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Aviva Europe

Making a Quantum Leap


Disclaimer
This presentation is for information purposes only. It should be read in conjunction with the documents filed by Aviva plc (the “Company” or
“Aviva”) with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”).

This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Aviva’s plans and current goals and expectations
relating to future financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words “believes”,
“intends”, “expects”, “plans”, “seeks”, “aims”, “may”, “could”, “outlook”, “estimates” and “anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forward-
looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could
cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes these factors include, but are not limited to: the
impact of difficult conditions in the global capital markets and the economy generally; the impact of new government initiatives related to the
financial crisis; defaults in our bond, mortgage and structured credit portfolios; the impact of volatility in the equity, capital and credit markets on
our profitability and ability to access capital and credit; changes in general economic conditions, including foreign currency exchange rates,
interest rates and other factors that could affect our profitability; risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures;
inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or inavailability of reinsurance coverage; a decline in our ratings with Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch
and A.M. Best; increased competition in the U.K. and in other countries where we have significant operations; changes in assumptions in pricing
and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates), longevity
and endowments; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; changes in local political, regulatory and economic conditions, business risks
and challenges which may impact demand for our products, our investment portfolio and credit quality of counterparties; the impact of actual
experience differing from estimates on amortisation of deferred acquisition costs and acquired value of in-force business; the impact of
recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions
used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of various legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational
risks; the loss of key personnel; the impact of catastrophic events on our results; changes in government regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions
where we conduct business; funding risks associated with our pension schemes; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, integration issues and other
risks associated with our acquisitions; and the timing impact and other uncertainties relating to acquisitions and disposals and relating to other
future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries.

For a more detailed description of these risks, uncertainties and other factors, please see Item 3, “Risk Factors”, and Item 5, “Operating and
Financial Review and Prospects” in Aviva’s registration statement on Form 20-F as filed with the SEC on 7 October 2009. Aviva undertakes no
obligation to update the forward-looking statements in this presentation or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking
statements in this presentation are current only as of the date on which such statements are made.
Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap 2
22 October 2009 Page 2
Andrea Moneta
Aviva Europe CEO

Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap 3


22 October 2009 Page 3
Recap

Our Quantum Leap is transforming our business by bold, clear and high value strategies

Grow at marginal cost, improve mix, increase


Exploit Leading
penetration by leveraging compelling business
Bancassurance Position model

Grasp Retail franchise Increase sales force profitability, improve mix


through targeted sales campaigns, focus on
opportunity retention and reduce network costs

Simplify & Innovate to Twelve head offices transformed to one,


centralised procurement and change
integrate Shared Services
management, claims cost management

Establish state of the art Tax and capital efficient structure, pan European
Products and Governance risk and capital management, centralised product
development and customer centric catalogue

Our Our Making money Conclusions


Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 4
Europe Leap value Q&A
Our Making money Conclusions
Our opportunity Focus
Quantum and creating and
in Europe sessions
Leap value Q&A

Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap


22 October 2009 Page 5
Making money and creating value

“The insurance business is complicated”. NO, it is not ! Though it can be explained better

As per every business …

• Value comes from profit, growth and VIF


PVFP
return on capital
MCEV
CNHR

• Never forget the basics VNB TVOG


- Balance sheet PVNBP
- Cash flow
- P&L

• Understand and pull the right value drivers

Our Our Making money Conclusions


Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 6
Europe Leap value Q&A
Value components: Life

Shareholders’
funds
MCEV
NPV of in
force
business
EEV
NPV of
Appraisal future
investment
value spreads

NPV of new
business in
future years

Our Our Making money Conclusions


Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 7
Europe Leap value Q&A
The value of the “Life in force business”

Generating cash on a
sustainable basis
Expected free surplus generation from life in-force book*

Over 40% of MCEV profit and


required capital released to free
surplus in first 5 years

1,200

1,000

800

€m
600

400

200

0
2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027+
* From business in-force at 1.1.08 at current exchange rates
* Comprises expected interest on net worth, expected current year investment returns on PVIF, emergence of MCEV profits and release of required capital on in-force book

Source: Aviva Life in force book


run off profile
Our Our Making money Conclusions
Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 8
Europe Leap value Q&A
The value of the “Life in force business”

Generating cash on a
sustainable basis

Self-funding new
Free surplus generated by life in-force book, full year 2008
business 2,500

112
2,000 252

522
1,500 1,075

€m 229

1,000

1,162
500 979

-
Opening free
Opening Expected free
free Expected Operating
free Operating Economic Investment in
Economic Investment Net capital
Net capital Closing free
Closing free
surplus surplus variances
surplus surplus variances movements & newinbusiness
movements new returns
returns surplus
surplus
generation & FX business
generation FX

Source: Aviva Life in force book


run off profile
Our Our Making money Conclusions
Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 9
Europe Leap value Q&A
The value of the “Life in force business”

Generating cash on a
sustainable basis

Self-funding new
Free surplus generated by life in-force book, full year 2008
business 2,500

112
252
Transferring significant 2,000

value to shareholders 522


1,500 1,075

€m 229

1,000

1,162
500 979

-
Opening free
Opening Expected free
free Expected Operating
free Operating Economic Investment in
Economic Investment Net capital
Net capital Closing free
Closing free
surplus surplus variances
surplus surplus variances movements & newinbusiness
movements new returns
returns surplus
surplus
generation & FX business
generation FX

