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C O NTENTS
UNWTO World Tourism Barometer
UNWTO Statistics Capacity Building Programme for the Asia Pacific Region
KOREA MICE EXPO 2010
The Upcoming UNWTO Knowledge Network Kick-off Meeting
3
rd
Meeting of Vietnam-Japan Tourism Cooperation
1
st
UN MDGs Forum at the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea
OECD Conference for Korean Cuisine in Tourism International and Local Perspective
12
th
Session of China International Travel Mart
Special Report: Tourism and Poverty Elimination
Destination Report: Iran - The Land of Civilized Friendly People
Sustainable Tourism Development Success Stories: Malaysia, Returning
to Nature for Our Future
Focus on Tourism Policy - Indonesia: Tourism Development in Bali, Indonesia
Focus on Tourism Policy - Republic of Korea: "1
st
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I nt er nat i onal Tour i st Ar r i val s back at
2008 pr e- cr i si s peak l evel
uring the first eight months of 2010, the number
of international tourist arrivals exceeded the
record achieved in the same period of the pre-crisis year
2008. Based on monthly and/or quarterly data for 150
destination countries, the number of international
tourist arrivals worldwide between January and August
2010 was estimated at 642 million. This figure is some
40 million more than in same months of 2009 (+7%)
and one million more than in the same period of the
record year 2008. Based on current trends, international
tourist arrivals are projected to increase in the range of
5%-6% over the full year.
An analysis of monthly growth trends since the beginning
of 2010 confirms that May was the best month (+11%),
following a disappointing April (+2%) when demand was
negatively affected by the suspension of flights due to the
ash clouds from Iceland's erupting volcano.
However, July and August, the traditional high-season
months of the Northern Hemisphere, set new records,
attracting 112 million and 108 million international
arrivals respectively. These figures represented an extra 8
million arrivals over arrivals in the peak year 2008, and
12 million more compared with the crisis year 2009.
Inbound Tour i sm: shor t- ter m tr ends 2010
Results are positive in all world regions. Emerging
economics, however, continue to lead the way, growing
through August at a rate of 8% compared with 5% for
advanced economies. Although recovery is still lagging in
parts of Europe and the Americas, many destinations are
already showing real growth and setting new records.
Asia and the pacific have once again shown resilience
and a strong capacity for recovery. The region was caught
quite early and suddenly by the economic crisis but was
also the first to show signs of recovery, posting an
impressive 14% growth in international arrivals through
August 2010. Most destinations have registered double-
digit growth rates, many even above 20%.
Most countries have so far only reported receipts and
expenditure data for the first half of 2010. As is common
occurrence during recovery periods, international
tourism receipts continue to lag somewhat behind
arrivals in tourism expenditure from the major source
markets. Following major travel disruptions, volume
4
UNWTO World Tourism Barometer
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5 UNWTO Asia Pacific Newsletter Vol.21
(arrivals) tends to recover faster than income (receipts),
as competition is tougher and suppliers try hard to
contain prices, and travellers tend to travel closer to
home, for shorter periods of time, and seek to value for
money. Given this, many stakeholders are still hurting
from the two year downturn and are endeavoring to
preserve operating costs whilst focusing primarily on
business markets that offer higher returns.
Consistent with previous occasions, such as after the
9/11 attacks in 2001 and the SARS outbreak in 2003,
tourism has again confirmed a strong capacity for recovery.
Following a decline of 4% in international tourist arrivals
in 2009, the sector is showing real growth and is expected
to beat previous records by the end of 2010.
The positive trend during 2010 has been reflected in the
steady rise of the UNWTO's Tourism Confidence Index.
Throughout the year, the evaluation of recent travel activity
consistently exceeded forecasts given four months prior. A
clear majority of the members of the UNWTO Panel of
Experts evaluated the past eight months of 2010 as "better"
or "much better". The rating of prospects for the period
September-December has also further improved, and is up
for the fifth consecutive period. Confidence is now up to
the level seen before the crisis in 2007.
So far the rebound in arrivals numbers has turned out to
be stronger than initially anticipated. In a normal year,
international tourist arrivals in the first eight months of
the year usually account for about 70% of the yearly total.
