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Weekly Market Outlook

22nd Oct 2011

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DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK 17th Oct 2011 - 21st Oct 2011 Weekly Markets
Sensex Nifty Gold(US$/oz) Re/US$ Dow Nasdaq FX Res (US$ Bn) 16,786 5,050 1,642.4 49.84 11,809 2,637 317.500 -1.73% -1.60% -2.35% 1.71% 1.42% -1.16% 1.69%

SNAPSHOT
Indian markets finished a disappointing week with over one and half a percent losses and the benchmark indices even lost their hold over the psychological 5,100 (Nifty) and 17,000 (Sensex) levels that they had gained in the previous week after vehemently rallying over five percentage points. Sentiments in the domestic markets are once again showing signs of weakening as lack of significant upside triggers on the domestic front and discouraging developments from the global front continue to dissuade investors from Indian equities. On the domestic front, disappointing earnings announcement by heavyweights like Reliance Industries, Larsen and Toubro, HCL Tech and TCS dented investors' morale. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex shaved off 279.05 points or 1.74% to 16785.64 during the week ended October 21, 2011. The BSE Mid-cap index was down by 78.05 points or 1.26% to 6111.87 and the Small-cap index down by 82.86 points or 1.20% to 6825.10. The S&P CNX Nifty plunged by 82.35 points or 1.60% to 5049.95. On the National Stock Exchange (NSE), Bank Nifty up 34.95 points or 0.36% to 9695.35, CNX IT down 171.20 points or 2.80% to 5948.45, while CNX mid-cap down 127.90 points or 1.79% to 7008.05 and CNX Nifty Junior down 212.35 points or 2.15% to 9682.65.

2000 1500 1000

Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Oct 2011)

Net FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr) Upto 21.10.11


Total Oct 2011 Total 2011
S o urce: bs eindia.co m

FIIs
-1444.7 20,979

DIIs
61.6 24,402

500 0 10-Oct 11-Oct 12-Oct 13-Oct 14-Oct 17-Oct 18-Oct 19-Oct 20-Oct 21-Oct *NSE Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %

35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

Weekly Sector Movement

Sectors
Auto Bankex CD CG FMCG Healthcare IT Metal Oil & Gas PSU Realty
WEEK AHEAD

Close
8,848 11,094 6,706 10,558 3,966 5,928 5,526 11,100 8,650 7,376 1,773

%
-0.01 0.26 0.03 -4.38 -0.65 0.46 -3.04 -2.00 -2.36 -1.13 -2.96
India's weekly food inflation measured by the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) after a gap of a month-and-a-half is back in double digits at 10.60% for the week ended October 8, 2011 as compared to 9.32% in the previous week on the back of costlier vegetables, fruits, milk and protein-based items.

The start of the coming week would largely depend on the development on global front. Besides, this a lot of volatility could be expected on account of expiry of October F&O contracts. Investor's eyes will be on European Union summit on Sunday, investors are hoping its results as an announcement of a grand plan to ensure that Greece's debt crisis doesn't cause financial contagion. In the holiday shortened week, all eyes will be glued to the RBI Governor, D Subbarao's monetary policy announcement of October 25, 2011, which is expected to provide further cues for the domestic markets. Indian equity markets will remain closed on 26 and 27th October on account of Diwali, the festival of lights. However, a special Muhurat trading session would be held on the bourses from 4:45 pm to 6:00 pm on Wednesday 26 October 2011 on Diwali. Therefore more of a range bound scenario between 4900-5250 could be justified at this stage however on shorter side 5005-5180 may be more visible. HAPPY TRADING AND VERY HAPPY DIWALI TO ALL OF YOU
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report For Private circulation Only For Our Clients Only

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /

NSE: INB230781431 PMS Regn No. INP000002387

Weekly Market Outlook


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SENSEX 30-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 28th Oct 2011
SUPPORT SCRIP Bajaj Auto Ltd Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. Bharti Airtel Ltd. Cipla Ltd. Coal India Ltd. DLF Ltd. HDFC Bank Ltd. Hero MotoCorp Ltd. Hindalco Industries Ltd. Hindustan Unilever Ltd. Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. ICICI Bank Ltd. Infosys Ltd. ITC Ltd. Jaiprakash Associates Ltd. Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. Larsen & Toubro Ltd. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. NTPC Ltd. Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd. Reliance Industries Ltd. State Bank Of India Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. Sun Pharmaceutical Inds. Ltd. Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. Tata Motors Ltd. Tata Power Company Ltd. Tata Steel Ltd. Wipro Ltd. 3rd 1569 305 351 280 318 209 471 1925 114 314 599 840 2648 198 64 499 1176 775 1038 165 258 804 1889 110 464 1014 163 93 407 338 2nd 1603 313 367 284 324 217 479 1983 118 321 619 857 2687 201 67 516 1268 789 1068 167 262 821 1920 113 477 1032 172 95 422 346 1st 1622 316 372 285 326 221 483 2018 120 323 627 864 2705 202 68 523 1302 795 1080 168 264 828 1934 114 482 1040 175 96 427 350 CLOSE PRICE 21.10.11 1640.55 319.75 377.90 286.85 328.85 225.05 486.30 2052.10 121.65 326.10 634.25 870.35 2722.70 203.65 69.55 529.55 1336.00 801.10 1092.30 169.25 265.40 835.40 1948.60 115.10 486.65 1048.25 177.95 97.30 432.15 353.90 1st 1657 325 388 289 332 229 491 2076 124 330 646 881 2743 206 71 540 1394 809 1111 171 268 846 1965 117 494 1058 183 99 441 358 RESISTANCE 2nd 1672 330 398 291 336 234 495 2099 127 335 658 891 2764 208 73 551 1451 816 1130 172 270 856 1982 119 501 1068 189 100 450 362 3rd 1707 338 413 295 341 242 503 2157 131 342 677 908 2803 211 76 568 1543 830 1160 175 274 873 2013 122 514 1086 197 102 464 369
INCLINATION

