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Stat 7 (Baldi) Spring 2011 Midterm 2 version A Problem 1 (4 points: 2, 2) When 190 students were asked to pick a number

er from 1 to 10, the numbers of students selecting each number were as follows: Number (X) Frequency 1 2 2 9 3 22 4 21 5 18 6 23 7 56 8 19 9 14 10 6 Total 190

(a) What is the probability that someone asked to pick a number from 1 to 10 will pick number 3? Give both the proper probability notation [like P()] and the numerical value for your answer. P(X=3) = 22/190 = 0.116 (b) What is the probability that someone asked to pick a number from 1 to 10 will pick one of the two extremes, 1 or 10? Give both the proper probability notation [like P()] and the numerical value for your answer. P(X=1 or X=10) = 2/190 + 6/190 = 0.042 Problem 2 (8 points: 3, 3, 2) The values of homes in a particular county are known to be right-skewed, with mean $140,000 and standard deviation $60,000. (a) You plan to take a random sample of 15 homes for a survey of owner equity. What would be the properties of the sampling distribution of the mean home value for samples of 15 homes? - shape: still right-skewed - mean: $140,000 -standard deviation: 60,000 / 15 = $15,491.9 (b) Your research adviser suggests that you to collect data from a larger random sample of 40 homes. What would be the properties of the sampling distribution of the mean home value for samples of 40 homes? - shape: should be approximately normal (central limit theorem) - mean: $140,000 -standard deviation: 60,000 / 40 = $9,486.8 (c) What is the probability that your random sample of 40 homes would have a mean home value greater than $150,000? Show what you typed in your calculator to obtain your answer. P(xbar > $150,00) = normalcdf(150000, 1E99, 140000, 9486.8) = 0.1459 Problem 3 (5 points: 2, 1, 2) According to government data, 22% of American children under the age of 6 live in households with income less than the official poverty level. A study of learning in early childhood chooses an SRS of 100 children.
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(a) Give the numerical values of the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution for the proportion p of children living below the poverty level. - mean: 0.22 (22%) -standard deviation: sqrt [0.22*0.78/100] = 0.0414 [[[ if you didnt correct the typo and used n = 300, then standard deviation = 0.0239]]] (b) Explain briefly why the sampling distribution of p is approximately normal in this setting. Because np=22 and n(1-p)=78, and both are clearly greater than 10. (c) What is the probability that more than 20% of the sample of 100 children live below the poverty level? Show what you typed in your calculator to obtain your answer. P(p_hat > 0.20) = normalcdf(0.20, 1E99, 0.22, 0.0414) 0.686 Problem 4 (1 point) A 95% confidence interval is given as (12.5, 14.7). This interval captures with 95% confidence the value of A. B. C. D. E. the sample statistic. 95% of all sample statistics. 95% of all individual values. the margin of error. the population parameter.
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Problem 5 (7 points: 3, 2, 2) The distribution of the actual weighs, X, of 8-ounce chocolate bars produced by a certain machine is normal with mean 8.1 ounces and standard deviation 0.1 ounces. (a) Draw the distribution of actual weighs, X, in the space below. Make sure to label the axis and place and on the graph.

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(b) What is the probability that a randomly selected chocolate bar produced by this machine would weigh less than 8 ounces? Show what you typed in your calculator to obtain your answer. P(X < 8.0) = normalcdf(-1E99, 8.0, 8.1, 0.1) = 0.1587 (c) How much do the heaviest 10% of all chocolate bars produced by this machine weigh? Show what you typed in your calculator to obtain your answer. We want x such that P(X > x) = 0.1, or P(X < x) = 1 0.1 = 0.9 x = invnorm(0,9, 8.1, 0.1) = 8.23 oz Problem 6 (4 points: 1, 1, 1,1) The results of a large survey of car accidents can be summarized as follows: For every 100 persons involved in a car accident, 77 wore a seat belt and 23 did not. Of the 77 wearing a seat belt, 6 are injured in the accident and 71 are not injured. Of the 23 not wearing a seat belt, 9 are injured in the accident and 14 are not injured.

(a) Give the probability that a random person involved in a car accident was wearing a seat belt. P(seat belt) = 77/100 = 0.77 (77%) (b) Give the probability that a random person involved in a car accident is injured in the accident. P(injured) = (6 + 9)/100 = 0.15 (15%) (c) What percent of the persons wearing a seat belt get injured? P(injured among those wearing a seat belt) = 6/77 = 0.078 (7.8%) (d) What percent of the persons not wearing a seat belt get injured? P(injured among those not wearing a seat belt) = 9/23 = 0.391 (39.1%) Problem 7 (1 point) If X is a continuous uniform random variable from 0 to 1, then the value of P(X = 0.5) is A. B. C. D. E. 0. 1. 0.5. 0.1. roughly 0.001.

End of exam

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