Professional Documents
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
In the current economic scenario interest rates are falling and fluctuation
in the share market has put investors in confusion. One finds it difficult to take
decision on investment. This is primarily, because of investments are risky in
nature and investors have to consider various factors before investing in
investment avenues.
These factors include risk, return, and volatility of shares and liquidity. The
main objective investment in mutual fund schemes is to analyze the performance
of mutual funds by using risk and return as a parameter.
Historical data were taken for calculating risk and return. Analysis has
done on percentage method for mutual fund schemes. Compare to equities
mutual funds is less risky with stable returns and mutual funds give the investor a
diversified portfolio. Those who have well knowledge in equity market they can
go for equity investments rather that investing in mutual funds because no control
on the expenses made by the fund manager.
The study will guide the new investor who wants to invest in equity and
mutual fund schemes by providing knowledge about how to measure the risk and
return of particular scrip or mutual fund scheme. The study recommends new
investors to go for mutual funds rather than equities, because of high risk and
market instability.
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INTRODUCTION
First Phase
The Mutual Fund industry in India started in 1963 with formation
of Unit Trust of India (UTI) initiated by the Government of India and
The Reserve Bank of India In 1978, UTI was de-linked from the RBI
and the industrial Development Bank of India [IDBI] took over the
regulatory and administrative control instead of RBI.
The first scheme launched by UTI was Unit Scheme 1964. At
the end of 1998, UTI had Asset Management of Rs. 6700 cr.
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Second Phase:
The year1987 marked the entry of non-UTI, public sector
mutual funds set up by public sector banks and Life Insurance
Company (LIC) and General Insurance Company of India (GIC).
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Third Phase
The entry of private sector funds in 1993, A new era started in
the India was Mutual Fund industry, providing Indian investors with a
wider choice of investment alternatives
Also, 1993 was the year in which the first Mutual Fund
Regulations came into being under which all mutual funds, except
UTI were to be registered and governed by the SEBI MUTUAL FUND
ACT 1992.
Franklin Templeton was the first private sector mutual fund registered
in 1993.
The 1992 SEBI MUTUAL FUND Regulations were substituted
by a more comprehensive and revised Mutual Fund Regulations in
1996. The industry now works under the SEBI MUTUAL FUND ACT
1996.
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Fourth Phase:
In February 2003, following the repeal of Unit Trust of
India with Assets Under Management of Rs. 29835 cr as at the end of
January 2003, representing broadly the assets of US-64 Scheme,
assured return and certain other schemes. It does not come under
the purview of the Mutual Fund Regulations.
The second is UTI Mutual Fund sponsored by SBI, PNB, BOB
and LIC. It is registered with SEBI and works under the Mutual Fund
Regulations.
At the end of March, 2006 the Assets Under Management were
Rs.2, 31,513 cr.
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1. No Insurance
2. Dilution
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4. Poor Performance
5. Loss of Control
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6. Trading Limitations
7. Size
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9. Different Types
Introduction
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In terms of ease with which investors can enter and exit funds, mutual
funds are broadly divided into two classes:
• Open-ended funds: Investors can buy and sell the units from
the fund, at any point of time.
• Close-ended funds: These funds raise money from investors
only once. Therefore, after the offer period, fresh investments
can not be made into the fund. If the fund is listed on a stocks
exchange the units can be traded like stocks (E.g., Morgan
Stanley Growth Fund). Recently, most of the New Fund Offers
of close-ended funds provided liquidity window on a periodic
basis such as monthly or weekly. Redemption of units can be
made during specified intervals. Therefore, such funds have
relatively low liquidity.
There are various classes of mutual funds depending
upon the nature of investments. Here are three broad classes from
which one can choose to invest, depending upon his risk-return
profile.
• Equity funds
• Balanced funds
• Debt funds
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Equity funds
These funds invest in equities and equity related instruments. With
fluctuating share prices, such funds show volatile performance, even
losses. However, short term fluctuations in the market, generally
smoothens out in the long term, thereby offering higher returns at
relatively lower volatility. At the same time, such funds can yield great
capital appreciation as, historically, equities have outperformed all
asset classes in the long term. Hence, investment in equity funds
should be considered for a period of at least 3-5 years
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Balanced funds
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Debt Funds
They invest only in debt instruments, and are a good option for
investors averse to idea of taking risk associated with equities.
Therefore, they invest exclusively in fixed-income instruments like
bonds, debentures, Government of India securities; and money
market instruments such as certificates of deposit (CD), commercial
paper (CP) and call money. Put your money into any of these debt
funds depending on your investment horizon and needs.
• MIPs
• Arbitrage Funds
• FMPs
• Arbitrage Funds
• Income Funds
• Floating rate funds
• Gilt funds
Risk-return grid
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Fund of funds
A fund of funds is a mutual fund scheme that invests primarily in
other schemes of the same mutual fund or other mutual funds.
Hence, it is a step ahead of mutual fund in the sense that while a
mutual fund keeps a track of the stocks it invests, a fund of fund
keeps track of the mutual funds it invests and hence manages the
portfolio on behalf of investors. Such funds are treated as a debt-
oriented fund for tax purposes.
Advantages
1. Convenience
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3. Cost factor
For an investor, who actively manages his portfolio, cost of execution
and tax impact on short term switches could be a constraint. In such
a case, investment in a fund of fund could prove to be an efficient
route
Disadvantages
1. Fee structure
Expense fees on fund of funds are typically higher than
those on regular funds because investors have to bear
expenses for the main fund of fund and other funds it invests
into.
2. Stock-wise portfolio tracking
Since a fund of funds buys many different funds which
further invest in many different stocks, it is possible for the
fund of funds to own the same stock through several
different funds. Thus, it may be difficult for an individual
investor to keep a track of the overall stock holdings.
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Risk-return profile
Its position in the risk-return grid depends on its allocation to
equity and debts funds.
