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Sector: Consumer Discretionary Summary: This company provides travel related services including hotel reservation, air-ticketing and
Sub-Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines packaged-tour services in China.
Peer Group: Travel & Entertainment Services
Quantitative Evaluations | Price as of Jan 21,2011: $43.07 | 52-Week Range: $53.16 - $29.90
30-Week Mov. Avg. Relative Strength GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Volume Above Avg.
S&P Quality Ranking : NR
10-Week Mov. Avg. Up Down No Change Below Avg.
Volatility: High
Low Average High
10
26 15
1 Lowest Highest 99 10
5
0
S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A
Key financial variables to consider in assessing the investment merits of an Revenues (Million $)
industrial company are the following: 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005
1Q 85.90 58.58 52.29 29.91 19.37 12.47
Sales: What is the trend? Is future sales growth expected to be greater than the 2Q 101.8 69.72 58.59 37.51 23.71 16.99
past 5-year and 9-year growth average? Accelerating sales growth ultimately 3Q 120.0 79.83 54.09 43.00 26.12 18.57
provides the fuel behind earnings growth. 4Q -- 82.83 57.94 47.94 28.70 19.95
Net Margin: As a key measure of company profitabilty, a rising net margin Year -- 290.9 213.5 164.4 99.94 63.62
assesses management capability to wring out more net income from incremental Earnings per ADR ($)
sales. 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005
% LT Debt to Capitalization: A rising percentage implies greater financial risk, all 1Q 0.19 0.13 0.10 0.06 0.05 0.04
else being equal. Rising debt leverage without a concomitant rise in Return on 2Q 0.91 0.17 0.13 0.09 0.06 0.05
Equity should raise warning signals of potential cash flow problems. Percentages 3Q 0.31 0.20 0.11 0.11 0.06 0.06
above 40%-50% should also be considered a warning. 4Q -- 0.19 0.13 0.07 0.07 0.06
Year -- 0.68 0.47 0.40 0.24 0.22
% Return on Equity: A key perfomance measurement of capital efficiency
Next earnings report expected: Early February
assesses what investment returns management can earn on a company's
existing capital base. A sustained percentage above 20% is considered above Historical GAAP earnings are as reported.
average.
Please read the required disclosures and Reg. AC certification on the last page of this report.
This report was prepared by Standard & Poor's Quantitative Services.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Quantitative Stock Report
Citrip.com Intl ADR Jan 22,2011
NNM SYMBOL:CTRP
S&P Quality Ranking: NR Standard & Poor's Fair Value Rank : NR
Wall Street Opinions/Average (Mean) Opinion: Buy/Hold Stock Performance
No. of % of 1 Mo. 3 Mo. 340
Ratings Total Prior Prior
Buy 6 33 7 5
300
Buy/Hold 5 28 5 4
Hold 7 39 6 9
Weak Hold 0 0 0 0 260
Sell 0 0 0 0
No Opinion 0 0 0 0 220
Total 18 100 18 18
180
Insider Moves
140
Insider Buys Insider Sells Price History
100
60
20
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan '11 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: S&P, I/B/E/S International, Inc. Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2011 The McGraw-Hill
Companies,Inc.
Quantitative Stock Report
Citrip.com Intl ADR Jan 22,2011
NNM SYMBOL:CTRP
S&P Quality Ranking: NR Standard & Poor's Fair Value Rank : NR
Sub-Industry : Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines Peer Group*: Travel & Entertainment Services
Stk.Mkt. Recent 52 Fair S&P Return on LTD to
Stock Cap. Stock Week Yield P/E Value Quality IQ Revenue Cap
Peer Group Symbol (Mil. $) Price($) High/Low($) Beta (%) Ratio Calc.($) Ranking %ile (%) (%)
Citrip.com Intl ADR CTRP 24,681 43.07 53.16/29.90 1.79 Nil 47 NA NR 85 33.1 NA
7 Days Group Holdings ADS SVN 326 19.69 25.44/9.10 NA Nil NM NA NR 93 NA 8.3
Carnival Corp CCL 36,389 46.12 48.14/29.68 1.39 2.2 19 44.20 NR 24 13.7 25.3
Carnival plc ADS CUK 37,683 47.76 50.35/31.48 1.26 0.8 19 NA NR 12 13.7 25.3
Choice Hotels Intl CHH 2,191 36.87 39.84/29.25 0.82 2.0 21 18.40 B+ 97 17.4 169.9
Gaylord Entertainment GET 1,621 34.05 37.38/18.65 2.78 Nil NM 23.40 C 10 NA 52.7
Home Inns & Hotels Mgmt ADS HMIN 740 36.81 54.25/26.89 1.83 Nil 27 NA NR 75 9.8 NA
Hyatt Hotels H 8,313 47.79 48.83/28.16 NA Nil NM NA NR 35 NA NA
InterContinental Hotels Gp*ADR IHG 6,039 20.97 21.71/13.72 1.60 2.0 15 NA NR 25 13.5 79.5
Interval Leisure Grp IILG 882 15.46 17.54/11.61 2.11 Nil 22 NA NR 26 9.4 69.1
Marriott Intl'A' MAR 14,501 39.81 42.68/25.63 1.49 0.4 38 26.90 A- 98 NA 64.9
Orient Express Hotels'A' OEH 1,135 12.49 15.54/6.80 2.80 Nil NM 9.70 NR 4 NA 37.7
Royal Caribbean Cruises RCL 10,378 48.22 49.99/21.97 2.96 Nil 21 46.80 NR 22 2.8 48.1
Starwood Hotels&Res Worldwide HOT 11,820 62.00 63.50/33.15 1.99 0.5 NM 31.00 NR 32 NA 61.5
Wyndham Worldwide WYN 5,025 28.72 31.41/19.44 NM 1.7 14 22.10 NR 27 7.8 NA
NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.
Source: S&P.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies,Inc.
Quantitative Stock Report
Citrip.com Intl ADR Jan 22,2011
NNM SYMBOL:CTRP
S&P Quality Ranking: NR Standard & Poor's Fair Value Rank : NR
Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell No Opinion CTRP Trend BUY/HOLD
B BH H WH S
0.5 S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
2009 2010
Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est. Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E
2011 1.28 1.53 1.12 14 33.6
2010 0.99 1.07 0.94 12 43.5
2011 vs. 2010 29% 43% 19% 17% -23%
A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. Standard & Poor's organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300
Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years. This graph shows the trend in analyst estimates over
the past 15 months.