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Network Managers' 10 Most-Challenging I&O Trends

19 October 2010 Jay E. Pultz Gartner RAS Core Research Note G00206017

Gartner has identified 10 key infrastructure and operations trends that will significantly affect network design and planning during the next three years. Recommendations are made to deal with each of them.

Overview

Enterprise network managers must factor into their plans and designs 10 key infrastructure and operations (I&O) trends that will significantly impact networking during the next five years. This research explains these trends, recommends specific actions and provides a timeline for network managers to use as a guide.

Key Findings

The 10 I&O trends including significantly increased bandwidth, improved service quality, rearchitecting network designs, reducing latency and more closely aligning the network operations center (NOC) with IT operations will have a heavy impact on networking. Network managers can no longer design and manage networking in a vacuum, because these I&O trends will require considerable interaction within I&O, with the rest of IT and with the business itself. New network cost reduction opportunities are more likely to be derived from design optimization than from negotiations for rate reductions or utilization of telecom expense management services.

Recommendations

Because these trends significantly affect the network, network managers should be involved in all phases of the rollout of key I&O initiatives in their enterprise, including planning, implementation and operations. To help fund initiatives, focus on lowering telecommunication service provider (TSP) costs in the short term, but with network optimization in the midterm to long term. Reorganize the NOC around processes versus technology platforms; consider integrating NOC processes with those of IT operations. Test or emulate the performance of cloud-based applications in all geographies where you plan to deploy them. Directly interconnect networks used in cloud-based services, and use application delivery controllers (ADCs)/WAN optimization controllers (WOCs), where necessary.

Table of Contents

Analysis

Cost Optimization Consolidation Virtualization Convergence New Client Architectures ITIL Operations Integration IT (and Network) Services Automation Cloud Computing

List of Figures

Figure 1. Ten Key I&O Trends for Network Managers Figure 2. I&O Networking Costs Figure 3. Network Cost Reduction Actions Figure 4. The ITIL Framework for ITOM Processes Figure 5. NOC Transition Figure 6. Options, Characteristics and Examples of Use for Network Cloud Computing

Analysis

This research focuses on 10 key trends in I&O outside of networking about which network managers need to be aware. They should be ready to alter their plans to accommodate them. These trends will have a high impact on networking, with some requiring significant additional bandwidth and a rearchitecting of planned network designs. Although the concepts behind most of these trends are not new, what can be implemented during the next several years will affect networking more significantly than ever before. Network managers can no longer design and manage networking in a vacuum, because these trends will require considerable interaction with other I&O leaders, including data center managers, the rest of IT and the business itself. Network managers should meet with their I&O peers to create a plan of action that will involve interaction within and among groups. To a large degree, how you address these trends determines your future. The time to act is now. This research discusses each trend, how it affects networking and what actions network managers should take to address them. Figure 1 lists the 10 trends; two relate to I&O, and four relate to either I or O (that is, either infrastructure or operations). Figure 1 also arrays these 10 trends in time in most enterprises, aspects of these trends are either being implemented or will be under way shortly. The time sequencing here suggests an overall prioritization; however, network managers need to also factor in specific I&O plans in their enterprises to react to these trends.
Figure 1. Ten Key I&O Trends for Network Managers

Source: Gartner (October 2010)


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Cost Optimization
I&O comprises about 60% of annual enterprise IT spending (see Figure 2). Gartner's annual CIO survey indicates that cost reduction is the CIO's second highest priority, behind better aligning IT with the business. Hence, I&O leaders including network managers are under pressure to reduce their costs. As shown in Figure 2, the data center and networking claim the lion's share of I&O costs; networking is conservatively more than 20% of an enterprise's total IT expenditures, excluding wireless. For most enterprises, carrier and staffing costs dominate networking budgets, together comprising about 80% of the total. Hardware, software, maintenance services, occupancy and a small percentage of unallocated costs make up the remainder.
Figure 2. I&O Networking Costs

Source: Gartner (October 2010)


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Because nearly half of the network expenses go to TSPs (such as Verizon and BT), network managers need to continue to renegotiate contracts with these vendors to ensure their contracted rates are market-based. In the past, attention tended to be focused on voice calls (cost per minute) and data WAN costs, such as cost per Multiprotocol Label Switching (MPLS) port. Access remains a major cost; clients should be looking to drive metropolitan Ethernet costs down. Additionally, compared with 2009 rates, we expect managed service costs to plummet by 50% or more by 2012. However, longer term, network cost savings will derive heavily from optimizing network design. Gartner's recommendations here include:

Using a virtual private network (VPN) rather than MPLS for smaller sites "Right sizing" network availability Simplifying network designs e.g., reducing the number of tiers in LANs Competitively sourcing network equipment, such as Ethernet switches and IP routers Using Session Initiation Protocol (SIP), instead of Integrated Services Digital Network (ISDN) Primary Rate Interface (PRI) trunking

We cannot go into detail here, but we want to point out primarily that:

Although contract renegotiations, especially with TSPs, will still be a major contributor, clients should further investigate opportunities to refine the design and sourcing of their networks. Substantial steps can still be taken to optimize network costs (see Figure 3).

