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R. E. Shanklin, Jr., T. Lee, M. K. Mallick, R. A. Kuseski, and J. O. Cappellari, Jr. Computer Sciences Corporation ABSTRACT Extensive comparlsons of the Harris-Priester, JacchiaRoberts, and MSIS (Mass Spectrometer/Incoherent Scatter) atmospheric density models as used in satellite orbit determination are summarized. The quantities compared include Bayesian weighted least squares differential correction statistics and orbit solution consistency and accuracy.
*This work was supported by the Operations Analysis Section, Operational Orbit Support Branch, Goddard Space Flight Center, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, under Contract NAS 5-24300.
i-i
SECTION
i -
INTRODUCTION
drag with
of
Earth
sat-
i000 due
kilomto
satellite
atmospheric
Adrag
im 2
density velocity reference drag mass of at the position to the of the satel-
where
relative
atmosphere area
A = satellite C D = satellite m = satellite Therefore, knowledge tion This three context are the and calculation of the
cross-sectional
coefficient
the
drag density
acceleration as
requires of posi-
atmospheric
a function
time. presents the results atmospheric of a comparative density The model, three the models models study of
paper
different of orbit
global
in the compared
Jacchia-Roberts Scatter
model, model.
Spectrometer!Incoherent
Harris-Priester profile
model of
on
theoretical
conditions. extreme
ultraviolet produces
artificial deduced
that
diurnal In
variathe mod-
tion ified
drag used
Harrls-Priester
the
EUV
1-2
heating
level
by
choosing
among
i0
different
tables the
representing
i0 different is modeled
diurnal
variation of
a correction
using
a power
a cosine
(References The
1 and
is based boundary
on
empirical exospheric
profiles (T).
density
calculation
integration cludes
corrections
particle
flux sea2
(so-called
geomagnetic) and
semiannual variation
variations, (References
is based
on
fitting the
spherical
surface
har-
monic
expansions
to match and
angular
exhibited
incoherent
includes flux
sections annual
solar
heating, variations,
variations,
variations,
diurnal
semidiurnal from
variations, equi-
diffusive
implemented his
module. Flight
Space 4),
developed some of
program
during
1 shows models
density two
different
levels the
and
level.
Jacchia-
densities, of 2.0
figure
ratios the
is apparent similar
the shape.
profiles
quite
in overall
1-3
TABLE
(kg/km 3) MSIS F10.7 = 116.2 F10.7 = 135.1 .203 E + 1 ;274E 0 F10.7 = 140.0 F10.7 = 165.3 .204 E + 1 .313E 0
JACCHIA-ROBERTS F10.7 = 116.2 -F10.7 = 135.1 .193 E + 1 .228E 0 F10.7 = 140.0 F10.7 = 165.3 .210 E + 1 .270E 0
150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000
.205 E + 1 .224E 0
.206 E + 1 .255E 0
.459 E - 1 .129 E - 1 A25 E -- 2 .155 E -2 .521 E -- 3 .218 E -- 3 .963 E - 4 .451 E - 4 .227 E - 4 .112E-4 .691 E - 5 .464 E - 5 .316 E -- 5 .245 E 5
.583 E -- 1 .178 E -- 1 .631 E -- 2 .247 E -- 2 .879 E -- 3 .392 E -- 3 .182 E -- 3 .851 E -- 4 .451 E -- 4 .217 E--4 .127 E --4 .804 E --5 .462 E -- 5 .301 E -- 5 .201 E-- 5 .141 E--5
.559 E -- 1 .177 E -- 1 .637 E - 2 .246 E -- 2 .835 E -- 3 .353 E -- 3 .155 E - 3 .706 E - 4 .339 E - 4 .154E--4 .878 E - 5 .548 E - 5 .348 E - 5 .258 E -- 5 .201 E - 5 .155E--5
.636 E -- 1 .187 E1
.802 E - 1 .255 E -- 1 .926 E -- 2 .368 E - 2 .131 E - 2 .582 E - 3 .266 E - 3 .125 E -- 3 .600 E -- 4 .259E-4 .134 E -4 .728 E -5 .378 E - 5 .236 E - 5 .158 E - 5 .107 E-5
co
.102 E - 5 .761E--6
NOTES:
