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MEDIA INQUIRIES:

Lorne Bozinoff, President


lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

PartiQuebecoisinstrongleadoverLiberals;CAQ
fallsback

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

PQwouldformstrongmajoritygovernment

HIGHLIGHTS:

Toronto,February24th,2012InarecentsurveyconductedbyForumResearch
amongresidentsofQuebecaged18yearsorolder,itwasfoundthatifan
electionwereheldtoday,thePartiQuebecois(PQ)wouldscoreaconvincingwin
overthegoverningQuebecLiberalParty,withthenewlyformedCoalitionAvenir
Quebec(CAQ)inthirdplace(PQ39%,Liberal30%,CAQ19%,QuebecSolidaireor
QS6%,GreenPartyorPVQ5%).Voterswithalowerhouseholdincomewere
morelikelytobackthePQ(49%<$20K,39%$20K$40K,41%$40K$60K,38%
$60K$80K,39%$80K$100K,and35%$100K+),aswerefrancophonevoters
(43%;comparedto12%ofnonfrancophonevoters),andthoselivingoutsideof
majorurbancenters(47%NorthShore,46%SouthShore;comparedto35%
Montreal,and30%QuebecCity).SupportfortheLiberalpartywasstronger
amongoldervoters(21%1834,25%3544,27%4554,32%55to64,and43%
65+),amongnonfrancophonevoters(59%;comparedto25%offrancophone
voters),andthoseresidinginQuebecCityorMontreal(33%each,comparedto
27%NorthShore,and24%SouthShore).SupportfortheCAQwashigheramong
youngervoters(20%1834,26%3544,22%4554,18%55to64,and13%65+),
males(24%,comparedto15%offemales),thosewithahigherhousehold
income(8%<$20K,15%$20K$40K,18%$40K$60K,23%$60K$80K,24%$80K
$100K,and30%$100K+),francophonevoters(21%;comparedto8%ofnon
francophonevoters),andthoseresidinginQuebecCity(26%;comparedto19%
SouthShore,18%Montreal,and18%NorthShore).

Liberalstolosemorethan25seatsifelectionheldtoday
IfthesevotingintentionresultsholdonElectionDaytheywouldyield77seats
forthePQ(upfrom44nowand51attheelection),37seatsfortheLiberals
(downfrom64currently,and66attheelection),10fortheCAQ(upfrom9
now),andoneforQS(unchanged).Theseresultswillchangeasvotingintentions
changeandaresubjecttotheusualmarginsoferror.

It was found that if an

election were held today,


the Parti Quebecois (PQ)
would score a convincing
win over the governing
Quebec Liberal Party, with
the newly formed
Coalition Avenir Quebec
(CAQ) in third place (PQ
39%, Liberal 30%, CAQ
19%, Quebec Solidaire or
QS 6%, Green Party of PVQ
5%)
If these voting intention

results hold on Election


Day they would yield 77
seats for the PQ (up from
44), 37 seats for the
Liberals (down from 64),
10 for the CAQ (up from
9), and one for QS
(unchanged). These
results will change as
voting intentions change
and are subject to the
usual margins of error.

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

Maroishashighestfavourables,Charestlowest
TherecentpollfoundthatPaulineMaroishadthehighestapprovalratingamong
votersastheLeaderoftheOpposition(38%),followedbyJeanCharestas
Premier(28%),andFrancoisLegaultasLeaderoftheCAQ(31%).Approvalof
Maroiswashigheramongfrancophonevoters(42%;comparedto15%ofnon
francophonevoters),whileapprovalofCharestwassignificantlyhigheramong
oldervoters(19%1834,26%3544,27%4554,30%55to64,and40%65+)
malevoters(30%,comparedto25%offemales),nonfrancophonevoters(39%l
comparedto26%offrancophonevoters),andthoselivinginmajorurban
centers(33%QuebecCity,29%Montreal;comparedto27%NorthShore,and
23%SouthShore).ApprovalofLegaultwasfoundtobehigheramongmale
voters(36%;comparedto27%offemales),andfrancophonevoters(33%;
comparedto25%ofnonfrancophonevoters)

