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WINNING IN CHINA
Insights and Strategies
For Success In
2011
2010 was a banner year for China. The
country surpassed Japan to become the
second largest economy in the world,
with GDP growing by more than 10
percent, and per capita income rising
almost 11 percent. Exports were up 31
percent, while domestic demand posted
strong gains as well. By most measures,
the Chinese economy continued firing
on all cylinders.
Naturally then, companies both local
and foreign were focused on developing
strategies for succeeding in a market
that is diverse, growing in affluence
and sophistication, and with consumers
eager to spend. There is no one size
fits all strategy, but there is one theme
common to companies winning in China
today: innovation.
Innovation may be an over-used word,
especially when it comes to business,
and it can have many meanings. But
no matter how it is defined, it is whats
driving growth in the country. Long
gone are the days when an overseas
company could simply slap a new
Chinese label on a product successfully
marketed in the U.S. or Europe and
knew that it would sell here too. Or
that a local brand was automatically
presumed to be of lesser quality.
Chinese consumers are more discerning
than ever before. So whether it is
developing new flavors or fragrances
or opening research & development
facilities specifically geared toward this
market, companies know that they have
to work harder to get their share of
market.
Along with all of the positives, we
also saw some dark clouds appearing
on an otherwise bright economic
sky around the middle of the year:
inflation, especially with respect to the
prices of food and other basic staples.
Consumer confidence also took a hit.
At 108 in the first quarter of the year
(and up to 109 the next quarter), the
consumer confidence index fell to 100
in the fourth quarter. While the decline
was cause for some concern, it was
not entirely unexpected: confidence
was already high and could not go
up indefinitely. As it stands, even at
lower Q4 levels, Chinese consumers
confidence remains among the highest
in the world.
Finally, one recurring theme we found
throughout the sectors we cover is
the rise of consumers in the lower
tier city and rural areas. Consumers
in Tier 3 and 4 cities increasingly are
asserting their growing buying power,
presenting powerful opportunities
and new challenges for retailers and
manufacturers alike. For much of the
year, consumers in these areas had
higher levels of confidence than those
in the major cities. Whether this trend
will continue in the face of inflation
(these consumers will likely be relatively
harder hit because a higher percent
of their income goes toward food
purchases) remains to be seen, but they
seem set on spending new discretionary
income on products that improve
their lives and those of their families.
Throughout this book, we will address
what these consumers are seeking and
how companies can appeal to them.
As one of the first information firms
to enter mainland China more than a
quarter century ago, Nielsen has the
track record, the presence, and the team
to be one of the foremost experts on
how Chinese consumers are watching
and using media and what products
and services they are buying. This
second edition of China Market Insights
compiles in one place the trends, data,
and insights that Nielsen observed
Karthik Rao
Managing Director
The Nielsen Company
Greater China
Karthik Rao was appointed as the Managing Director, Nielsen Greater
China in March 2011. In this role, Karthik oversees client service and
product management for Nielsen in Greater China. He is driving
Nielsens commercial strategy, new business development; and
integrated solutions to help clients succeed. Karthik brings a wealth of
experience, leadership and a diverse perspective to this role.
Most recently, Karthik successfully led Nielsens Consumer Research
and BASES (leading innovation consultant) organization for Greater
China, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa, and India, where he led
efforts to transform client engagement and helped drive significant
growth in the business.
Karthik joined Nielsen in 2000, working with the Nielsen BASES
business in the US, before moving back to Asia in 2007 to take on
leadership roles, first in Japan and then in Singapore.
Prior to joining Nielsen, Karthik spent several years with Ogilvy &
Mather Advertising in India. Karthik is a graduate of Indias Loyola
College, where he received his bachelors and masters degrees in
Economics. He also received an MBA from Illinois State University in
the USA.
across the many sectors we cover in
China. It also provides a preview of
the trends our experts see for the year
ahead. Were proud to play a role in
helping a wide range of companies, both
local and foreign, develop and realize
their strategies for winning in China. If
anything is certain, its that the Chinese
economy and its consumers will
continue to forge ahead, and Nielsen
is continually expanding the ways we
track and analyze the market. Drive
Client Success is our goal and we
hope you find WINNING IN CHINA -
Insights and Strategies For Success In
2011 a useful reference that can help
you win in China.
How Companies Win
Integrating insights from
what consumers buy
and what consumers watch
The Nielsen Company captures
the rising opportunities
and growth from
untapped consumer demand.
Contents
Part 1 Insights Into What Chinese Consumers Buy 1
1.1 Riding the Back of the Chinese Dragon: Consumer Condence in 2010 5
1.2 Succeeding in a Vast Marketplace: FMCG Trends in 2010 11
1.3 The Push-and-Pull Relationship of FMCG Manufacturers and Retailers 21
1.4 The Chinese Automotive Sector Races Ahead in 2010 33
1.5 Legendary Savers Take It To The Bank 43
1.6 Taking Off: Chinese Eager to Travel 53
Part 2 Insights Into How Chinese Consumers Watch 59
2.1 One Screen Not Enough for Chinese Consumers 63
2.2 Digital TV In China 75
2.3 We Live Online: Internet and Social Media Trends in China 81
2.4 On the Go: Chinese Mobile Trends in 2010 109
Part 3 How To Win In China 121
3.1 The Next Great Frontier: Chinas Lower Tier Cities 125
3.2 Unlock the 8 Common Myths About Innovation in China 137
Appendix 142
1. 2010 China Market Beat 143
2. China Consumer Condence Index by City Tier 144
3. City Tier Denition 146
4. China GDP overview (2007-2010, by quarter) 151
5. 2010 China CPI by category 152
6. 2010 Cash income of Chinas Rural and urban households 154
7. 2010 Expenditure of Chinas Rural and urban households 156
8. 2010 FMCG Top 10 Categories 159
9. List of Tables 160
Nielsen Key Contacts 163
PART 1:
Insights Into What
Chinese Consumers Buy
1.1 Riding the Back of the
Chinese Dragon: Consumer
Condence in 2010
4
Dene & Reach Your Consumer
accurately reach them across platforms through the integration of
Consumer Behavior Information and Media Consumption Data.
5
Over the course of 2009, Chinese
consumer confidence rose steadily,
according to Nielsens Global
Consumer Confidence Index, and at
the beginning of 2010, that rise seemed
set to continue. Indeed, during the first
quarter of the year, Chinas score hit
108 a four point rise from the last
quarter of 2009. The second quarter
of 2010 added another point, making
Chinese among the most confident and
87
90
81
96
89
94
104
109
100
99
97
94
88
84
77
82
86 92
93
90
108
106
100
83
82
80
80
84
82
85
87
81
105
106
98
95
101
108 104
60
70
80
90
100
110
2nd
Half
'06
1st
Half
'07
2nd
Half
'07
1st
Half
'08
2nd
Half
'08
1st
Quart
'09
2nd
Quart
'09
3rd
Quart
'09
4th
Quart
'09
1st
Quart
'10
2nd
Quart
'10
3rd
Quart
'10
4th
Quart
'10
Global Average US China
optimistic consumers in the world.
