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In the last few days , stock prices fell, not because the
economy is in a recession (job creation: negative,
industrial production: falling), but because financial firms
(“banks”) were going broke.
In the last few weeks , financials were going broke
because they held bad loans, directly and packaged in
complex “derivatives,” as a result of credit freeze. (A
global problem: banks everywhere bought them. Risk
was underestimated or disregarded.)
In the last few months , credit froze, mainly to other
banks (but also to consumers and businesses, including
short-term), because banks’ suspected other banks may
go broke.
The toxic assets
By definition of savings: S = Y – T – C.
Hence: Y = C + S + T (1)
By the basic national accounting identity: Y
= C + I + G + (X – M) (2)
Subtract (2) from (1) and re-arrange to get: Savings declined from mid 1980s,
(X – M) = (S – I) + (T – G) public finances temporarily improved
That is, our trade and budget deficits are (1992-2000), but then biggest deficits
funded by the ROW! ever. Hence, current account deficits,
foreign funding of those deficits.
Why did the financial sector grow so
much?
Financial firms are for-profits. Changes in the legal
framework spawned the financial sector:
1971: Nixon unilaterally withdrew from the Bretton
Woods agreement, which ensured some stability in
exchange rates [boom of forex markets]
1980: Depository Institutions Deregulation and
Monetary Control Act, began repealing the Glass-
Steagall Act 1933
1989: Gramm-Leach-Bliley Financial Services
Modernization Act, completed the repeal of Glass-
Steagall [boom of non-bank financial firms, derivatives,
hedge funds]
Summary