 50 per cent by 1991-92. But the rate of poverty reduction accelerated in the 1990s, and by 2000 the proportion had fallen to 40 per cent. As in the case of growth, the acceleration in the pace of poverty reduction was nowhere as spectacular as in much of East and South-East Asia, but it did mark a significant improvement over the 1980s. Not just the proportion of poor people, also the depth and severity of poverty declined faster in the 1990s, indicating that even the poorest of the people enjoyed a slightly accelerated rateof poverty reduction in this decade.
POVERTY & INEQUALITY FEATURES OF GLOBALIZATION Rich countries with 14% worlds population command over 75% global GDP
For every 1 $ generated through global exports in international trading system, low income countries account for only 3 cents. Export growth with highly exploitative employment practices
Requires the poor to constantly seek to improve their skills and human capital.
Investment in Quality control and standards
This also requires a set of specific interventions by the Government. Increasing competitiveness is at the heart of the whole process.
This requires
Strong forward and backward linkages of markets within a country and globally
e.g. transport and telecommunications infrastructure - not just for a good investment climate but also for including the poor.
the inability to protect the losers can not only increase the damage
protectionism
New institutions and processes. A new culture of doing business Increasingly sophisticated research requirements in order to stay competitive
Building awareness and consensus Supportive Policy Environment
Theoretically
Globalization opens up markets and ensures competition Removes inefficiencies and leading to greater growth. Ensures specialization takes place in areas of comparative advantage. For labor abundant economies this means increased employment as well as growth.
Growth of the globalizers is associated with certain other characteristics These include:
Flexibility of the exchange rate regimes and the ability to exercise fiscal discipline Investment in research and adaptation Investment in skill enhancements The ability to re-adjust economic structures to bring these in line with comparative
advantage
Safety nets for those that are inevitably marginalized in the short run by this process.
A reduction in the number of poor people in certain parts of Asia, but not in other
parts of the world.
Inclusion varies both across countries and within. A number of countries (with around 2 billion people) are in danger of becoming marginal to the world economy over the past two decades.
Homogenization popular fears at cultural and social level - despite the fact that
societies that are all fully integrated into the global economy differ enormously
Looking at the number of poor people rather than average national poverty levels,
we find that the number of people who live in poverty (defined as those who live on less than $1 per day in terms of 1985 PPP) decreased significantly over the past two decades, but most of this decrease occurred in China
replace the traditional primitive and inefficient system of social protection with a
minimum, modern safety net
Increased efficiency of resource use and reform of the tax systems to increase revenues to finance this increased public spending are important preconditions
Why did Bangladeshs trade sector not grow significantly during the 1990s despite the liberalization?
Narrow range of export markets and export products; Modest short-term demand responsiveness for major
Bangladesh export categories:
Small foreign direct investment in tradable sectors; Anti-export bias in the trade policies of Bangladesh; Inadequate infrastructure in certain potential growth sectors; Absence of trade risk mitigation structure to support the entry of new exporters and
Inadequate development of non-traditional markets As the Commerce Minister stated in this years Trade Policy Speech the inability to develop an export culture characterizes a major impediment development of the right market oriented attitudes is required Things are looking up! Exports have picked up in the last few years Grew by 54.4 percent at a compound rate of 11.6 percent. Exports in 2004-05 were recorded at $14.1 billion and Projected to grow to $17.0 billion in 2005-06 Gender perspective - important that trade policies, programs and mechanisms..
Enhance social policies that protect the most vulnerable sectors Promote
economic and social advancement of women and men taking into consideration differences and special circumstances in countries needs, activities and ability to compete
Recognize and develop processes that seek to overcome the special constraints that
women face in the economy and trade relations due to gender biases and gender inequalities.
Direct Poverty Reduction will come from Increased employment The Labour. Content of Bangladeshs Trade:
Economic growth and poverty reductionare linked through employment and the
real wage rates.
Some Progress has been made but the focus for trade liberalization during the next
one to three years should be on reducing tariff dispersion, increasing transparency, making indirect taxes trade neutral, and closing loopholes in exemptions The Agreement on Agriculture provides significant opportunities for Protecting Food and Livelihood Security and Rural Development Opportunities through the designation of Special Products and Special Safeguard Mechanisms. Agriculture sectors played a vital role to increase the economy by providing or manufacturing the foods and goods. Why have they not been able to take advantage of Bangladeshs Agricultural potential in Trade Inadequate Research
Structural problems within Bangladesh's agri-food economy; Barriers encountered in accessing export markets; and
Competition from other countries' exporters.
the overall short run impact of MFA abolition will be positive on the textiles sector
and negative on clothing.
This will result from the improvements in efficiency of its resource allocation and
in world market prices outweighing the loss of quota rents
exceptionally high tariffs on the products of the export interests of the developing
economies;
The general knowledge of the Agreement and its provisions is high among officials,
traders and non-governmental organizations.
However,
Very few institution in Bangladesh where different stake holders can interact on the
WTO issues Most of the positions taken on WTO issues in Bangladesh lacks an empirical research basis and are most often based on assumptions.
Bangladesh should:
Final comment:
Globalization has a very far-reaching effect on almost every sphere of life. In the question of economic development and growth it is even more being in this era of globalization.
Developing country like Bangladesh must take the advantages of globalization and attempt to improve her economy. Friedmans concept of golden straitjacket can work as a good start point in this wise effort. Bangladeshs potentials to economic globalization is highly promising. I believe that the recommendation made in this paper if implemented well will take Bangladesh to a point of sustained economic growth and development.