Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Hindsight bias and judgmental overconfidence show that we cannot rely on intuition and common sense. Critical thinking must also be employed in order to perceive facts from nonsense. Hind sight Bias
The thought that once a person find out the outcome, that the person knew the outcome all along and could have predicted it.
Common sense describes what has happened more easily than predict what will happen Overconfidence
Thinking is limited
Even when you are 100% sure about something, self prediction may change up to 15% of the time.
When prediction becomes wrong, individuals attempt the I was close excuse
Skepticism and humility must be added to come back to reality Scientific Attitude
Copernicus and Newton, are examples of people who used the scientific attitude
Critical Thinking examines assumptions, discerns hidden values, evaluatesevidence and assesss conclusion without blindly accepting arguments andconclusions.
Scientific Method
Scientific Theory explains through principles that organizes and predicts behaviors or events.
Replication when a procedure could be repeated with different participants in different situations to see whether the same result is found.
A theory is successful if it links and organizes observed facts and if it implies hypothesis that offer testable predictions and practical applications. Case Study
An observation technique in which one person is studied in depth in hope of revealing universal principles
Does not work to find the general truths that cover individual cases Survey
False consensus effect is the tendency to overestimate the extent to which others share our beliefs and behaviors
Populations includes all the cases in a group from which samples may be drawn from a study
Random sampling represents a populations because each member has an equal chance of inclusion
Observing and recording behavior in naturally occurring situations without trying to manipulate and control the situation
Reveals how closely two things vary together and thus how well wither one predicts the other
Scatter plots show how closely related the traits are associated with
Positive correlation means that two variables seem to rise or fall together
Inverse means that while one variable is increasing, the other is decreasing
A weak correlation means that there is little or no relationship- the coefficient is then zero
Correlation indicates the possibility of a cause-effect relationship but does not prove the cause. Illusory Correlations
More likely to notice and remember the occurrence of two events in sequence
Can be easily deceived by estimating that there is a correlation amidst random events. Perceiving order in random events
Patterns or sequences occur naturally in random data Exploring Cause and Effect
Experiment is a research method in which an investigator manipulates one or more factors to observe the effect on some behavior or mental process. By random assignment of participants, the experimenter aims to control other relevant factors.
Double blind procedures- when an experiment is being performed without the knowledge of either the participant nor the administer
Placebo Effect is researching the effect of expectations, could be used to see whether a medicine is needed or not
Experimental Condition is the condition of an experiment that exposes participants to the treatment.
Control condition is the condition of an experiment that contrasts with the experimental condition and serves as a comparison for evaluating the effect of the treatment
Random assignment is assigning participants to by chance, minimizes existing differences. Independent and Dependent Variables
The Independent Variable is the value being manipulated within a given experiment
The dependent variable is the effect produced by manipulating the independent variable.
Random assignment is preferred so that all other variables could be equal and
Describing Data
A single score that represents a whole set of scores is also known as the measure of central tendency.
Mode is the most frequent number repeated within a given set of numbers
Measures of Variation
The range is determined based on how far the lowest and highest scores are.
variable. (consistent scores are more reliable than those with more variation.) 3. When a study includes more cases, it is more reliable than having a study with fewer cases. When is a difference significant?
Statistical difference also shows the likelihood that the result will happen by chance. Can Libratory Experiments illuminate Everyday Life?
The main idea is that the resulting principles-not the specific findings will help everyday behaviors.
Douglas Mook claims that the experiments purpose is not re-create the exact behaviors of everyday life but to test theoretical principles. Does Behavior Depend on Ones Culture
Culture is the shared ides and behaviors that one generation passes on to the next.
Animal experiments could lead to cures/vaccines for humans Is it ethical to experiment on animals?
Researchers defend themselves by stating that the number of animals they use for research is only 1% of the number of animals killed for food.
Psychologists for the Ethical Treatment of animals want researchers to use naturalistic observation while testing rather than libratory manipulation.
Scott Plous noted that each individual has a list of animals they are more concerned about.
APA advocates minimal pain and stress placed upon animals. Experimenting on people
The APA states that in order to experiment on people, the following guidelines Value of Judgments
Bias definitely plays a role in how an individual may interpret results and study it.