Advantages
1: Limit the downside risk
Derivatives are generally used for hedging purpose so that
they can limit the downside risk of equities. Hence this fund
will be suitable in a falling market.
2: Higher potential in generating returns
It can offer higher return through short or long positions. But
this involves high risk.
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Definition of Risk
The dictionary meaning of risk is the possibility of loss or injury;
the degree or probability of such loss. In risk, the probable outcomes
of all the possible events are listed. Once the events are listed
subjectively, the derived probabilities can be assigned to the entire
possible events.
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Types of Risk:
Risk consists of two components
1) The systematic risk
Systematic Risk
The systematic risk affects the entire market. Often we read in
the newspaper that the stock market is in the bear or the bull grip.
This indicates that the entire market is moving in a particular direction
either downward or upward. The economic conditions, political
situations and the sociological changes affect the security market.
The recession in the economy affects the profit prospect of the
industry and the stock market.
The 1998 recession experienced by developed and developing
countries have affected the stock markets all over the world. The
South East Asian crisis has affected the stock market world wide.
There factors are beyond the control of the corporate and the
investor. They cannot be entirely avoided by the investor. It drives
home the point that the systematic risk is unavoidable.
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Market Risk
Market risk as that portion of total variability of return caused by
the alternating forces of bull and bear markets. When the security
index moves upward haltingly for a significant period of time, it is
known as bull market. In the bull market, the index moves from a low
level to the peak.
Bear market is just a reverse to the bull market; the index declines
haltingly from the peak to a market low point called through for a
significant period of time. During the bull and bear market more than
80% of the securities’ prices rise or fall along with the stock market
indices.
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Unsystematic Risk
As already mentioned, unsystematic risk is unique and peculiar
to a firm or an industry. Unsystematic risk stems from managerial
inefficiency, technological change in the production process,
availability of raw material, changes in the consumer preference, and
labor problems. The nature and magnitude of the above mentioned
factors differ from industry to industry, and company to company.
They have to be analyzed separately for each industry and firm. The
changes in the consumer preference affect the consumer products
like television sets, washing machines, refrigerators, etc.
Business risk
Financial risk
Business Risk
Business risk is that portion of the unsystematic risk caused by
the operating environment of the business. Business risk arises from
the inability of a firm to maintain its competitive edge and the growth
or stability of the earnings. Variation that occurs in the operating
environment as reflected on the operation income and expected
dividends.
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Financial Risk
It refers to the variability of the income to the equity capital due
to the debt capital. Financial risk in a company is associated with the
capital structure of the company. Capital structure of the company
consists of equity funds and borrowed funds. The presence of debt
and preference capital results in a commitment of paying interest or
per fixed rate of dividend. The interest payment affects the payments
that are due to the equity investors.
Measurement of Risk
The risk associated with a single asset is assessed from both a
behavior and a quantitative/statistical point of view. The behavioral
view of risk can be obtained by using:
• Sensitivity analysis
• Probability distribution
Sensitivity Analysis
It is a behavior approach to assess risk using number of possible
returns estimates to obtain a sense of the variability among
outcomes.
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Probability Distribution
It is a model that relates probabilities to the associated
outcomes based on the rerun the expected value of the return can be
computed the expected rate of return is the weighted average of all
possible returns multiplied by their respective probabilities.
Standard deviation
Coefficient of variation
Standard Deviation
Risk refers to the dispersion of returns around expected values.
The most common statistical measure of risk of an asset is the
standard deviation from the mean/expected values of return. It
represents the square root of the average squared deviation of the
individual returns from the expected returns.
Co-efficient of Variation
It is a measure of relative dispersion used in comparing the risk
of assets with differing expected values. The co-efficient of variation
is computed by dividing the for an asset by its expected value.
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Return
Investment decisions are influenced by various motives. Some
people invest in a business to acquire control and enjoy the prestige
associated with it. Some people invest in expensive yachts and
famous villas to display their wealth. Most investors, however, are
largely guided by the pecuniary motive of earning a return on their
investment.
For earning returns investors have to almost invariably bear
some risk. In general, risk and return go hand in hand. While
investors like returns they abhor risk. Investment decisions, therefore,
involve a tradeoff between risk and return. Since risk and return are
central to investment decisions.
Meaning of Return
Return is the primary motivation force that drives investment. It
represents the reward for undertaking investment. Since the game of
investing is about returns (after allowing for risk), measurement of
realized (historical) returns is necessary to assess how well the
investment manager has done. In addition, historical returns are often
used as an important input in estimating future (prospective) returns.
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Components of Return
The return of an investment consists of two components.
Current Return
The first component that often comes to mind when one is
thinking about return is the periodic cash flow (income), such as
dividend or interest, generated by the investment. Current return is
measured as the periodic income in relation to the beginning price of
the investment.
Capital Return
The second component of return is reflected in the price
change called the capital return it is simple the price appreciation (or
depreciation) divided by the beginning price of the asset. For assets
like equity stocks, the capital return predominates.
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C + ( PE − PB )
R=
PB
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Return Relative
Often it is necessary to measure returns in a slightly different
manner. This is particularly true when a cumulative wealth index or a
geometric mean has to be calculated, because in such calculations
negative returns cannot be used. The concept of return relative is
used in such cases. The return relative is defined as:
C + PE
Return relative=
PB
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RESEARCH DESIGN
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1. To find out Mutual Fund Schemes in respect of their risk, return and
liquidity.
The project has been done at, which primarily deals with equity,
derivatives, mutual funds, portfolio management and insurance for
managing the portfolio of its clients.
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Research Technique
The quality of research output and the validity of its findings
depend upon appropriateness of the sampling design selected for the
study. It was needed to apply inferential statistical analysis; hence
probability sampling was chosen to be essential.
The study is relating to the risk and return if mutual fund scheme.