The third quarter of 2010 brought an
end to that upward trend, however, as
consumers started to feel the effects
of inflation. Despite the five-point
decline, a score of 104 still ranked China
amongst the most confident nations.
A small drop was hardly surprising:
confidence could not rise indefinitely,
and price inflation, particularly with
respect to food, was increasingly
Down, But By No Means Out
Consumer Condence Index
1.1
Riding the Back of the Chinese Dragon: Consumer
Condence in 2010
Source: Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index
6
Looking Forward:
Expect the first part of 2011 to
show continued consumer concern
about inflation.
Consumers in lower tier cities
will continue to show higher
confidence.
becoming an issue for many. Also,
government initiatives to curb real
estate speculation and a tightening
of interest rates were also starting to
come into play. The fourth quarter
saw another decline to 100 as
inflationary pressures mounted.
Confidence Beyond Tier 1 Cities
While rural consumers were more
likely to feel the immediate impact
of inflation, their confidence over the
course of the year was actually higher
than that of consumers in Tier 1 cities.
Largely due to the effect of rising
wages, consumers living in Tier 3 and
4 cities, as well as those in rural areas,
were increasingly more optimistic
about the economy, the state of their
personal finances, job prospects, and
willingness to shop. On a regional basis,
consumers in the Central part of the
country showed the highest confidence,
while those in the West were the least
confident.
7
96
89
95
104
108
109
104
100
98
101
95
105
106
2nd
Half '06
1st Half
'07
2nd
Half '07
1st Half
'08
2nd
Half '08
1st
Quart
'09
2nd
Quart
'09
3rd
Quart
'09
4th
Quart
'09
1st
Quart
'10
2nd
Quart
'10
3rd
Quart
'10
China Consumer Confidence Index
Ride On The Back Of The Chinese Dragon!
108
106
105 105
107
111
109
101
98
100
104
117
104
101 101
104
102
106
100
95
98
95 95
107
National Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 Rural Areas
10 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4
Rural Condence Remains Higher Than Urban
Source: Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index
Source: Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index
4th
Quart
10
8
9
1.2 Succeeding in a Vast
Marketplace: FMCG Trends
in 2010
10
Marketing ROI
Nielsens Marketing ROI Solution integrates large-scale
consumer purchasing and media consumption data to
provide Return-On-Investment analysis.
11
Rapid economic growth and
development in China has produced
consumers with higher levels of
disposable income and an appetite for
shopping. Whether buying food at the
local grocery or choosing a new TV at
a hypermarket, Chinese shoppers are
becoming more demanding. Beyond
the major cities, a fast growing middle
class is fueling a rapid expansion of
the retail scene. With such a diverse
and massive marketplace, makers of
fast-moving consumer goods (FMCGs)
manufacturers and retailers need to
know who their shoppers are, what they
are seeking and how to effectively reach
them if they want to stay at the top of
their games.
Chinas Massive FMCG
Marketplace
Recent global and national economic
trends have upended the fast-moving
China: The 2nd Largest FMCG Retail Market In Terms Of Outlet
Counts Across The Asia Pac Region
1.2
Succeeding in a Vast Marketplace: FMCG Trends
in 2010
India
China
Indonesia
Philippines
Thailand
Sri Lanka
Korea
Malaysia
Taiwan
Australia
Vietnam
New Zealand
HongKong
Singapore
Around 3.3 million*
HIGHLY
FRAGMENTED
MARKET
(*Nielsen Dened China, excluding villages, non covered regions, non covered channels)
Source: Nielsen Retail Census
12
consumer goods (FMCG) market in
China. To succeed in this market, FMCG
companies must prove they can be
both demand- and innovation-driven.
Marketers must confront sophisticated
Chinese consumers with innovative and
unique product offerings.
Today, China ranks as the second-
largest FMCG market in terms of store
count in Asia (after India). While the
traditional grocery store continues to
dominate the scene in terms of total
number of stores, the modern trade has
grown ten times in the course of the
past nine years. Whats more they are
selling much more than groceries.
Sales Share/Count Share
Grocery Modern Modern/Grocery
Tier 1 and 2 0.59 12.19 21 X
Tier 3 cities 0.59 12.25 21 X
Tier 4 Cities 0.67 14.64 22 X
Car Sold
per 1,000 People CAGR
24% 17%
Shanxi
40% 27%
Shandong
39% 29%
Henan
29% 20%
Jiangsu
51% 29%
Sichuan
'05-'07 '07-'09
Source: Car sales from Government information
Population from National Bureau of Statistics of China
Long Term Growth Will Be Driven By Developing Inland Provinces
35
viewed as a way to increase their familys
quality of life, and they tend to have fewer
financial pressures. In short, they have
positive outlooks on life and are confident
about their futures.
Auto manufacturers and retailers need
to market to these consumers by finding
emotional linkages with their priorities and
satisfying their basic needs. They would do
well to emphasize fundamental needs to
consumers such as economical, durable, safe,
reliable, simple and plain exterior. Its also
necessary to build a trustworthy brand image
that offers high value.
Local brands are quite popular with lower tier
buyers, as are cars made in Korea and Japan.
These buyers are often not familiar with the
differences between locally-made vehicles
and those produced by joint ventures. Indeed,
pricing is among the top factors for these
car buyers, and they often regard features
viewed as must haves by car owners in larger
cities, such as automatic transmissions, sun
roofs and leather interiors, as unnecessary.
Moreover, many see Chinese brands through
the prism of patriotism and are happy to
show their pride by owning cars made by local
companies.
If the brand is known to many people - it must be good g
Many cant tell the difference between domestic & JV brands
JV brands do not have a big advantage over domestic brands
Lower car prices bring higher value for money for practical buyers
Being a Chinese brand gives a sense of patriotism
Dealer network is supported by intensive advertising and promotions
Brand Awareness & Perception
Source: Nielsen
36
0
25
50
Domestic brand
JV brand
Domestic Brands: Friendly, Economical & Equally As Fashionable
Ad Effi i ( S l / Ad S di )
x 4
High Tier:
Jiangsu
Zhejiang
Shandong
Fujian
,d >d
g
Beijing
Guangdong
Shanghai
Fujian
Hebei
Henan
Inner Mongolia
High Tier 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 CAGR
Sales (M) 289 336 420 404 535 17%
Ad Spending
(MM RMB)
1,291 1,807 2,377 2,598 2,412 17%
Low Tier 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 CAGR
Sales (M) 208 266 326 349 604 31%
Ad Spending
(MM RMB)
290 422 572 609 686 24%
Advertising Delivers Maximum Impact In Low Tier Regions
Source: The Nielsen Company
Source: Nielsen
37
Since lower tier consumers have little
experience with or knowledge about
cars (90% are first-time buyers) and
have limited information, their purchase
decision-making is relatively simpler
and quicker. Manufacturers and retailers
should use a range of media including
the Internet and social media as well as
physical displays at various locations.