MajorityapprovesofSupremeCourtrulinginfavourofcompulsory
religionclasses
WhenitcomestothesubjectoftherecentSupremeCourtrulinginfavourof
compulsoryreligionandethicsclassesinQuebecitwasfoundthatthemajority
approve(60%;30%disapprove,10%haveyettoformanopinion).Approvalwas
higheramongyoungervoters(64%1834,62%3544,61%4554,57%55to64,
and55%65+)andthosewithahigherhouseholdincome(53%<$20K,56%$20K
$40K,65%$40K$60K,63%$60K$80K,61%$80K$100K,and69%$100K+).
SupportfortherulingwassignificantlyhigheramongQSandLiberalsupporters
(72%;64%;comparedto61%CAQ,58%PQ,and55%PVQ).

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012
HIGHLIGHTS:
The recent poll found that
Pauline Marois had the
highest approval rating
among voters as the Leader
of the Opposition (38%),
followed by Jean Charest as
Premier (28%), and Francois
Legault as Leader of the CAQ
(31%).

MajorityinfavouroffederalOmnibusCrimeBillC10

When it comes to the


subject of the recent
Supreme Court ruling in
favour of compulsory
religion and ethics classes in
Quebec it was found that the
majority approve (60%; 30%
disapprove, 10% have yet to
form an opinion).

ThesubjectoffederalOmnibusCrimeBillC10wasalsoraised,anditwasfound
thatthemajorityofQuebecersareinfavourofthebill(56%;comparedto32%
opposed,and12%thathaveyettoformanopinion).Approvalofthefederalbill
wassignificantlyhigheramongresidentsofQuebecCity(61%),andNorthShore
(61%),withapprovallowestinMontreal(52%)andSouthShore(55%).Male
votersweresignificantlymorelikelytodisapproveofthebill(37%;comparedto
27%offemales).QSbackersweresignificantlylesslikelytofavourthebill(27%;
comparedto70%CAQ,59%Liberal,55%PQ,and51%PVQ).

The subject of federal


Omnibus Crime Bill C-10 was
also raised, and it was found
that the majority of
Quebecers are in favour of
the bill (56%; compared to
32% opposed, and 12% that
have yet to form an opinion).

Majorityopposedtoplantodoubletuitionfees
TherecentpollalsoaskedQuebecersiftheyareinfavouroforopposedtothe
provincialgovernmentsplantodoubletuitionfeesinthenextfiveyearsfor
collegesanduniversitiesanditwasfoundthatthemajoritywereopposed(53%).

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:

Oppositionwassignificantlyhigheramongyoungervoters(66%1834,57%35
44,52%4554,44%55to64,and40%65+),femalevoters(58%;comparedto
48%ofmales),thosewithalowerhouseholdincome(67%<$20K,58%$20K
$40K,48%$40K$60K,57%$60K$80K,43%$80K$100K,and37%$100K+),and
thoseresidinganywhereintheprovinceofQuebecasidefromQuebecCity(56%
NorthShore,andSouthShore,54%Montreal;comparedto38%inQuebecCity).
SupportersoftheLiberal,CAQ,andPQpartiesweresignificantlymorelikelyto
favourtheplan(58%,55%,33%;comparedto28%PVQ,and19%QS).

QuebecersevenlysplitonthestatusofQuebecinCanada
ItwasalsofoundthatQuebecersweresplitastothepreferredstatusofQuebec
inCanadawithoneoffourrespondentsthinkingtheprovinceshouldeitherbea
completelyindependentcountry(26%),anequalpartnerinatwocountry
solution(25%),oraprovinceamongothers(24%).Anotheroneinfivefeelthe
provinceshouldremainasis,adistinctnationwithinCanada(20%).4%haveyet
toformanopiniononthesubject.ThosevotersresidingoutsideofQuebecCity
weresignificantlymorelikelytofeeltheprovinceshouldbeacompletely
independentcountry(33%SouthShore,26%NorthShore,25%Montreal;
comparedto17%inQuebecCity),whereasthoseresidinginmajorurbancenters
weremorelikelytofeelQuebecshouldbeaprovinceamongothers(32%Quebec
City,28%Montreal;comparedto23%NorthShore,and5%SouthShore).QSand
PQbackersweresignificantlymorelikelytofeeltheprovinceshouldbea
completelyindependentcountry(51%,49%;comparedto17%CAQ,17%PVQ,
and4%Liberal).Theseresultsareinkeepingwithfindingsfromapreviouspoll
conductedbyForumResearchinJanuary,2012.