Positive Neutral Positive Positive Neutral Neutral Neutral Positive Negative Neutral Negative Neutral Positive Neutral Neutral Positive Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Positive Positive Neutral Positive Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Positive

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /

NSE: INB230781431 PMS Regn No. INP000002387

Weekly Market Outlook


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NSE MIDCAP 50-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 28th Oct 2011
SUPPORT SCRIP 3rd 2nd
81 147 509 117 23 118 36 467 278 258 383 716 242 229 14 25 36 88 102 72 187 68 34 117 553 14 30 311 53 2135 93 161 350 75 52 69 68 114 100 301 83 16 557 214 1102 26 133 52 93 108

CLOSE PRICE 1st


82 148 515 118 23 120 37 474 281 260 388 720 246 231 14 26 36 89 103 73 197 68 35 120 566 15 30 315 54 2155 94 162 352 76 53 72 69 116 101 305 84 17 564 217 1110 26 138 53 95 110

RESISTANCE 1st
86 152 528 120 25 125 37 490 289 265 400 730 255 237 15 27 38 94 106 75 223 70 36 129 594 15 30 325 55 2191 97 165 356 79 55 76 70 119 103 316 86 17 584 223 1125 27 148 54 100 113

Market Cap
3rd
92 157 547 124 27 134 39 515 301 273 418 745 270 246 15 29 39 101 110 78 265 71 39 144 635 16 31 341 57 2245 102 170 364 83 59 83 71 125 108 336 90 19 616 231 1147 28 162 57 107 117

21.10.11
83.75 149.95 520.95 118.40 24.40 122.05 36.85 481.40 284.35 262.30 393.00 724.60 249.95 233.45 14.25 26.40 36.85 91.20 104.00 73.55 206.15 68.85 35.25 123.65 580.45 14.85 30.00 318.85 54.05 2174.55 95.65 163.65 353.60 77.40 53.90 73.95 69.10 116.85 101.75 308.90 84.90 16.85 571.75 219.65 1117.00 26.70 143.20 53.25 96.70 110.65

2nd
88 154 535 121 26 128 38 499 293 268 407 735 261 240 15 28 38 97 107 76 239 70 37 135 607 16 31 331 56 2208 99 167 359 81 57 78 70 121 105 324 88 18 596 226 1132 28 152 55 102 114

(Rs Crore)
18258 7141 3492 6625 6492 3553 2524 2005 6620 3277 10894 9614 2400 3555 2250 1601 1429 3821 10240 2259 8860 5229 941 4771 12951 3576 1890 6696 1387 18253 668 12274 5913 1430 1790 1193 3219 3190 5833 7869 5250 3197 7272 19500 30612 6986 6613 2517 3200 2520

Adani Power Ltd. 77 Allahabad Bank 143 Alstom Projects India Ltd. 497 Andhra Bank 114 Ashok Leyland Ltd. 21 Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. 113 Bajaj Hindusthan Ltd. 35 BEML Ltd. 452 Bharat Forge Ltd. 271 CESC Ltd. 253 Cummins India Ltd. 371 DiviS Laboratories Ltd. 706 Educomp Solutions Ltd. 232 Great Eastern Shipping Company Ltd. 223 GVK Power & Infrastructure Ltd. 13 Hindustan Construction Company Ltd. 24 Hotel Leela Venture Ltd. 35 Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd. 83 IDBI Bank Ltd 99 India Cements Ltd. 70 Indian Bank 162 Indian Hotels Company Ltd. 67 IVRCL Ltd. 33 Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. 108 JSW Steel Ltd. 525 Lanco Infratech Ltd. 14 Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. 29 Mphasis Ltd. 301 NCC Ltd. 52 Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd 2098 Patel Engineering Ltd. 90 Petronet LNG Ltd. 158 Piramal Healthcare Ltd. 345 Praj Industries Ltd. 73 Punj Lloyd Ltd. 50 Rolta India Ltd. 65 Shipping Corpn. Of India Ltd. 67 Sintex Industries Ltd. 111 Syndicate Bank 97 Tata Chemicals Ltd. 289 Tata Global Beverages Ltd 81 Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. 15 Tech Mahindra Ltd. 537 Titan Industries Ltd. 208 Ultratech Cement Ltd. 1087 Unitech Ltd. 25 United Phosphorus Ltd. 123 Vijaya Bank Ltd 50 Voltas Ltd. 89 Welspun Corp Ltd. 105

