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Defined Conditions for Impact Scales of a Risk on Gauchito Project Tasks

Project
Very Low / .05 Low / .10 Moderate / .20
Objective

Insignificant cost
Cost ( C ) < 10% cost increase 10-20% cost increase
increase

Insignificant time
Time ( T ) < 5% time increase 5-10% time increase
increase

Quality reduction
Quality degradation Only very demanding requires sponsor
Quality ( Q ) barely noticeable applications are affected approval

Task of Risk Very Low / .05 Low / .10 Moderate / .20

Glue

Parachute
fails to open

Improper
Sanding C= .05 Q= .10 T= .20
Improper
Decal C= .10 T= .20, Q= .20
placement

Delayed
delivery of
T= .20, Q= .20
materials and
equipment

Key
personnel C= .05 Q= .10 T= .20
unavailable

Propellent
C= .05 T= .10, Q= .10
fails to light
Materials
C= .05 Q= .10 T= .20
shortages

Damage to
original parts
Q= .05 T= .10
provided in
kit

Weather T= .10, Q= .10

Probability and Impact

0.90 0.05 0.09 0.18

0.70 0.04 0.07 0.14

0.50 0.03 0.05 0.10

0.06
Task 3 (0.11)
0.30 0.02 0.03 Task 7
(0.05)
Task 8 (0.04)

0.01 0.01
0.10 0.02
Task 10 (0.001) Task 9 (0.02)

0.05 0.10 0.20


f a Risk on Gauchito Project Tasks

High / .40 Very High / .80

20-40% cost increase > 40% cost increase

10-20% time increase > 20% time increase

Quality reduction Project end item is


unacceptable to sponsor effectively useless

High / .40 Very High / .80 Priority Type of Action/or Cause of Risk

T= .80 1 Bad Glue, replace glue

Check packing of
C= .80, T= .80, Q= .80 2
parachute

Have QA check progress


3
before task is advanced

Keep Decals with


individual steps to
4
alleviate risk of following
steps out of order

Make delivery a
5 requirement in supplier
contract

Insure contractors are


6
available if necessary

Replace engine if fails (4


7
in pack so no extra cost)
Contract with current
supplier, and Idnetify
8
alternate suppliers if
needed

Insurance and Liability


9
Waiver

Change schedule if
10
necessary

Probability and Impact Matrix

0.36 0.72 0.72 0.36

0.28 0.56 0.56 0.28

0.40
0.20 0.40 0.20
Task 1 (0.40)

0.12 0.24 0.24 0.12


Task 4 (0.10) Task 2 (0.12)

0.04
Task 5 (0.08) 0.08 0.08 0.04
Task 6 (0.07)

0.40 0.80 0.80 0.40


r Cause of Risk
0.18 0.09 0.05 Task Lists

0.14 0.07 0.04 1. Bad Glue

2. Possible packing of
0.10 0.05 0.03
parachute too tight

3. Uneven sanding
0.06 0.03 0.02 causes improper paint
adherence

4. Decal could have been


0.02 0.01 0.01
applied to wrong step

5. Make delivery a
0.20 0.10 0.05 requirement in supplier
contract

6. Insure contractors are


available if necessary
7. Contacts may not be
in engine far enough.
Engines come in 4 pack

8. Contract with current


supplier, and Idnetify
alternate suppliers if
needed

9. Insurance and Liability


Waiver

10. Change Schedule if


necessary

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