Therefore the Random Sampling was used.
Research Instruments
For analysis of the scheme value the risk and return
formulas was used for one month data.
Source of Data
Primary data
The data has collected with observation of net asset value of
each scheme and with online trading.
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Secondary data
The data has collected from
Company websites
Magazines and journals
Internet and stock brokers
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Chapter-4
This chapter gives the monthly risk and return of each selected
mutual fund scheme out of five mutual fund schemes. Based on the
above calculations the table and graph shows three months risk
return of each selected mutual fund schemes and inference for the
analysis.
Chapter-5
This chapter shows the findings based on the above
calculations, suggestions for the findings and conclusion for the
whole study.
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COMPANY PROFILE
Chairman's Profile
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He is a member of
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Corporate Governance
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Investment Approach
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Investment Process
They understand that having a discretionary control of customer
portfolio is a privileged position that requires a great degree of
expertise and care
. Each investment decision is taken after an in-depth
understanding of the opportunity through intensive in-house research.
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Investment Options
• Absolute Freedom
• Large-Caps
A relatively protective investment option with investments
predominantly in large caps stocks. This ensures liquidity and
lower impact costs leading to a more stable portfolio.
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• Mid-Caps/Small-Caps
Risk Factor
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Reliance Money
Reliance Money is the electronic transaction platform
associated with Reliance Capital; one of India’s leading and fastest
growing private sector financial services companies, ranked amongst
the top 3 private sector financial services and banking companies, in
terms of net worth. Reliance Capital is a part of the Reliance- Anil
Dhirubhai Ambani Group.
Reliance money provides a comprehensive platform, offering
an investment avenue for a wide range of asset classes. Its endeavor
is to change the way India transacts in financial markets and avails
financial services.
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• Cost-effective
The fee charged by the affiliates of Reliance Money, through
whom the transactions can be placed, is among the lowest charged in
the present scenario. As an introductory offer, pay a flat fee of just
Rs. 500/- valid for 2 months or specified transactional value.
• Convenience
You have the flexibility to access Reliance Money services in
multiple ways: through the Internet, Transaction Kiosks, Call and
Transact or seek assistance through out Business Partners.
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• Security
Reliance Money provides secure access through an electronic
token that flashes a unique security number every 32 seconds (and
ensures that the number used for the earlier transaction is discarded).
This number works as a third level password that keeps your account
extra safe.
• Single window for multiple products
Reliance Money through its affiliates/partners facilitates
transactions in Equity, Equity and Commodity Derivatives, Offshore
Investments, Mutual Funds, IPO’s, Life Insurance and General
Insurance products.
• 3 in 1 integrated access
Reliance Money offers integrated access to your banking,
trading and demat account. We can transact without the hassle of
writing cheques
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UTI Mutual Fund has come into existence with effect from 1st
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1.1 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund (Dividend option) for
the Month of JULY-2007
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− ∑ Ri
R= i =1
1.35
= = 0.07%
19
n 2
Ri − R−
σ = ∑
i =1
n −1
12.21
= = 0.82%
19 − 1
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1.2 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund Dividend Option for
the Month of AUGUST-2007
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∑ Ri
n 2
Ri − R−
− σ = ∑
i =1
R= i =1
n n −1
−9.10 43.33
= = −0.51% = = 1.60%
18 18 − 1
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1.3 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund (Dividend Option) for
