Professional Documents
Culture Documents
CASE STUDY
The
SERBIA NETHERLANDS
STRASBURG
The Netherlands is blocking EU visa free regime for Serbia
and defrosting the implementation of EU SAA (Stabilization
and Association Agreement) with Serbia because of its own
trauma and trauma of Dutch UN battalion based in
Srebrenica 14 years ago
DutchNews.nl - June 16, 2009: Dutch European affairs
minister Frans Timmermans told the paper he saw
absolutely no reason to change the Netherlands' position.
―Serbia holds the key to solving this,‖ he told the paper. ―It is
not a question of taking hostages, but a country which is not
keeping to agreements,‖ he said.;
http://www.dutchnews.nl/news/archives/2009/01/holland_un
der_pressure_over_se.php
Trauma of Dutch UN battalion based in Srebrenica 14 years ago
Former Dutch peacekeeper Rob Zomer on June 17, 2009: "In the
Netherlands, the media was constantly reproaching us for letting
Serbs massacre Muslims.―; http://www.expatica.com/nl/life-in-
netherlands/news_focus/_Haunted_-ex_peacekeeper-moves-to-
Srebrenica_14195.html
Trauma of the Netherlands
In 2002, the Dutch government resigned over an official report that
stated its peacekeepers had been sent on an "impossible" mission.
In 2008, a Dutch court dismissed a bid by survivors to hold the
Netherlands responsible for its troops' failure to protect their families,
saying the "actions must be attributed exclusively to the UN".
Recommendation:
Creating positive image of Serbia = National priority
EU states
Out of EU region
Candidate states
II Complexity of Environment
A) Industry structure 4
Few, easily identifiable competitors 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Many competitors from unexpected sources
B) Channel structure 6
Simple and direct 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Long and complex
C) Market structure 4
Fixed boundaries and simple segmentation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Fuzzy boundaries and complex segmentation
D) Enabling technologies 3
Few and mature (simple systems) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Many converging (complex systems)
E ) Regulations 6
Few or stable 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Many or changing rapidly
F ) Public visibility of industry 2
Largely ignored 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Closely watched by media or special interest groups
G) Dependence on government funding and political access 6
Low: largely independent of government 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 High: sensitive to politics and the funding climate
H) Dependence on global economy 6
Low: Affected principally by domestic conditions 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 High: affected by global conditions
Total = 37
Appendices:
BUSINESS CASE SERBIA - Peripheral Vision Scoring
Needs for peripheral vision
IV Leadership Orientation
A) Importance of the periphery in the leader’s agenda 3
Low priority 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 High priority
B) Time horizon overall 2
Emphasis on short term (two years or less) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Emphasis on long term (more than five years)
C) Organization’s attitude toward periphery 3
Limited and myopic: few people care 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Active and curious: systematic monitoring of periphery
D) Willingness to test and challenge basic assumption’s 2
Mostly defensive 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Very willing to test critical premises or widely held views
Total = 10
Total = 10
Appendices:
BUSINESS CASE SERBIA - Peripheral Vision Scoring
VI Strategy Making
A) Experience with uncertainty–reducing strategies 2 Capability for peripheral vision
Limited 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Extensive
B) Use of scenario thinking to guide strategy process 3
Never 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Frequent
C) Number of alliance partners 2
Few 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Many
D) Flexibility of strategy process 3
Rigid, calendar driven 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Flexible, issues oriented
E) Resources devoted to scanning the periphery 3
Negligible 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Extensive
F) Integration of customer and competitor into future technology platforms and new product development plans 2
Poorly and sporadically Integrated 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Systematically and fully integrated
Total = 15
VII Organizational Configuration (Structure and Incentives)
A) Accountability for sensing and acting on week signals 3
No one is responsible 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Responsibility is clearly assigned to project team or dedicated group
B) Early warning systems and procedures 2
None 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Extensive and effective
C) Incentives to encourage and reward wider vision 2
None 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Recognition from senior management and direct rewards
Total = 7
VIII Culture (Values, Beliefs, and Behaviors)
A) Readiness to listen to reports from scouts on the periphery 3
Closed: listening discouraged 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Open: listening encouraged
B) Willingness of customer-contact people to forward market information 3
Poor 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Excellent
C) Sharing of information about the periphery across functions 3
Poor: information ignored or hoarded 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Excellent: ongoing information sharing at multiple levels
Total = 9
Appendices:
BUSINESS CASE SERBIA - Peripheral Vision Scoring
I 14
II 37
III 51
Total = 102
IV 10
V 10
VI 15
VII 7
VIII 9
Total = 51
Appendices:
BUSINESS CASE SERBIA - Peripheral Vision Scoring
NEEDS IT SHOULD BE MUCH BETTER
140
120
100 vulnerable
80 vigilant
60 focused neurotic
40
20
0
0 40 60 80 100 120
140 VISION
Note: Final scoring represents the average scoring value done by Case Study Team.
Appendices: Key dates in Serbia's path towards the EU
► 15 June 2009 - “The Council of the EU encourages the European Commission
to present as soon as possible a legislative proposal amending Regulation
539/2001, as it applies to the Member States, in order to achieve a visa free
regime ideally by the end of 2009 with those countries that will have met all the
benchmarks.”; 2951st EXTERAL RELATIOS Council meeting Luxembourg
► 4 June 2009 - International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY)
Chief Prosecutor Serge Brammertz Address Before The UN Security Council :
“Serbia had made additional progress in its cooperation with the Office of the
Prosecutor, as the large majority of requests for assistance, including requests
for access to documents and archives, had been complied with.”
► 7 July 2008 - European integration set as a key priority by Serbian Government
► 7 May 2008 - Commission delivered the Road map on Visa liberalization
► 29 April 2008 - Serbia and the EU signed The Stabilization and Association
Agreement (SAA) and Interim Agreement on Trade and Trade-related issues
► 18 February 2008 - Council adopts the revised European partnership for Serbia
► 1 January 2008 – Effective Visa Facilitation and Readmission Agreement
► 7 November 2007 - Initiated SAA with Serbia
► October 2005, Launched negotiation on Stabilization and Association
Agreement
► October 2004 - Council started process for Stabilization and Association
Agreement
► June 2003 – at Thessalonica European Council, the Stabilization and
Association Process (SAP) is confirmed as the EU policy for the Western Balkans
► 1999 - The EU proposes the new Stabilization and Association Process (SAP) for
five countries of South-Eastern Europe, including Serbia
World Bank – Serbia Country Brief 2009,
http://www.worldbank.org.yu/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/COUNTRIES/ECAE
XT/SERBIAEXTN/0,,contentMDK:20630647~menuPK:300911~pagePK:
141137~piPK:141127~theSitePK:300904,00.html
SEE Business - Doing Business in South East Europe Markets,
http://www.see-business.biz/
Serbia Business – Country Business Gateway, http://www.serbia-
business.com/
World Bank Report No. 41310 – YF; International Bank for Reconstruction and
development, International Finance Corporation, and Multilateral Investment
Guarantee Agency; Country Partnership Strategy for the Republic of Serbia for
the Period FYO8-FYll; November 13,2007,
http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTSERBIA/Resources/CPSnov2007
.pdf
Professor Danuta Hübner, EU Commissioner for Regional Policy;
"Serbia's contribution to a prosperous Europe―; University of
Kragujevac, 23 April 2008,
http://ec.europa.eu/commission_barroso/hubner/speeches/pdf/2008/042
008_serbia.pdf