Source: Aviva Life in force book


run off profile
Our Our Making money Conclusions
Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 10
Europe Leap value Q&A
Making money in insurance

A straightforward P&L ... … with clear profit sources

Profits from
Profits from investments
investments Investment margin
Investment margin

Profits
Profitsfrom
from taking risk
taking risk Underwriting margin
Underwriting margin

Investment
Investment to grow
grow Newbusiness
New business acquisition
acquisition

Costs
Coststo
torun
run our
our business
business Overheads
Overheads

Tax
Taxtotoauthorities,
Authorities, minorities
minorities Taxation,minority
Taxation, minority interests
interests

Our Our Making money Conclusions


Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 11
Europe Leap value Q&A
How we make money

For both life and general insurance


1,000

Underwriting
800 margin
Investment
margin
600
1H 09 €m IFRS Profit

Profit after tax and


400
minorities

GI
200

Life
0
Other

(200)
Taxation and
minority interests

(400) Life GI Overheads

New business
(600) acquisition

Our Our Making money Conclusions


Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 12
Europe Leap value Q&A
Our Quantum Leap is all about value and money

Transforming the business …

… by executing strategies with high impact on all key value drivers

Our Our Making money Conclusions


Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 13
Europe Leap value Q&A
Sustainable profit growth

Increase assets under management and profitability


1,000

Underwriting Bancassurance
margin
800 • sales at minimal marginal cost
Investment
margin
600
Retail
• increase sales force productivity and retention
Profit after tax
400 • portfolio rebalancing and minorities

Improve customer experience and retention


200

Capital efficient growth through new legal structure


0
Increase investment
Minority interests
return
Other

(200) • centralised
Taxation investment management

(400) Life GI Overheads

New business Key focus areas: Opening AUM Š Net sales Š Product mix Š Performance
(600) acquisition
Our Our Making money Conclusions
Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 14
Europe Leap value Q&A
Sustainable profit growth

Risk selection and pricing


1,000

Underwriting Underwriting best practice


margin
800
Investment Customer segmentation
margin
600
Higher penetration of protection business
Profit after tax
400 Effective claims management
and minorities

Fraud reduction
200

Lower unit costs


0
• Supplier management
Other
Minority interests
• Procurement
(200) Taxation
Cost effective claims handling
(400) Life GI Overheads

New business Key focus areas: Earned premiums Š Claims and handling costs
(600) acquisition
Our Our Making money Conclusions
Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 15
Europe Leap value Q&A
Sustainable profit growth

Reduce average acquisition costs


1,000

Underwriting Grow Bancassurance at marginal cost


margin
800
Investment Improve Retail sales force productivity
margin
600
Increase cross/up sell
Profit after tax
400 Improve quality of leads and minorities

Customer centric and innovative product catalogue


200

Improve automation of sales processes


0
Other
Minority interests

(200) Taxation

(400) Life GI Overheads

New business Key focus areas: Acquisition costs Š Commissions


(600) acquisition
Our Our Making money Conclusions
Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 16
Europe Leap value Q&A
Sustainable profit growth

Pan-European governance, operations & IT


1,000

Underwriting Single head office and streamlined organisation


margin
800
Investment Efficient IT / shared services
margin
600
Single product catalogue

400 Single change portfolio andProfit


centralised
after tax procurement
and minorities

200

0
Other
Minority interests

(200) Taxation

(400) Life GI Overheads

Key focus areas: Front/back office ratio Š Spans of control Š


New business
(600) acquisition Expense ratios Š Property efficiency
Our Our Making money Conclusions
Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 17
Europe Leap value Q&A
Sustainable profit growth

Single holding company


1,000

Underwriting EU carrier and branches


margin
800
Investment Central risk and investment management
margin
600
Product factories CEE
16-20%
400 Tax and capital efficiencyProfit after tax
and minorities
Spain
200
30%

Poland France
0 19% 34%
Other
Minority interests Italy
(200) Taxation
32%
Ireland
12.5%
(400) Life GI Overheads

Profit before tax and headline tax rates


New business
(600) acquisition
Our Our Making money Conclusions
Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 18
Europe Leap value Q&A
Our Quantum Leap is all about value and money

Sustainable
1,000 profit growth
Underwriting
800 Investment margin
margin

600

400

200
GI
Life
0
Other
Minority interests

(200) Taxation

(400) Life GI Overheads

New business
(600) acquisition

Our Our Making money Conclusions


Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 19
Europe Leap value Q&A
Our Quantum Leap is all about value and money
Sustainable profit
growth
1,000

Underwriting
800 margin
Investment

600
margin
Doubling
400
2007 IFRS
GI
200

net profit by Life


0

(200)
2012 Taxation
Minority interests
Other

(400) Life GI Overheads

New business
(600) acquisition

Our Our Making money Conclusions


Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap Focus
opportunity in Quantum and creating and
22 October 2009 sessions Page 20
Europe Leap value Q&A
Our Making money Conclusions
Our opportunity Focus
Quantum and creating and
in Europe sessions
Leap value Q&A

Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap


22 October 2009 Page 21
Questions & Answers
To conclude

Great franchise in Quantum Leap to ‘One Aviva, twice


the world’s largest become the the value’ delivered
market undisputed leader by 2012

Aviva Europe – Making a Quantum Leap


22 October 2009 Page 23
Source: UN (2009), CEA (2009), Aviva PFA Model (2008)

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