the Month of SEPTEMBER -2007
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−0.63 41.30
= = −0.03% = = 1.47%
20 20 − 1
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1.4 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund (Growth Option) for
the month of JULY2007
1.32 12.29
= = 0.07% = = 0.83%
19 19 − 1
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1.5 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund (Growth Option) fjor
the Month of AUG-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
1-Aug-2007 11.32
2-Aug-2007 11.47 1.33 1.83 3.33
3-Aug-2007 11.49 0.17 0.67 0.45
6-Aug-2007 11.44 -0.44 0.06 0.00
7-Aug-2007 11.53 0.79 1.29 1.66
8-Aug-2007 11.51 -0.17 0.33 0.11
9-Aug-2007 11.28 -2.00 -1.50 2.24
10-Aug-2007 10.87 -3.63 -3.13 9.83
13-Aug-2007 10.82 -0.46 0.04 0.00
14-Aug-2007 10.83 0.09 0.59 0.35
16-Aug-2007 11.1 2.49 2.99 8.96
17-Aug-2007 11.12 0.18 0.68 0.46
20-Aug-2007 11.06 -0.54 -0.04 0.00
21-Aug-2007 11 -0.54 -0.04 0.00
22-Aug-2007 10.91 -0.82 -0.32 0.10
23-Aug-2007 10.7 -1.92 -1.42 2.03
27-Aug-2007 10.77 0.65 1.15 1.33
28-Aug-2007 10.74 -0.28 0.22 0.05
29-Aug-2007 10.31 -4.00 -3.50 12.28
Total -9.10 43.19
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−9.10 43.19
= = −0.51% = = 1.59%
18 18 − 1
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1.6 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund (Growth Option) for
the Month of SEP-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
3-Sep-2007 10.44 - - -
4-Sep-2007 10.34 -0.96 -0.93 0.86
5-Sep-2007 9.94 -3.87 -3.84 14.73
6-Sep-2007 9.98 0.40 0.43 0.19
7-Sep-2007 9.84 -1.40 -1.37 1.88
10-Sep-2007 10.1 2.64 2.67 7.14
11-Sep-2007 10.06 -0.40 -0.37 0.13
12-Sep-2007 10.07 0.10 0.13 0.02
13-Sep-2007 10.19 1.19 1.22 1.49
14-Sep-2007 9.99 -1.96 -1.93 3.74
17-Sep-2007 10.02 0.30 0.33 0.11
18-Sep-2007 9.91 -1.10 -1.07 1.14
19-Sep-2007 10.02 1.11 1.14 1.30
20-Sep-2007 10.12 1.00 1.03 1.06
21-Sep-2007 10.21 0.89 0.92 0.85
24-Sep-2007 10.4 1.86 1.89 3.58
25-Sep-2007 10.49 0.87 0.90 0.80
26-Sep-2007 10.43 -0.57 -0.54 0.29
27-sep-2007 10.28 -1.44 -1.41 1.98
28-Sep-2007 10.29 0.10 0.13 0.02
29-Sep-2007 10.35 0.58 0.61 0.38
Total -0.66 41.68
The Fund Return The Standard Deviation
n n 2
Ri − R−
− ∑ Ri σ = ∑
R= i =1 i =1
n n −1
−0.66 41.68
= = −0.03% = = 1.48%
20 20 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
74
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
75
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
2.2 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund (Dividend Option) for
the Month of AUG-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
1-Aug-2007 45.499
2-Aug-2007 45.871 0.82 1.23 1.51
3-Aug-2007 46.141 0.59 1.00 1.00
6-Aug-2007 46.112 -0.06 0.35 0.12
7-Aug-2007 46.374 0.57 0.98 0.96
8-Aug-2007 46.26 -0.25 0.16 0.03
9-Aug-2007 45.91 -0.76 -0.35 0.12
10-Aug-2007 44.916 -2.17 -1.76 3.08
13-Aug-2007 44.628 -0.64 -0.23 0.05
14-Aug-2007 44.579 -0.11 0.30 0.09
16-Aug-2007 45.73 2.58 2.99 8.95
17-Aug-2007 45.757 0.06 0.47 0.22
20-Aug-2007 45.261 -1.08 -0.67 0.45
21-Aug-2007 45.031 -0.51 -0.10 0.01
22-Aug-2007 44.469 -1.25 -0.84 0.70
23-Aug-2007 43.459 -2.27 -1.86 3.46
27-Aug-2007 43.548 0.20 0.61 0.38
28-Aug-2007 43.415 -0.31 0.10 0.01
29-Aug-2007 42.16 -2.89 -2.48 6.15
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
76
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
−7.47 27.30
= = −0.42% = = 1.27%
18 18 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
77
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
2.3 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund (Dividend Option) for
the Month of SEP-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
3-Sep-2007 42.89
4-Sep-2007 41.95 -2.19 -1.55 2.41
5-Sep-2007 40.22 -4.12 -3.48 12.10
6-Sep-2007 40.86 1.58 2.22 4.92
7-Sep-2007 40.35 -1.24 -0.60 0.36
10-Sep-2007 36.4 -9.80 -9.16 83.93
11-Sep-2007 36.22 -0.48 0.16 0.03
12-Sep-2007 36.58 0.99 1.63 2.64
13-Sep-2007 36.86 0.77 1.41 1.98
14-Sep-2007 35.89 -2.65 -2.01 4.02
17-Sep-2007 36.18 0.82 1.46 2.14
18-Sep-2007 35.86 -0.88 -0.24 0.06
19-Sep-2007 36.29 1.19 1.83 3.34
20-Sep-2007 36.59 0.82 1.46 2.13
21-Sep-2007 37.08 1.36 2.00 3.98
24-Sep-2007 37.85 2.06 2.70 7.31
25-Sep-2007 37.84 -0.03 0.61 0.37
26-Sep-2007 37.52 -0.85 -0.21 0.04
27-sep-2007 36.81 -1.89 -1.25 1.56
28-Sep-2007 37.06 0.68 1.32 1.74
29-Sep-2007 37.42 0.98 1.62 2.64
Total -12.87 137.70
The Fund Return The Standard Deviation
n n 2
Ri − R−
− ∑ Ri σ = ∑
R= i =1 i =1
n n −1
−12.87 137.70
= = −0.64% = = 2.70%
20 20 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