ThomasMulcairfavouredforfederalNDPleader
AmongfederalNDPsupportersresidinginQuebecThomasMulcairistheclear
choiceforleaderoftheparty(58%;82%ifonlyconsideringthosesupporterswho
havemadeuptheirmind),traileddistantlybyBrianTopp(6%;9%),withthe
remainderofcandidatesgarnering2%orlessinsupportamongfederalNDP
supportersintheprovince.

BobRaeandJustinTrudeautiedinpreferenceforleaderoffederal
Liberals

Lorne Bozinoff, President


lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012
HIGHLIGHTS:
It was also found that
Quebecers were split as to
the preferred status of
Quebec in Canada with one
of four respondents thinking
the province should either
be a completely
independent country (26%),
an equal partner in a two
country solution (25%), or a
province among others
(24%). Another one in five
feel the province should
remain as is, a distinct nation
within Canada (20%).
Among federal NDP
supporters residing in
Quebec Thomas Mulcair is
the clear choice for leader of
the party (58%; 82% if only
considering those
supporters who have made
up their mind), trailed
distantly by Brian Topp (6%;
9%).

AmongfederalLiberalsupporters,BobRaeandJustinTrudeauwereinavirtual
deadheatforbestleaderoftheparty(30%;28%respectively.35%;36%ifonly
consideringthosesupporterswhohavemadeuptheirmind),traileddistantlyby
KenDryden(4%;6%).

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

BQleadsinfederalvote;Liberalsecond,NDPthird
Therecentpollalsofoundthatifafederalelectionwereheldtodaymostdecided
/leaningvoterswouldbacktheBlocQuebecois(29%),followedcloselybythe
Liberalparty(26%),NDP(22%),Conservative(17%),andGreenparty(4%).2%of
voterswouldbackanotherparty.SupportfortheBQwashigheramong
youngervoters(31%1834,33%3544,30%4554,31%55to64,and20%65+)
whilesupportfortheLiberalpartywasstrongeramongoldervoters(16%1834,
22%3544,28%4554,24%55to64,and37%65+)andfemalevoters(28%;
comparedto23%ofmales).VotersresidinginQuebecCityweresignificantly
morelikelytobacktheConservativeparty(37%;comparedto19%NorthShore,
13%Montreal,and11%SouthShore).

BasedonthisrecentdatatheQuebecLiberalshavelostalotofgroundsince
2008,saidForumResearchpresidentDr.LorneBozinoff.Coupledwithsagging
approvalratingsforCharest,andtheclearleadthePQcurrentlyholdsoverthe
Liberalpartyintheprovince,theupcomingprovincialelectionisshapingoutto
beahardfoughtandclosecontest.Itsdefinitelyaninterestingandexcitingtime
forQuebecpolitics.

ProvincialElectionVotingPreferenceTrending
%
February23rd,2012(n=1519)
2008Election

Liberal
30
42

PQ
39
35

CAQ
19

QS
6
4

ADQ

16

Green
5
2

Other
0
0

Liberal
37
64
66

PQ
77
44
51

CAQ
10
9

QS
1
1
1

ADQ

ON

ION

SeatDistribution
%
February23rd,2012
CurrentDistribution
2008Election

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012
HIGHLIGHTS:
The recent poll also found
that if a federal election were
held today most decided /
leaning voters would back
the Bloc Quebecois (29%),
followed closely by the
Liberal party (26%), NDP
(22%), Conservative (17%),
and Green party (4%).
Based on this recent data
the Quebec Liberals have
lost a lot of ground since
2008, said Forum Research
president Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Coupled with sagging
approval ratings for Charest,
and the clear lead the PQ
currently holds over the
Liberal party in the province,
the upcoming provincial
election is shaping out to be
a hard fought and close
contest. Its definitely an
interesting and exciting time
for Quebec politics.

