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Marcellus Shale: Changing Gas Supply and Pipeline Infrastructure NGA Regional Market Trends Forum
Kevin Cotter
DIRECTOR
EMPIRE PIPELINE, INC. April 13, 2011
Utility
Reporting Segments
Operating Subsidiaries
Lake Ontario Lake Ontario Niagara TCPL Niagara, Chippawa CANADA Chippawa Empire Pipeline
Empire Connector
Corning Empire, Millennium Lake Lake Erie Erie Corning Millennium Tuscarora Storage Ellisburg NY PA
Independence
Empire Pipeline
Interconnects
Traditionally gas supply sources have come from Canada, the Rockies, and the Gulf Coast Region.
NIAGARA
New York
LEIDY
Pennsylvania
Marcellus Shale has resulted in the traditional gas supply being displaced.
NIAGARA
New York
LEIDY
Pennsylvania
Trends
161
104
79
100 80
60 40 20 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
2008
2009
2010
1,214,750
56,600
Initial Capacity
Service Began
100,000 Dth/d
November 2010
Lamont Compressor Station Phase I & II Planned Capacity Planned Compression (2 units)
APPALACHIAN LATERAL
40,000 Dth/d (I) 50,000 Dth/d (II) 1,150 HP (I) 1,700 HP(II) July 2010 (I) June 2011 (II)
~$6 MM ~$8 MM
Line N Expansion & Line N 2012 Expansion Cost $61.5 MM 160,000 Dth/d, Planned Capacity 195,000 Dth/d (2012) Anticipated Revenue $13.6 MM 4,700 HP, Market (Dth/d) PA Planned Compression Statoil 320,000, 20 yrs 20,600 HP (2012) FERC Filing March 2011 Sept 2011, Anticipated In-Service Date Nov. 2012 (2012) Anticipated In-Service November 2012 $20 MM, Estimated CAPEX Investment $39 MM (2012)
Northern Access Expansion Cost $61.5 MM Planned Capacity 320,000 Dth/d Anticipated Revenue $13.6 MM Planned Compression- Ellisburg ~9,500 HP Market (Dth/d) PA Statoil 320,000, 20 yrs Planned Compression- East Aurora ~5,000 HP FERC Filing March 2011 Anticipated In-Service Date Nov. 2012
Anticipated In-Service Estimated CAPEX Investment November 2012 $62 MM
Planned Capacity
Anticipated In-Service Date
350,000 Dth/d (2011), 365,000 Dth/d (Central Tioga) September 2011, 2013/2014 (Central Tioga)
320,000 Dth/d
9,470 Hp Ellisburg 4,740 Hp East Aurora Modifications @ Concord and Lockport
Planned Capacity
$61.5 MM 425,000 Dth/d $13.6 MM 82 miles, 24 pipeline PA Statoil 320,000,@ 2yrs 25,000 HP 20 stations
West to East
Market
About 1/3 of Filing March 2011 capacity under Precedent Agrmts. November 2012 Pre-Filing March 2010 Late 2013 Privileged and Confidential
Anticipated In-Service
On the Horizon.
New supply areas will continue crowd out the traditional Non-firm production eventually at risk All bets off with regard to traditional flows, basis, and commodity pricing - price and gas supply-driven changes Certain oversupplied producing areas/pipes could see price bloodletting Canadian markets will soon gain access to Marcellus supply Large need for midstream/gathering infrastructure Utilities: encouraged by proliferation of Marcellus gas supply but will adjust portfolios with caution
Thank You