The 50 countries that have already reported September
data, together with the air transport data, clearly point to
another sound month. For the last quarter of the year the
pace of growth is expected to slow down, as it compares
with an already positive last quarter of 2009. Based on
current projections, international tourist arrivals are
anticipated to increase by 5%-6% for the full year of
2010, thus exceeding 2009's total by some 45 million to
50 million and even improving on the record, pre-crisis
2008 count by 5 million to 10 million.
In 2011, growth is expected to continue at a more
moderate pace. The first assessment for 2011 points an
increase in international tourist arrivals in the range of 4%
to 5%, somewhat above the long-term average of 4%.
Gr owth i n 2011 wi l l j ust exceed the l ong-
ter m tr end
The faster than expected recovery of tourism demand has
led the UNWTO to revise its forecast for the full year 2010.
In 2011, growth is expected to slow down, but to remain
slightly above the long-term average rate of 4%. This
outlook reflects the fast recovery of international tourism
figures during 2010 as well as the return to economic
growth in emerging and most established source markets.
In 2011, the world's output growth is expected to be
reasonably strong for emerging markets and developing
countries at 6.4%, and to be more moderate, at 2.2%, in
advanced economies. A further increase in unemployment
may undermine economic growth in advanced economies and
this would reduce tourism demand from established markets.
For 2011, the UNWTO forecasts international tourist
arrivals to increase slightly above the long-term rate. Asia
will continue to lead growth, which is expected to be
largely driven by a revitalized intra-regional demand.
Much of the performance of tourism in 2011 will
depend on the level of recovery of advanced economies
in general and labor markets in particular, as the lever for
their inbound business and leisure travel.
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8
he Statistics Capacity Building Programme for the
Asia-Pacific region (2010-2011) is organized jointly by
the UNWTO, the Australian Department of Resources,
Energy and Tourism, and the Ministry of Economy
Development of New Zealand. Additionally the program is
put forth in cooperation with UNESCAP, the Ministry of
Tourism and Sports of Thailand, the National Statistical
Office of Thailand and the Department of Tourism of
Philippines.
The 1st Workshop was held in Bangkok, Thailand from
November 22
nd
-26
th
. There will be a 2
nd
workshop schedule
in Manila, Philippines and a regional seminar with back-to-
back workshops held in Bankok, Thailand.
The fourteen countries selected to participate in this
programme are : Cambodia, China, Fiji, Hong Kong
(China), India, Indonesia, Japan, Macao (China),
Malaysia, Maldives, Philippines, Republic of Korea,
Thailand and Vanuatu. The objective of the Statistics
T
UNWTO Statistics Capacity Building Programme
for the Asia Pacific Region
1
st
Workshop in Bangkok, Thailand
Bangkok, Thai l and, 22-26 November 2010
UNWTO Statistics Capacity Building Programme for Asia-Pacific Region
9 UNWTO Asia Pacific Newsletter Vol.21
Capacity Building Programme is to contribute to national
developments of tourism statistics - and additionally, to the
sustainability of the Tourism Satelite Account (TSA)
project. The programme is designed for officials of
National Tourist Administrations (NTA), National
Statistical Offices (NSO) and Central Banks (CB) of Asian
countries.
Backgr ound and Outcomes of SCBP
The success of the Tourism Satellite Account (TSA)
Project as designed and promoted by the UNWTO,
along with the significant development of various
national Systems of Tourism Statistics (STS) throughout
the region would not have been achieved without the
determination of many National Tourism
Administrations (NTAs) and National Statistical Offices
(NSOs). It has been absolutely necessary to strengthen
this leadership and for that purpose, the UNWTO
considered it an urgent priority to develop a capacity
building programme that would enable a selected
number of countries to enlarge their national STS and
the preparation of TSA experimental exercises.
The more general outcome of this new Programme was
the achievement of the main objectives of the UNWTO
Agenda for 2010 concerning statistical information. This
document, submitted to the UNWTO General Assembly
(Dakar, Senegal, 28 November - 2 December 2005),
identifies the following expected results and performance
indicators regarding statistics: