January Regional

Statistics Individual Test

Directions: The answer choice E. NOTA denotes None of the Above. All answers must be exact unless otherwise specified. Statistical tables are attached to the back of this test. Good luck, and have fun! 1. Find the arithmetic mean of the data set {0, 1, 2, 9, 2, 0, 1, 1}. A. 0.5 B. 1 C. 2 D.

8 3

E. NOTA

2. A sample of 75 students finds the 95% confidence interval mean SAT score at Rickards to be (1700, 2000). Which of the following statements correctly interprets this confidence interval? A. 95% of the 75 students have a mean SAT score between 1700 and 2000. B. 95% of the population (all Rickards students) have SAT scores between 1700 and 2000. C. If this procedure were repeated many times, 95% of the sample means would be between 1700 and 2000. D. There is a 95% chance that the population (all Rickards students) mean is between 1700 and 2000. E. NOTA 3. In Mr. Frasers Calculus class, test scores are normally distributed. Chris achieves a score of 95, which puts him at the 98.3 percentile. Pratik, however, only manages a score of 23, and is at the 1.5 percentile. Eli is very average and obtains the mean score, X. What is X, rounded to the nearest integer? A. 36 B. 37 C. 48 D. 59 E. NOTA

4. Intelligence quotient (IQ) scores follow a normal distribution with mean 100 and standard derivation 15. According to the empirical rule, what percentage of IQ scores are less than 130 but greater than 85? A. 68% B. 73% C. 81.5% D. 95% E. NOTA

5. Marge, a baseball statistician, keeps track of the batting averages for her two favorite players: Homer and Bart. In the first season, Homer has a batting average of .253, while Bart bats .250. In the second season, Homer again trumps Bart with a batting average of .321 to Barts .314. However, when the first two seasons are considered together, Barts batting average is .310; much greater than Homers batting average of .270. What phenomenon could best account for this baffling statistical situation? A. Bertrands Paradox D. Simpsons Paradox B. Confounding Variables E. NOTA C. Hawthorne Effect

6. Bishoy practices his basketball skills by taking 100 shots each day and recording the number of shots he makes. Given that the mean number of shots he makes is 72, and all shots are independent events, find the standard deviation of the number of shots he makes. Round your answer to the nearest hundredth. A. 0.04 B. 4.49 C. 8.49 D. 20.16 E. NOTA

7. E and R are two independent events. Given that P(E) = 0.42 and P(R) = 0.55, find P(E or R). A. 0.231 B. 0.508 C. 0.739 D. 0.970 E. NOTA

January Regional
A. mean = mode B. mean > median C. mean < median

Statistics Individual Test

D. mean = median E. NOTA

8. The distribution of American League batting averages is skewed right. It is most likely that:

9. At the Statistics school, there are 32 students. Eleven (11) of these students take Precalculus, 27 take Calculus, and 5 students take neither Precalculus nor Calculus. Given that a student takes Calculus, what is the probability that he/she is not taking Precalculus? A. 0 B.

11 27

C.

16 27

D.

7 9

E. NOTA

10. Payal argues that Pikachu is the best Pokemon because his lightning-bolt strike always hits the same location, even though he has trouble aiming his opponent. Daniel correctly points out that Pikachu is: at A. accurate and precise D. not accurate nor precise B. accurate but not precise E. NOTA C. precise but not accurate

11. Find the interquartile range of the set {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, , 2010, 2011}; that is, all integers from 1 to 2011. A. 1005 B. 1005.5 C. 1006 D. 2010 E. NOTA

12. Discrete random variable X has mean 5 and standard deviation 4. What is the expected value of X 2 ? A. 9 B. 25 C. 29 D. 41 E. NOTA

13. Each of 120 students must take at least one of History, Calculus, or Psychology. It is known that 70 students take History, 62 take Calculus, and 49 take Psychology. Furthermore, 12 students take History and Calculus and 19 take Calculus and Psychology. How many students take only Psychology? A. 0 B. 7 C. 10 D. need more info E. NOTA

14. A probability density function is constructed such that f ( x) = x where a x a 2 and f ( x) = 0 elsewhere. Find the value of a that makes this probability function valid, and give the tenths digit of a. A. 0 B. 2

C. 4

D. 7

E. NOTA

15. A fair coin is flipped 5 times. What is the probability of flipping exactly 3 heads? A.

1 32

B.

3 16

C.

5 16

D.

