Generating Capacity

Type of Generation Installed Capacity De-rated/Dependable Availability(MW)

(MW) Capacity(MW) Summe Winter
r
WAPDA Hydro 6,444 6,444 6,250 2,300*
GENCOs 4,840 3,580 2,780 3,150**
IPPs(Incl Nuclear) 6,227 5,599 4,983 5,263**
Rental 285 264 250 250**
Total 17,796 15,887 14,263 10,963

* Hydro availability based on last 5 years average.

** Excludes 12 %(as per actual 2007-08) Forced Outages for GENCOs and 6%(contractual)
for IPPs & rental. Rental subject to availability of gas.

GENERATION MIX OF PAKISTAN

Nuclear
2.5%

Hydel
Gas 32.5%
36.4%

Oil
28.5%

Coal
0.1%

Historical Demand
2002-2008
Year WAPDA KESC Country
Demand Growth Deman Growth Deman Growth
MW Rate d MW Rate d MW Rate
2001-02 10,109 4.02% 1,885 1.34% 11,875 3.59%
2002-03 10,481 3.68% 1,973 4.67% 12,230 3.11%
2003-04 11,078 5.70% 2,073 5.07% 13,021 6.35%
2004-05 12,035 8.64% 2,197 5.98% 14,091 8.22%
2005-06 13,212 9.78% 2,223 1.18% 15,282 8.45%
2006-07 15,138 14.58% 2,349 5.67% 17,314 13.33%
2007-08 16,838 11.23% 2,443 4.00% 19,090 10.26%
 POWER SUPPLY AND DEMAND POSITION IN PAKISTAN

Pakistan Energy Mix Current & Future potential

Megawatt

Year Nuclear Hydel Coal Renewable Oil Gas Total

Existing 400 6460 160 180 6400 5940 19540
(2005)
Additional 8400 26200 19750 9520 1360 77820 143050
2010-2030
Total 8800 32660 19910 9700 7760 83760 162590

Demand Forecast (2008-15)

Fiscal Year Load Forecast based on Revised Forecast Year 2007-08&

Regression Analysis developed applying Growth Rates of Regression
April-2008 based Load Forecast
Deman G.R Demand MW
d
2006-07 15,138*
2007-08 16,484 8.9% 16,838*
2008-09 17,868 8.4% 18,251
2009-10 19,352 8.3% 19,768
A.C.G.R(2006- 8.5%
2010)
2010-2011 20,874 7.9% 21,322
2011-12 22,460 7.6% 22,942
2012-13 24,126 7.4% 24,643
2013-14 25,919 7.4% 26,475
2014-15 28,029 8.1% 28,630
 A.C.G.R(2010- 7.7%
2015)

* Base Year Actual figure without export to KESC

Month-Wise Demand & Supply Position (MW)

2007-08 & 2008-09

Month Computed Peak Corresponding Surplus/deficit

Demand* Supply
Sep-07 16,056 13,644 -2,412
Oct-07 13,737 14,092 355
Nov-07 12,401 11,590 -811
Dec-07 12,154 9,679 -2,475
Jan-08 12,255 9,104 -3,151
Feb-08 12,123 10,122 -2,001
Mar-08 13,682 9,845 -3,387
Apr-08 15,124 11,568 -3,556
May-08 16,649 11,195 -5,454
Jun-08 17,398 12,442 -4,956
Jul-08 17,715 12,822 -4,893
Aug-08 17,272 12,751 -4,521
Sep-08 17,852 13,637 -4,215

* Figures include load shedding & export to KESC

Existing Generation Capacity

Type of Generation Dependable Availability on 22 Oct (MW)

Capacity This year2008 Last year 2007 Differenc
(MW) e
WAPDA Hydro 6,444 2,026* 5,018 -2,992
GENCOs 3,580 1,585** 2,687 -1,102
IPPs(Incl Nuclear) 5,653 3,449+ 3,740 -291
Rental 264 52 135 -83
Total generation 15,941 7,112*** 11,580 -4,468
Computed Demand 14,130 13,143 987

* Reduced generation due to loess releases from two reservoirs, 38,000 Cusecs compared with 64,000
cusecs last years and lower head.
** Reduced generation due to Fuel (Oil & Gas) shortage and forced outages.
+ Reduced generation due to scheduled (1165MW) and forced (750MW) outages.
*** Includes 660MW export to KESC (max 830MW on this day) against 630MW last year.