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

Methodology
ThepollwasconductedbyForumResearchwiththeresultsbasedonan
interactivevoiceresponsetelephonesurveyof1589randomlyselectedresidents
ofQuebecaged18orolder.ThepollwasconductedonFebruary23rd,2012.

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

Resultsbasedonthetotalsampleareconsideredaccurate+/2.5%,19timesout
of20.Subsampleresultswillbelessaccurate.Marginsoferrorforsubsample
(suchasage,gender)resultsareavailableat
www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp.
Whereappropriate,thedatahasbeenstatisticallyweightedtoensurethatthe
samplereflectstheactualpopulationaccordingtothelatestCensusdata.
Thisresearchisnotnecessarilypredictiveoffutureoutcomes,butrather,
capturesopinionatonepointintime.ForumResearchconductedthispollasa
publicserviceandtodemonstrateoursurveyresearchcapabilities.
WithofficesacrossCanadaandaroundtheworld,100%CanadianownedForum
Researchisoneofthecountrysleadingsurveyresearchfirms.Thisandother
pollsmaybefoundatForum'spollarchiveat
https://www.forumresearch.com/polls.asp.

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES:

Lorne Bozinoff, President


lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

ProvincialElectionVotingPreference
IfaQuebecprovincialelectionwereheldtoday,whichpartyareyoumostlikely
tovotefor?+Eventhoughyoumaynothavemadeupyourmind,whichparty
areyouleaningtowardsatthistime?

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender

%
sample
Liberal
PQ
CAQ
QS
Green
Other

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

1519
30
39
19
6
5
0

237
21
42
20
8
9
1

249
25
37
26
7
4
1

316
27
38
22
8
5
0

345
32
42
18
5
3
0

372
43
37
13
4
2
0

674
28
37
24
7
4
0

845
31
41
15
6
5
0

Region/Language

%
sample
Liberal
PQ
CAQ
QS
Green
Other

Total

Mon

QC

1519
30
39
19
6
5
0

651
33
35
18
7
6
0

206
33
30
26
8
3
0

N
Shore
294
27
47
18
4
4
1

S
Shore
368
24
46
19
6
4
0

Francophone
1308
25
43
21
6
3
0

Non
Francophone
211
59
12
8
6
14
1

HouseholdIncome

%
sample
Liberal
PQ
CAQ
QS
Green
Other

Total

<$20K

1519
30
39
19
6
5
0

227
29
49
8
6
8
1

$20K
$40K
359
34
39
15
6
5
0

$40K
$60K
252
30
41
18
7
4
0

$60K
$80K
185
29
38
23
7
2
0

$80K
$100K
128
25
39
24
8
4
0

$100K+
194
24
35
30
6
5
1

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

JeanCharestApprovalRatingasPremier

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobJeanCharestisdoingaspremier
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

1589
28
61
12

247
19
68
14

257
26
61
13

332
27
62
11

364
30
60
10

389
40
50
10

707
30
60
10

882
25
62
13

Region/Language

Total

Mon

QC

sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

1589
28
61
12

679
29
58
13

214
33
57
10

N
Shore
307
27
62
11

S
Shore
389
23
66
11

Francophone
1363
26
64
10

Non
Francophone
226
39
42
20

Income

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

Total

<$20K

1589
28
61
12

244
24
60
15

$20K
$40K
371
30
60
11

$40K
$60K
256
27
66
7

$60K
$80K
192
25
60
15

$80K
$100K
133
31
59
10

$100K+
197
28
63
8

CurrentPartyPreference

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

Total

Lib

PQ

CAQ

QS

PVQ

Other

1589
28
61
12

434
73
14
13

541
10
83
7

271
15
78
7

106
11
78
11

85
13
75
12

82
18
58
24

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
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F416.960.9602
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

PaulineMaroisApprovalRatingasLeaderoftheOpposition
DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobPaulineMaroisisdoingasLeaderofthe
Opposition?

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

1589
38
47
15

247
35
48
17

257
39
44
17

332
37
48
15

364
43
45
12

389
37
51
12

707
36
53
12

882
40
42
18

Region/Language

Total

Mon

QC

sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

1589
38
47
15

679
36
47
17

214
36
55
9

N
Shore
307
40
44
15

S
Shore
389
40
45
15

Francophone
1363
42
45
14

Non
Francophone
226
15
63
22

Income

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

244
42
38
20

$20K
$40K
371
37
46
17

$40K
$60K
256
42
46
12

$60K
$80K
192
42
45
13

$80K
$100K
133
45
43
11

Total

Lib

PQ

CAQ

QS

PVQ

Other

1589
38
47
15

434
19
67
15

541
72
15
12

271
24
65
11

106
37
52
12

85
12
72
16

82
8
67
25

Total

<$20K

1589
38
47
15

$100K+
197
32
56
12

CurrentPartyPreference

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
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T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
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FrancoisLegaultApprovalRatingasLeaderoftheCoalitionAvenirQuebec(CAQ)
DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobFrancoisLegaultisdoingasLeaderof
theCoalitionAvenirQuebecorCAQ?

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

1589
31
42
26

247
32
40
28

257
32
38
30

332
35
39
26

364
30
49
21

389
27
49
25

707
36
44
20

882
27
41
32

Region/Language

Total

Mon

QC

sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

1589
31
42
26

679
31
41
28

214
29
50
21

N
Shore
307
30
43
26

S
Shore
389
34
40
26

Francophone
1363
33
43
25

Non
Francophone
226
25
40
36

Income

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

Total

<$20K

1589
31
42
26

244
22
43
35

$20K
$40K
371
30
40
31

$40K
$60K
256
40
44
16

$60K
$80K
192
34
37
28

$80K
$100K
133
26
52
22

$100K+
197
39
48
13

CurrentPartyPreference

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

Total

Lib

PQ

CAQ

QS

PVQ

Other

1589
31
42
26

434
18
52
30

541
21
54
25

271
83
5
12

106
27
58
15

85
27
49
24

82
12
43
45

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
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MandatoryReligion&EthicsClassesinQuebecPublicSchoolsApproval

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

TheSupremeCourtofCanadarecentlyruledinfavourofmandatoryreligionand
ethicsclassesinQuebecpublicschools.Doyouapproveordisapproveofthis
ruling?

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

1589
60
30
10

247
64
26
10

257
62
29
9

332
61
31
8

364
57
32
12

389
55
32
13

707
58
32
10

882
62
28
10

Region/Language

Total

Mon

QC

sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

1589
60
30
10

679
61
30
9

214
64
28
9

N
Shore
307
58
27
15

S
Shore
389
58
33
10

Francophone
1363
60
30
10

Non
Francophone
226
60
28
12

Income

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

244
53
32
15

$20K
$40K
371
56
33
11

$40K
$60K
256
65
26
9

$60K
$80K
192
63
30
7

$80K
$100K
133
61
29
9

Total

Lib

PQ

CAQ

QS

PVQ

Other

1589
60
30
10

434
64
25
10

541
58
32
10

271
61
32
7

106
72
20
9

85
55
39
5

82
53
33
13

Total

<$20K

1589
60
30
10

$100K+
197
69
26
5

CurrentPartyPreference

%
sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

10

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

OmnibusCrimeBillC10Approval

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

AreyouinfavouroforopposedtothefederalgovernmentsOmnibusCrimeBill
C10whichprovideslongersentencesforcriminalsandexpandsprisons?

