Name: Manish Paradkar

Assignment no 1
PROBLEM NO 1

GIVEN DATA:
Electricity Consumption = 110^6 KWH
Fuel consumed (Number 2) = 3000 Gallons
Area = 45000 SQ FT
Conditioned Space = 45000 SQ FT
Conversion used
1KWH = 3412 BTU
1 gallon #2 oil = 138,500 BTU
Reference: http://www.generatorjoe.net/html/energy.html
Average office building EUI = 193 thousand BTU/SQUARE FEET / YEAR
Reference: http://www.siteselection.com/theEnergyReport/2010/jul/EnergyEfficiency.cfm
Solution:

Electric energy consumed in BTU/year = (1 10^6 KWH) (3412 BTU/KWH) =3412000000

BTU/year
Energy consumed by fuel in BTU/year = 3000138500=415500000 BTU/year
Total energy consumed =3827500000 BTU/year
Energy Utilization Index (EUI) = Total Energy / Conditioned Space
= (3827500000)/ (45000)
= 85055 BTU/SQUARE FEET/YEAR
=85.055 thousand BTU/SQUARE FEET/YEAR
Building Average Energy Utilization Index as per the US department of energy (In thousand
BTU per Sq Ft per year) for office building is 193.00 comparing with the given building which
has EUI of 85.055 shows that there is less potential for energy saving

Problem No 2

In order to make the data consistent for regression analysis and to remove the regularities the
data of month June has been removed from the given table
Month

Months No

Units Produced

Consumption(KWH)

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan

600

600

1500

1200

1000

800

800

1000

2000

1100

1300

1000

1700

1100

300

800

10

1400

900

11

1100

900

12

200

650

13

1900

1200

Regression Analysis

1400

Consumption (KWH)

1200
1000
y = 0.282x + 612.8
R = 0.708

800

Series1

600

Linear (Series1)
400
200
0
0

500

1000
1500
Units Produced

2000

2500

From the regression analysis of the given set of data we can obtain the equation of the line
as shown in which the constant indicates the production unrelated energy. We can
estimate the energy consumption from the equation
Estimated Energy = 0.282x+623.19 = 0.282 1000 + 612.8 = 894.8 KWH
The fixed energy consumption is 612.8 KWH this is the production unrelated energy
consumption which may be used for other reasons such as for Air conditions, Heaters or for
lighting etc which are production unrelated activities in the industry consuming electricity
Part 2:
Month

Months no

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan

1
2
3
4
5
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Units
produced
600
1500
1000
800
2000
1300
1700
300
1400
1100
200
1900

Consumption
(KWH)
600
1200
800
1000
1100
1000
1100
800
900
900
650
1200

Predicted
Consumption(KWH)
782
1035.8
894.8
838.4
1176.8
979.4
1092.2
697.4
1007.6
923
669.2
1148.6

Variance

CUSUM
(KWH)
-182
-17.800
-112.600
49.000
27.800
-7.200
0.600
103.200
-4.400
27.400
-46.600
4.800

-182.000
164.2
94.8
161.6
-76.8
20.6
7.8
102.
-107.6
23
-19.2
51.4

CUSUM GRAPH
150

CUSUM Energy (KWH)

100
50
0
0

-50
-100
-150
-200

Months

10

12

14

CUSUM GRAPH
150

CUSUM Energy (KWH)

100
50
0
0

10

12

14

-50
-100
-150
-200

Months

Interpretation forms the Graph:

As seen in the graph from the month of May till August shows the upward inclined
line which indicates that there has been increase in the energy consumption during
this month and there is potential for energy conservation so it is our target area
The other line for month of Oct to Dec shows downward sloping line which indicates
there is less consumption of energy during these months