Dealer network expansion and training
of the sales and service associates will
further enhance brand visibility and
reputation key factors important to
lower tier consumers.
The Auto Industry Drives Ad
Spending
Mirroring the growth in car sales in
China has been advertising spending.
From 2009-2010, the auto industry
posted the highest growth in spending
of any industry, up 24 percent and
indicative of the increased level of
competition between manufacturers.
But that high level of spending has
led to decreased efficiency in mature
markets whereas lower spending in
lower tier markets has yielded strong
results.
Marketing
Activity
Brand
Equity
Sales
How much does my Brand Equity contribute to sales?
Hk MC Ik 1W AU I SG US 1H DL G8 M N2 kk CA I1 NL CH LS 8k
2008
2010
36
11
10
5
4
8
6 6
3
7 7
3
2
4
1 1
2 2
1 1
nk MC Ik 1W AU I SG US 1n DL G8 M N2 kk CA I1 NL Cn LS 8k
2008
2010
Destination for Leisure
(%)
Destination for Business
(%)
16
7
2 3
2 2
2
1
1
2
9
3
56
electronics and other products. In fact,
more than twothirds planned their
purchases prior to visiting HK. High-
ticket items dominated shopping lists,
with cosmetics and skincare products
the key categories (61%), followed by
electronics/photographic products
(52%), clothing (45%) and jewelry/
watches (38%). More than half of the
approximately US$1,500 they spend on
each trip is allocated to shopping.
When planning their trips, prospective
Mainland visitors usually take
recommendations from friends and
family first (48%) followed by visiting
the Internet (47%) to consult message
boards, forums and blogs.
Looking Forward:
Chinese tourists will increasingly
holiday beyond Asia, with Africa and
Middle East newly in favor. Japan will
likely be avoided until the country
stabilizes after the earthquake and
tsunami.
Specialty tourism is bound to
rise, with a focus on skiing, golfing,
adventure sports and even medical
tourism.
More tourists from lower tier cities
will take their first trips abroad, with
a focus on trips within Asia.
Expect to see a rise in domestic
tourism.
57
PART 2:
Insights Into How
Chinese Consumers
Watch
60
61
2.1 One Screen Not Enough
for Chinese Consumers
62
Monetize Content
Nielsen Monetize Content Solution measures and
provides insights into media content across
multiple programs to help you better mon-
etize your content.
63
Chinas transition to digital TV is
moving rapidly and is changing
everything. Before, TV was broadcast
by a decentralized network of analog
stations; people watched TV. Today,
digital TV is coming about in the form
of a national network, with interactivity
that enables people to use their TVs,
not just look at them. In a very short
period of time, China is catching up with
and in some cases, already surpassing
the West.
Nielsen is keeping pace with the
changes with research performed on
behalf of Digital Television services,
content providers and advertisers to
gauge consumer usage of and attitudes
toward Digital Television and the value-
added services it offers. Additionally,
2010 marked the launch of our Three
Screen study on select households in
Shanghai to better understand how
Chinese consumers use TV, Internet and
mobile phone platforms.
Among households with TVs,
computers and mobile devices, TV
continues to be the dominant platform
with nearly 8 or 9 times more spent
watching TV at home than accessing
the internet (149 hours per month for
TV, more than 16 hours for internet).
Of those respondents who access the
Internet, many were surfing while
watching TV; nearly half (44%) engaged
2.1
One Screen Not Enough for Chinese
Consumers
in simultaneous viewing at some
point over the fourth quarter of 2010.
Simultaneous viewing levels were
slightly higher during the week than on
weekends. The top 5 websites accessed
during these simultaneous viewing
periods were: Baidu, QQ, Sina, Taobao
and 163.com. Other key findings
included:
The younger generation (ages 15-24)
are the heaviest mobile users.
Men and women report roughly the
same amount of total mobile usage time,
but women watch more video on their
mobile phones than men.
Most panelists check their mobiles
while watching TV.
The most common way to acquire
video files for mobile phones was via PC
transfer, followed by video streaming,
then direct download via the internet.
If respondents watched video on their
mobile phones, they were also much
more likely to access the internet on their
mobile phone to surf websites, transfer
files, and download software/wallpapers/
ringtones and/or games.
With the countrys emphasis on Next
Generation Broadcasting and the
integration for TV/Radio Broadcast,
Internet, and Telecommunication
networks in the next five years, Chinese
64
consumers have increasingly adopted
digital cable TV, IPTV, high speed
internet, and 3G cellular services.
Findings like these can help point
marketers in the right direction when
leveraging different types of digital
media platforms in order to reach their
target consumers most efficiently. The
need to better understand what and
how consumers watch becomes more
critical for media and marketers alike as
more content and services are available
via multiple platforms.
How Chinese are Using TV,
Online and Mobile Media
Watching CCTVs China Central
Television New Years Gala on television
on Chinese New Years (CNY) Eve has
historically been nearly every familys
traditional event to ring in the New
Year. But how families are viewing it has
changed according to a study by The
Nielsen Company. More and more often,
Chinese consumers are increasingly
creating their own converged networks.
According to Nielsens 2011 Chinese New
Year Gala Show cross-platform study,
while TV still played a major role in this
special occasion, viewers using other
Top 10 Websites for 2010 CNY Period Top 10 Websites for 2011 CNY Period
Rank TOP10 Chinese Sites UB (mil.)
1 baidu.com 184.76
p
(Avg weekly data, Feb 8-14, 2010 and Feb 15-21, 2010)
Rank TOP10 Chinese Sites UB (mil.)
1 baidu.com 218.56
p
(Avg weekly data, Jan 31-Feb 6, 2011)
2 qq.com 155.71
3 sina.com.cn 103.97
4 soso com 88 60
2 qq.com 179.75
3 sina.com.cn 113.36
4 sohu com 7915 4 soso.com 88.60
5 sohu.com 68.35
6 163.com 67.54
7 k 59 65
4 sohu.com 79.15
5 youku.com 73.88
6 soso.com 73.82
7 t d 66 63 7 youku.com 59.65
8 hao123.com 53.26
9 tudou.com 52.15
7 tudou.com 66.63
8 taobao.com 60.03
9 163.com 58.81
10 google.cn 51.35 10 hao123.com 54.44
Top 10 Websites During CNY Periods In 2010 And 2011
Remark: Mon-Sun for weekly data; 2-week average was calculated
since CNY Eve (Feb 13) and CNY Day for 2010 fell on Saturday and Sunday respectively
Source: Nielsen Online CR-NetRatings
65
media platforms increased significantly
compared to last years Gala show.
People watching video on websites grew
strongly: unique browsers (UB) for Youku
and Tudou increased 24 percent and 28
percent respectively from last years CNY
period.
Whats becoming clear is that many
Chinese consumers are not satisfied
with a TV-only experience. They want
to enrich their TV experience with
additional sources of information found
on the Internet and mobile devices.
According to Nielsens single-source
research, compared to last year, there
was a significant shift from TV to
Internet during prime time on the CNY
Eve for consumers living in Shanghai
(Chart below), while 11 percent of
Shanghai homes used the Internet
simultaneously while watching the Gala
show on TV.