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender

%
sample
Infavourof
BillC10
Opposedto
BillC10
Dontknow

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

1589

247

257

332

364

389

707

882

56

56

56

58

59

50

56

55

32

30

31

32

32

34

37

27

12

14

13

10

16

17

Region/Language

214

N
Shore
307

S
Shore
389

52

61

61

32

34

35

12

14

Total

Mon

QC

sample
Infavourof
BillC10
Opposedto
BillC10
Dontknow

1589

679

56

1363

Non
Francophone
226

55

57

50

25

31

33

26

14

13

11

24

Francophone

Income

244

$20K
$40K
371

$40K
$60K
256

$60K
$80K
192

$80K
$100K
133

56

59

57

56

57

53

50

32

25

28

35

32

39

42

12

15

15

11

Total

<$20K

sample
InfavourofBill
C10
OpposedtoBill
C10
Dontknow

1589

11

$100K+
197

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

CurrentPartyPreference

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

Total

Lib

PQ

CAQ

QS

PVQ

Other

sample
InfavourofBill
C10
OpposedtoBill
C10
Dontknow

1589

434

541

271

106

85

82

56

59

55

70

27

51

44

32

28

34

25

65

34

26

12

13

11

15

30

12

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

ProvincialGovernmentPlantoDoubleTuitionOpinion
Areyouinfavouroforopposedtotheprovincialgovernmentsplantodouble
tuitionfeesinthenextfiveyearsforcollegesanduniversities

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender

%
sample
Favour
Opposed
Dontknow

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

1589
41
53
6

247
30
66
4

257
38
57
5

332
41
52
7

364
49
44
7

389
53
40
7

707
47
48
5

882
36
58
7

Region/Language

Total

Mon

QC

sample
Approve
Disapprove
Dontknow

1589
41
53
6

679
40
54
5

214
59
38
4

N
Shore
307
35
56
8

S
Shore
389
38
56
6

Francophone
1363
42
52
6

Non
Francophone
226
35
58
7

Income

%
sample
Favour
Opposed
Dontknow

244
24
67
9

$20K
$40K
371
37
58
5

$40K
$60K
256
48
48
4

$60K
$80K
192
39
57
4

$80K
$100K
133
51
43
6

Total

Lib

PQ

CAQ

QS

PVQ

Other

1589
41
53
6

434
58
37
5

541
33
62
5

271
55
41
4

106
19
78
3

85
28
67
5

82
25
62
12

Total

<$20K

1589
41
53
6

$100K+
197
60
37
3

CurrentPartyPreference

%
sample
Favour
Opposed
Dontknow

13

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

QuebecasIndependenceOpinion

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

DoyouthinkQuebecshouldbeacompletelyindependentcountry,anequal
partnerwithCanadainatwocountrysolution,adistinctnationwithinCanadaor
oneprovinceamongothers?
[AllRespondents]

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

Age/Gender

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

sample
Completely
independent
country
Equalpartner
inatwo
country
solution
Distinct
nationwithin
Canada
Oneprovince
amongothers
Dontknow

1589

247

257

332

364

389

707

882

26

32

27

24

27

18

28

25

25

22

19

29

28

30

25

26

20

13

25

21

25

22

19

22

24

29

25

24

17

25

25

24

Region/Language

214

N
Shore
307

S
Shore
389

1363

Non
Francophone
226

25

17

26

33

29

25

25

24

27

26

26

21

20

19

22

21

22

21

17

24

28

32

23

15

20

49

Total

Mon

QC

sample
Completely
independent
country
Equal
partnerina
twocountry
solution
Distinct
nation
within
Canada
One
province
among
others
Dontknow

1589

679

26

14

Francophone

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

Income

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

244

$20K
$40K
371

$40K
$60K
256

$60K
$80K
192

$80K
$100K
133

26

32

21

28

33

25

28

25

27

33

25

26

20

15

20

14

18

25

22

20

24

24

20

23

20

18

33

32

Total

<$20K

sample
Completely
independent
country
Equalpartnerin
atwocountry
solution
Distinctnation
withinCanada
Oneprovince
amongothers
Dontknow