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A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
2.4 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund (Growth Option) for
the Month of JULY-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
2-July-2007 147.29
3-July-2007 148.07 0.53 0.38 0.15
4-July-2007 147.74 -0.22 -0.37 0.14
5-July-2007 147.4 -0.23 -0.38 0.15
6-July-2007 145.68 -1.17 -1.32 1.74
9-July-2007 144.72 -0.66 -0.81 0.66
10-July-2007 143.58 -0.78 -0.93 0.87
11-July-2007 146.01 1.69 1.54 2.38
12-July-2007 148.87 1.96 1.81 3.27
13-July-2007 150.55 1.12 0.97 0.95
16-July-2007 151.02 0.32 0.17 0.03
17-July-2007 152.25 0.82 0.67 0.44
18-July-2007 152.74 0.32 0.17 0.03
19-July-2007 151.61 -0.74 -0.89 0.80
20-July-2007 151.86 0.17 0.02 0.00
23-July-2007 150.67 -0.78 -0.93 0.87
24-July-2007 151.3 0.42 0.27 0.07
25-July-2007 152.6 0.85 0.70 0.50
26-July-2007 151.95 -0.43 -0.58 0.33
27-July-2007 151.4 -0.36 -0.51 0.26
Total 2.82 13.62
The Fund Return The Standard Deviation
n n 2
Ri − R−
− ∑ Ri σ = ∑
R= i =1 i =1
n n −1
2.82 13.62
= = 0.15% = = 0.89%
19 19 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
79
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
2.5 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund (Growth Option) for
the Month of AUG-2007
Date NAV Return (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
1-Aug-2007 152.4
2-Aug-2007 153.7 0.82 1.24 1.53
3-Aug-2007 154.6 0.59 1.01 1.02
6-Aug-2007 154.5 -0.06 0.36 0.13
7-Aug-2007 155.3 0.57 0.99 0.98
8-Aug-2007 155 -0.25 0.17 0.03
9-Aug-2007 153.8 -0.76 -0.34 0.11
10-Aug-2007 150.5 -2.17 -1.75 3.05
13-Aug-2007 149.5 -0.64 -0.22 0.05
14-Aug-2007 149.3 -0.11 0.31 0.10
16-Aug-2007 153.2 2.58 3.00 9.01
17-Aug-2007 153.3 0.06 0.48 0.23
20-Aug-2007 151.6 -1.08 -0.66 0.44
21-Aug-2007 150.8 -0.51 -0.09 0.01
22-Aug-2007 149 -1.25 -0.83 0.69
23-Aug-2007 145.6 -2.27 -1.85 3.43
27-Aug-2007 145.9 0.21 0.63 0.39
28-Aug-2007 145.4 -0.31 0.11 0.01
29-Aug-2007 141.2 -2.89 -2.47 6.10
Total -7.47 27.30
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
80
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
2.6 Table showing the Risk and Return of Equity Fund (Growth Option ) for
the of SEP-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
3-Sep-2007 143.68
4-Sep-2007 140.53 -2.19 -2.17 4.72
5-Sep-2007 134.74 -4.12 -4.10 16.81
6-Sep-2007 136.86 1.58 1.60 2.55
7-Sep-2007 135.17 -1.24 -1.22 1.48
10-Sep-2007 138.69 2.60 2.62 6.89
11-Sep-2007 138.03 -0.47 -0.45 0.21
12-Sep-2007 139.39 0.99 1.01 1.01
13-Sep-2007 140.46 0.77 0.79 0.62
14-Sep-2007 136.75 -2.64 -2.62 6.89
17-Sep-2007 137.87 0.82 0.84 0.71
18-Sep-2007 136.66 -0.88 -0.86 0.74
19-Sep-2007 138.28 1.19 1.21 1.46
20-Sep-2007 139.42 0.82 0.84 0.71
21-Sep-2007 141.3 1.35 1.37 1.89
24-Sep-2007 144.22 2.06 2.08 4.34
25-Sep-2007 144.18 -0.03 -0.01 0.00
26-Sep-2007 142.96 -0.85 -0.83 0.68
27-sep-2007 140.26 -1.89 -1.87 3.49
28-Sep-2007 141.21 0.68 0.70 0.49
29-Sep-2007 142.6 0.98 1.00 1.01
Total -0.46 56.67
The Fund Return The Standard Deviation
n n 2
Ri − R−
− ∑ Ri σ = ∑
R= i =1 i =1
n n −1
−0.64 56.67
= = −0.02% = = 1.73%
20 20 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
81
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
82
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
3.2 Table showing the Risk and Return of LIC Equity Fund (Dividend
Option) for the Month of AUG-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
1-Aug-2007 11.949
2-Aug-2007 12.018 0.58 0.32 0.10
3-Aug-2007 11.969 -0.41 -0.67 0.45
6-Aug-2007 11.977 0.07 -0.19 0.04
7-Aug-2007 11.856 -1.01 -1.27 1.62
8-Aug-2007 11.733 -1.04 -1.30 1.69
9-Aug-2007 11.594 -1.19 -1.45 2.09
10-Aug-2007 11.853 2.23 1.97 3.89
13-Aug-2007 12.143 2.45 2.19 4.81
14-Aug-2007 12.331 1.54 1.28 1.65
16-Aug-2007 12.368 0.30 0.04 0.00
17-Aug-2007 12.56 1.55 1.29 1.67
20-Aug-2007 12.545 -0.11 -0.37 0.14
21-Aug-2007 12.377 -1.34 -1.60 2.56
22-Aug-2007 12.361 -0.13 -0.39 0.15
23-Aug-2007 12.225 -1.10 -1.36 1.85
27-Aug-2007 12.3 0.61 0.35 0.12
28-Aug-2007 12.475 1.42 1.16 1.36
Total 4.44 24.19
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
83
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
3.3 Table showing the Risk and Return of LIC Equity Fund (Dividend
Option) for the Month of SEP-2007
−1.96 65.90
= = −0.10% = = 1.91%
19 19 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
84
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
3.4 Table showing the Risk and Return of LIC Equity Fund (Growth
Option) for the Month of JULY-2007
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
85
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
3.5 Table showing the Risk and Return of LIC Equity Fund (Growth Option)