During the CNY period in 2011, 42
percent of respondents in Beijing,
Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen
relied on online and 9 percent used
mobile screens to obtain additional
information about the CCTV Gala
Show.
15
9
12
6
3
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9
CCTV 1 2011 Gala Show Internet 2011 CNY CCTV 1 2010 Gala Show Internet 2010 CNY
TV And Internet Usage During CNY Eve (2010 Vs 2011)
Source: Shanghai Cross-Platform Panel, Nielsen China
66
Opinions Count
Chinese consumers also took full
advantage of the much higher level of
interactivity offered by online platforms
using online forums and microblogs as a
way to connect with others and express
their sentiments regarding content and
performers in the CNY shows. From
an online perspective, the CCTV Gala
Show generated 39,322 messages from
netizens, more than any other of the
CNY shows broadcast by other major
provincial satellite TV channels.
The programs Missing Home and In
the Spring, which featured grass-root
performers; Xidan Subway Singing
Angel and the Xuri Yanggang group,
together with My Desk-mate, a skit
led by one of the countrys leading
comedians, Zhao Ben Shan, generated
the most buzz regarding performances
during the Gala show among Chinese
netizens.
0
900,000
1,800,000
2,700,000
3,600,000
4,500,000
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
2010Estimated ad value (000) 2010 industry share %
R
e
t
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2009industry share %
Source : Nielsen
Note: the percentage in the chart is the number compared with the previous year
Source: Nielsen
2010 Computer & Electronics Estimated Ad Value
2010 Computer & Electronic Products Online Displayed Ad Analysis
93
in China is Microblogs. They offer users
the chance to disclose information
(such as negative reviews of products
or services used), share ideas and
show pictures and videos, using simple
text. They are also used to find friends
and follow celebrities. BBS is the
most popular social behavior, with
over 80 percent of all social media
content. Games are also a traffic
driver, especially for those people just
starting to use SNS. Local players are
dominating the market, with companies
such as QQ Game dominating the
scene. But despite the popularity of
these sites, the market remains under-
monetized.
0
70,000
140,000
210,000
280,000
LENOVO INTEL SAMSUNG MIDEA SONY G-NET DELL CANON HAIER TCL
2010 estimated ad value(000) 2009 estimated ad value(000)
Source: Nielsen
Top 10 Computer/Consumer Electronics Advertisers
The Value of SNS for Advertisers
Obviously, such a massive platform
offers advertisers a huge opportunity
to reach consumers and engage in a
dialogue. Microblogs, in particular,
can be useful to brands, regardless
of industry, as they provide a way
to measure buzz both positive and
negative and gauge how consumers
feel about their products.
The typical SNS netizen has a large
number of fans and friends, and if one
person receives information from a
friend, that information is more likely
viewed as credible. Companies can
also use SNS to their advantage by
94
Source: Nielsen
2010 FMCG Estimated Ad Value
63
177
78
28
29
36 35
48
-43
-37
1 5
-50
0
50
100
150
200
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun JuI Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2010 estimated ad value(000) 2009 estimated ad value(000)
compared with 2009(%)
Source: Nielsen
2010 Top 10 FMCG Advertisers
0
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
2010 estimated ad value(000) 2009 estimated ad value(000)
95
31
19
6
-8
2
53
116
361
-50
50
150
250
350
0
70,000
140,000
210,000
280,000
350,000
420,000
2010 estimated ad value(000) compared with 2009(%)
2010 FMCG Online Displayed Ad Category Analysis
0
40
80
120
160
Displayed advertisers Video advertisers
Source: Nielsen
Source: Nielsen
2010 FMCG Displayed Advertisers And Video Advertisers
96
0
300
600
900
displayed ad campaigns video ad campaigns
Source: Nielsen
2010 FMCG Displayed Ad And Video Ad Campaigns
Top 10 Lists By Type of Online Ad In 2010 Display Ads
Advertisers 2010 Est. ad vaIue (000) 2009 Est. ad vaIue (000) Compared with 2009(%)
VANCL 964,400 518,864 86
DEERWAY 423,576 90,208 370
361 352,768 238,416 48
MECOXLANE 352,744 184,296 91
TOYOTA 338,880 161,248 110
MOONBASA 321,136 98,160 227
LENOVO 269,880 207,040 30
LINING 263,944 372,848 -29
HYUNDAI AUTO 259,232 171,888 51
GREAT WALL AUTO 251,624 66,136 280
Source: Nielsen
97
Industry Categories Of The Top Advertisers
Online Video
Video advertisers Video ad campaigns Video ad creative
ALIBABA 148
14483
CHINA MOBILE 124
14226
PERFECT WORLD 114
1975
SAMSUNG 95
5206
P&G 90
29087
TINGHSIN 85
13196
VW 78
4166
LOREAL 71
9381
CHINA TELECOM 66
13005
UNILEVER 63
31145
Auto
25%
E-commerce
15%
Computer & electronic
14%
FMCG
12%
Sport&fashion
9%
Bank
7%
Communication 3%
Online media 3%
Medical&Health
Recruitment
Games
Others 5%
3%
2%
2%
Others
18%
Data Source: Nielsen
Data Source: Nielsen
98
Source: 26th CNNIC China Internet Study Report
establishing a brand presence on SNS
sites (such as SINA weibo) is a way to
connect with fans of your brand.
A SNS brand presences has become
an important platform to manage
customer relationships as they enable
brands to quickly send out updates
about new products and services
directly to people they know are
interested in the brand and enable
fans to provide feedback. Some of the
ways companies can use such accounts
include:
Social Media User Growth Rate In China
Users/ fans can get all kinds of
information, such as news of product
launches and promotions, which they
can then share with their fans and
friends.
Hosting online campaigns that
complement off-line events, with
picture/word/video messages.
Offering after-sale services and tech
support.
2009.06 - 2010.06 (User Growth Rate)
Shopping Video Gaming SNS
IM BBS Blog
Music
45.9%
0.0%
21.9% 21.8%
13.9%
12.3%
11.0%
8.1%
31.4%
19.5%
11.9%
13.1%
11.7%
8%
10.4%
4.5%
2009.06-2009.12
2009.12-2010.06
99
Skincare
Rank Brand Buzz VOL
1 Elizabeth Arden 727550
2 Chanel 657825
3 Dior 601475
4 Lancme 459802
5 Estee Lauder 324223
6 Aupres 317993
7 La Mer 228909
8 Olay 168190
9 H
2
O 168122
10 Clinique 159015
Soft Drinks
1 Coca-Cola 50065
2 Sprite 18542
3 Pepsi 11623
4 WHH Nutri-Express 8809
5 Minute Maid Juice 3749
6 Fanta 3274
7 President Tea 3078
8 KSF Tea 2608
9 President Juice 2396
10 Mengniu Suan Suan Ru 1992
Top 10 Brands By Industry
Source: Nielsen
Source: Nielsen
100
Banks
1 Bank of China 156355
2 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China 142482
3 China Construction Bank 105090
4 China Merchants Bank 101500
5 Agricultural Bank of China 96674
6 China Minsheng Bank 67861
7 Bank of Communications 60585
8 Industrial Bank 47366
9 HSBC Bank 44923
10 China Everbright Bank 41937
Source:Nielsen
101
Trend Summaries
Applications
Smartphones and other media-friendly
portable devices are leading society
into a new era. Location is becoming
important information to be leveraged
for marketing initiatives.