Part 3: Target Performance Model: Target is between May to August

As seen the Target is from the month of May till August
Month
May
Jul
Aug

Months no
5
7
8

Units
produced
2000
1300
1700

Consumption
(KWH)
1100
1000
1100

Predicted
Consumption(KWH)
1176.8
979.4
1092.2

Variance
-76.8
20.6
7.8

CUSUM
(KWH)
27.800
-7.200
0.600

Target Graph
1140
1120

Target Consumption

1100
1080
1060

y = 0.148x + 818.9
R = 0.817

1040
1020
1000
980
0

500

1000units produced1500

2000

2500

Comparison of target to baseline

Parameter

Baseline

Month (5-8)

% improvement

Slope production related

consumption

0.282

0.1486

47.3%

Intercept Production
Unrelated consumption

612.8

818.9

-33.63%

As shown above the production related consumption has improved by 47 percent while the
production unrelated consumption has increased by 33 percent

Part 4: CONTROL CHARTS

Month Unit Actual Predict Variance
N
prod (KWH) (KWH)

CUSUM
(KWH)

Target
(KWH)

Target
Variance

600

600

782

-182.00

-182

907.7

307.7

1500

1200

1035.8

164.2

-17.800

1040.9

159.1

1000

800

894.8

94.8

-112.600

966.9

166.9

800

1000

161.6

49.000

937.3

62.7

2000

1100

838.4
1176.8

-76.8

27.800

1114.9

-14.9

1300

1000

20.6

-7.200

1011.3

-11.3

1700

1100

979.4
1092.2

7.8

0.600

1070.5

29.5

300

800

697.4

102.

103.200

863.3

-63.3

10

1400

900

1007.6

-107.6

-4.400

1026.1

-126.1

11

1100

900

923

23

27.400

981.7

-81.7

12

200

650

-19.2

-46.600

848.5

-198.5

13

1900

1200

669.2
1148.6

51.4

4.800

1100.1

99.9

Determination of upper control limit and Lower control Limit

Average of target variance (May till August) = 35.066
Upper and lower control limits = 1.418.55 = 49.066
UCL = 49.06
LCL = -49.06
Month No
1
2
3
4
5
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Upper Control Limit

49.066
49.066
49.066
49.066
49.066
49.066
49.066
49.066
49.066
49.066
49.066
49.066

Lower Control Limit

-49.066
-49.066
-49.066
-49.066
-49.066
-49.066
-49.066
-49.066
-49.066
-49.066
-49.066
-49.066

200
100

UCL

Variance

0
0

10

12

14

LCL

-100
-200
-300
-400

Months

Problem No 3
For Gator Company following data is provided
The Base line electricity cost is = $15 per Million BTU
This year Cost =$18 per Million BTU
No of cooling days per year= 2000
Production = 1000 units per year
Solution:
Total Energy Consumption Before fuel Switching and Its cost
Total Energy = (75 2000+ 100 1000) Million BTU
= 250000 Million BTU
Total cost =15 250000 = $3,750,000

Total Energy consumption after fuel switching and its cost:

Total energy consumption= (80 2000 +115 1000) Million BTU
= 275000 Million BTU
Total Cost = 18 275000 = $ 4,950,000
Cost of switching Fuel = Cost after Switching fuel- Cost before switching fuel
=$ 4,950,000 - $3,750,000 = $1,200,000
=1.2 Million

Problem No 4
Let: X =Production units
Z= Degree Days
L=Floor space
Y= Energy Forecast
Assume a=0
Now we know that Y = a+bX+cZ+dL........................ (1)
From above assumptions the equation becomes Y = bX+cZ+dL
For year 1995 we have X=600, Z=6750, L=150000 and Y=1000
For year 1996 we have X=650, Y=1100, Z=6800, L=150000
For year 1997 we have X=650,Y=1050, Z=6800, L=170000
Substituting in equation (1) we get
600b+6750c+150000d=1000............................. (2)
650b+6800c+150000d=1100.............................. (3)
650b+6800c+170000d=1050................................ (4)
Solving the above equations 2, 3 & 4simultaneously we get
c =0.28

d=-0.0025
b =1.967
Substituting the values in equations (1)
Energy Forecast = (1.971 (Production level)) + (0.028 (Degree Days)) (0.0025 (Floor space))