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Notes adapted from courses developed by Dr. M.Hodkiewicz and Dr.J.Sikorska, University of Western Australia
Learning Outcomes
• After this session you will be able to:
– Perform life cycle cost calculations using the 12
Step Plan
– Identify and estimate the main costs during pump
life
– Justify pump selection based on life cycle not just
purchase cost
– Adapt the concepts learned to other equipment
IDENTIFY
FUNCTIONS IN
EACH PHASE
COST THESE
FUNCTIONS
APPLY COSTS BY
LCC Process
FUNCTION TO
YEAR BY YEAR
SCHEDULE
summary
APPLY COSTS BY
FUNCTION TO
YEAR BY YEAR
SCHEDULE
ACCUMULATE
COSTS FOR SPAN
OF LIFE CYCLE
DEFINE NEED
ADVANCE DETAIL PRODUCTION/
CONCEPTUAL UTILIZATION &
DEVELOP- DESIGN/ CON-
DESIGN SUPPORT
MENT PROTOTYPE STRUCTION
RESEARCH
EVALUATE
DEVELOP COST SELECT COST CONDUCT
FEASIBLE
BREAKDOWN MODEL FOR SENSITIVITY
ALTERNATIVES &
STRUCTURE (CBS) ANALYSIS ANALYSIS
SELECT OPTION
• Asset Management is
– “Systematic and coordinated activities and
practices through which an organization
optimally manages its assets, and their
associated performance, risks and
expenditures over their lifecycle for the
purpose of achieving its organizational
strategic plan” [3]
• Existing plant
• Existing management, purchasing
practices
• Existing accounting cost methods
• Preferred suppliers
IDENTIFY HIGH
IDENTIFY LC ESTIMATE COSTS COST IDENTIFY
ACTIVITIES BY FOR EACH CONTRIBUTORS & ADDITIONAL
PHASE CATEGORY CAUSE-EFFECT ALTERNATIVES
RELATIONSHIPS
EVALUATE
SELECT COST CONDUCT
IDENTIFY COST FEASIBLE
MODEL FOR SENSITIVITY
CATEGORIES ALTERNATIVES &
ANALYSIS ANALYSIS
SELECT OPTION
ORGANISATIONAL
STRATEGIC PLAN
Management
planning data
Reliability
data
LIFE CYCLE
Accounting COST DATA
data
Logistic
support data
Customer/
Market data Production
data
Construction
data
Source:
[2] B.S. Blanchard and W.J. Fabrycky,
Systems Engineering and Analysis,
Prentice Hall, 2006.
• Repetitive PV
FV = PV (1 + i ) = n
n
expenditure:
r
⎡1 − r n +1 ⎤ A is repetitive
PV = A ⎢ ⎥ expenditure
⎣ 1 − r ⎦
FV
PV = = FV ⋅ r n
(1 + i )
n
PV
FV = PV (1 + i ) = n
n
10000 15000
PV = 75000 + 5000 + + = $100, 038
(1 + .15) (1 + .15)
1 2
0 1 2 3
REPLACE/ RENEW
OPERATIONS COSTS REMEDIATION
TRANSPORTATION
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
100000
V a gy C
lve os
t
M P u r ep
ai m
nt p air
e r
In na epa
iti nc ir
al e
in co
ve s
s t
In tme
O st
p e al nt
ra lati
D t o
En ow ing n
vir nti co
on me st
m
en cos
D
isp tal t
os cos
al t
co
st
Comparison graph
% of total PV cost
68
Step 9: Sensitivity analysis
• Test model to determine sensitivity to energy costs
(kWh/t)
• Other options include inflation and interest rates
Desired flowrate 80
m3/hr
Ref:[1]
• D. Leave system as
is
System Curve
SHROUD-CASING
SPACE
DISCHARGE
RECIRCULATION
LEAKAGE FLOW
THROUGH THE
WEAR RING
• Assumptions:
– Plant has 10 year life.
– 100 HP ANSI pump, 1750 rpm, 250 psi, 70%
efficiency, fluid SG 1
1
SCHED & UNSCHED FACILITY USAGE
DISPOSAL COSTS
MAINTENANCE COSTS
2
All (1,2,3)
REPLACE/ RENEW
OPERATIONS COSTS REMEDIATION
TRANSPORTATION
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
m ci
ty
p S
be e
Co ar i al
up ngs
Ho ling
M u s
ai Im sin
nt pe g
en M ll e
an ot r
O ce o
pe V P S rs
ra ibr M ha
tio at vi ft
n io si
Tr s P n d t s
ai M ep
ni v t
ng isi
co ts
st
s 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
% of total
Lo Cost/yr
st
G
El ro
ec ss
M
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
tri
ca ar
lp gi
ow n
Co er
st co
fo st
rL s
ab
,M
Hodkiewicz, UWA – “AM Life Cycle Costing”
at
Pa
rt
Lo co
gi st
st
ics
For Option 1: Do nothing (ANSI)
co
st
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
92
100%
% of total
Comparison of Option 1 and 2
40000 100% 18000 100%
35000 90% 16000 90%
30000 80% 14000 80%
70%
% of total
70%
% of total
Cost/yr
12000
Cost/yr
25000 60% 60%
20000 50% 10000
50%
15000 40% 8000 40%
30% 6000 30%
10000 20% 4000
5000 20%
10% 2000 10%
0 0% 0 0%
st
at
n
st
s
st
at
n
st
ts
gi
st
co
,M
co
gi
co
,M
co
ar
os
co
ar
rt
ab
M
ics
rc
rt
ab
M
ics
Pa
er
Pa
rL
ss
st
e
ow
rL
ss
st
ow
gi
ro
fo
gi
ro
fo
lp
Lo
G
lp
Lo
st
G
ca
st
st
ca
Co
st
Co
tri
Lo
tri
Lo
ec
ec
El
El
Total Sustaining Total Sustaining
cost= $ 54,827/yr cost= $ 21,493/yr
Hodkiewicz, UWA – “AM Life Cycle Costing” 93
NPV Option comparison (adapted from [5])
350000
300000
250000
200000
NPV
150000
100000
50000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years
• Repetitive PV
FV = PV (1 + i ) = n
n
expenditure:
r
⎡1 − r n +1 ⎤ A is repetitive
PV = A ⎢ ⎥ expenditure
⎣ 1 − r ⎦
i=interest rate
p = inflation rate
1
Let r =
1+ i
n starts
⎡1 − r n +1 ⎤ from 0
PV = A ⎢ ⎥
⎣ 1− r ⎦
A
As n → ∞, PV →
1− r
Hodkiewicz, UWA – “AM Life Cycle Costing” 101
Economic life calculations
• Annuity factor ANn = (1-rn)/i
EAC = CRF × PV
i = Interest rate
r = 1/(1+i) = discount factor
n = number of years
AN = 1 /CRF