Social Gaming (Gamification) :
In the coming years, more and more
brands will try to deepen brand
integrations with existing gaming
platforms or SNS, with an increasing
number creating their own gaming
structures to attract consumers by
offering preferred status, coupons or
freebies.
Socialized E-Commerce:
The connection of social media and
e-commerce is fueling the investment
into both, as its not only a new and
growing channel, but also a cost-
effective one to delivery brand value and
messages directly to consumers.
Five Tips on How Marketers Can
Effectively Use SNS
Face and communicate with
consumers in simple ways, such
as building official microblogs to
interact and engage with consumers
constantly and consistently.
Offer simple and creative tools to
satisfy consumers creative thirst.
When sponsoring social events,
brands can stimulate consumers
participation enthusiasm by
leveraging their social responsibility
by hosting v-movie or v-novel
contests, to promote and deliver
brand/product messages.
Based on consumers tendencies to
associate with groups, take advantage
of SNS and Groupon-similar sites to
cultivate brand fans effectively, such
as selling a new product on site, and
getting consumers feedback on social
commerce or product innovation.
Also, building a branded page on SNS
can be an effective way to expand
social CRM.
Make full use of mobile applications
to involve more consumers in the
brand marketing circle and provide
them with opportunities to win LBS
badges or other types of incentives.
102
4. Online Insights
Video
In 2010, the online video industry
continued to gain speed. Online video
beats TV when measured by user
averages by week. Its not surprising
then that advertisers pay more
attention to online video ad to attract
netizens, who tend to be the customers
they are targeting. For current online
video websites to maintain this
advantage, they should focus on
the quality of video content, users
experience, fluency and clarity of the
video to enhance users loyalty.
E-Commerce
E-commerce (EC) posted significant
and rapid growth in 2010, with the
advantages of the traditional EC
portal becoming more obvious to
consumers. Fast-moving consumer
goods remain the primary focus of
EC, and Internet consumers typically
made their purchases on the big name
websites. The competition landscape
became clearer, with Taobao having
the dominant position and running way
ahead of the competition. In terms of
B2C, traditional big websites still hold
most of the market share. However,
vertical B2C platforms like Vancl or
Source: CNNIC 20-26th Internet Development Statistics
China Online Video User Development Trend
99
161
180
202
222
240
265
62.6%
11.8%
12.2%
9.9%
8.1%
10.4%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10
-70%
-50%
-30%
-10%
10%
30%
50%
70%
Online video user Growth rate of online video user growth rate of netizen
Unit: Million
G
103
Source: CNNIC 20-26th Internet Development Statistics
23.0%
7.1%
9.1%
10.9%
12.4%
17.0%
20.5%
12.4%
4.3%
6.3%
9.4%
12.9%
17.7%
37.1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
above 42 hours
35-42 hours
28-35hours
21-28hours
14-21hours
7-14hours
below 7 hours
online video media
TV
360buy continue to leverage their
respective strengths and are gradually
increasing their industry positions.
China Online Video User Development Trend
Looking Forward:
Online video will continue
to take off and advertisers will
recognize the huge potential of
this medium.
Spending on mobile advertising
will remain small until widespread
use of 3G makes for a better
consumer experience.
With the introduction of better
measurement standards, expect
online ad spending to grow
dramatically.
104
Platform Category
Note: Top 15 category by online shopper amount
Base :consumers have online shopping experience in Jun 2010
88.8%
24.2%
C2C
B2C
53.2%
21.9%
20.0%
19.5%
18.9%
13.2%
9.5%
9.0%
4.4%
3.5%
3.2%
3.2%
3.0%
2.9%
1.9%
Apparel & Accessories
Health/Wellness/Beauty
Shoes & Athletic Footwear
Home & Garden
Books
Consumer Electronics
Paid Content Accessed Online
Food & Beverage
porting Goods & Outdoor Activities
Child/Baby Care
Toys, Games & Hobbies
Computer Software
Computer Hardware
Office Supplies
Jewelry & Watches
Base: Consumers with online shopping experience in Jun 2010
Note: Top 15 Categories by online shopper amount
Sporting Goods & Outdoor Activities
Source: Nielsen Online E-Commerce Panel, Jun. 2010
Source: Nielsen Online E-Commerce Panel, Jun. 2010
Online Shopping Consumption Amount
Online Shopper Amount
Platform
11.8%
9.5%
7.3%
5.5%
4.2%
4.0%
3.5%
24.9%
18.7%
10.7%
Apparel & Accessories
Health/Wellness/Beauty
Consumer Electronics
Home & Garden
Child/Baby Care
Computer Hardware
Shoes & Athletic Footwear
Club Memberships
Book
Air Reservations
Category
Base :Online shopping consumption amount in Jun 2010 Note: The top 10 categories accounted 89.2% for the overall
75.3%
24.7%
C2C
B2C
105
106
107
2.4 On the Go:
Chinese Mobile Trends
in 2010
108
109
2.4
On the Go: Chinese Mobile Trends
in 2010
With an estimated 853 million subscribers,
Chinas mobile market is the worlds
largest and it will continue to grow as
the population becomes more affluent. In
contrast, the U.S. mobile market has 302
million subscribers, covering 96 percent of
the population
1
. It is a saturated market,
and any growth will likely be quite modest.
Apart from sending text messages and
making the occasional voice call, what are
Chinese using their phones for? Chinese
consumers use their devices for gaming,
sending email, watching video and
increasingly, connecting to the Internet.
At the end of 2010, China had 457 million
Internet users and 303 million mobile
Internet users. The latter number increased
69.3 million within just one year. What is
driving this high level of mobile Internet
growth and penetration in China?
Compared to developed countries, Chinas
Internet market is unique: the number of
users of the mobile Internet continues
to grow faster than the rate of overall
Chart1. Internet And Mobile Data Users In China
123
137
162
210
253
298
338
384
420
457
13
17
44
50
73
118
155
233
277
303
11% 12%
27%
24%
29%
40%
46%
61%
66% 66%
CH1:06 CH2:06 CH1:07 CH2:07 CH1:08 CH2:08 CH1:09 CH2:09 CH1:10 CH2:10
480
380
280
180
80
-20
80%
60%
40%
20%
0% I
n
t
e
r
n
e
t
/
M
o
b
i
l
e
D
a
t
a
U
s
e
r
s
(
M
M
)
Internet Users in China
Mobile Internet Users
M
o
b
i
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e
D
a
t
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s
a
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%
o
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t
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s
1
CTIA, The Wireless Association, December 2010
Source: CNNIC Internet Report, 2006- 2010
110
Internet usage (chart 1). Almost two-thirds
of Chinese using the Internet are doing
so on mobile phones, despite lower 3G
network and smartphone penetration.