1589

$100K+

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

197

CurrentPartyPreference

Total

Lib

PQ

CAQ

QS

PVQ

Other

sample
Completely
independent
country
Equalpartnerin
atwocountry
solution
Distinctnation
withinCanada
Oneprovince
amongothers
Dontknow

1589

434

541

271

106

85

82

26

49

17

51

17

16

25

21

29

29

23

27

15

20

29

13

26

14

28

24

42

25

11

44

38

15

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

OpinionofwhowouldmakethebestleaderforfederalNDP

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

Whoofthefollowingdoyouthinkwouldmakethebestleaderforthefederal
NDP?

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

sample
BrianTopp
Thomas
Mulcair
PaulDewar
NathanCullen
NikiAshton
PeggyNash
MartinSingh
DontKnow

1589
5

247
3

257
6

332
4

364
5

389
8

707
6

882
4

46

39

43

50

51

49

54

38

2
2
2
2
1
42

2
3
2
2
2
46

2
1
2
2
1
43

1
1
1
3
1
40

2
2
1
2
0
38

0
0
2
1
0
39

2
2
2
2
1
30

1
1
1
2
0
52

Region/Language

214
4

N
Shore
307
4

S
Shore
389
5

1363
4

Non
Francophone
226
9

46

60

41

41

48

29

2
2
1
42

2
1
0
42

3
2
1
30

2
4
2
42

1
2
1
46

1
2
1
40

4
1
2
49

Total

Mon

QC

sample
BrianTopp
Thomas
Mulcair
PaulDewar
Nathan
Cullen
NikiAshton
PeggyNash
MartinSingh
DontKnow

1589
5

679
5

46

16

Francophone

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

HouseholdIncome

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

Total

<$20K

sample
BrianTopp
ThomasMulcair
PaulDewar
NathanCullen
NikiAshton
PeggyNash
MartinSingh
DontKnow

1589
5
46
2
2
2
2
1
42

244
2
26
1
2
2
1
1
63

$20K
$40K
371
6
43
1
2
1
3
1
43

$40K
$60K
256
3
52
2
1
4
2
1
35

$60K
$80K
192
7
48
2
1
2
0
1
38

$80K
$100K
133
6
55
2
0
0
3
0
33

$100K+

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

197
5
60
0
3
1
3
0
26

CurrentPartyPreference

Total

Lib

PQ

CAQ

QS

PVQ

Other

sample
BrianTopp
ThomasMulcair
PaulDewar
NathanCullen
NikiAshton
PeggyNash
MartinSingh
DontKnow

1589
5
46
2
2
2
2
1
42

434
9
42
2
2
3
1
1
41

541
2
45
2
1
1
1
1
46

271
4
63
0
2
1
2
0
29

106
6
60
2
1
2
2
0
27

85
5
31
3
4
2
7
1
48

82
5
29
0
4
0
4
4
55

CurrentNDPFederalSupporters

%
sample
BrianTopp
ThomasMulcair
PaulDewar
NathanCullen
NikiAshton
PeggyNash
MartinSingh
DontKnow

17

Total

TotalCurrentFederal
NDPSupporters

1589
5
46
2
2
2
2
1
42

339
6
58
1
1
1
2
1
28

CurrentFederalNDP
SupportersMinus
DontKnow
241
9
82
1
2
1
3
2

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

OpinionofwhowouldmakethebestleaderforfederalLiberalParty

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

WhoofthefollowingdoyouthinkwouldmakethebestleaderfortheLiberal
Party?