1 2

E. NOTA

16. A coin is weighted such that the probability of flipping three tails in a row is 0.027 . If three consecutive tails have been flipped, what is the probability that the next flip will be a head? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth. A. 0.019 B. 0.300 C. 0.700

D. 0.973

E. NOTA

January Regional

Statistics Individual Test

17. Dhyan hits his 173 mph tennis serve until he gets it in. Since his serve is so powerful, he has only a 0.173 chance of getting it in. Given that each serve is independent of all other serves, and the expected number of serves needed to hit one in is M with standard deviation N , find M + N rounded to the nearest tenth. A. 5.94 B. 6.69 C. 11.04 D. 33.41 E. NOTA

18. Let A be a random variable taking on the values {1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, , 97, 99} with equal probability and B be a random variable taking on the values {2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, , 98, 100} with equal probability. What is the mean of the distribution of (A+B)? A. 99 B. 99.5 C. 100 D. 100.5 E. NOTA

19. Let x and y be real numbers selected randomly such that 2 < x < 8 and 0 < y < 6 . What is the probability that x > y ?

2 A. 3

B.

7 9

5 C. 6

D.

8 9

E. NOTA

20. It has been suggested that the length of SAT essays has a positive correlation with essay score. Consider the following seven data pairs in the form (word count, essay score), and determine the correlation coefficient between word count and essay score. Round your answer to the nearest thousandth. (205, 6) A. 0.526 (1024, 10) B. 0.713 (728, 12) (456, 2) C. 0.725 (512, 9) (706, 10) D. 0.852 (173, 3) E. NOTA

21. For a large set of data, the least-squares regression line was determined to be y = 0.01x + 2 , where y represents essay score and x represents word count. Given that Sx = 250 and Sy = 3, what proportion of
variation in essay score is explained by the regression line? Round your answer to the nearest hundredth. A. 0.00 B. 0.69 C. 0.83

D. 0.91

E. NOTA

For questions 22-23, consider the following scenario. Because the mean score on his AP Calculus final exam was a 53, Mr. Wiggins curved the scores according to the linear transformation Y = aX + b where Y is the curved score, X is the original score, and a and b are constants, in order to obtain a curved mean score of 79.

22. Given that Bryans original and curved scores, respectively, were 42 and 57, what would Jacksons curved score be if his original score was 60? Round to the nearest integer, if necessary.
A. 44 B. 75 C. 86 D. 93 E. NOTA

23. If the standard deviation of the original scores was , what is the standard deviation of the curved scores? A. B. a C. + b D. a + b E. NOTA

January Regional

Statistics Individual Test

24. In a bag of 100 & s, Hannah finds the color distribution to be: Blue : Green : Yellow : Orange : Red = 2 : 3 : 4 : 5 : 6 However, Ashley points out that the supplier claims that the bags have a color distribution of: Blue : Green : Yellow : Orange : Red = 3 : 2 : 6 : 4 : 5 Find the chi-square statistic for this goodness of fit situation, rounded to the nearest hundredth. A. 1.78 B. 9.75 C. 11.00 D. 12.50 E. NOTA

25. Three red stones, two white stones, and one blue stone are placed in a line in random order. What is the probability that no two adjacent stones are the same color? A.

1 12

B.

1 10

C.

1 6

D.

1 3

E. NOTA

26. In order to train for his professional soccer debut, Patrick buys 1000 jump ropes from a company whose ropes have a mean length of 2 yards with a standard deviation of 0.3 yards. Assuming that rope lengths are normally distributed and the lengths of ropes are independent of each other, what is the probability that Patrick has at least 2011 yards of rope? Round your answer to the nearest hundredth. A. 0.00 B. 0.12 C. 0.36 D. 0.45 E. NOTA

27. The probability that Tarun hits exactly x homeruns in a batting practice session with an infinite number 3 of balls to hit is denoted as Px . If Px +1 = Px for x 0 , what is the probability that Tarun hits at least 2 10 homeruns? Round your answer to the nearest hundredth. A. 0.04

B. 0.09

C. 0.18

D. 0.30

E. NOTA

For questions 28-30, consider the following scenario. A weighted six-sided die is constructed such that the distribution of outcomes is as follows:

P(1) = a

P(2) = 0.10

P(3) = 0.05

P(4) = 0.40

P(5) = 0.25

P(6) = b

where P( X) denotes the probability of rolling a X on the die.

28. What is a + b ? A. 0.10

B. 0.20

C. 0.30 D. 0.80

E. NOTA

29. What is the median value of the distribution? A. 3 B. 3.5 C. 4 D. need more info E. NOTA

30. If the mean of the distribution is 4.2, find the value of ab . Round to the nearest thousandth. A. 0.006 B. 0.008 C. 0.009 D. 0.010 E. NOTA