2. THESE PROFILES ARE FOR AUGUST 30, 1978, AT A LATITUDE AND A LOCAL SOLAR TIME OF 1:40 P.M.
OF 46 N, AN EAST LONGITUDE
2.0
1.6-
X _ X X X X
"_
CL
1.41.2 X
"_ ; r_
X
X
J--R
o_
_. 1.0
Z ,,, 0.8
X X
=-
X X X X
MSlS X
0.6
0.4
0.2
I 200
1 400 ALTITUDE
I 600 (kilometer=)
I 800
/ 1000
J-R
1.6
"_ 1.4-
X X X X X X
_
0
_:
x 1_
X
x
X
X
1.2
< cc >I.LM
1.0
X 0.8
0.6
x x
MSIS
0.40.2 I 200
q_ O
4_0 ALTITUDE
6{_]0 (kilometers)
800 L
10_0 ==
FIGURE
1. ATMOSPHERIC
MODEL DENSITY
RATIOS
1-5
SECTION 2 - COMPARATIVE STUDY STRUCTURE All the results presented in Section 3 of this paper are based on Goddard Tra3ectory Determination System (GTDS) Bayeslan weighted least squares differential correction solutions. Nine different series of six GTDS Differential Correction (DC) Program runs were made for each of the three atmospheric models. Three different satellites, with perigee heights between 310 and 560 kilometers, were studied; other orbital parameters for these satellites are given in Table 2. The nine series of orbit determination arcs are listed in Table 3. Each series contains six 30-hour-arc solutions. The solu-
tions are used to generate 30-hour ephemerides that overlap adjacent ephemerides by 6 hours. The ephemerides are then compared in order to determine the maximum position differences (in the orbital reference frame) during the overlap periods. The 162 DC Program solutions produce 135 maximum overlap position differences. These differences are used to evaluate the consistency and accuracy obtained when each of the three atmospheric models isused. Each differential correction solution is made up of seven numbers: three position coordinates, three velocity coor-
dinates, and the drag variation parameter (pl), which is a scaling factor in the drag acceleration equation, i.e.,
-_drag -
i CD A pll + 01) 2 m
--_ V IVl -_
This scaling factor is applied during generation of the ephemeris that uses the differential correction solution.
1-6
SATELLITE
DATE
INCLINAT)ON (degrees)
97 97
55
o3
SERIES NUMBER 1 2 3
SATELLITE
AE-3
4 5 6 7 8 MAGSAT
OCTOBER31--NOVEMBER 5, 1979 DECEMBER1--6, 1979 JANUARY 1--6, 1980 FEBRUARY 1-6_ 1980 MARCH 1--6, 1980
SAGE
co
.].-7
attitude
is not
considered, no
since aerodynamic
modeled.
The
is crude other
all
three
satellites, are
aerodynamic to on
forces expect
that
both of
the
results by same
this
because three
obtained to the
applying arcs
each the
atmospheric sets.
with
same
stated, for
aerodynamic atmospheric
forces
perturb
solutions manner.
in a similar
1-8
SECTION
3 - COMPARATIVE
STUDY
RESULTS
This study
section of
summarizes
the
results models
of In
this the
atmospheric (30-hour)
density orbit of
short-arc by-run erence First, ison merits cialized average Second, parison ferences residuals. such The large average of
A detailed,
presentation 5. Two
these
in Ref-
remarks not
these
results
a comparrelative spean
context--short-arc drag any runs and scaling series may of factor orbit
in which
is solved
determination sporadic
comdifRMS
contain
a few
a few Some of
with this
study
show
RMSs. average are maximum glven position in Table along and the 4.
series are
over of
all the
three EUV
also
given,
ranges
index The
(FI0.7)
particle
flux
index overlap
averages are
show about
differences the
smaller averages
than are
about
larger
than
Harris-Priester
averages.