Power Generation Additions

During Jan 2009-Dec2012

Period WAPDA PEPCO/GENCOs IPPs/Rentals Total

Hydro (MW) (MW) MW

Jan 2009-Dec 2009 72 - 3,181 3,253

 Jan 2010- Dec 2010 347 425 2,427 3,199
Jan 2011- Dec 2011 83 1275 1,268 2,951
375*
Jan 2012- Dec 2012 - - 100 100
Total 502 2,025 6,976 9,503

* Nuclear
Power Generation Additions Rental Plants
Name of Project Fuel Capacity Expected
(MW) COD

Rental Power Plant, Faisalabad Oil 150 Mar 2009

Rental Power Plant, Guddu Gas 110 Mar 2009
Rental Power Plant, Sahuwala, Oil 150 Mar 2009
Sialkot
Rental Power Plant, Multan Oil 192 Apr 2009
Rental Power Plant, Satiana Road, Oil 200 May 2009
Faisalabad
Rental Power Plant, Sheikh Manda, Oil 200 Jun 2009
Quetta
Total 1,002

Power Generation Additions WAPDA Hydro Projects

Name of Project Fuel Capacity Expected
(MW) COD

Khan Khwar Hydro 72 Sep 2009

Jinnah Hydro Hydro 96 Feb 2010
Allai Khwar Hydro 121 Sep 2010
Duber Khwar Hydro 130 Oct 2010
Kurram Tangi Hydro 83 Sep 2011
Total 502

Power Generation Additions IPP Projects

Name of Project Fuel Capacity Expected
(MW) COD

Attock Power Project Oil 165 Jan,2009

Atlas Shirazi Project Oil 225 Mar,2009
Orient Thermal C.C (Balloki) Dual 225 Apr,2009
Muridke Power Project Dual 225 Jul,2009
Fauji Mari Power Project Gas 202 Sep,2009
Engro Power Project Gas 227 Dec,2009
Sahiwal Power Project Gas 225 Feb,2010
HUBCO Narowal Oil 225 Mar,2010
Associated Technical Project Oil 200 Jun,2010
Nishat Chunian Project Oil 200 Dec,2010
Japan Expansion Project Oil 101 Dec,2010
Green Power Project Gas 205 Dec,2010
Bhikki Power Project Dual 225 Dec,2010
Liberty Power Oil 200 Dec,2010
PIE AmPower Project Oil 390 Dec,2010
Star Thermal Power Project Gas 134 Feb, 2011
Bestway Oil 200 Mar, 2011
Gulistan Project Oil 200 Jun, 2011
New Bong Escape HPP Hydel 84 Dec, 2011
UCH-2 ICB Power Project Gas 450 Dec, 2011
Shahkot Power Project Oil 200 Dec, 2011
Kotli HPP Hydel 100 Jun, 2012
Total 4,608
Power Generation Additions PPIB Fast Track Projects
Name of Project Fuel Capacity Expected
(MW) COD
Walters Rental Project, Karachi RFO/HSD 205 Feb, 2009
Karkey Rental Project, Karachi RFO 232 Feb, 2009
Cavalier Energy Project, Port Qasim LPG/HSD 156 Aug,2009
Progas Energy Limited LPG 210 Aug,2009
Ruba Energy Project, Lahore RFO 107 Dec, 2009
Cavalier Energy Project, Port Qasim LPG/HSD 314 Apr,2010
Ruba Energy Project RFO 47 Dec,2010
Progas Energy Limited, Port Qasim LPG 95 Dec,2010
Total 1,366