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /

NSE: INB230781431 PMS Regn No. INP000002387

Weekly Market Outlook


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Ex-Date
24-Oct-11 24-Oct-11 24-Oct-11 25-Oct-11 25-Oct-11 25-Oct-11 25-Oct-11 28-Oct-11 31-Oct-11 31-Oct-11 31-Oct-11 1-Nov-11 1-Nov-11 1-Nov-11 2-Nov-11 2-Nov-11 3-Nov-11 3-Nov-11 3-Nov-11 3-Nov-11 4-Nov-11 4-Nov-11 4-Nov-11 4-Nov-11 4-Nov-11 4-Nov-11 8-Nov-11 8-Nov-11 9-Nov-11 9-Nov-11 9-Nov-11 11-Nov-11 16-Nov-11

Company Name
Farmax India Limited Nelcast Limited Crompton Greaves Limited Tata Consultancy Services Limited Asian Paints Limited JIK Industries Limited Hindustan Zinc Limited CRISIL Limited MindTree Limited VIP Industries Limited Sterlite Industries ( India ) Limited Godrej Consumer Products Limited Rallis India Limited Southern Petrochemicals Industries Corp Exide Industries Limited Navin Fluorine International Limited IPCA Laboratories Limited Hexaware Technologies Limited Foseco India Limited Cronimet Alloys India Limited Hindustan Unilever Limited Dabur India Limited KSB Pumps Limited Procter & Gamble Hygiene and Health Cranes Software International Limited Sasken Communication Technologies Ltd Sun TV Network Limited Kesar Enterprises Limited Sonata Software Limited HCL Infosystems Limited Marico Limited KCP Limited Page Industries Limited

NSE- Symbol
FARMAXIND NELCAST CROMPGREAV TCS ASIANPAINT JIKIND HINDZINC CRISIL MINDTREE VIPIND STER GODREJCP RALLIS SPIC EXIDEIND NAVINFLUOR IPCALAB HEXAWARE FOSECOIND CRONIMET HINDUNILVR DABUR KSBPUMPS PGHH CRANESSOFT SASKEN SUNTV KESARENT SONATSOFTW HCL-INSYS MARICO KCP PAGEIND

Purpose
ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.0.80 PER SHARE INTERIM DIVIDEND - RS. 3/- PER SHARE INTERIM DIVIDEND ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.1.50 PER SHARE

3RD INTERIM DIVIDEND


INTERIM DIVID RS.1.50 PS & SPEC. DIVID RE.1 P/S FACE VALUE SPLIT FROM RS.10/- TO RS.2/INTERIM DIVIDEND 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.0.90 PER SHARE INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.8.50 PER SHARE INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE INTERIM DIVIDEND FACE VALUE SPLIT FROM RS.10/- TO RS.2/INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE DIVIDEND-RS.22.50 P/S (BC DATES REVISED) ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND DIVIDEND-RE.1/- PER SHARE INTERIM DIVIDEND DIVIDEND-RS.2/- PER SHARE 1ST INTERIM DIVIDEND 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /

NSE: INB230781431 PMS Regn No. INP000002387

Weekly Market Outlook


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EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 21st Oct 2011
Total No. of Calls
26

Profitable Calls
17

Positional/Hold
1

Exit/Stop Loss
8

Success Rate
68.00%

NAME
Varun Gupta Pashupati Nath Jha Vikram Singh

DESIGNATION
Head - Research Research Analyst Research Analyst

E-MAIL
varungupta@moneysukh.com pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com vikram_research@moneysukh.com

This report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd (hereinafter referred as MSFL) is not soliciting any action based on it. This report is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or redistributed to any person in any form. The report is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. MSFL or any of its affiliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. MSFL or any of its affiliates or employees do not provide, at any time, any express or implied warranty of any kind, regarding any matter pertaining to this report, including without limitation the implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations. MSFL and/or its affiliates and/or employees may have interests/positions, financial or otherwise in the securities mentioned in this report. This information is subject to change without any prior notice. MSFL reserves the right to make modifications and alterations to this statement as may be required from time to time. Nevertheless, MSFL is committed to providing independent and transparent recommendations to its clients, and would be happy to provide information in response to specific client queries.

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /

NSE: INB230781431 PMS Regn No. INP000002387

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