Already Chinese mobile Internet usage has
surpassed that in the U.S. According to
Nielsen survey data from 2010, 38 percent
of Chinese mobile users access the Internet
compared to 27 percent of Americans.
Based on Nielsen research there are four
main factors driving high mobile Internet
penetration in China.
Mobile Outpaces Wired Internet
The mobile Internet has become an
important extension to the traditional
broadband- connected Internet. Chinas
fixed-line broadband was developed
later than that in the U.S. At the same
time, Chinas mobile user market is very
large and developing rapidly, providing
ample opportunities for Chinas mobile
Internet market to surge. According to
the CNNIC Internet Report, Chinas
average fixed Internet access speed
is only 100.9KB/s, far behind the
world average speed of 230.3KB/s.
The lack of computer knowledge and
skills, combined with a low computer
penetration rate, has also contributed
to the lag of fixed-line broadband
development.
Consider the facts: In Western Europe,
there are approximately 70 personal
computers for every 100 people, compared
to less than 20 for every 100 people in Asia
and the Pacific region
2
. In contrast to low
personal computer ownership, China is the
largest mobile phone user market in the
world, with statistics from Chinas ministry
of industry and information showing that
there are 863 million mobile users in
China by February 2011 greater than the
total number of global mobile users just a
decade ago. Mobile penetration in Chinas
more developed cities is nearing saturation.
A large-scale market survey of Guangdong
province conducted jointly by China
Telecom Guangzhou Research Institute
and Nielsen showed that fewer than half
(47%) of households have computers
while 87 percent of people (age 15-65)
have mobile phones. The rise of 3G and
smartphones that enable consumers to
easily and quickly use the Internet on their
cell phones will continue to drive growth in
the mobile Internet market.
Varied Pricing Plans Boost Mobile
Internet Usage
Another important factor affecting the
growth of mobile Internet is data fees.
Subscribers can choose from a range of
data plans to browse the mobile Internet.
China Mobile, for example, was the first
to launch a low price plan which allowed
customers to use a limited data package
for only 5RMB (less than US$ 1) a month.
Under the plan, users can enjoy their
mobile Internet or chat through mobile
2
The Economist, Dec 30, 2009
111
Table1. The Mobile Internet Price Plan Of China-telecom
Chart 3: 3G Users In China By Age
Mobile Internet users
0.76 USD 30M
Up to 1000RMB
1.52 USD 60M
3.05 USD 150M
4.57 USD 300M
7.61 USD 800M
15.23 USD 2G
Overage fee 0.000046 USD /KB
Data included
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
age 40-49 age 30-39 age 20-29 age 10-19
Source: China Telecom Website
Source: The Nielsen Company and CNNIC in Aug. 2009
112
QQ (a type of IM service) anytime they
like. In order to boost their share of the 3G
market, China Telecom and China Unicom
each released low-cost data plans with
rates of USD 0.0076 per minute, or USD
0.0015 per KB. China Telecom launched
the 5RMB (0.76 USD) package, which
included 30 Mb of data (Table 1), with
0.000046 USD/K for excessive usage,
which has proven to be very popular with
consumers.
The low costs and convenience of mobile
phones has met the communication needs
and economic conditions of the younger
generation, especially students. Almost
60 percent of Chinas 3G users are young
people age 20-29.
In short, behaviors started on the
traditional Internet are slowly shifting to
the mobile Internet. The development
of mobile apps and the low cost of data
usage have been instrumental in driving
growth in this sector.
EIS Drives Growth
Another factor behind the surge
of Chinas mobile Internet market
is the development of Enterprise
Information Services (EIS) with Chinese
characteristics. Like many of their
global counterparts, Chinese mobile
network operators experiencing slower
subscriber growth rates, declining
ARPU and high churn rates have begun
exploring new areas to expand the
business and maintain sustainable
growth. Industry-focused applications
have been an important component
of their growth strategy. In fact, the
mobile phone is not simply a tool
for personal communication and
entertainment, but also a business
tool for information sharing and
administrative functions.
Telecom operators in China have
provided EIS solutions for various
industry segments. Below are some EIS
cases in three typical industries with
Chinese characteristics.
China has a huge number of civil
servants: according to the National
Bureau of Statistics, there are more
than 13 million civil servants, equating
to one civil servant for every 100
people. The Chinese government
organization is complex, consisting
of national ministries, provincial
governments, and municipal
governments in cities, counties,
towns and villages. Each has different
information needs such as state
administration and law enforcement
(government to the public), information
exchange between departments
(parallel) and information transfer
(superior to subordinate). As a result,
targeted EIS is booming for different
section needs. For example, China
Telecom has provided e-Commerce
for the Industry & Commerce
Bureau, e-Police for Ministry of Public
Security, Safe City, Digital Municipal
Administration, mobile e-government
and a total of 18 EIS services for
113
the government and administrative
bureaus.
Chinas One Family, One Child policy
means that most families have only one
child with six adults (four grandparents
and two parents) taking care of him or
her. Chinese parents place a great deal
of importance on education as a result
of Confucianisms influence. They want
their children to win at the starting line,
care about their learning progress and
are willing to invest for their childrens
future education. According to the
Nielsen Online Consumer Confidence
Survey 2010, childrens education
ranked in the top three three concerns
for Chinese. Almost half (45%) of
consumers will use spare cash for
education of their child, second only to
putting it into savings. To capitalize on
the importance on education, Chinese
mobile operators have launched a
number of products such as educational
IM, MMS & SMS for teachers, parents,
and students, which meet the needs of
home-school communication.
Local Chinese Internet companies
have seen tremendous growth in
a relatively short amount of time.
Benefiting from the rapid development
of the Internet, online shopping has
become more and more popular, with
161 million consumers as of the end of
2010. Logistics enterprises, especially
Chart 4: How Long Have You Owned Your Current Mobile Device?
More than 3 years
2 years ~ 3 years
1 years ~ 2 years
6 months ~ 1year
Less than 6 months
5%
13%
13%
31%
38%
Source: The Nielsen Company and CNNIC in Aug. 2009
114
private express delivery couriers, are
experiencing rapid growth as a result
of this trend: According to the China
Post Bureau website, Chinas express
delivery service totaled 2.34 billion
deliveries with 25.9 percent year-on-
year growth; business revenue totaled
57.46 billion Yuan with 20 percent
year-on-year growth. A number of EIS
products have emerged to meet the
mobile location tracking and logistics
management demands of this sector.
Technology Advances Rapidly
Last but not least, technology advances
have allowed the mobile device to offer
more capabilities and connectivity. As the
closest and most personal device for users,
mobile phones have played a pivotal role
in the development of operator services as
well as the mobile Internet.