for the Month of AUG-2007
Date NAV Return (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
1-Aug-2007 22.53
2-Aug-2007 22.76 1.00 1.83 3.36
3-Aug-2007 22.77 0.07 0.90 0.81
6-Aug-2007 23.02 1.07 1.90 3.61
7-Aug-2007 22.79 -0.97 -0.14 0.02
8-Aug-2007 22.36 -1.91 -1.08 1.18
9-Aug-2007 21.27 -4.87 -4.04 16.31
10-Aug-2007 21.17 -0.47 0.36 0.13
13-Aug-2007 21.17 0.00 0.83 0.69
14-Aug-2007 21.74 2.72 3.55 12.60
16-Aug-2007 21.73 -0.05 0.78 0.62
17-Aug-2007 21.47 -1.22 -0.39 0.15
20-Aug-2007 21.42 -0.24 0.59 0.35
21-Aug-2007 21.28 -0.64 0.19 0.03
22-Aug-2007 20.59 -3.23 -2.40 5.76
23-Aug-2007 20.46 -0.63 0.20 0.04
27-Aug-2007 20.29 -0.87 -0.04 0.00
28-Aug-2007 19.5 -3.85 -3.02 9.11
Total -14.08 54.76
The Fund Return The Standard Deviation
n n 2
Ri − R−
− ∑ Ri σ = ∑
R= i =1 i =1
n n −1
−14.08 54.76
= = −0.83% = = 1.85%
17 17 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
86
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
3.6 Table showing the Risk and Return of LIC Equity Fund (Growth
Option) for the Month of SEP-2007
Date NAV Return (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
3-Sep-2007 19.614
4-Sep-2007 19.312 -1.54 -1.44 2.07
5-Sep-2007 18.373 -4.86 -4.76 22.70
6-Sep-2007 18.447 0.40 0.50 0.25
7-Sep-2007 18.162 -1.54 -1.44 2.09
10-Sep-2007 18.88 3.96 4.06 16.45
11-Sep-2007 18.779 -0.53 -0.43 0.19
12-Sep-2007 18.935 0.83 0.93 0.86
13-Sep-2007 19.195 1.37 1.47 2.17
14-Sep-2007 18.712 -2.51 -2.41 5.82
17-Sep-2007 18.803 0.48 0.58 0.34
18-Sep-2007 18.517 -1.52 -1.42 2.01
19-Sep-2007 18.747 1.24 1.34 1.80
20-Sep-2007 18.941 1.04 1.14 1.30
21-Sep-2007 19.307 1.93 2.03 4.12
24-Sep-2007 19.19 -0.61 -0.51 0.26
25-Sep-2007 19.08 -0.57 -0.47 0.22
26-Sep-2007 18.849 -1.21 -1.11 1.23
27-sep-2007 18.946 0.52 0.62 0.38
28-Sep-2007 19.169 1.18 1.28 1.63
Total -1.96 65.90
The Fund Return The Standard Deviation
n n 2
Ri − R−
− ∑ Ri σ = ∑
R= i =1 i =1
n n −1
−1.96 65.90
= = −0.10% = = 1.91%
19 19 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
87
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
4.1 Table showing the Risk and Return of UTI Equity Fund (Growth
Option) for the Month of JULY-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R2
2-July-2007 32.86
3-July-2007 33.01 0.46 0.38 0.14
4-July-2007 32.78 -0.70 -0.78 0.60
5-July-2007 32.67 -0.34 -0.42 0.17
6-July-2007 32.33 -1.04 -1.12 1.26
9-July-2007 32.22 -0.34 -0.42 0.18
10-July-2007 31.91 -0.96 -1.04 1.09
11-July-2007 32.61 2.19 2.11 4.47
12-July-2007 33.18 1.75 1.67 2.78
13-July-2007 33.48 0.90 0.82 0.68
16-July-2007 33.54 0.18 0.10 0.01
17-July-2007 33.45 -0.27 -0.35 0.12
18-July-2007 33.45 0.00 -0.08 0.01
19-July-2007 33.41 -0.12 -0.20 0.04
20-July-2007 33.66 0.75 0.67 0.45
23-July-2007 33.22 -1.31 -1.39 1.92
24-July-2007 33.24 0.06 -0.02 0.00
25-July-2007 33.47 0.69 0.61 0.37
26-July-2007 33.38 -0.27 -0.35 0.12
27-July-2007 33.36 -0.06 -0.14 0.02
Total 1.58 14.43
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
88
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
1.58 14.43
= = 0.08% = = 0.89%
19 19 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
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A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
4.2Table showing the Risk and Return of UTI Equity Fund (Growth Option)
for the Month of AUG-2007
Date NAV Return(%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
1-Aug-2007 33.62
2-Aug-2007 34.1 1.43 1.91 3.64
3-Aug-2007 34.31 0.62 1.10 1.20
6-Aug-2007 34.07 -0.70 -0.22 0.05
7-Aug-2007 34.15 0.23 0.71 0.51
8-Aug-2007 34 -0.44 0.04 0.00
9-Aug-2007 33.82 -0.53 -0.05 0.00
10-Aug-2007 32.92 -2.66 -2.18 4.76
13-Aug-2007 32.67 -0.76 -0.28 0.08
14-Aug-2007 32.58 -0.28 0.20 0.04
16-Aug-2007 33.22 1.96 2.44 5.98
17-Aug-2007 33.38 0.48 0.96 0.92
20-Aug-2007 33 -1.14 -0.66 0.43
21-Aug-2007 33.02 0.06 0.54 0.29
22-Aug-2007 32.68 -1.03 -0.55 0.30
23-Aug-2007 31.78 -2.75 -2.27 5.17
27-Aug-2007 31.78 0.00 0.48 0.23
28-Aug-2007 31.53 -0.79 -0.31 0.09
29-Aug-2007 30.79 -2.35 -1.87 3.49
Total -8.63 27.19
The Fund Return The Standard Deviation
n n 2
Ri − R−
− ∑ Ri σ = ∑
R= i =1 i =1
n n −1
−8.63 27.19
= = −0.48% = = 1.26%
18 18 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
90
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
4.3 Table showing the Risk and Return of UTI Equity Fund (Growth Option)
for the Month of SEP-2007
Date NAV Return (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
3-Sep-2007 31.06
4-Sep-2007 30.43 -2.03 -1.98 3.91
5-Sep-2007 29.33 -3.61 -3.56 12.71
6-Sep-2007 29.52 0.65 0.70 0.49
7-Sep-2007 29.32 -0.68 -0.63 0.39
10-Sep-2007 30.13 2.76 2.81 7.91
11-Sep-2007 29.83 -1.00 -0.95 0.89
12-Sep-2007 29.85 0.07 0.12 0.01
