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jobs offshore it may not be a textile mill. Indeed, it may not be a manufacturing or
production facility of any kind. The next American icon to close shop and move overseas
may well be the New York Stock Exchange.
Today, if news reports can be credited, the Deutsche Bourse is finalizing the
agreements to acquire the New York Stock Exchange. As word of this acquisition spread
over the past week or so, it has been amusing, and frightening, to watch and hear the
talking heads on CNBC and Bloomberg try to convince themselves that the NYSE is
somehow different from all other domestic industries our country has given away over
the past sixty to seventy years.
Somehow, the talking heads tell us, there is something special about what the
NYSE does that will grant it immunity from dissolution and removal. Of course, all these
arguments are the same arguments small town mayors made to themselves and their
fellow citizens while the nation calmly continued to whistle by the graveyard as the local,
regional, state and, finally, the national economy cratered.
If there is a difference between the movement of the textile industry offshore and
the eventual consolidation of the new, combined exchanges in Berlin, or Frankfurt or
Bremen or Cologne or wherever the Germans decide to put it, it is that the forces
demanding consolidation of the exchanges is so much more powerful and compelling
than the auguries of the rape of the textile industry ever were.
What is a dead certainty is that New York will not be the dominant player in
international finance twenty years from now as it is today and has been for more than a
century. This diminution of importance will mean a number of things for the rest of New
York City and State and the United States, none of them very good. First, the obscene
excess wealth thrown off by the financial center operations in New York have long fueled
the theater and art markets in that city. Without that obscene wealth these markets will
find it that much harder to sustain the work of the creative types who pour into New York
everyday, ready to show the world how it is done. Without the direct and indirect funding
of these creative efforts in the performing and fine arts, New York will begin to shrink as
a world center for creativity.
The combined annual business done by the two exchanges is somewhere around
seventeen trillion dollars worth of deals. Most of this, I am told, is in the derivative
markets, including credit default swaps. This combine volume will create a stock
exchange far larger than cumulative volume of the next three exchanges.
Speaking of the derivative business, this is the general market where all the credit
default swaps and hedge fund operations take place. It is the single activity given most of
the credit for the global, financial meltdown in 2007 and 2008. These markets remain
largely unregulated and there is nothing in particular to stop the financial geniuses ruling
the world from doing it all again, any time they choose to do so.
What makes this "merger," potentially, rich in irony and karma is the general
notion that the primary reason the US Federal Reserve is so opposed to an audit of the
obligations it assumed in the wake of the financial meltdown is such an audit would
discover that the Fed has agreed to guarantee a huge portion of the obligations left over
from the derivative markets pre meltdown, some seventy-five trillion dollars. Commonly
labeled legacy assets, these left over, unfunded and, largely, worthless obligations would
have sunk most of the world's financial institutions if those depending upon them or those
guaranteeing them ever had to pay up or cash in. To avoid this collapse it is widely
assumed but not discussed that the Fed simply paid every body off, removing any risk
from the private sector and saddling the public sector with it. (If this is so it amounts to
the perfect crime. No human being can even conceive of a heist so large as this making a
criminal reckoning impossible. If they stole a few hundred billion, yeah, a jury could be
impaneled that could get its collective brain around that. Seventy-five trillion, this is too
big a number to comprehend. A criminal cannot be convicted of a crime no one can
conceive.)
If an international bail out of all the banks and all the hedge funds was part of the
Bernanke scheme, then the Fed is protecting financial institutions all around the world,
not just those headquartered in the United States. By rendering these debt swaps and
other junk obligations real, the Fed has indirectly kept the German banks, as well as those
in the Middle East, China, Asia and everywhere else solvent. In doing that, the Fed has
allowed the Deutsche Bourse to remain solvent and the German and European economies
strong. In doing that, the Fed has kept all the international competitors of what is left of
out domestic production companies prosperous. Many, if not the vast majority of these
competitor companies are listed and traded on the Deutsche Bourse allowing it to stock
pile sufficient cash to buy the NYSE.
All of the above outcomes are laudable, I suppose. However, if the Fed has,
indeed, underwritten the big German banks, isolating them from the risk they assumed by
taking on one or the other side of the debt swaps, the Fed has financed the destruction of
New York as the financial capital of the world.