With the increasing emphasis on mobile
devices, Chinese mobile users attach great
importance to powerful functions, a cool
appearance and a stylish design and are
interested in trying new handsets. These
factors have led China to have one of the
highest mobile replacement rates in the
world. According to a survey by China
Telecom Guangzhou Research Institute
in August 2010, more than two-thirds of
respondents have their current mobile
phone for less than two years.
Mobile devices features are increasingly
important in consumers device selection.
Statistics from China Telecom Guangzhou
Research Institute and Nielsen China have
shown that in the 3G era, appearance
and function have become the principal
elements consumers consider when
selecting a mobile device even more
important than price. (Chart 5)
In terms of those functions, mobile
Internet and 3G capabilities are
important factors for Chinese
consumers, as are the availability of
mobile applications. (Chart 6)
Moreover, the intense competition in the
handset market has compelled device
manufacturers to reduce costs and keep
innovating to meet the changing needs of
consumers. It also helps lower the threshold
for mobile Internet applications, working as a
strong impetus to the development of mobile
Internet. Mobile Internet applications have
become an integral part of peoples daily
lives, both at home and work.
For example, Chinese use more instant
messaging (IM) than Americans, with
almost one-quarter (23%) of Chinese using
the service compared to just 18 percent
of Americans. The prevalence of IM has
propelled the development of Chinas mobile
Internet to a great extent. QQ (a type of
IM service) has been a popular IM brand on
computers since the 1990s and is now the
most popular Internet communication tool
in the world with over 647.6 million active
accounts
3
.
3
Tencent Holdings Limited Annual Report 2010
115
Chart 5: Factors Considered In Purchasing Mobile Phone
Chart 6: Types Of Functions Important To Consumers
78%
70%
62%
44%
30%
6%
1%
Appearance
Function
Price
Brand
Use
Get from friends or company
Other
Intelligent Operating System
Super Screen
Camera
3G
MP3
GPS
WIFI
Software
Dual-mode
Phone reading
Security
Email
Radio
62%
55%
49%
44%
42%
35%
34%
29%
28%
28%
27%
26%
26%
Source: The Nielsen Company and CNNIC in Aug. 2009
Source: The Nielsen Company and CNNIC in Aug. 2009
116
Social networking is also developing
rapidly in China. Renren web and
Kaixin web are the most famous social
networks in China, and are as popular
as Facebook is in the United States.
Chinese youth are flocking to these
sites to stay in touch with friends,
express their opinions online and build
their own virtual world. While they
may set up accounts on PCs, they are
also accessing them on their mobile
phones, with the proportion of social
networking site visits via mobile devices
reaching 13 percent
4
.
In addition, knockoff cell phones
which mimic mainstream brands with
very low price points and improvements
in appearance and functions have
become a hit and are a strong force
which cannot be ignored in the Chinese
mobile phone market. The counterfeit
cell phone is not just a product, but
a unique business segment in China.
The counterfeit cell phone sector has
also undergone a transformation,
from producing phones that copy
(and infringe) the designs of the
larger manufacturers, to producing
phones that look nice, have powerful
features as well as a low price. These
devices will also play an increasingly
important role in the continued growth
of mobile Internet in China as they
make it available to people who might
otherwise not have been able to afford
mobile Internet service.
4
source: China Telecom Guangzhou Research Institute Survey in Aug. 2010
Mobile Media Usage In The Past 30 Days Q1, 2010
Text messaging/SMS
Picture messinging/MMS
Mobile internet
Email
Pre-installed games
Text alerts
Ringtone downloads
Application (App) downloads
Picture downloads
Instant messaging
Location-based Services
64%
37%
22%
27%
38%
25%
8%
21%
40%
19%
16%
27%
18%
20%
17%
13%
16%
23%
14%
4%
86%
U.S.
China
Source: The Nielsen Company
117
China is a diverse and rapidly changing
market, and the country now boasts
the worlds largest mobile population
despite having a relatively low mobile
penetration. The increased adoption
of mobile Internet capable devices,
the proliferation of competitive data
price plans, an increased focus by
many industries on deriving efficiency
through mobile Enterprise Information
Services and the astounding technology
advances happening in China mean
that China is likely to continue driving
adoption and innovation in the mobile
Internet for many years to come.
Looking Forward:
Sales of smartphones and smart-
like phones will increase as 3G gains
popularity.
E-readers will continue to show
strong growth, while tablets will
take longer to gain favor due to
their high prices.
118
119
5
lnLerneL and Mobile LaLa Users in China
lnLerneL users lnLerneL/mobile daLa users (|n t|oasanJs) Mobile inLerneL users
Mobile daLa users as percenL o lnLerneL users
20
80
40
60
2006 1H 2006 2H 200/ 1H 2008 1H 2009 1H 2010 1H 200/ 2H 2008 2H 2009 2H 2010 2H
2006 1H 2006 2H 200/ 1H 2008 1H 2009 1H 2010 1H 200/ 2H 2008 2H 2009 2H 2010 2H
98
8
8
I
I
I I
8
II
Source: CNNIC Internet Report, 2006- 2010
PART 3:
How To Win In China
122
123
3.1 The Next Great Frontier:
Chinas Lower Tier Cities
124
Demand Strategy
Nielsens Demand Strategy helps you to identify your
customers' unsatised demand and meet that demand
by delivering the Right Products to the Right Place,
at the Right Price, and at the Right Time.
125
When people think about Chinas rise
as a global economic powerhouse,
they often visualize the stunning
development underway in cities such
as Shanghai, Beijing and Guangzhou.
The prosperous residents of these
cosmopolitan cities are an important
target audience for advertisers. But
the bigger story is how development
has spread beyond these cities and
throughout China, with a large and
growing middle class that has the ability
(and just as importantly, the desire)
to spend. Residents of lower tier cities
and even those living in rural areas
now have greater buying power thanks
to economic growth and improving
wages, and present an enormous
opportunity for manufacturers who
know how to connect with them.
Growing Affluence Fuels
Demand
As referenced earlier in this publication,
Chinese consumer confidence took
off during the first half of 2010,
but declined in the second half.
Nonetheless, China continued to rank
as one of the most optimistic of the
53 countries The Nielsen Company
monitors on a quarterly basis. The
declines in the second half of the year
would have been greater, however, were
it not for growing levels of confidence
3.1
The Next Great Frontier: Chinas Lower Tier
Cities
among consumers in Tier 3 and 4 cities.
Those living in the Central and Western
regions of the country were increasingly
confident despite inflationary pressures.
While these regions are less affluent
than the more densely populated East,
they have been the focus of significant
government attention and investment
for much of the past decade.