13-Sep-2007 30.31 1.54 1.59 2.53
14-Sep-2007 29.47 -2.77 -2.72 7.41
17-Sep-2007 29.59 0.41 0.46 0.21
18-Sep-2007 29.24 -1.18 -1.13 1.28
19-Sep-2007 29.65 1.40 1.45 2.11
20-Sep-2007 29.86 0.71 0.76 0.57
21-Sep-2007 30.17 1.04 1.09 1.18
24-Sep-2007 30.85 2.25 2.30 5.31
25-Sep-2007 30.86 0.03 0.08 0.01
26-Sep-2007 30.65 -0.68 -0.63 0.40
27-sep-2007 30.2 -1.47 -1.42 2.01
28-Sep-2007 30.28 0.26 0.31 0.10
29-Sep-2007 30.7 1.39 1.44 2.07
Total -0.91 51.51
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91
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
n n 2
Ri − R−
− ∑ Ri σ = ∑
R= i =1 i =1
n n −1
−0.91 51.51
= = −0.05% = = 1.65%
20 20 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
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A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
4.4 Table showing the Risk and Return of UTI Equity Fund (Income Option)
for the Month of JULY-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
2-July-2007 30.41
3-July-2007 30.56 0.49 0.41 0.17
4-July-2007 30.35 -0.69 -0.77 0.59
5-July-2007 30.25 -0.33 -0.41 0.17
6-July-2007 29.93 -1.06 -1.14 1.29
9-July-2007 29.82 -0.37 -0.45 0.20
10-July-2007 29.54 -0.94 -1.02 1.04
11-July-2007 30.19 2.20 2.12 4.50
12-July-2007 30.71 1.72 1.64 2.70
13-July-2007 30.99 0.91 0.83 0.69
16-July-2007 31.06 0.23 0.15 0.02
17-July-2007 30.98 -0.26 -0.34 0.11
18-July-2007 30.98 0.00 -0.08 0.01
19-July-2007 30.94 -0.13 -0.21 0.04
20-July-2007 31.17 0.74 0.66 0.44
23-July-2007 30.78 -1.25 -1.33 1.77
24-July-2007 30.79 0.03 -0.05 0.00
25-July-2007 30.99 0.65 0.57 0.32
26-July-2007 30.9 -0.29 -0.37 0.14
27-July-2007 30.88 -0.06 -0.14 0.02
Total 1.61 14.23
The Fund Return The Standard Deviation
n n 2
Ri − R−
− ∑ Ri σ = ∑
R= i =1 i =1
n n −1
1.61 14.23
= = 0.08% = = 0.89%
19 19 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
93
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
4.5 Table showing the Risk and Return of UTI Equity Fund (Income Option)
for the Month of AUG-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R 2
1-Aug-2007 31.12
2-Aug-2007 31.57 1.45 1.91 3.63
3-Aug-2007 31.77 0.63 1.09 1.20
6-Aug-2007 31.55 -0.69 -0.23 0.05
7-Aug-2007 31.62 0.22 0.68 0.46
8-Aug-2007 31.49 -0.41 0.05 0.00
9-Aug-2007 31.31 -0.57 -0.11 0.01
10-Aug-2007 30.47 -2.68 -2.22 4.94
13-Aug-2007 30.25 -0.72 -0.26 0.07
14-Aug-2007 30.16 -0.30 0.16 0.03
16-Aug-2007 30.75 1.96 2.42 5.84
17-Aug-2007 30.91 0.52 0.98 0.96
20-Aug-2007 30.56 -1.13 -0.67 0.45
21-Aug-2007 30.58 0.07 0.53 0.28
22-Aug-2007 30.26 -1.05 -0.59 0.34
23-Aug-2007 29.43 -2.74 -2.28 5.21
27-Aug-2007 29.42 -0.03 0.43 0.18
28-Aug-2007 29.17 -0.85 -0.39 0.15
29-Aug-2007 28.48 -2.37 -1.91 3.63
Total -8.71 27.45
The Fund Return The Standard Deviation
n n 2
Ri − R−
− ∑ Ri σ = ∑
R= i =1 i =1
n n −1
−8.71 27.45
= = −0.46% = = 1.23%
19 19 − 1
R.V.INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
94
A STUDY OF RISK AND RETURN OF MUTUAL FUND
IN INDIA
4.6 Table showing the Risk and Return of UTI Equity Fund (Income Option)
for the Month of SEP-2007
Date NAV Returns (%) −
−
R − R R − R2
3-Sep-2007 28.72
4-Sep-2007 28.14 -2.02 -1.98 3.92
5-Sep-2007 27.12 -3.62 -3.58 12.85
6-Sep-2007 27.3 0.66 0.70 0.50
7-Sep-2007 27.12 -0.66 -0.62 0.38
10-Sep-2007 27.87 2.77 2.81 7.87
11-Sep-2007 27.59 -1.00 -0.96 0.93
12-Sep-2007 27.61 0.07 0.11 0.01
13-Sep-2007 28.03 1.52 1.56 2.44
14-Sep-2007 27.26 -2.75 -2.71 7.33
17-Sep-2007 27.37 0.40 0.44 0.20
18-Sep-2007 27.05 -1.17 -1.13 1.28
19-Sep-2007 27.43 1.40 1.44 2.09
20-Sep-2007 27.62 0.69 0.73 0.54
21-Sep-2007 27.91 1.05 1.09 1.19
24-Sep-2007 28.54 2.26 2.30 5.28
25-Sep-2007 28.55 0.04 0.08 0.01
26-Sep-2007 28.36 -0.67 -0.63 0.39
27-sep-2007 27.94 -1.48 -1.44 2.08
28-Sep-2007 28.01 0.25 0.29 0.08
29-Sep-2007 28.4 1.39 1.43 2.05
Total -0.86 51.40
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−0.86 51.40
= = −0.04% = = 1.64%
20 20 − 1
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5.1 Table showing the Risk and Return of Birla Equity Fund
(Dividend Option) FROM 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007
Analysis:
In the above table the risk profile of Birla Equity Fund (Dividend
Option) is increased from JULY to AUGUST and then it decreased to
1.47% in SEPTEMBER. The Return indicates negative sign that is –
0.51% in AUGUST and –0.03% in SEPTEMBER
Inference:
According to the selected mutual fund, the risk and return is the
major factor to all types of investors. In this fund, the risk is increasing
form JULY to SEPTEMBER. There is a moderate risk to investors will
bear in their return. But the volatility is there in the Market because of
the factors which comes under market risk.
