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Asia-Pacific Dialogue on Clean Energy Governance and Regulation (20-21 June); ASEAN Energy Regulators' Network Meeting (22 June) 20 Jun 2011 - 22 Jun 2011.
Pallapa Ruangrong ,Ph.D. Thailand Energy Regulatory Commissioner June 20, 2011 pallapa@erc.or.th / pruangrong@gmail.com
Content
About Thailand 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Electricity Demand Power Development Plan Install Capacity and Energy Generation Renewable Energy Promotion Renewable Energy Target Fuel Adjustment and Renewable Energy Adder Power Development Fund & Renewable Energy Promotion Future Renewable Energy Promotion
About Thailand
Population
67 Million 18 Million
Customers
Residential 16 Million 33,217 Gwh Commercial /Industrial 1.6 Million 114,069 Gwh Free of Charge 2,033 Gwh 149,319 Gwh
Rural Electrification
Year 2007-2010
2010 : 24,009.90 MW (May10th , 2 pm)
+8.40%
+15.28%
2010
+10.65% +3.59%
21,000 +12.72%
+2.86% -1.18% -1.13% -0.16% -2.49%
2009
2007
2009 : 22,044.90 MW (April 24, 2 pm) 2008 : 22,018.00 MW (April 21, 2.30 pm) 2007 : 22,009.20 MW (April 24, 2.30 pm)
-7.96%
2008 -11.90%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
4
% = % Growth (MoM)
Large Hydro, 3.3% Diesel, 0.03% Fuel Oil, 0.3% Imported Coal, 7.2% Lignite, 11.0%
Power Development Plan (PDP Total Energy Generation 2010) in 2020-2030 Share of Power Generation by Fuel Type By Fuel Type
Yr 2020
Malaysia, 0.27%
Yr 2030
Imported power (Hydro)
Imported power (Hydro)
Renewable Energy, 5.70% Nuclear, 10.98% Imported power (Hydro), 20.34%
Malaysia, 0.4% Renewable Energy, 6.2% Imported Coal, 11.9% Lignite, 7.3% Diesel, 0.01% Fuel oil, 0.0% Natural Gas & LNG, 53.8% Nuclear, 3.2% Imported power (Hydro), 17.2%
Natural Gas & LNG Fuel oil Diesel Lignite Imported Coal Renewable Energy Malaysia Nuclear
Imported Coal, 21.09% Natural Gas & LNG, 39.16% Lignite, 2.45% Diesel, 0.01% Fuel oil, 0.00%
Malaysia Nuclear
Installed Capacity: 44,842 MW Energy Generation: 236,956 GWh RE: 14,000 Gwh
Installed Capacity: 65,547 MW Energy Generation: 347,948 GWh RE: 20,000 Gwh
6 6
Renewable Energy Promotion Plan 2008 2022 (15 Yrs): (Ministry of Energy)
2012 - 2016
2017 - 2022
EGAT Trans
Transmission line Transmission Development Plan
MEA PEA
Distribution & Retail Distribution Development Plan * Service fee not included
1
Base Tariff
(2.2462 Baht/kwh) (7.46 UScent/kwh)
1 USD: 30 baht
2
Fuel Adjustment Charge (Ft)
(0.9581 Baht/kwh) (3.18 UScent/kwh)
1 2
VAT 7%
TOTAL*
(3.4286 Baht/kwh) (11.39 UScent/kwh)
4
(0.2243 Baht/kwh) (0.745 UScent/kwh) Power purchasing Cost IPPs SPPs VSPP Int
3
PTT
Gas Pipeline Gas Pipeline Development Plan
Fuel Cost
Adder
(27%)
(72%)
(1%)
0.30
1.00 1.00
1.00
7 7
non3. Waste (MSW and non-toxic industrial waste) - Fertilizer/Landfill 4. Wind - Thermal Process
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.50 2.50
3.50 4.50
2.50
1.00 1.50
1.00
1.00 1.50
1.00
3.50
3.50 0.80
1.50
1.50
10
10 7
0.80
1.50 6.50
10
*The Cabinets resolution on Mar 24, 2009 **The Cabinets resolution on July 20, 2009: Apply to the projects that havent been accepted by the Power Utilities.
25 Yrs
5 Yrs (Automatic
renewal)
sell to
Non-Firm
EGAT
10 MW < 90
Contract
VSPP
sell to
Non-Firm
MEA/PEA
MW < 10
Monitored by ERC
Proposal Investors
Condition under Power purchase regulation
EGAT/MEA/PEA
Selection
SPP/VSPP
0.06
0.80 1.50
166
83 83
0.0041
0.0014 0.0027
282
141 141
0.0052
0.0018 0.0034
324
162 162
0.0045
0.0016 0.0029
0.08
115
23 92
0.0034
0.0008 0.0026 0.0032
375
75 300 95
0.0112
0.0020 0.0063 0.0042
800
160 640 500
0.0239
0.0033 0.0102 0.0166
1.78
55
Total
3,273
0.0696
4,191
0.0721
0.0830 0.0830
12
Total proposal
Total
913
13
As of Mar 2011
14
RE SPP: 1997
RE SPP: 2007
400
CP0 [0.80 (FXt /38) + 0.20]
374
CP0 [0.70 (FXt /27) + 0.30]
624.34
CP0 [0.50 (FXt /37) + 0.50]
420
CP0 [0.50 (FXt /34) + 0.50]
CP
CPt
Bt/kW
EP0
bt/kWh
1.49
[1/106] x [Pt P0] x Heat Rate
0.71
[1/39,400 x [Pt P0] x Heat Rate]
0.88
[26.5877/106] x [(PtCOAL x FXt) P0COAL] x Heat Rate FOB coal price in each month FOB coal price (ABARE & BJ:JPU) in Dec 2006 as the based fuel price= 1,930.475
1.85
[1/106] x [Pt P0] x Heat Rate Natural gas price in each month Natural gas price in Feb 2010 as the based fuel price = = 232.6116
EP
ESt
Bt/kWh
HR
FS
REP
Adder Total
2.84
Less than ~ 2 baht
4.83
3.01
15
VSPP
Renewable energy Firm Contract (Conventional)
CP + EP + FS + REP + Adder EP
Cogen
Renewable energy
Ws + Ft +Adder
CP=Capacity Payment EP=Energy Payment ; EP = WS (whole sale price) +Ft (Fuel Adjustment charge) FS=Fuel Saving; Max. 0.36 Baht/kWh up to %Primary Energy Saving (PES) REP=Renewable Energy Promotion; 0.39 Baht/kWh
FS=0.36 X %PES/10 16
T R U S T
Energy Regulatory Commission
19th Fl. Chamchuri Sq. Bldg. 319 Phayathai Rd., Pathumwan Bangkok, Thailand 10330
www.erc.or.th
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