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

sample
BobRae
MarkCarney
Dominic
Leblanc
Justin
Trudeau
David
McGuinty
Gerard
Kennedy
MarcGarneau
KenDryden
Don'tKnow

1589
22
2

247
14
1

257
14
1

332
26
2

364
27
1

389
34
2

707
28
2

882
17
1

23

22

25

25

22

21

20

26

5
4
36

7
4
42

5
5
44

4
6
30

4
4
35

6
4
26

5
6
30

6
3
41

Region/Language

214
29
1

N
Shore
307
18
1

S
Shore
389
20
2

1363
23
2

Non
Francophone
226
18
2

23

24

16

25

24

22

31

4
36

5
34

4
34

4
36

5
39

4
38

7
25

Total

Mon

QC

sample
BobRae
MarkCarney
Dominic
Leblanc
Justin
Trudeau
David
McGuinty
Gerard
Kennedy
Marc
Garneau
KenDryden
Don'tKnow

1589
22
2

679
23
2

18

Francophone

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

HouseholdIncome

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

244
13
2

$20K
$40K
371
18
2

$40K
$60K
256
26
1

$60K
$80K
192
25
2

$80K
$100K
133
25
2

23
2
2
5
4
36

24
2
1
5
4
44

24
2
4
5
5
36

22
1
1
8
3
36

26
1
1
6
5
32

25
2
2
4
2
33

17
4
3
4
5
30

Total

<$20K

sample
BobRae
MarkCarney
Dominic
Leblanc
JustinTrudeau
DavidMcGuinty
GerardKennedy
MarcGarneau
KenDryden
Don'tKnow

1589
22
2

$100K+

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

197
32
3

CurrentPartyPreference

Total

Lib

PQ

CAQ

QS

PVQ

Other

sample
BobRae
MarkCarney
Dominic
Leblanc
JustinTrudeau
DavidMcGuinty
GerardKennedy
MarcGarneau
KenDryden
Don'tKnow

1589
22
2

434
26
3

541
21
1

271
26
2

106
26
0

85
16
2

82
5
1

23
2
2
5
4
36

25
2
2
5
6
26

23
1
1
5
4
39

23
3
2
4
4
34

18
0
4
8
4
40

22
6
2
9
3
34

24
2
6
10
5
44

19

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

CurrentLiberalFederalSupporters

%
sample
BobRae
MarkCarney
DominicLeblanc
JustinTrudeau
DavidMcGuinty
GerardKennedy
MarcGarneau
KenDryden
Don'tKnow

20

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

Total

TotalCurrentFederal
LiberalSupporters

1589
22
2
3
23
2
2
5
4
36

384
30
3
3
28
3
1
3
4
24

CurrentFederalLiberal
SupportersMinus
DontKnow
294
39
4
4
38
4
2
4
6

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

CurrentFederalPartyPreference

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

Ifafederalelectionwereheldtoday,whichpartyareyoumostlikelytovotefor?
+Eventhoughyoumaynothavemadeupyourmind,whichpartyareyou
leaningtowardsatthistime?

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender

%
sample
Conservative
Liberal
New
Democratic
Green
Bloc
Quebecois
Other

Total

1834

3544

4554

5564

65+

Male

Female

1510
17
26

233
13
16

250
19
22

311
16
28

347
17
24

369
19
37

687
21
23

823
13
28

22

28

20

19

22

20

24

20

29

31

33

30

31

20

25

32

Region/Language

200
37
20

N
Shore
291
19
22

S
Shore
370
11
24

24

16

23

29

26

22

Total

Mon

QC

sample
Conservative
Liberal
New
Democratic
Green
Bloc
Quebecois

1510
17
26

649
13
30

22

1296
17
23

Non
Francophone
214
17
46

20

22

22

29

37

32

Francophone

21

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

Income

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

230
10
22

$20K
$40K
354
16
28

$40K
$60K
246
20
23

$60K
$80K
187
18
21

$80K
$100K
129
22
30

22

18

23

22

26

18

21

4
29

9
36

3
28

4
30

2
33

4
24

7
25

Total

<$20K

sample
Conservative
Liberal
New
Democratic
Green
BlocQuebecois

1510
17
26

$100K+

TORONTO
February 24th, 2012

193
15
31

-30
Formoreinformation:
LorneBozinoff,Ph.D.
President
ForumResearchInc.
Tel:(416)9609603
Fax:(416)9609602
Email:lbozinoff@forumresearch.com

22

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

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