ference between the Jacchia-Roberts and MSIS be considered either large or significant. The study that are same information five is given series of for Magsat The
averages
in Table Magsat
5. results
This show
arcs. and
Jacchia-Roberts larger
MSIS
average
differences average
about
9 percent
than
the
Harris-Priester
1-9
TABLE 4. COMPARATIVE ATMOSPHERIC DENSITY MODEL STUDY FOR AE-3 (AUGUST AND SEPTEMBER 1978)
RESULTS
HARRIS-PRI SERIES I I'_ i._= C) AUGUST AUGUST 1-6 14-19 (1 RANGE OF F10'7 ) RANGI_ OF Kp 0-6 0-6 0-6 AVERAGE WEIGHTED RMS 4.9 7.3 7.3
MODEL
MSIS MODEL AVERAGE WEIGHTED RMS 8.4 8.5 7.2 MAXIMUM DIFFERENCE POSITION (meters) 265 324 164
SEPTEMBER 2-8
AVERAGES
6.5
208
7.2
184
8.0
251
co
DENSITY MODEL STUDY RESULTS FOR MAGSAT 1979; JANUARY, FEBRUARY, AND MARCH 1980)
HARRIS
PRIESTER
RESULTS MAXIMUM
JACCHIA-
ROBEHTS
RESULTS MAXIMUM
WEIGHTED RMS
WEIGHTED" RMS
t-'
I OCT. 31 NOV. 5, 1979 207.5-214.9 0.- 4 8.3 204 7.8 1 16 8.0 190
DEC. 1 -6,
1979
152.2-
223.4
0 -4
12.4
204
11.5
175
12.8
25b
JAN. 1
6, 19_0
181:1.9 212.4
1--.5
9.4
213
9.5
166
11.3
28S
FEB. 1 - 6, 1980
212,6 _ 231.7
0-4
12.7
326
12.5
298
13.8
313
MAR.
E, 1980
170.2
-176.7
O. 3
9.8
.161
13.4
396
10.0
159
AVEHAGES
"
30.6
222
10.9
242
11.2
243
"=
As that in the
zn the the
case
of
AE-3,
the
Magsat
three
density
context and
RMSs SAGE
differences 6. Both
for the
the and
serzes the
arcs
RMSs all
overlap
differences models
3 percent; equivalent
three
atmospheric
produce
essentially
errors.
DENSITY 1979)
MODEL STUDY
RESULTS
10.9
108
JACCHIA--ROBERTS
11.2
! 14
MSIS
11.0
112
g
o0
1-12
SECTION 4 - CONCLUSION
The results for presented satellites in above this 300 and paper support the the conclusion Harrisdensity and es-
that,
kilometers, MSIS
atmospheric density
similar
profiles results
sentially drag
when
the is
variation by
parameter arc of
and
quality is
adjacent which
overlap the
imposthe
predict or best
produce
determinaatmos-
However, may
problem
switching
models
in marked
improvements.
1-13
REFERENCES
i.
I. Harris and W. Priester, "Atmospheric Structure and Its Variations in the Region From 120 to 800 Km," COSPAR International Reference Atmosphere (CIRA) 1965, Space Research IV, North Holland Publishing Co., Amsterdam Goddard Space Flight Center, X-582-76-77, Mathematical Theory of the Goddard Trajectory Determination System, J. O. Cappellari, Jr., C. E. Velez, and A. J. Fuchs (editors), April 1976 L. G. Jacchia, Revised Static Models of the Thermosphere and Exosphere With Empirical Temperature Profiles, Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory Special Report No. 332, Cambridge, Massachusetts, May 1971 A. E. Hedin et al., "A Global Tropospheric Model Based on Mass Spectrometer and Incoherent Scatter Data: MSIS i. N 2 Density and Temperature," Journal of Geophysical Research, 1977, vol. 82, pp. 2139-2147 Computer parative Context T. Lee, Sciences Corporation, CSC/TM-81/6166, ComStudy of Atmospheric Density Models int_ of Spacecraft Orbit Determination, R. Kuseski, M. Mallick, and R. Shanklin, Jr., September 1981
2.
3.
4.
5.
1-14