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GRAPH-1
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5.2 Table showing the Risk and Return of Birla Equity Fund
(Growth Option) FROM 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007
Analysis:
According to the calculations the fund risk profile shows the
same what the dividend option is having from JULY to AUGUST, and
then it changes in the month of SEPTEMBER. The return also shows
same thing from JULY to AUGUST, and changes to 0.51% with
0.86% of risk.
Inference:
In the growth fund also there is no changes compare to
dividend option except the risk and return of SEPTEMBER. in the
growth option. It means that there is no high volatility in the net asset
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GRAPH-2
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6.1 Table showing the Risk and Return of HDFC Equity Fund
(Dividend Option) FROM 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007
Analysis:
Above calculations shows, the fund is bearing high-risk
compare to birla equity fund (dividend Option), that is in the month of
JULY is 0.86%, in AUGUST is 1.27%, and in SEPTEMBER. it is
2.70%. The return is high in JULY, in AUGUST and SEPTEMBER. is
–0.42% and –0.64%.
Inferences:
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GRAPH-3
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6.2 Table showing the Risk and Return of HDFC Equity Fund
(Growth Option) FROM 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007
Analysis:
From the calculated value, the risk profile of growth option is
increased from 0.89% to 1.27% and then it decreased to 1.73%. The
return of this option is 0.15% in JULY and it indicates negative sign
that is –0.42% and 0.02% in the month of AUGUST and
SEPTEMBER
Inferences:
According to the analysis, this growth option has beard high risk
compare to Birla Equity growth option fund and return also low. It
means that, if the risk is high, the return also high. Investors needs
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GRAPH-4
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7.1 Table showing the Risk and Return of LIC Equity Fund
(Dividend Option) from 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007.
Analysis:
Above table indicates that, the risk has decreased from JULY
is1.24% and in AUGUST is 1.23% and in SEPTEMBER is1.91%. The
return also increased in JULY is 0.15%, in AUGUST is 0.26% and in
March is –0.10%.
Inferences:
According to the analysis, the LIC equity fund is having
moderate risk in the calculated data with moderate return. The risk
and return is fluctuating from month to month because of both market
risk and unsystematic risk of the company. But investor doesn’t bear
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high risk, they will get minimum return for their investment and they
can save their tax.
GRAPH-5
Graph showing the Risk and Return of LIC Equity Fund (Growth
Option)
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7.2 Table showing the Risk and Return of LIC Equity Fund
(Growth Option)FROM 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007
Month Risk Return (%)
July 1.24 0.15
Aug 1.85 -0.83
Sep 1.91 -0.10
Analysis:
In the above table, the risk and return of LIC Equity Fund is
fluctuating form month to month.
In JULY it has 0.15% return with 1.24% of risk.
In AUGUST it has -0.83% return with 1.85% of risk and
In SEPTEMBER is has -0.10% return with 1.91% of risk.
Inferences:
Risk and Return is a major factor for all types of investors.
Based on the above analysis the risk of the fund is varies from month
to month with moderate return. But in the month of AUGUST and
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GRAPH-6
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Graph showing the Risk and Return of LIC Equity Fund (Growth
Option) FROM 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007
UTI MUTUAL FUND
8.1 Table showing the Risk and Return of UTI Equity Fund
(Growth Option) FROM 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007.
Month Risk Return (%)
July 0.89 0.08
Aug 1.26 -0.48
Sep 1.65 -0.05
Analysis:
In the above table, the risk and return of UTI Equity Fund also
fluctuating form month to month.
♦ In JULY it has 0.08% return with 0.89% of risk which is less
than one.
♦ In AUGUST it has -0.48% return with 1.26% of risk which is
more than one.
♦ In SEPTEMBER it has -0.05% return with 1.65% of risk which is
more than one.
Inferences:
In the above selected mutual fund scheme, the risk factor is
increasing from JULY to SEPTEMBER. The return also changing
from positive sigh to negative sign, because of unique risk of the
mutual fund. Therefore investors need to bare the moderate risk with
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their return compare to the risk in equity shares. Because mutual fund
provides portfolio option to investors.
GRAPH-7
Graph showing the Risk and Return of UTI Equity Fund (Growth
Option)
FROM 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007
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8.2 Table showing the Risk and Return of UTI Equity Fund
(Income Option).FROM 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007
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GRAPH-8
Graph showing the Risk and Return of UTI Equity Fund (Income
Option) from 1st JULY 2007 to 30TH SEPTEMBER 2007
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FINDINGS
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Based on the above analysis, the LIC Equity Fund has bared
the risk of 1.24% with 0.15% return in July, 1.23% with 0.26%
return in August and 1.91% with -0.10% in September. The
fund is giving good performance based on the analysis of three
month data.
higher the return and lower the risk lower the return.
investors.
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in three working days mutual funds will converted into cash and
liquidity of equity is based on demand and supply conditions of
the market for a particular scrip.
The UTI Equity Fund also having moderate risk and return
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SUGGESTIONS
reason.
CONCLUSIONS
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The study will guide the new investor who wants to invest in
mutual fund schemes by providing knowledge about how to measure
the risk and return of particular mutual fund scheme. The study
recommends new investors to go for mutual funds rather than
equities, because of high risk and market instability.
market risk.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
SL.N Title of the Book Author Year of Publisher
O Publication s
1 Investment Analysis and Prasanna 2005 Tata
Portfolio Management Channdra McGra Hill
(Second Edition)
2 Financial Management (Sixth Prasanna 2005 Tata
Edition) Channdra McGra Hill
3 Company prospectus
ICFAI Magazines
Business world
Economic times
www.amfiindia.com
www.reliancemoney.com
www.karvy.com
www.livemint.com
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The study will guide the new investor who wants to invest in
equity and mutual fund schemes by providing knowledge about how
to measure the risk and return of particular scrip or mutual fund
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