Figure 3. Network Cost Reduction Actions

Source: Gartner (October 2010)


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Consolidation
In the past, the rise of distributed computing helped to drive the decline of the large data-processing sites that characterized the era of the mainframe. Today, data centers are rising in importance. Server rationalization, hardware growth and cost containment trends drive the consolidation of enterprise data-processing sites into larger data centers. Changes in networking have made it more viable to consolidate data centers: bandwidth costs have declined dramatically (10% annually for more than a decade), broadband is now widely available over vast areas and truly diverse access options are now available Nonetheless, networking represents a large cost to make data center consolidation happen. With servers located in the data centers, instead of at remote sites, higher bandwidth is now required for the data center. This bandwidth needs to be highly available, because business at the site may be affected if the servers cannot be accessed. Lastly, higher class of service options for WANs, ADCs and WOCs may be required to achieve the desired response times. Network managers should be involved early on in these projects to fully ascertain the networking requirements here. Despite these factors, however, there is a clear trend among Gartner clients to consolidate data centers. Network managers need to work with data center managers to design the networks in the consolidated data centers. This may represent an opportunity to consolidate smaller Ethernet switches into larger switches, simplify the LAN and SAN architectures, and replace less-energy-efficient switches with more-energy-efficient ones.
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Virtualization

Virtualization pools IT resources in a way that masks the boundaries of the resources from resource users. Overall, virtualization improves utilization, increases agility and makes I&O more manageable. Today, virtualization efforts primarily focus on servers run at low average utilization levels (typically, 12% or less). Virtualization can increase server utilization fourfold or more, resulting in cost structure improvements of approximately 50%, based on our modeling. Given the benefits of server virtualization, we are projecting rapid growth here: In 2008, only about 12% of x86 server workloads were virtualized. In 2012, that percentage will have increased more than fourfold. All I&O systems will be virtualized or heavily affected by virtualization. Storage has already been virtualized, but primarily within the scope of individual vendor architectures. Virtual SANs (VSANs) are part of this trend. PCs are being virtualized to separate the application, operating system and hardware layers, so that one can more readily be changed with little impact on the other layers. Networking is highly virtualized with virtual LANs (VLANs) and VPNs. We also see networking within the data center being more virtualized in another sense by having resource pools for networking functions and routing traffic to and from these pools as needed for load balancing, Secure Sockets Layer (SSL) encapsulation, etc.. These separate systems are aggregated and integrated via management and control systems. Service governors are runtime control engines that take dynamic actions based on IT service demand, resource supply, service-level agreements (SLAs), business priorities and other policies. To accommodate server virtualization, design data center networking with high input/output (I/O) and throughput. This will enable multiple VMs per physical server and shifting workloads from server to server. Additionally, enable networking flexibility by introducing top-of-rack switching, implementing terabit-class Ethernet switches, and the pooling of network resources and functions within data centers.
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Convergence
Convergence has been a major trend in networking for more than a decade, with multiple protocols to IP, multiple LAN technologies to Ethernet and voice onto a data platform. Although in its infancy, another convergence is under way that involves the compute, storage and network assets of the data center. Cisco, HP and IBM have been driving this trend, which vertically integrates server, storage and network systems and components with element-level management software that lays the foundation to optimize shared data center resources efficiently and dynamically. This critical connectivity layer has the potential to enable speed and agility in provisioning, configuration and repurposing. One type of implementation of such convergence is fabric-based infrastructure. A converged infrastructure will increase the exposure to the product integration offered by one vendor or an alliance of third-party vendors. Initially, the convergence trend will not remove the boundaries completely. It is likely to create new silos in the data center. In the longer term (beyond five years), some cross-infrastructure convergence is likely to emerge. Ethernet has essentially won the "platform wars" except for the data center. Because of many factors, such as embedded base of alternative technologies, our view is that enterprises are unlikely to begin to deploy allEthernet solutions until 2012 at the earliest. Network managers need to learn about the benefits and pitfalls of data center infrastructure convergence and address this important trend by taking the following actions:

Implement top-of-rack I/O convergence solutions to simplify cabling and improve I/O flexibility. Deploy fiber optics to all server racks and storage arrays to simplify all Ethernet solutions in the long term.

