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A Report on
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW
ANALYSIS OF
BAJAJ AUTOMOBILES LIMITED
BY
Balachandra Prabhu
Vasu D Hinsu
www.final-yearprojects.co.cc
Over the last decade, the company has successfully changed its image from a scooter
manufacturer to a two wheeler manufacturer. Its product range encompasses scooterettes,
scooters and motorcycles. Its real growth in numbers has come in the last four years after
successful introduction of a few models in the motorcycle segment.
The company is headed by Rahul Bajaj who is worth more than US$1.5 billion.[2]
Bajaj Auto came into existence on November 29, 1945 as M/s Bachraj Trading Corporation
Private Limited. It started off by selling imported two- and three-wheelers in India. In 1959, it
obtained license from the Government of India to manufacture two- and three-wheelers and it
went public in 1960. In 1970, it rolled out its 100,000th vehicle. In 1977, it managed to
produce and sell 100,000 vehicles in a single financial year. In 1985, it started producing at
Waluj near Aurangabad. In 1986, it managed to produce and sell 500,000 vehicles in a single
financial year. In 1995, it rolled out its ten millionth vehicle and produced and sold 1 million
vehicles in a year.
DCF Valuation
Mar '11 Mar '12 Mar '13 Mar '14 Mar '15
Income
sales and other income 15,469 20,884 28,402 38,911 53,308
Expenditure
Raw Materials 10,643 13,943 19,101 25,214 34,795
Power & Fuel Cost 91 120 164 217 299
Employee Cost 535 701 961 1,268 1,750
Other Manufacturing Expenses 96 126 172 227 314
Selling and Admin Expenses 551 722 989 1,305 1,801
Miscellaneous Expenses 268 351 481 635 877
Total Expenses 12,185 15,962 21,869 28,867 39,836
= 144684*100
= 14468400
= 14468400*0.502
= 7263136.8
www.final-yearprojects.co.cc
= [(P.V. of cash flows*avg P/E)]+[terminal value*6th years disc factor*avg P/E multiple]
Assumptions
Above calculation is based on the following assumptions.
Percentage of increase in production for the F.Y 2010-2011 would remain same.
The company is following Straight Line method of depreciation over the years.
The company has not issued any debentures so we have assumed no new debenture are issued
for the coming years also.
Secured and Unsecured loans carry an interest rate of 5% and 1.5% respectively.
The company has not borrowed any secured or unsecured loan for the current year and in the
future.