As a result, these regions are catching
up in terms of income levels and
consumers living in these cities are
noticing the improvement. Research
conducted by the Chinese government
and Nielsen indicates that once
household income in urban areas
reach the Rmb6,000 level (Rmb7,500
at 2010s currency), consumption of
durable goods such as refrigerators, air
conditioners and mobile phones rise
significantly. For urban areas in the
whole of the country, that level was
reached in 1999, and sales of durables
exploded:
126
Explosive Growth In Urban Demand When Per Capita Annual
Income Reaches RMB 6,000
Tier 5
169 million
Households
161 million Tier 3 and 4 households are the next frontier
Tier 4
Tier 3
75 million
Tier 4
86 million
Households
Tier 1
16 million
Households
Households
Tier 2
38 million
Households
2 trillion
Income
V l
3 trillion
Income
V l
3 trillion
Income
V l
4 trillion
Income
V l
1 trillion
Income
V l Value Value Value Value Value
The Size Of The Prize
Source: GDR, ACMR, Nielsen Research
Refrigerator
Color Television Set
Computer
Air Conditioner
Ownership of major durable consumer goods per 100 urban households in year end
1999 Urban household
income appliance
consumption exploded
when incomes reached
RMB 6000
RMB 7506 in
today's prices
Source: China Statistical Yearbook, CICC Research, Nielsen Research
127
Tier 3 and 4 cities have already crossed
this milestone and offer a ready market
for modern trade and products. But
before retailers and manufacturers
enter these new markets, two critical
questions must be answered: a) What is
the actual potential of this demographic?
And b) How do marketers reach these
consumers?
Sizing And Seizing The
Opportunity
Residents of Tier 1 and 2 cities account
for 54 million households and an
estimated Rmb 2 trillion in income.
By comparison, Tier 3 and 4 cities
are estimated to number 160 million
households almost triple the number
of Tier 1 and 2 and another Rmb 1
trillion in income. While residents
of Tier 3 and 4 cities may not be as
affluent as their neighbors in Tier 1 and
2 cities, that is quickly changing. Income
levels are rising, and a vast middle class
is emerging throughout China, with
those living outside of the key cities
having unmet needs.
25,088
17,333
11,782
8,416
5,714
RMB 7506
RMB 1196
Fridge
Color TV
Computer
Air conditioners
Food
Basic Needs
Estimated Annual Income Per Capita- 2009
Tiers 3 And 4 Have Crossed The Threshold, Offering A Ready Market
For Modern Goods And Services
Source: GDR, ACMR, Nielsen Research
128
While lower tier cities comprise 87
percent of Chinas population, they
account for 64 percent of retail sales
(in the Modern trade), suggesting that
retailers with the capacity to expand
have an eager market awaiting their
stores.
The question for retailers,
manufacturers and service providers
is how to quantify this opportunity.
Nielsen uses a very simple equation:
% stating goals estimated number of
households = opportunity size
First, Nielsen surveyed people across
the country to determine their spending
priorities. In Tier 3 and 4 cities,
residents indicated a strong desire to
invest in the future and improve their
present quality of life.
As such, interest in savings products
and childrens education represent
tremendous sectors for growth.
In terms of improving present quality of
life, respondents indicated a desire to buy
new clothes, upgrade the brands of foods
they purchase and take tours. Longer
term, they hope to improve quality of life
by buying a new home or car.
Unmet NeedsLower Tiers Account For 87% Of Population But
64% Retail Sales
87%
64%
13%
36%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Population Share Retail Sales Share
Upper Tier
Lower Tier
City Tier Importance- 2009 (Nielsen Universe)
Source: Nielsen Linx Retail Universe Master- 2009
129
Financial Products And Commercial Education Could Offer The
Highest Potential Given Their Strong Commitment To Savings And
Education
89 mn
147 mn
129 mn
118 mn
8
108 mn
Million Households
(Tiers 3 and 4)
Source: Nielsen Linx Retail Universe Master- 2009
What Are Your Lifetimes Goals and Priorities?
Lower Tier
Upper Tier
Savings
Lifestyle
Improve my standard of living
Build up my savings
Education
Children's education
Income Growth
Improve my educational skills
Increase income through investments
in stocks/funds
Health
in stocks/funds
Invest in health products and services
35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95%
Pay off debts/loans
Source: Nielsen Consumer Survey-2010
Improving The Present And Investing In The Future
130
Fashion, FMCG And Vacations Will Be The 3 Immediate Lifestyle
Drivers. Buying A Car In The Next 3 Years Tops The High Spend List
Opportunity Sizing (% Stating Goals x Estimated no of Households )
Fashion FMCG Leisure
Home Improvement
Cars Homes Jewelry Consumer Durables
147 mn
Apparels
85 mn
82 mn
Cars
New Homes
129 mn
FMCG
Vacation Packages
82 mn
77 mn
New Homes
Jewelry
105 mn
108 mn
Restaurants
Vacation Packages
66 mn
60-70 mn
Brown and White Goods
Computers
mn
61mn
Toys
89 mn 89
Mobile Phones
82 mn Home Improvement
61mn
Toys
Source: Nielsen Consumer Survey-2010
Lifestyle Drivers: Short Term Indulgence, Try New Things, Upgrade
The next 12 months
How Do You Plan to Improve Living Standards?
Buy New clothes
Try Good quality food brands Try Good quality food brands
Tours/vacations
Dining out/entertainment Dining out/entertainment
Upgrade household care products
Lower Tier
Mobile phone
Try Good quality personal care
products
Upper Tier
Home improvements
Source: Nielsen Consumer Survey-2010
131
Implications: A Vast And Varied Demand Potential Waits To Be
Tapped
Straddling The Income Pyramid Is One Strategy To Follow
Source: GDR, ACMR, Nielsen Research- 2010
22 mn HH
Affluent
109 mn HH
Rising Middle Class
30 mn HH
Bottom of The Pyramid
Using our equation for sizing the
opportunities, fashion, fast-moving
consumer goods (FMCG) and dining
represent the top categories for strong
growth, while cars, new homes and
jewelry topped the list of high-spend
categories.
How to Win these Consumers
Beyond knowing Tier 3 and 4 consumer
priorities, retailers, manufacturers and
service providers need to understand
how to reach these potential buyers
if they want to capitalize on this
vast potential market. Based on our
research, there are five key themes to
reflect upon:
1. Communication around social themes
such as family and maintaining face
will have a strong appeal
2. Local and multinational brands are on
a level playing field
3. TV and word-of-mouth remain the
most important influencers
4. Straddling the income pyramid is one
way to build brand loyalty
5. Optimize modern trade hubs as a
go-to-market strategy for FMCG
While consumers in Tier 3 and 4 cities
value financial success, they seek
greater balance between work and
family life. They are less independent
132
than Tier 1 consumers and seek social
acceptance, and a social context is
important to them in journey toward
success. Marketers must incorporate
these themes in advertisements.
Further, the size the of the brand
matters more than whether it is
local or foreign: bigger is better, and
a strong advertising presence on TV,
in particular, reassures these less-
confident consumers.
Winning Tips For Lower Tiers
Lacking confidence in making the
purchase, low-tier consumers care
more about social acceptance thus
prefer big brand
TV and Word Of Mouth are still
important now but start investing in
digital media
Having strong aspiration of improving
their life, whenever they can step up
their consumption, they will
Modern Trade enjoys high
productivity but develop in cluster
Upper and Lower Tiers priority needs
are not that different. The difference
lies in exposure to products and
services