Limit InfiniBand to applications in which its unique attributes are required. Reorganize to include all data-networking assets under one manager to contain "platform wars."
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New Client Architectures


In the PC world of the past 25 years, the operating system and applications resided on the desktop (some large and complex applications, such as ERP, were located on servers that could be remote from clients). Today, things have changed. The operating system as well as the application can be executed on the PC or a server or streamed to a PC when needed. Choice of architecture depends on user needs and the time frame for implementation. No longer does one size fit all. The new choices can have substantial implications on networking. For example, with hosted virtual desktops (HVDs), the PC operating system and all applications run on a data-center-resident server, rather than the PC itself. Hence, an HVD architecture can require higher bandwidth requirements from users to the data center and introduce latency issues. Software WOCs and ADCs should be considered, and they should be deployed to improve network performance.
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ITIL
Business has pushed IT organizations for commitments on end-to-end service quality. The Information Technology Infrastructure Library (ITIL) is a framework (see Figure 4) that can help achieve this goal. ITIL defines best practices in specific processes for the service desk function. It is a starting point to define your IT operations management (ITOM) processes, but it's likely that you'll want to adapt it and revise it to fit your environment.
Figure 4. The ITIL Framework for ITOM Processes

Source: ITIL
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During the past decade, IT has witnessed a growing emphasis on the ITIL. Released in July 2007, ITIL version 3 uses a life cycle concept to expand and enhance version 2. In the diagram shown in Figure 4, the major elements of ITIL version 3 are graphically depicted. Formalizing and more systematizing NOC processes via the ITIL framework can offer the following benefits:

Reduced operational errors Faster completion of operational processes Greater workload segmentation by skill level Improved service levels

Gartner advises network managers to allocate a training budget to educate appropriate networking professionals about ITIL version 3 concepts.
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Operations Integration
In most enterprise IT organizations, network operations are primarily organized around major network technology platforms, such as voice telephony systems and LANs. The convergence of these platforms is a major shift that will require changes in organizational structure. ITIL implies an organization centered around processes that deliver IT services and this is the direction we recommend network managers take for their NOCs. First, we advise structuring the NOC around the ITIL processes, with technology platforms secondary to such a process orientation. To enhance end-to-end IT service delivery, we advocate greater integration of the NOC with IT infrastructure operations. This change (see Figure 5) will be complex and is likely to occur on a process-by-process basis. At times, the intermediary step of NOC process structure will be leapfrogged most enterprises already have an integrated service desk, for example.
Figure 5. NOC Transition

Source: Gartner (October 2010)


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IT (and Network) Services


By year-end 2012, as much as 30% of large enterprises will define a core set of business-oriented IT services, including formal SLAs. This will an increase from fewer than 15% today. However, many IT departments define IT services as processes, such as change management. Although well-executed processes are critical to delivering IT services, they usually do not carry great meaning to the enterprise, and it's difficult to demonstrate what constitutes value. To get around this issue, one must think about what the enterprise uses IT for. In I&O, the answer can often be summed up as accomplishing the following:

Running enterprise applications and associated computations that are necessary to perform the processes of the business Storing and backing up essential data securely, so it can be retrieved unaltered as fast as necessary Communicating among employees, suppliers and customers to make essential business decisions and complete business transactions

Each one of these processing categories, storing and communicating, can be further defined. For example, communications (or connectivity) may consist of the following:

Telephony Messaging (e-mail, instant messaging, etc.) Conferencing (e.g., audio and video) Collaboration Data transfer Presence

These categories can be provided for different service levels (such as uptime) and for different enterprise sites (ranging from headquarters, to employees in the field or working from home). So, our key principle is to define

services in the way the enterprise uses them, not necessarily what IT delivers as processes.
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Automation
For more than a decade, management tool vendors have promised a manager of managers (MoM) that would automate and integrate intensive day-to-day and tactical processes. The MoM concept is taking on a new form known as "run book automation" (RBA), named after the run books that once documented operational processes for mainframes. In essence, RBA provides the ability to design, build, orchestrate, administer and report workflows that support IT operations process. A run book process can cross all management disciplines and interact with all types of IT infrastructure elements (hardware and software). RBA products have an orchestration interface to design, administer and monitor processes, as well as a workflow to support the processes. Integration with IT elements and IT operational tools is needed to support processes such as change management. However, we do not see RBA as maturing for another two years or so. Until then, there are key networking tools to add to your portfolio. We recommend that network managers monitor the evolution of RBA to properly plan for it, as the technology matures. Invest in management tools that lead to RBA.
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Cloud Computing
The promise of cloud computing is ubiquitous access to a broad set of applications and services, which are delivered over the Internet and related networks. To deliver on that promise, the cloud must provide a rich set of network services to a broad set of applications and services. Not all applications are the same. Some will require only the basic capabilities available on the public Internet, while others may need an overlay on top (the "augmented Internet"), or even a private, Internet Protocol (IP) network with application-specific capabilities. Figure 6 summarizes the characteristics of various options and provides several case scenarios in which each might be applicable.
Figure 6. Options, Characteristics and Examples of Use for Network Cloud Computing

Source: Gartner (October 2010)


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Network managers should test or emulate the performance of cloud-based applications in all geographies where they plan to deploy them. Latency can cause dramatic differences in application response time. ADCs and WOCs may be required. In addition, consider interconnecting networks directly for example, via providers' secure Internet gateway services between MPLS and the Internet.
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